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Analysis of Anthrax Letters and Envelopes [Atta Did It?]
InstaPundit.com ^ | June 19, 2002 | Glenn Reynolds

Posted on 06/20/2002 5:58:10 AM PDT by aculeus

[Glenn Reynolds writes on his blog] A READER WHO PREFERS TO REMAIN ANONYMOUS forwards this chunk from a memo to the FBI regarding last fall's anthrax mailings:

UNQUOTE

Analysis of Anthrax Letters and Envelopes

Executive Summary

The letters were written and sealed prior to September 11 by Mohammed Atta. The letters to the Post and Brokaw were given to one individual or organization to mail. The letters to Senators Leahy and Daschle were given to another individual or organization to mail. These individuals did not know the contents of the letters nor whom the letters originally came from. The anthrax was smuggled into the U.S. by one of the September 11th hijackers and represents all the anthrax smuggled in at that time.

Support for Analysis

Sometimes things are just what they seem to be. The letters are all dated 09-11-01. It is not unlikely that they could have been written on September 10th by someone who knew the plans for September 11th and dated the letters accordingly. It is likely that the letter on display on the FBI website that begins "You can not stop us." was the first one to be written. The size of the printing is smaller and thus indicates a more tentative approach to the message writing and the message.

What is particularly noticeable by its absence is any significant celebratory nature in these letters. Had they been written after the events of September 11, it seems highly likely that they would have made much more of the outcome of the events. "Allah is great" is just a standard expression to close with. "You die now" can be read several ways, but it is hardly the equivalent of, e.g., "Now thousands more die." "This is next" is really a very weak threat when juxtaposed to the events of September 11, especially considering the quantity of anthrax sent out.

If there had been more anthrax available, its most effective use would have been a massive simultaneous mailing. A staggered mailing puts people on alert and diminishes the effect of the effort. If they had more, it should have been sent out all at once. If they had surviving operatives that they could trust, all four letters would have been sent out together. A check of the weather in the Trenton/Philadelphia area on September 10 shows a trace of rain, just the amount reflected by the running of the ink on the Daschle envelope and the likely clumping of the powder inside. The letters, sealed in their envelopes, were likely transported that day as part of a bundle of other mail to be sent out and given to someone or some company to mail, with the bottom of the Daschle envelope sticking out slightly. Since no one has come forward about this, it is likely that they were delivered to this person or place in a manner that would not have caused anyone to remember the source of these bundles. It is likely that the letters were divided between two bundles that were sent to two different places just to help guarantee that a least one set was sent out. It is also probable that someone at a distance (overseas) knew of these mailings and two kinds of anthrax were being evaluated for effectiveness. The reason more anthrax was not available was that this attack was secondary to the airplane hijackings, that their most trusted people were involved in this primary effort, and that they felt secure in bringing in such a small amount of anthrax without risking these operatives, but more might have jeopardized the primary operation. It thus follows that the likely smuggler of the anthrax was on one of the planes on September 11.

Why was Atta the likely writer?

Obviously, from the media reports he was the leader of the 19 hijackers and thus in the best position to know what was going on and the one most likely to be entrusted with the anthrax. But further, especially if one gives merit to the suggested sequence of the writing of the letters, the Brokaw and Post letter singular because they are the same letter) were written last. The writer at that point would be more certain of his message and what he was doing. The writing is more open and widely spaced, indicating that he is more at ease with what he is doing.

At that point it is not unlikely that knowing the next day was his last and that this was his last "public" statement that he might contemplate his place in history and have a desire to claim credit for his role. Thus a search of this letter for signs of that are not as much of a stretch as one might think. So what do we see in it? The initial block letter in the message is a "T" that has extra strokes in it. The same with the start of the second line. The same with the start of the last line. In fact, based on the limited quality of the copy available on the FBI website, there are several other letters that have extra strokes (an extra boldness). All of them appear to be A's and T's. They of course are all the letters needed to spell ATTA. It could have been subconscious. The capital D's that start the other lines of the letter show no extra strokes. Also this letter seems not to be written with a felt-tip pen, and thus might yield more information based on the pressure of the various strokes of the pen -- but this cannot be determined from the website example. . . .

It would be hard at this point, but if people in the greater New York/Philadelphia area are asked to remember any bundles of mail to be mailed that they received by an out-of-the-ordinary source on or around September 10, it might be useful. . . .

There are other areas of interest in these letters that might give up a clue or two -- such as the downhill slant of the writing, how the "1" was made, how the "4" was made, the spelling of "penacilin" and the warning including it, the absence of periods on one of the letters, the presence or absence of fingerprints on the letters and particularly on the envelopes, how the letters were folded, etc., etc., etc. -- but most of these would be aided by a direct conversation and better copies of the letters and envelopes than are available on the website. Also, there is the matter of the letter not posted on the website. Perhaps it is simply a photocopy of the other letter, but if it is different, there could be something to be learned by it.

UNQUOTE

I'm not sure about this -- but I remember a flurry of information about the likelihood that Atta and some of the other 9/11 hijackers actually had anthrax symptoms at the time of the hijacking. We certainly haven't heard much on this subject lately.


TOPICS: Anthrax Scare; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
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To: aculeus
Of course this is what a lot of us here have believed for a long time. Interesting to see it appear elsewhere. What's instapundit.com?
21 posted on 06/20/2002 7:43:21 AM PDT by aristeides
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
As Henry Gibson used to say on Laugh In..."Very interesting"

That was Arte Johnson.

22 posted on 06/20/2002 7:54:30 AM PDT by trad_anglican
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To: John H K
Why should I believe this is ACTUALLY from an FBI document?

ACTUALLY it isn't. It is from a letter TO the FBI by some unidentified person.

23 posted on 06/20/2002 8:00:54 AM PDT by aculeus
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To: aristeides
What's instapundit.com?

It's a web log (they're called blogs) maintained by a netizen. It's one of the best.

Check it out.

24 posted on 06/20/2002 8:03:30 AM PDT by aculeus
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To: Mitchell
Of course I have no idea whether this post truly describes an FBI memo ...

As noted it is not "an FBI memo". It was sent to the FBI by someone who is not identified.

25 posted on 06/20/2002 8:06:10 AM PDT by aculeus
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
Here ya go :-)


"veeeery interesting...."

Boy... did I ever get off the subject of this thread... sorry.

26 posted on 06/20/2002 8:16:32 AM PDT by Mike-o-Matic
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To: shezza
Menawhile, the homegrown, treasonous left has decided to play the "homegrown terrorist" card -- and play it and play it and play it:

Calling Agent Frank Black: Anthrax, Millennium, and the Dr. Strangelove of the American Left

27 posted on 06/20/2002 8:22:43 AM PDT by mrustow
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To: trad_anglican
See the link in #27, and then this:

Dr. Strangelove Strikes Again -- in Scotland! Hunting America's Leading Anthrax Hoaxer

28 posted on 06/20/2002 8:25:23 AM PDT by mrustow
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To: aculeus
As noted it is not "an FBI memo". It was sent to the FBI by someone who is not identified.

You're right. Thanks for the correction (and for posting the article in the first place).

29 posted on 06/20/2002 8:36:47 AM PDT by Mitchell
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To: steve50
How did Atta get his hands on the quality of stuff that was sent to Daschle?

He could have gotten it from his buddy Saddam. He has the capability of making high quality anthrax.

30 posted on 06/20/2002 8:44:56 AM PDT by Intimidator
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To: Semper Paratus
The DOM character's name was Tyrone Horneigh. The old maid was played by Ruth Buzzi and her character's name was Gladys Ormphby.

Gilda came along in the later era of Saturday Night Live.

God, what trivia owneth my brain!

31 posted on 06/20/2002 8:59:44 AM PDT by Erasmus
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To: Erasmus
The old maid was played by Ruth Buzzi and her character's name was Gladys Ormphby.

DOH, I confused Gilda and Emily Latilda with Ruth Buzzi-"Never Mind".

32 posted on 06/20/2002 9:04:56 AM PDT by Semper Paratus
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To: Mitchell
Ah...saw "memo" which implies internal communication within an organization, and thus missed it being described as TO the FBI.

If you or I wrote to the FBI with my analysis on a case, it's not a MEMO, it's a LETTER written by a random crank with delusions of grandeur.

So why letters to Daschle and Leahy? Leahy, outside the US, is not a high-profile figure, and neither of the two are the most pro-Israel Senators. And apparently not even an attempt to get a letter INSIDE the White House or Pentagon, or anywhere in the Executive Branch(kind of odd to attempt to crash a plane into it but to not bother trying to get anthrax in, if it's the same attackers.) Making it LOOK like a domestic right-winger, like OKC, supposedly? Then why a letter that doesn't attempt to make it look like a domestic right-winger?
33 posted on 06/20/2002 9:08:19 AM PDT by John H K
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To: Intimidator
I wasn't aware Saddam had the capability to do the electro static charging to prevent clumping.
34 posted on 06/20/2002 9:09:08 AM PDT by steve50
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To: aculeus
if people in the greater New York/Philadelphia area are asked to remember any bundles of mail to be mailed that they received by an out-of-the-ordinary source on or around September 10, it might be useful. . . .

One of these "people" might be dead: Kathy Nguyen, the Manhattan ENT Hospital clerk. The only explanation thus far for her death is a hazy cross-contamination theory that miraculously affected no one else. She was so innocuous as to be invisible -- a perfect unsuspecting and unsuspected courier (and, of course, women are very dispensable to Islamists).

35 posted on 06/20/2002 9:28:19 AM PDT by browardchad
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To: aculeus
Anthrax = Islamic Terrorism

Any scenario other than Islamic terrorism means ALL of the following are just coincidences.

SERIOUS CONNECTIONS

- The most serious bioterror attack in America began only days after 9-11

- The letters all mention standard Islamic catch-phrases.

- Florida Dr. Tsonas treated Ahmed al-Haznawi for a severe leg lesion in late June.
  Dr. Tsonas is now convinced it was cutaneous anthrax.

- Two Johns Hopkins biodefense experts (Dr. Thomas Inglesby, Dr. Tara O'Toole) agree with Tsonas.

- FL hijackers inquire about crop-dusters and dispersal characteristics of chemical loads.

- Atta attempted to obtain a loan to buy a plane and convert it into a chemical transport.

- Moussaoui, the "20th hijacker", had tech info on airliners, crop-dusters, and wind patterns.

- Mohamed Atta went to a drugstore with red, chemical-burned hands mid-2001.
  Druggist thought Atta was suffering from exposure to a chemical with basic pH, possibly bleach (used to kill anthrax).

- Allah Rakah, detained by FBI, for placing suspicious bag of letters in his car with FL license plates

- Atta met twice with Colonel Muhammed Khalil Ibrahim al-Ani, a "very senior" Iraqi 'Special Ops' agent.
  (one report says the Czechs confirmed they had video...spycraft SOP)
  (Another report claims that a vacumm bottle was passed to Atta during the meeting)

- Ziad Jarrah also met with an Iraqi agent in 2001 in the UAE.

- Marwan al-Shehhi also met with an Iraqi agent in 2001 in the UAE.

- Iraq is the ONLY hostile country known to have succeeded in weaponizing anthrax

- Iraq conducted military exercises simulating the dispersal of anthrax spores from crop-dusters

- Chemical and biological weapons are effectively dispersed from crop-dusters

- The terrorists had two operational hubs: Hamilton, New Jersey and Delray, Florida. Anthrax was found in both areas.

JUST COINCIDENCES??

- The wife of the Sun tabloid's editor rented two apartments to two hijackers In Florida.

- Marwan al-Shehhi went to Huber Drugs (with Atta) with severe chest congestion.
  The pharmacist sold him a bottle of Robitussin initially, and later antibiotics.
36 posted on 06/20/2002 9:40:14 AM PDT by My Identity
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To: John H K
If you or I wrote to the FBI with my analysis on a case, it's not a MEMO, it's a LETTER written by a random crank with delusions of grandeur.

Speak for yourself! Maybe if you wrote such a letter... (but even I wouldn't say that -- I disagree with you, but I don't think you're a random crank). Are you really suggesting that everybody who writes a letter to the FBI is a random crank? (Not that there aren't some, of course.)

I do agree that it should have been called a letter, not a memo, of course. It's just an analysis by a blogger (there's nothing wrong with that -- that's what it is).

So why letters to Daschle and Leahy? Leahy, outside the US, is not a high-profile figure, and neither of the two are the most pro-Israel Senators. And apparently not even an attempt to get a letter INSIDE the White House or Pentagon, or anywhere in the Executive Branch(kind of odd to attempt to crash a plane into it but to not bother trying to get anthrax in, if it's the same attackers.) Making it LOOK like a domestic right-winger, like OKC, supposedly? Then why a letter that doesn't attempt to make it look like a domestic right-winger?

No, I don't think the terrorists' knowledge of domestic politics is sophisticated enough for that to have been the rationale. Sen. Daschle is the leader of the Senate, and Sen. Leahy has an important committee chairmanship. As for the White House, they thought it was going to be destroyed -- why would they plan on sending anthrax there? They wanted to attack both the executive and the legislative branches, and they did, in two different ways (although I still think the anthrax mailings may have been more of a threat than an attack).

37 posted on 06/20/2002 9:41:20 AM PDT by Mitchell
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To: steve50
"I wasn't aware Saddam had the capability to do the electro static charging to prevent clumping."

The Iraqi bioweapons lab reportedly developed a process that passed anthrax spores across a bed of bentonite, which deionized the spores.

This particular process was said to be unique to Iraq.

38 posted on 06/20/2002 9:46:11 AM PDT by okie01
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To: Mitchell
I believe there has been sufficient publicity about Hollywood and Wall Street donors to democrats, plus Clinton involvement in Israel negotiations, to brand them in Arab eyes as representatives of Jewish interests.
39 posted on 06/20/2002 9:47:06 AM PDT by thucydides
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To: browardchad
One of these "people" might be dead: Kathy Nguyen, the Manhattan ENT Hospital clerk. The only explanation thus far for her death is a hazy cross-contamination theory that miraculously affected no one else.

It's not that unlikely -- Ottilie Lundgren was another completely isolated case.

But there is another theory regarding Nguyen. Ed Lake has pointed out that when the missing letters from CBS News and ABC News were thrown out, anthrax spores must have been thrown willy-nilly into the garbage. Kathy Nguyen might have been contaminated by anthrax spores blown out of a garbage truck carrying those spores, or possibly from a dumpster.

I don't agree with Ed's theories in general, but this seems like a possibility for Kathy Nguyen.

40 posted on 06/20/2002 9:47:46 AM PDT by Mitchell
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