The India-Pakistani Conflict... some background information-

various links | 5-25-02 | backhoe

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Nuclear Bttt^

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The India-Pakistan Crisis and Chinese Strategy

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Indian Navy prepared for battle at 4 hrs' notice

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Heritage's Center for Media and Public Policy Details Nuclear Scenarios		6/04/02

Millions of Americans are learning more than ever before about the terrible consequences of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan, thanks to an incredibly sophisticated computer model made available to journalists by The Heritage Foundation's Center for Media and Public Policy.

As a result, in recent days viewers of Fox News, CNN and ABC's This Week saw incredibly detailed graphic depictions of the deaths and destruction caused by nuclear strikes against such cities as Pakistan's capitol, Islamabad, and India's capitol, New Delhi.

Readers of The Washington Times saw similar graphics in a front-page story last week, and a host of other major newspapers are also preparing stories using the computer model.

The computer model made available to journalists by the Media Center is a version of the Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) system used by the Pentagon's Defense Threat Reduction Agency.

Possible Nuclear Conflict Scenarios:

Pakistan uses a nuclear device on attacking Indian army

India and Pakistan trade attacks on border

India attacks Pakistani capital

Pakistan attacks Indian capital

The Pentagon agency uses CATS to assess the likely harm that would be done by a nuclear, chemical or biological attack on any point on the globe, including deaths and injuries, commercial and residential property damage and environmental effects. Besides population and property impacts, CATS considers real-time weather conditions and a host of additional factors in its projections.

Besides modeling nuclear strikes, CATS can simulate biological attacks using agents like anthrax and chemical agents such as Sarin gas that was used in the Tokyo subway attack several years ago. The software can also be used to model natural disasters such as earthquakes and hurricanes.

The Times report, Scenario of Nuke Strikes Weighed,

Factoring in weather conditions, the size and type of the nuclear missile used, the population at the target site, and the delivery method employed, the software produces detailed tallies of the likely casualties at ground zero, as well as the projected damage from nuclear fallout.

For the United States, the CATS analysis can give a virtual block-by-block assessment of a nuclear, chemical or biological warfare attack, including strategic sites and public infrastructure likely to be destroyed or disabled.

After the Times report appeared, broadcast media requests pored in to the Media Center. Reporter George Stephanopolous of ABC's "This Week," for example, used Heritage's computer models to simulate the damage from some specific "war games" scenarios.

Among the scenarios used by the ABC program were strikes aimed at ground troops; tit-for-tat targeting of cities; with a progression up to capital (highly-populated) cities; and then an all-out nuclear exchange in which both sides use all of their weapons.

Similarly, CNN used the CATS scenario to report the following:

Computer modeling done by The Heritage Foundation shows that if India hit the Pakistani capital of Islamabad with its largest nuclear device, a 43-kiloton bomb, the initial blast would kill 107,000 people and extend two miles. Fallout would be lethal for about 3.3 miles from ground zero. Of course a Pakistani nuclear strike on New Delhi would cause similar devastation and inevitably the death toll would grow as tens of thousands more died of radiation poisoning, disease and starvation in the weeks and months after.

Threat analysis conducted by Dexter Ingram of the Center for Media and Public Policy at The Heritage Foundation.

 

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India has wafer-thin military edge over Pakistan : Indian Military High Command

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Not welcome news:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/743834/posts?page=6#6

Pakistan to build two more nuclear power plants
THE HINDUSTAN TIMES ^ | September 03, 2002

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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1069814/posts
Top Pakistan nuclear weapons scientist admits transferring technology to Iran, Libya and North Korea
APNewsAlert | February 1, 2004
(Seems Dubya is right about the "Axis of Evil")

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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1073619/posts
US has the handle on Pak nukes: NBC (US takes control of Pakistani nukes)
The Times of India ^ | SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 08, 2004 12:05:56 AM | CHIDANAND RAJGHATTA, TIMES NEWS NETWORK

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 N-arms Pakistan has 50-90, India 55-115

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 Pakistan can produce 110 nukes a year (Bush's Fault™ !)

 US shocked at Pak anti-Christian books

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Atomic Histories I

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How we built the bomb(about India's nukes)

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BENAZIR BHUTTO killed in suicide attack. (Via JWF).

UPDATE: Big roundup here. Watch for further developments.

ANOTHER UPDATE: More here and here.

MORE: Some perspective from Bob Krumm:

 Her list of enemies has a common pedigree, with the usual suspects now taking credit.

Allah points to graphic photos and video of the assassination scene, including this one taken just seconds before she was shot as she stands in an open vehicle campaigning. More here.

Arnaud de Borchgrave - Pakistani suspects galore (Benazir Bhutto assassination)

Nukes in Pakistan

Pakistani nukes already under US control: Report

 

US has secret plans to safeguard Pakistan's nukes

 

Bush handed blueprint to seize Pakistan's nuclear arsenal

 

Pakistan Nuclear Security Questioned: Lack of Knowledge About Arsenal May Limit U.S. Options

 

Pakistan warns against nuclear weapons grab

 

Ceding the Fall of Pakistan-Will a nuclear weapons arsenal fall into terror's hands?

Pakistani nukes already under US control: Report

 

US has secret plans to safeguard Pakistan's nukes

 

Bush handed blueprint to seize Pakistan's nuclear arsenal

 

Pakistan Nuclear Security Questioned: Lack of Knowledge About Arsenal May Limit U.S. Options

 

Pakistan warns against nuclear weapons grab

 

Ceding the Fall of Pakistan-Will a nuclear weapons arsenal fall into terror's hands?

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Thompson on Pakistan: 'This is a war we're engaged in'--this is why I support Fred, and no other.

He is a statesman.

The rest are posures'...

Is a 'nightmare scenario' possible?

 

The India-Pakistani Conflict... some background information-

 

An NRO Symposium held this morning. 

Also Jihad Watch has an interesting profile on both Bhutto and Pakistan.

Target: Pakistan -- Losing in the West, the jihadis hit Pakistan, with its nuclear prize.

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A little Doomsday bttt^

India has tell-tale evidence of Pak connection, say agencies [Sat Phone Linked to Pak's ISI]“Obama’s new found facial tick is about to get a whole lot worse “