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The Smoking Gun In Mass Shootings By The Young
Market-Ticker ^ | Feb. 18, 2018 | Karl Denninger

Posted on 02/20/2018 7:09:48 AM PST by Wolfie

The Smoking Gun In Mass Shootings By The Young

Still won't raise the actual issue will you?

“The concept that mental illness is a precursor to violent behavior is nonsense,” said Dr. Louis Kraus, forensic psychiatry chief at Chicago’s Rush University Medical College. “The vast majority of gun violence is not attributable to mental illness.”

Oh really?

The article goes on to claim that ~38,000 people died from firearm violence in 2016.

What is being omitted is that the majority were suicides!

In fact, of those 38,000 people (37,863 for 2015 according to the CDC) 22,928 were firearm suicides in 2015 (according to the CDC again), or more than half of all deaths by violence and roughly half of all suicides. And virtually all of those suicides, along with most of the homicides, are committed with handguns.

(It's actually a bit of a trick to kill yourself with a rifle or shotgun. It's not impossible by any means, but it's a hell of a lot harder to shoot yourself in the head with a rifle that it is with a pistol.)

With the exception of the few people who committed suicide under perfectly-understandable and sane circumstances (e.g. facing a terminal illness and choosing the time and manner of death instead of having it forced upon them) the rest were mentally ill.

Are you next going to tell me that suicide is not a "violent behavior" Mr. Kraus? Or does it only count if someone blows their brains out instead of taking a intentionally fatal dose of some drug, jumping off a bridge or similar?

Go **** yourself you lying sack of ****.

You see, what Kraus is deathly afraid of is this sort of event being properly pinned on him and his profession -- which was a very, very near miss:

RUTLAND - An 18-year-old Poultney man pleaded not guilty Friday afternoon to charges including attempted murder in connection with the threat of a mass shooting at Fair Haven Union High School.

Police said former student Jack Sawyer indicated he wanted to cause "mass casualties" at the Rutland County school of about 400 students in ninth through 12th grades in an attack he had been planning for two years.

By the way, this guy bought a shotgun. Which is not an "assault weapon", but will still kill you very dead.

What else do we know about him? That he was on medication and stopped taking it. He was also institutionalized for a while under care of a psychiatrist. You know, someone who claims to be an expert in figuring out whether someone is dangerous (and mentally ill, I might add) or not!

How did said psychiatrist do in this case, on an objective basis, if I may ask the dear Doctor Klaus? Would you care to give him a grade on a scale from "A" to "F" or do we need more letters than that to appropriately express his level of performance?

And what medication was the alleged would-be shooter on? Anti-depressants, it appears, if the article is correct.

Let me point out once again that the the infamous "329" study, which led to GSK being criminally charged for off-label marketing, when re-analyzed showed:

Few studies have sustained as much criticism as Study 329, a placebo controlled, randomized trial of paroxetine and imipramine carried out by SmithKline Beecham (which became GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) in 2000). In 2002, a US Food and Drug Administration officer who formally reviewed the trial reported that “on balance, this trial should be considered as a failed trial, in that neither active treatment group showed superiority over placebo by a statistically significant margin.”4 Yet this same year, according to the New York State Attorney General’s office, which sued GSK, over two million prescriptions were written for children and adolescents in the United States, all off-label, after a marketing campaign that characterized Study 329 as demonstrating “REMARKABLE Efficacy and Safety.”

Got a reading comprehension problem folks?

The drugs don't work in teens and children; neither showed that it was superior to a sugar pill in terms of being effective. Worse, they massively increased the risk of suicidal ideation - by anywhere from 2.5 to more than five times depending on the specific drug in question. Finally, the government (FDA) knew all of this in 2002.

Why would you allow a doctor (of any sort) to prescribe a drug to someone that we know, scientifically, does not work in that person's age group?

But what we also know is not just that they don't work and raise the risk of self-harm -- they also potentiate violent criminal behavior in a small percentage of children, adolescents and those under the age of 25 who take them.

In fact these drugs as a class basically double the risk of violent criminal conviction in that age group.

DOUBLE!

Now there are plenty of theories on why -- but no facts at this point. But what does exist to date is a warning in the prescribing information on giving them to young adults and teens, especially those who may be bipolar.

This guy in Vermont, I'm willing to wager, was exactly that. He was drugged with a substance known to be dangerous. He tried to go off the drugs on his own which is extremely common for bipolar individuals.

Fortunately he was caught before he was able to commit his crime -- but he formulated intent to commit that crime while under the influence of a psychiatric medication we know comes with the risk of potentiating violent criminal felonies.

Does this make him somehow excused? Of course not.

But when are we going to stop with the bull**** about "assault weapons" when (1) the most-common, by far, violent act committed by mentally ill people is suicide, (2) suicides are more than half of all violent deaths that involve firearms, (3) nearly all suicides and nearly all homicides (10:1 ratio for the latter) are committed with handguns, not assault (or any other form of) rifle or shotgun -- indeed, you're about 3x more likely to be killed by someone with a knife than a rifle of any sort and (4) among those who are under the age of 25 these drugs not only do not work they make both violent criminal behavior AND suicide more likely by a factor of anywhere from two to five times over those with similar afflictions who take sugar pills -- that is, nothing.

The above is not based on my opinion it is based on multiple scientific, medical studies never mind the false (and, it appears, intentionally-so) claims made by one of the drugmakers in question -- and that firm was criminally charged for off-label marketing of said drug.

Yes, 17 people dead in Florida sucks. How badly does it suck that 22,000 people kill themselves every year, many times more than 17, and of those who are under 25 at the time how many of them were taking either currently or recently a class of drug we know not only doesn't work it makes suicidal ideation anywhere from 2 to 5 times more likely?

Look, I get it. People want to hold out this Marcus Welby view of doctors -- including psychiatrists. They don't want to face the fact that physicians either are duped or simply fail to follow the literature, but both happen. In other fields we consider a failure to do so criminal negligence, but apparently not here -- even when it leads people to take their own lives, or much worse, decide to try to take the lives of countless others. Screaming "guns guns guns!" is politically expedient, especially for a certain segment of the political sphere that doesn't give a **** about either people's lives or facts.

You'll never solve this problem with "gun control." If you want to put a serious dent in the issue start by following the scientific literature and studies which say that (1) these drugs do not work in children, teens and adults under the age of 25, (2) they cause (not prevent) suicides compared against those who take nothing at all for the same symptoms in the under-25 age group, and (3) they are associated with a doubling of serious, violent criminal behavior in that same age group.

The criminal association disappears entirely in those 25 and older, and there is decent evidence that these drugs, under at least some circumstances, are effective in older patients.

In other words if you want to put a serious dent in these events bar the writing of prescriptions for these drugs to those under 25 and for those doctors and psychiatrists who hand them out anyway hold them criminally accountable if their judgement, which is directly opposed to the scientific evidence, results in an attempted or actual mass-murder.

Not only will we dent or completely stop these "rage monster" incidents we will probably also prevent thousands of suicides annually by adolescents and young adults -- many MULTIPLES of the 17 killed in Florida -- at the same time.


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: denninger; shootings; ticker
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1 posted on 02/20/2018 7:09:49 AM PST by Wolfie
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To: Wolfie
COACH FEIS

The football assistant coach Aaron Feis who was also a security person at the school and died blocking the kids with his body SHOULD HAVE BEEN ARMED.

According to Feis’ Facebook page, he lived in Coral Springs and was a fan of Ronda Rousey and Tim Tebow, the TV show “Duck Dynasty” and the movie “Faith of Our Fathers.” Among his posts were a quote from Billy Graham, “A coach will impact more young people in a year than the average person does in a lifetime,” and tributes to the U.S. military and an advertisement for a “Concealed Carry Jacket” with a handgun poking out of a pocket.

So Coach Feis Could have saved most of the kids…Coach Feis SHOULD HAVE saved all those people.

But Coach Feis WAS NOT ALLOWED TO CARRY HIS LICENSED PISTOL.

2 posted on 02/20/2018 7:19:31 AM PST by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you)
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To: Wolfie

“The concept that mental illness is a precursor to violent behavior is nonsense,” said Dr. Louis Kraus”

My expert opinion is that a person has gotta be pretty effed in the head to shoot a bunch of schoolchildren.


3 posted on 02/20/2018 7:20:14 AM PST by LouieFisk
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To: Wolfie

Good points


4 posted on 02/20/2018 7:20:46 AM PST by Nevadan
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To: Wolfie

The Doctor sounds like he is defending the medical profession’s decisions to let mentally ill people roam around.


5 posted on 02/20/2018 7:24:14 AM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Wolfie
"By the way, this guy bought a shotgun. Which is not an "assault weapon", but will still kill you very dead."

In the confines of a school hallway a 12 gauge shotgun and a fanny pack filled with shells would be a much more devastating weapon than an AR-15. Not even close.

6 posted on 02/20/2018 7:31:27 AM PST by circlecity
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To: Vaquero

Six adults from Sandy Hook used their unarmed bodies to shield 20 school kids from Adam Lanza. Very brave, but not very effective.

Evidently, this is still the response promoted by the left.


7 posted on 02/20/2018 7:32:13 AM PST by umgud
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To: Wolfie

The gun grabbers don’t care. Gun control would stop those suicides you know, because none of those people who were sick enough they wanted to kill themselves would ever think of poison, jumping off a bridge, or swerving their cars into an overpass.


8 posted on 02/20/2018 7:32:15 AM PST by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust Sessions. The Great Awakening is at hand...MAGA!)
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To: Wolfie

The media and establishment would rather rally the public to deal with the symptom than to the disease because of their agenda.

Uphill battle ahead.


9 posted on 02/20/2018 7:34:33 AM PST by Blue Collar Christian (We Arizonans need to get rid of McCain/Flake as all of us pray for Trump.)
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To: Wolfie

There was a young man we rented apartment to in the early 80s. His brother was a friend of mine and he asked us to keep a eye on him. Jimmy was sometimes very outgoing and cheerful and sometimes he would not come out of the apartment except to go to work.
His parents had split up when he was young, but he was the youngest and they’d had all they could stand.
All Jimmy’s brothers were working on becoming successful, in their own way. Jimmy, stuck in the past, used to call me and my live in long term girl “mom and dad”. I being young and green didn’t see the pattern, but did report the weeks Jimmy was isolating himself to my friend. Jimmy moved in with his brother after a week or two at the asylum, which was what the doctor ordered. Meanwhile my girl and I decided to tie the knot. I went to my friends house on a Friday night for a impromptu bachelor party, nothing to it. We smoked and drank a few beers watching a movie. Jimmy went outside, then came back in and said “hey guys, come out here and look at the stars with me for a minute” We replied we would be out in a minute, we’re almost through with Ghostbusters. “Ok” he said, smiling and shut the door. In about 3 minutes we heard a loud noise, as if a spacerock struck the top of the trailer. John stood up and cried out his brother’s name and ran out side. I followed. The worst sight I’ve ever seen and may God spare me any worse.
This story posted brought this back hard, but your ideas ring true to me. I was told the meds were helping Jimmy, who was a nice young man but just never took off and flew. I’ll be saying a few more prayers for Jimmy’s soul


10 posted on 02/20/2018 7:35:25 AM PST by Boowhoknew
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To: umgud

If Sandy Hook actually happened


11 posted on 02/20/2018 7:36:55 AM PST by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you)
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To: Wolfie

1) Stop overprescribing drugs
2) Arm security personnel in schools
3) Get parents to be parents and not have government schools be parents


12 posted on 02/20/2018 7:39:38 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: Wolfie

This guy belongs in a rubber room!


13 posted on 02/20/2018 7:40:45 AM PST by Redleg Duke (Build Kates Wall! Never Forget!)
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To: Wolfie
The medical lore is that doctors go into psychiatry to try and cure themselves. (Generally unsuccessfully.)

If we conflate urban gang violence with rampage killings, and conflate homicides with suicides, I guess. But young Black gangsters fighting over drug territory or old White men with chronic pain or cancer who shoot themselves aren't the problem here.

The problem is bat**** crazies who murder innocents. The Black gangsters and old White guys have sane and rational reasons to do what they do, the school shooters don't.

Chicago's total is up to 309 shootings and 70 homicides for 2018. Does the doctor even care?

https://heyjackass.com/

14 posted on 02/20/2018 7:43:01 AM PST by Sooth2222 (O'Rourke's Circumcision Precept: You can take 10 percent off the top of anything.)
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To: circlecity

Bean bag rounds can work. So can rubber bullets. It’s way, way better than nothing.


15 posted on 02/20/2018 7:45:31 AM PST by RinaseaofDs
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To: LouieFisk
Exactly. How is killing innocent people not an indication of some form of mental illness? I guess Dr. Kraus thinks double-digit killing is a sane act? If so, I'm concerned about his mental state. Seriously, he thinks it is a rational decision to plan and execute multiple murders?
16 posted on 02/20/2018 7:46:34 AM PST by ThunderSleeps (Doing my part to help make America great again!)
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To: Wolfie

Recipe for school shootings:

Take a low status male with high levels of testosterone.
Add a does of mental instability.
Sprinkle him up with an SSRI
Stand back and watch madness unfold.


17 posted on 02/20/2018 7:47:03 AM PST by Malsua
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To: Wolfie
The Smoking Gun In Mass Shootings

The "smoking gun" is not the gun.

18 posted on 02/20/2018 7:49:19 AM PST by MosesKnows (Love Many, Trust Few, and Always Paddle Your Own Canoe)
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To: Wolfie

Was the shooter obsessed with violent video games, television shows, or movies? Leftists in Hollywood and video game companies continue to pump out gratuitous violence called “entertainment”. Does the absorption of thousands of hours of graphic violence desensitize some people to violence and anti social behavior?

I tell my leftist friends I’ll start being concerned about gun control when the Hollywood elites start talking about banning violence from movies and games.


19 posted on 02/20/2018 7:57:14 AM PST by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work on it.)
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To: Soul of the South

Here is the answer to your question. YES11111

Gold said that Cruz escaped his misery by playing video games for eight, 12, even 15 hours a day. Gold, who owns a film and video production company, sometimes would play a game or two with them.
“It was kill, kill, kill, blow up something, and kill some more, all day,”
he said.

Read more here:
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/community/broward/article200754714.htm


20 posted on 02/20/2018 8:01:07 AM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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