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1 posted on 11/28/2002 11:11:39 AM PST by Jack Bauer
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To: Jack Bauer
Bump and a prayer for Terrell to win.
2 posted on 11/28/2002 11:34:10 AM PST by I_Love_My_Husband
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To: Jack Bauer
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.

According to the Washington Prowler, Landrieu actually commissioned a poll to determine if the positives of x42 campaigning for her in the black community outweighed the negatives he would have on her among white voters. I think we can take an educated guess what that poll said.

3 posted on 11/28/2002 11:50:38 AM PST by ABG(anybody but Gore)
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To: Jack Bauer
Bad news:

Forecast for New Orleans on Dec. 7 (Weather Channel 10 day forecast) Partly cloudy, no chance of rain, high 63 low 47.
4 posted on 11/28/2002 12:11:26 PM PST by PAR35
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To: Jack Bauer
45 percent favoring Landrieu, 31 percent for Terrell, 3 percent for neither, 14 percent saying they don't know and 8 percent refusing to say, even though they had a choice.

But when Renwick adjusted it to show blacks as 25 percent of those who actually vote -- a historically reliable percentage -- his poll showed Terrell ahead at 51 percent.

This is very ambiguous. He reports Landrieu leading 45/31 - a huge gap of 14 points. But if adjusted to assume blacks making up 25% of the electorate, he says that Terrell is ahead at 51%.

But is that 51% a prediction of what she would actually get on election day? In other words, does it make assumptions as to how the 22% of voters who failed to express a preference would vote?

If so, Terrell's edge is slight. But if it's 51% with 22% undecided, then Terrell in fact would have a huge lead.

I actually went to the original article on the WWLTV web page, and things are not really clarified. Here is what it has to say:

"Renwick says that it is important for Landrieu to get out the black vote.

“If the black vote was somewhat below the white vote percentage wise, in other words if instead of 29 percent it (the black percentage of votes) was 25 percent, then Suzie Terrell would win with between 51 and 52 percent, so turnout is very critical,” emphasized Renwick."

My best guess is that the pollster is predicting that if blacks make up 25% of the electorate, Terrell will get 51% on Election Day.

Of course, Pres. Bush has not made his scheduled visit, and that could very easily be good for another few percentage points!

5 posted on 11/28/2002 12:13:45 PM PST by governsleastgovernsbest
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To: Jack Bauer
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student

Please vote in our instant FR poll.

I believe Bill Clinton's primary goal in flying to London is:

A. To spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student.
B. To spend time with a willing bimbo he met on a previous visit to Chelsea.

6 posted on 11/28/2002 12:19:02 PM PST by governsleastgovernsbest
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To: Jack Bauer
I saw the 51% to 34% poll, that did not make me happy, then I saw the 75% Bush approval/like the guy poll, that made me happy. All thats needed here, is Bush and Cheney to make a few stops between now and election day down in Louisiana along with Trent Lott talking about needing access to the white house for at least one senator from Louisiana. Then Terrel will win easy. I don't think she's gonna lose this one, unless the RNC really just doesn't care.
8 posted on 11/28/2002 1:46:18 PM PST by Sonny M
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To: Jack Bauer
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.

HAH!

In other words, the 'rats have realized that having Slick Willie on their side hurts, not helps, them.

The Hildbeast must be steaming. Her presidential chances are going down the drain.

9 posted on 11/28/2002 2:18:38 PM PST by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Jack Bauer
This race is winnable by the good guys.

Let's get President Bush down there and do what he did for Chambliss and others.
12 posted on 11/28/2002 3:20:26 PM PST by No dems 2002
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To: Jack Bauer
Wow! What a day December 7th is going to be. Pearl Harbour day, Run-off election, my lil girls birthday (3 y/o)...I hope it turns out perfect when Terrell kicks Brown Roots butt.
13 posted on 11/28/2002 4:06:07 PM PST by chemicalman
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To: Jack Bauer; I_Love_My_Husband; ABG(anybody but Gore); PAR35; governsleastgovernsbest; RJayneJ; ...
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.

Yet more proof Juan Williams is an idiot. I just heard him subbing on the Beltway Boys saying that Clintoon would be at today's game, which Southern won 48-24.

30 posted on 11/30/2002 3:22:59 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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