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Posted on 10/26/2016 9:36:42 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
Donald Trump has a 2 percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton in Florida, according to a new poll, as both presidential campaigns blanket the critical swing state in a full sprint to Election Day.
A new Bloomberg Politics poll finds Trump ahead of Clinton, 45% to 43% -- well within the poll's 3.2% point margin of error -- in a four-way race among likely voters....
That's a significant shift from Florida polling earlier this month, showed Clinton in the lead. A Quinnipiac University survey ---- showed Clinton leading by 4 percentage points, 48% to 44%. Trump's edge is driven by his advantage among Florida independents, ... 44% compared to Clinton's 37%. Third-party candidates ... combine for 14% of the independent vote.
Trump and Clinton rack up big advantages among their core constituencies. Trump wins older voters (51%) and voters without a college degree (50%), and is strongest in more conservative, rural areas and the state's northwest panhandle.
Clinton wins Hispanics (51%) and voters under 35 (49%), and has big leads among non-whites, and college-educated voters. The Democrat also has a 30-point lead among Miami-area residents. Veteran pollster... "suggests Trump has more opportunity in Florida than some think is realistic, given his poor standing with Hispanics."
"But he does well with groups that are key to winning there, including older, more reliable voters," she added. "Clinton depends on younger voters and a strong presence at the polls of black and non-Cuban Hispanics."
The Bloomberg poll surveyed the US Senate race between incumbent Sen. Marco Rubio and .... Patrick Murphy....... Rubio with a 10-point lead,
The Bloomberg Politics poll was conducted between October 21-24, and surveyed 953 likely Florida voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
The media has to produce new polls reflective of the truth so they can pretend they are not actively rigging the election for Hilary to win.
While the article claims a 30-point lead among Miami area residents for Clinton, the mail-in and early vote is showing that is not the case. The Democrat return has been about 17% greater than Republican in Miami.
Since Miami will certainly vote for Rubio in the highest numbers, I bet the same voters will back Trump in unity.
Hillary voters are just not showing up.
If they don’t show in FL, you can bet they aren’t showing up around the country.
Hillary’s big lead with certain D constituencies means nothing if they don’t bother to vote.
PIAPS is in Tampa today...I thought she had FL in the bag?
Trump beat Rubio by 20%, now Rubio leads his race by 10%.
Yet Trump trails Rubio’s performance by 8%? Totally makes no sense.
Beware of BS that makes no sense.
The voters are not obeying their media masters. The polls are garbage. Ignore them. The People will have the last say or let there be war.
Only been a resident of FL since 2007, so I’m no expert, but... Having worked on McCain and Romney’s campaigns and and Rick Scott’s 2014 re-election campaign. I am concerned about what Democrats do to maximize their vote. Often you will get a federal court injunction to keep Miami/Dade polls open later due to some claim of computers down or slow processing, etc. Miami/Dade and Broward are the motherlode counties for Democrats, and surprisingly Democrats took Hillsborough and Pinellas in 2012 for Obama. I hope Trump or the RNC has a legal team in each of the districts to knock down some of these blatant attempts to put a thumb on the scales. When it is close - all of the contingencies have to be covered.
Election is about motivation and turnout.
This year its on the R side... has been true since the primaries.
I don’t believe the polls showing it as a close race.
COME ON florida!!
Get out the DT vote NOW!
we need it desepartely, for when the D vote (Deceased) comes in, also all those incompetent “R” voters in Palm Beach nursing homes, alas
GET EVERYONE POSSIBLE TO VOTE FOR MR TRUMP RIGHT AWAY PLEASE!
Actually, I think the lead today is 5000+ votes for Rs, including early voting.
Strange, had you listened to fox news yesterday you’d think Trump is getting killed.
Trending well in Florida with 2 million votes in. My expected turnout of 9.1 to 9.3 million voters.
Where did you get the 5,000 lead number? The lead had been 7,000 at the close of the first day. According to the SoS website, each day is not entirely tabulated until 7:30PM the following day.
9.2m voters would be half the population of the state.
there are 12.7m TOTAL registered voters in FL.
9.2m would mean a 72% turn out.
if it comes anywhere close to that, it would mean the voters were especially jazzed... and i’m pretty sure NO ONE has ever been overly excited for hillary.
But the Dems are sitting back watching and counting. “How many ballots can we get from snowbird New Yorkers that vote in New York and then take a flight down to their Florida abode to vote again. And how many must we simply manufacture?” Those are the real questions.
Trump should make a public statement that he would like in the interest of election integrity if XYZ counties (the one that support the GOP heavily) would not report their results until the left wing counties announce theirs. He could easily make the claim that there is nothing but fairness in that proposal.
Even after Trump schlonged Cruz, many TDS FReaks insisted that only Cruz could beat Hitlery.
Thank God the leftist FReaks have been quiet here lately.
2%-3% will not beat the margin of fraud.
71% turnout in 2012 and 75% turnout 2008. I think we split the difference. We will see.
sure it will. Romney only lost by 74,000 votes.
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