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Saddam,Arafat 'gone in a year'
The Advertiser ^ | 11-9-02 | Abraham Rabinovich

Posted on 11/09/2002 5:35:12 PM PST by hope


Saddam, Arafat 'gone in a year'
By Abraham Rabinovich
09nov02

MIDDLE East powerbrokers Saddam Hussein and Yasser Arafat will depart the international stage in the next 12 months, according to Ephraim Levy, the recently retired head of Mossad, the Israeli secret service.

In interviews granted to Israeli newspapers yesterday, Mr Levy said the US would not be deterred by international pressure from dealing with the Iraqi leader.

"They will press home the confrontation until the end," he predicted. "And then there will really be a new Middle East."

He also said Palestinian leader Mr Arafat would disappear from the stage "one way or another" in the coming year.

"The year 2003 will be the most fateful for Israel since its establishment (in 1948)," he said. "It will bring rare opportunities and rare dangers."

Iran constituted a serious threat to Israel, but there could be a regime change there too in the next two or three years, he said.

Mr Levy, 68, retired two weeks ago after 41 years with Mossad, the past five as its head. He immediately assumed a new task as head of Israel's National Security Council at the request of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.

Mr Levy assessed the chances of Osama bin Laden being alive as 50-50. He gave high marks to al-Qa'ida's professionalism as a terrorist network.

"They were able to blow up two American embassies in Africa simultaneously, they demonstrated a high measure of professional ability, they are an efficient and dangerous organisation."

The organisation's attacks on the US on September 11 last year marked the opening of the "third world war", he said.

"We're just at the beginning. I believe this war will last longer than the two others."

A positive result of the Palestinian intifada, according to Mr Levy, is that Arab countries no longer blindly support the Palestinians as they have in the past.

"They have come to the conclusion that they are in no way willing to leave their own future or their relations with other countries, including Israel, hostage to one man (Arafat) or one movement," he said.

"They understand that they can be harmed by continuation of the Palestinians' policy."

Mr Levy cited the case of the Palestinian militants in Bethlehem who took refuge from Israeli troops earlier this year in the Church of the Nativity.

The Saudis took a leading role in forcing Mr Arafat to accept the exile of the militants to Europe to bring the episode to an end, he said.

"This is something very deep in the Saudis consciousness today, not to let the Palestinians determine the future of the region."

            © Advertiser Newspapers Ltd



TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Israel
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/09/2002 5:35:12 PM PST by hope
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To: hope
Why is this writen as if the writer was gazing into a crystal ball at a county fair?
2 posted on 11/09/2002 5:46:18 PM PST by RS
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To: RS
Why is this writen as if the writer was gazing into a crystal ball at a county fair?

You are wrong! It was tea leaves.

3 posted on 11/09/2002 6:36:21 PM PST by MedicalMess
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To: hope; archy; TEXASPROUD; Travis McGee; harpseal; Jeff Head; razorback-bert; piasa; SLB; pocat; ...
Two weeks retired from the mossad ? I'd say his "spectulation" is worthy.........

Stay Safe !

4 posted on 11/09/2002 8:34:53 PM PST by Squantos
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To: Squantos
What does he know anyway? He only spent 41 years in the Mossad, and only the last 5 as director.
5 posted on 11/09/2002 9:03:47 PM PST by Travis McGee
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To: RS
Why is this writen as if the writer was gazing into a crystal ball at a county fair?

Maybe becasue you're getting it from the horse's mouth.

6 posted on 11/09/2002 9:07:52 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: Squantos; archy; TEXASPROUD; Travis McGee; harpseal; Jeff Head; sauropod; Fred Mertz; ...
My bet is for one last fling for both Saddam and Arafat - commonly called a funeral.
7 posted on 11/10/2002 5:59:05 AM PST by SLB
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To: Squantos
Interesting predictions,and like your said, he probably knows more about what really is happening than any other single individual.
8 posted on 11/10/2002 9:36:12 AM PST by TEXASPROUD
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To: 2sheep; Nix 2; Thinkin' Gal; babylonian
FYI
9 posted on 11/10/2002 7:31:30 PM PST by Fred Mertz
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To: hope
The organisation's attacks on the US on September 11 last year marked the opening of the "third world war", he said.

"We're just at the beginning. I believe this war will last longer than the two others."

Not so good. 1914-1918, 1939-1945.

10 posted on 11/10/2002 7:37:49 PM PST by xJones
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To: Squantos; Yehuda
Two weeks retired from the mossad ? I'd say his "speculation" is worthy.

I'd say that no better than the Mossad and ShinBetniks have done in stopping the murder attacks within Israel, his replacement was overdue, sorta like replacing our INS and Border Patrol directors. Accordingly, his speculation *may* be worthy, or may be sour-grapes tears intended to give his former political superiors a little heartburn.

But I suspect that if Saddam and Osama aren't provably gone in a year or so, Bush's reelection chances will be.

-archy-/-

11 posted on 11/11/2002 9:44:03 AM PST by archy
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To: Travis McGee; jmeadors
What does he know anyway? He only spent 41 years in the Mossad, and only the last 5 as director.

During which the Mossad was caught bungling an assassination by poisoning in Jordan, Israel's Prime Minister [Rabin] was himself assassinated by gunmen who penetrated three rings of the victim's security detail, Israeli intelligence operative mike Harari was allowed to conduct his narcotics operations worldwide, including his association with Panama's Noriega and his activities in arranging the deaths of American military personnel who got in his way, though Harari had previously [1973] botched an Israeli hit on a supposed Arab terrorist in Norway in which a Moroccan waiter was killed by mistake.

And, of course, Israeli intelligence agencies have been spectacularly unsuccessful in preventing the deaths of Israeli citizens and military personnell during the attacks of the last two years.

Of course, if he spills the details on the attack on the USS Liberty and the Vince Foster intelligence penetration and murder, both of which took place while he was serving with *The Organization*, that might be interesting....

12 posted on 11/11/2002 9:57:53 AM PST by archy
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To: archy
Can't argue with your list. But what do I know? Zip.
13 posted on 11/11/2002 5:06:14 PM PST by Travis McGee
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To: archy
ouch!
14 posted on 11/11/2002 9:52:27 PM PST by Yehuda
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