Presidential Ballot PA: 46% Trump 46% Clinton - Harper Polling

Harper Polling ^ | 11/04/16 | staff

[winoneforthegipper]

With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%, 2% Johnson, 1% Stein, 4% Undecided). Clinton has a steady lead with women (49% Clinton-44% Trump) while Trump has expanded his advantage with men (43-49%, 9/22: 42-44%). Independents prefer Trump (26-46%) but self-identified Moderates choose Clinton (57-31%).

Q: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for: Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson OR Green Party candidate Jill Stein?

[winoneforthegipper]

Good Stuff.

[Col Frank Slade]

Too close.

Philly steals it.

[dp0622]

self-identified Moderates choose Clinton (57-31%)...

yeah, cause she’s moderate.

These stupid ####s

[winoneforthegipper]

Senate Ballot​ Senator Pat Toomey (44%) and Democrat Katie McGinty (44%) are tied heading into Election Day (6% Clifford, 5% undecided). Toomey has a slight intensity advantage (40% definitely Toomey-38% definitely McGinty). Toomey earns a majority of the vote in the Northern Tier (53-35%), Pittsburgh/Southwest (51-36%) and South Central (65-25%) regions and leads by a smaller 4% margin in Scranton/Lehigh valley (47-43%). McGinty leads with 62% of the vote in Philadelphia/Southeast (27-62%). Like Trump, Toomey has taken the lead in Pittsburgh/Southwest since September (9/22: 34-49% McGinty). Republicans are narrowly more supportive of Toomey (78%) than Democrats are of McGinty (75%). Toomey earns a majority of the Independent vote (55-23%) but McGinty does the same with Moderates (31-52%). Q: If the election for United States Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Democrat Katie McGinty, Republican Pat Toomey, or Libertarian Edward Clifford?

[1Old Pro]

46-46, all depends on Philly turnout. No wonder Hillary is sending in the clowns on Monday.

[JonPreston]

Speaking of Philly, Hillary’s weekend concerts & events will be heavily impacted related to the SEPTA strike.

This is good.

[goldstategop]

Trump is going to win because D +8 polls are nowhere close to reality in their turnout assumption.

Plus, Hillary’s last day of campaigning is in Philadelphia.

Why? Shouldn’t she have PA locked down by now?

[scottinoc]

So on a net basis, there is no gender gap, and he’s killing it with independents (neither of which is surprising to me, except that I believe he’s actually killing it with men too). Very encouraging.

[winoneforthegipper]

Pittsburg he is +6 though. I would bet Trump.

[Brilliant]

“Self-identified moderates”=Democrats.

[winoneforthegipper]

Pittsburg(H) sorry.

[grania]

Philly steals it

This time, it's different, one can hope. Coal country and those who've lost jobs in manufacturing used to be reliable dem voters. One has to hope that those forgotten-about cities and towns will give Trump enough of an edge.

[goldstategop]

That’s if you assume its a D +8 electorate.

Freepers like yourself are snowed by the polls and take them at face value.

[goldstategop]

Watch Luzerne. If it goes for Trump, its lights out for Hillary in PA.

[Parley Baer]

These votes do not take into account all the Democrat blue collar workers and union miners who will vote for Trump in the privacy of the voting booth. No way in public will they tell who they are really going to vote for.

[mrmeyer]

Why? Shouldn’t she have PA locked down by now?

I agree. If she has to fight for what should be safe states for her, she's f**ked.

[surroundedbyblue]

Damn right Philly will ruin it. I’m north of Pittsburgh and all one has to do is drive down the street. There’s Trump signs every couple of feet. Who the hell is voting for that woman?? If he loses PA, I love be because of the libtards in Philly and widespread (no doubt) cheating.

[Parley Baer]

Also no wonder the Hillary campaign is all of a sudden spending a lot of time in Pennsylvania.

[MountainWalker]

Yeah, hopefully momentum carries us past the MoF.

[crz]

He has to hit MI, WI, FL and VA in the next few days.

I believe he can win them all. FL looks good so far as I understand.

Two in MI and one in WI the same day. Then one in WI and two in VA. Then two in PA again, and one or Two in FL.

Sheboygan WI and Either Superior WI or Duluth MN..which will cover northwestern WI. He should try for Marquette MI and then back to the down state area.