Posted on 11/01/2016 8:15:32 AM PDT by mathprof
Nonsense. But if you want to believe that, then feel free. At least you can look forward to being pleasantly surprised :)
Hint: if 20% of AA voters are going for Trump, the AA leaders who ordinarily commit some fraud (some, in some areas) are not going to risk blowback from their own community. They may have felt safe doing so for Obama. But they are NOT going to do so for Clinton.
The enthusiasm is pro-Trump and anti-Hillary.
The only data I have found to start is the 2012 stats for Montgomery County—early voting in 2012:
Obozo: 62,233 80.0%
Mittens 14,403 18.5%
So that is one baseline.
Let’s see if we can find current early voting by party for comparison.
I just checked and Obama won Montgomery County 71-27%, with 287k-111k the final tally. So early voting was not a sizable factor in 2012. I fully expect Clinton to pick up roughly the same number of votes in Montgomery County. The only reason to suspect otherwise is that there is a *massive* hispanic presence in Montgomery County (I think it is a “sanctuary county”), and from what I have seen they may not vote in the huge numbers as they did for Obama.
What I really want to know is what the numbers look like in PG County, relative to 2012. In 2012, PG County was essentially a 1/2 million person extension of the Obama campaign circle. I cannot see her repeating his success there. The question is how much can Trump shave off from Romney’s deficit there.
Got it.
Obviously if we trend that forward Hillary would still easily win Maryland.
However, when combined with early voting in FL, NC etal there is a clear improvement in Trump numbers across the board.
Agree. They know him and have seen his success, stamina, and work-ethic.
It’s kind of an odd statistic that 137% of the early votes have been for Hitlery.
That Campbell guy is a genius. I can see why he is a professor.
Voter turnout is high. They are either voting for Trump or they are not.
Genius!
No doubt spike is due to Trump enthusiasm... will he have enough support to beat out the Eastern MD/Baltimore Hillary vote? Don’t know... I am sure she will under perform Barry’s 2012 numbers, and Trump will certainly over perform Romney’s... but will that shift be enough?
I’d love to see it, but I wouldn’t bet the paycheck on it.
If Trump wins MD.. its hard to see how Hillary gets 10 states.
Heh, heh...told you my state (Maryland) would go for Trump. At least I’m pretty sure it will. Tons of Trump signs...only saw my first Hillary a few days ago.
Here in purple Broward county FL, I have not seen ONE hrc sign! And I live in the heart of dws territory.
Previously, kerry edwards signs were as far as the eye could see.
Ping!
I was in MD couple weeks ago. The country side was pretty much all Trump. In the towns there were a lot of Hitlery signs.
The Red Queen will probably win the state but the margins will be thin.
Maybe thinner, now.
I don’t count on Maryland being won by Trump. Plus, it could be the rally of the anti-Trump crowd. Plenty of early voters went down for Obama in 2012.
Much of this is a strategy to get some attention for Leftist states who are so far in the Democrats’ tank that no one pays attention to them. In some states, such as MI, the Democrat press is trying to get the Trump campaign to spend money there so they don’t have that money to spend in FL, where it could make a difference. With the voter fraud in the Leftist/Labor Union states, it is highly unlikely that any of them can be switched to Trump.
If Trump wins Maryland, it will be a 50 state sweep.
but sadly, he's not going to
Boo, workerbee. Trump has a great deal of enthusiasm factor going here. It could happen. Who ever expected him to get this far?
On the Shore, you’d be hard pressed to find a Hillary voter.
The Blacks are awakening. There’s lots and lots of smart people asking some pointed questions about their treatment.
They realize that they want what everybody wants: a square deal.
Oh the timesthey are a changin’. . .
Just a realist, doberville. But you’re right - it could happen, and I’ll be more than happy to hear you say “told you so” next Tuesday!
Maryland “Freak State” PING!
Maryland Heelary supporters don’t need to do signs. They know how safe this state is for them, so dream on . . .
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