Skip to comments.Another pollster says Senate race still too close to call
Posted on 11/28/2002 11:11:39 AM PST by Jack Bauer
BATON ROUGE -- The boisterous U.S. Senate campaigns fall quiet today while the nation pauses for Thanksgiving, but it won't be completely without an event.
U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu was scheduled to serve for a photo op during Orleans Sheriff Charles Foti's Thanksgiving dinner but planned to remain with family in New Orleans. Blocks away in the Uptown section of New Orleans, Republican Suzanne Haik Terrell planned to cook for Thanksgiving with her family.
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.
In another development, a third pollster said Louisiana's U.S. Senate race remains a showdown, too close to call.
New Orleans pollster Ed Renwick, who questioned
600 voters Nov. 20-23 of this past week for WWL-TV in New Orleans, called it "a very tight race."
When factored to reflect racial demographics of registered voters, Renwick found
45 percent favoring Landrieu, 31 percent for Terrell, 3 percent for neither, 14 percent saying they don't know and 8 percent refusing to say, even though they had a choice.
But when Renwick adjusted it to show blacks as 25 percent of those who actually vote -- a historically reliable percentage -- his poll showed Terrell ahead at 51 percent.
That reflects similar findings released Tuesday by Verne Kennedy of Marketing Research Institute in Pensacola, Fla., who put it at 46 percent for Terrell and 42 percent for Landrieu on the assumption that black voters would comprise 23 percent of those who vote Dec. 7.
"It is kind of the worst-case scenario for Landrieu," Renwick said. "We have an extremely close election. The turnout differential of only a few points of either race could change the outcome."
"All kinds of things could happen," Renwick said. "We don't have the president in there. I think that will give Suzie a little bump. I don't know whether it will last through the election."
Renwick did detect higher interest in the runoff than in the primary election among those polled. "I wouldn't be surprised if you didn't see 60 percent of the voters turnout," he said.
Breaux, one of those voters interested in Landrieu's re-election, also said his sense of the race is that it is very close. He conceded that black turnout is the major factor in the election's outcome.
"It is a Saturday election," he said. "That is better for our side."
Whose airplane is he doing all this flying in? Are the taxpayers still paying for that bastard to fly all around? I have a hard time picturing him and all his SS agents going through airport security,or even associating with the common "tourist class".
97 ain't the one sleeping with her.
Yet more proof Juan Williams is an idiot. I just heard him subbing on the Beltway Boys saying that Clintoon would be at today's game, which Southern won 48-24.
By August 8th, the human outbreaks were STILL limited to the Louisiana area and neighboring states. Then it mushroomed due to migratory birds that had spread it in the spring from Louisiana, along the Mississippi and Ohio river migration paths throughout the midwest... [CDC numbers]
Louisianans become convinced this could only have been a deliberate terrorist attack.
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