Attack on North Korea Betting Pool

AmericanInTokyo ^ | 26 December 2002 | AmericanInTokyo

[AmericanInTokyo]

It seems like an attack on North Korea could come in the next year or so.

Place your bet as to when the attack will begin.

Whoever gets closest to the date and time wins.

Attack time must be specified in Month, Day, and Year

For specifying any hour, don't forget to specify what time zone you are referring to.

There is no decision on a prize to be awarded yet except for bragging rights.

(with thanks to Freeper Momaw Nadon).

[Uncle Miltie]

July 4th, 2029. When Kim dies, the NK military sues for peace. Starving NK refugees flood South across the mined border with 15% casualties.

Until then, we wait. Bill Clinton let this nuclear cat out of the bag, and millions more North Koreans will pay for it by starving to death. We will build a strong box, and they will rot within it.

Damned shame, that.

[bert]

There will be no attack

China and Japan will resolve the problem.

[AmericanInTokyo]

thanks.

thread: bookmarked.

IMHO, it'll pick up speed/intensity in the future, my guess, there will be a few less jokes and more specificity on the predictions... :-)

[Forgiven_Sinner]

Interesting topic. I'd rather error too early than too late. Let's say May 15, 2003, at 12 am Pyongpyang time.

[Maynerd]

I am usually an upbeat kind a guy, but this NK thang looks grim. I think we will have to take it out prior to the NK recovering plutonium from the reactor rods. I pick 2/12/03.

[thoughtomator]

Never. The Chinese have far more reason to prevent NK from being actively nuclear - it's no secret that country can fall apart at basically any time, and any missile that can reach the US can hit anything in China.

This stuff about NK is a tempest in a teapot. Let's get our troops out of the South and let the local powers handle the fruitcakes. By the time NK can reach us with missiles we will be able to shoot them down. Time to let the heavy hitters over there clean up their own neighborhood. China wants to be taken seriously as a global player? Let's give them the chance to show what they would do about a lunatic with nukes on their border.

[Mr. Mojo]

I hate to be so negative, but can we take a bet on how many Allied cities get nuked? I say two American

They don't have the delivery system - ICBMs - necessary to get the warheads over here.

[thoughtomator]

China is deterrable - they have something to lose. And if they're busy dealing with a failed and starving nation with a nuclear-armed crackpot at the helm, that's resources that might otherwise go to plotting against us. Win/win situation IMO.

[gcruse]

I agree with bert. We can't attack NK without going to war with China. If anyone pulls the rug from The Great Leader, it will come at the hands of the PRC.

[notdownwidems]

June 25, 2003...if I recall that's the date the commies charged across in 50!
dk

[riri]

The time is never for reasons cited above.

I am afraid, I am with you. And I will go a step further. I predict we have 3 more rogue nuclear powers by Summer 2004. Most likely-Iran. Possibly Syria and some other 3rd world Islamic hellhole.

[Timesink]

February 5, 2003. Around noon EST. In other words, right around the time we become fully engaged in battle with Iraq. That's when NK will try something stupid, using the "Americans no longer have enough military to fight two wars at once" gambit. And NK will discover they're wrong.

[Husker24]

Were not going to attack North Korea at all.

[section9]

Were not going to attack North Korea at all.

No, we are not.

Why should we? An attack on North Korea, presumably led by American aircraft using precision guided munitions, would not be overwhelmingly successful. The North Koreans have become master miners, and have built important installations into their mountain ranges. There are places that JDAM's simply could not reach.

All it takes is one North Korean missile to get through and vaporize Shibuya or Yokosuka and we'd be in seriously deep shit diplomatically.

See, Kim Jong-Il is going down on his own. His "demands" are part of a shakedown operation. He thinks he can scream and shake his fist and that Bush will react just as Clinton did. Kim doesn't know who he's dealing with.

Basically, we've told him to go f%#k off. Kim can't stand that. He watched daddy buffalo Jimmy Carter and the Toon, and believes the same scam will work again. We're going to pursue this diplomatically. The North Korean regime has to come a cropper sometime, and it will probably be sooner rather than later.

No attack on NK. We don't need to.

Be Seeing You,

Chris

[Maynerd]

" Let's get our troops out of the South and let the local powers handle the fruitcakes. By the time NK can reach us with missiles we will be able to shoot them down. Time to let the heavy hitters over there clean up their own neighborhood. China wants to be taken seriously as a global player? Let's give them the chance to show what they would do about a lunatic with nukes on their border."

Unfortunately, there is a flaw with the otherwise appealing isolationist approach - PROLIFERATION. NK will sell anything to anybody. They are desperate for cash. I am skeptical an embargo would be effective. Barring an unlikely diplomatic breakthrough (NK capitulation) only military options remain.

[zarf]

I think a move to remove troops from SK is a wise move. It will force the brats in SK to put up or shut up. They need to pull the weight of their own national defence.

It may force them to deal realistically with the North, and crack down on this Northern instigated Anti-Americanism.

[Maynerd]

I agree 100%. Unfortunately, such a move does not address the potentially catostrophic proliferation issue.

If NK nukes any of its neighbors, its a tragedy but it aint us. However, if NK sells a bomb to Al Qaida buh bye NYC.

[sushiman]

I say nail the sods NOW before they have the capability of reaching mainland USA . If the NKs manage to get off a bomb to Seoul or Shibuya , hey , it's better than one hitting NY or LA , right ? Screw world opinion and the U.N.