FINAL ZOGBY POLL RESULTS- INCLUDES POLLING FROM TONIGHT

ZOGBY

[KsSunflower]

I think I heard that unless the Sununu race is outside the margin of error, that he wouldn't release numbers.

[deport]

He has GA as a Dem win, not Rep.....

[sissyjane]

This 401-K junk makes me wonder about this poll. It sounds pretty strange.Also find it hard to believe that he eliminates undecideds completely.Does he always do this the night before an election? Anyone know?

[SHKMAN1212]

Also doesn't take into account LA becoming a run-off...picking up MO combined with Ventura's move today will give Republicans a clear majority during the lame duck session and if the Dems try any funny biz it could hurt them in the LA run-off...still think GA and MN could go GOP, but picking up MO and SD are just huge victories if they come to fruition.

[Crossbow Eel]

Zogby is guessing on the turnout so his numbers may be wrong !

WE won't know until this time Tuesday and maybe not even then !

[frmrda]

What I would really like to see is the numbers from tonight alone in MN and GA. This is a "tracking" poll, with numbers from 3 consecutive nights added in. If there is a "trend" for the GOP from tonights polling (especially in MN) GA and MN could easily be pickups, and CO could be a hold. Time will tell. And not muchlonger.

[paul544]

Can anyone tell me how these compare to his results from yesterday?

[rlbedfor]

the economy, now 401k's. if you have a 401k and you vote for a dem, you are an idiot.

[Optimist]

Hutch and Carnahan lose. That's a wash

Oh contrare....
A decisive Carnahan loss means a quick certification of Talent to the senate and up to 2 months of a GOP majority before the entire elected slate takes its oath. Two months of Republican leadership, regardless of results of all other races, to push (through committees and onto the floor) Bush's agenda and judicial nominees.

[jdege]

MN's not in play.

Mondale doesn't have a chance.

Or scratch that - Mondale only has a chance if we see significant voter fraud.

But the MNGOP is fielding a significant poll watching effort for the first time in its history.

[rwfromkansas]

EVen if we did lose one seat, historically that would be something for the record books.

I am hoping the state polls are more accurate for MN and Colo.

[Timesink]

Zogby doesn't really matter much tonight, special sauce or not. Things are simply too close to call in too many races, and not even The Mighty Zog can produce polls with 0.0% MOEs the night before the election. It's all going to be about turnout, any last minute efforts (the Minnesota debate, new attack ads, etc), and how many undecideds vote for our side ... and most of those types literally don't make up their minds until they're actually in the voting booth staring at their choices.

[The South Texan]

"Behind the Numbers: When Undecideds are not eliminated and leaners are not factored in the race stands at: (Cornyn 46%, Kirk 42%, Williams 1%, Jameson 1%, Wright 1%, Undecided 9%). Kirk now leads Cornyn among Dallas voters (62% - 38%) when days ago Cornyn led (48% - 45%). Cornyn leads among voters in Houston (53% - 43%), in the West (65% - 33%), and in the Central region (57% - 39%). Kirk leads among voters in the South (60% - 19%). Kirk leads among Democrats (86% - 13%) while Cornyn leads among Republicans (87% - 12%). Kirk leads among Independents (45% - 41%) when last month Cornyn led (40% - 36%). Cornyn leads among whites (68% - 30%) while Kirk leads among Hispanics (58% - 27%) and African Americans (91% - 9%)."

Sorry Zogby, but your Texas poll is full of special sauce. How could Kirk in a few days erase a 3 point Cornyn lead in Dallas to 24 pint Kirk advantage. Maybe it the polls focused on Dallas only, but not the metro area. Sauce? Oh yea poor it on Zogs!
And there is no way that Kirk has a 60%-19% advantage in even Rat infested South Texas. Just no way. Maybe 50%-30, but not 60%-19%.

[KsSunflower]

Yeah, it's a wash according to Zogby, with NH and GA left to be seen. It seems that NH has been sounding good and that Georgia just may pull it out.

AFter seeing the GA debate the other night, I can't even believe it is this close! Chambliss kicked it!

[Howlin]

Do you really believe that?

[ladyinred]

I can't stand this!
NJ and Minn. what are you thinking?
I thought Mondale had taken a dive after the memorial rally?
Sheesh, we need the Senate!

[jwalsh07]

My understanding is that the last Repub Senator elected in New Jersey was some guy name Cliffor Case in the early 70's. Am I wrong on that?

[comebacknewt]

If Zog is right, then we need "upsets" in two of the following states to regain the Senate:

Colorodo

Georgia

Minnesota

New Hampshire

Louisiana

If we win one of these and all else holds, it is a status quo election. If we win two or more, we win back the Senate.

Under either scnario our performance would be almost unprecedented!

[StockAyatollah]

Forget the polling data. Its going to be close. The only things that matter:

1.) Do the rats have enough free packs of cigarettes and bottles of Boone's Farm to bribe the homeless?

2.) Can some rat judge keep the polls open long enough in St. Louis to allow the rats to vote late and often?

3.) Will illegal Haitian immigrants be able to put down ther voodoo dolls long enough to go out and vote rat?

[SamAdams76]

Not mentioned here is the NH race in which Zogby has already called for Sununu on various outlets tonight.

A much different picture than just a few days ago when many pollsters were expecting the 'Rats to pick up anywhere from +1 to +3 senate seats. Now it appears that the worse case scenario is for the GOP to pick up +1 (not including the almost certain run-off in LA). Personally, I think +5 (including LA) is within our grasp. I think Mondale can be beat in MN. I think Allard can pull it out in CO and that Hume will win SD. Chambliss has an excellent shot in GA. Sununu now seems safe in NH. And it is certainly within the realm of possibility for Forrester and Hutchinson to pull off major upsets in NJ and AR, but even if that is not the case, the GOP can still have a very good night. All we have to do is get out there and make it happen!

The three governor races I am really watching is Massachusetts, New York and California. It appears that Romney could very well be a big winner tomorrow night. He has a lot of momentum here in Massachusetts and his advertising has finally gotten aggressive and is successfully painting his opponent Shannon O'Brien as the tax and spending hack that she is. Guiliani came into town tonight for Romney and there was a big rally in the North End of Boston. Huge crowds! As well, there are Romney lawn signs everywhere in suburbia with nary an O'Brien sign to be seen.

In New York, I would love to see Golisamo come in second and relegate the 'Rats to the third space on the ballot. (Pataki is a shoo-in.)

In California, it would be the frosting on the cake if Simon can pull it off. But if the GOP gets the senate and Romney wins in Massachusetts, my night will already be made!