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To: sarcasm
"It's the worry du jour. But it's been going on for hundreds of years," said Tucker Hart Adams, a regional economist for U.S. Bank.
Not on this scale, not this quickly.

"No one knows what will replace these jobs," (DU Economist) Clouse said.
Finally, an honest economist.

I've got four scenarios:
1. Gloom & Doom - Massive foreign outsourcing (and h1b/illegals/etc.) leads to massive U.S. unemployment, less tax revenues, massive debt & foreclosure, banks failing, ending in a huge worldwide economic depression. Prison will look like a free ride.

2. Downward ratchet into Socialism - Dem's pick up on problem and propose more welfare & assistance, job re-training, bigger gov't, etc. Move towards the England/France/German model.

3. Outsourcing fails - pool of overseas software development talent not quite as good as anticipated. Many big bets by big corporations on big projects fail. Economic advantage turns to strategic threat (strategery, I love that word). Many big corps bite the dust.

4. A New Economy Emerges - American entrepreneurial spirit emerges as thousands, millions of new small businesses emerge, making America a great place to live. These form the basic business dynamic for the rest of the century (hey, a guy can dream) (note to self - entrepreneur is a French word - oh, my, goodness).

Here's my new term for scenario 1 (you heard it here first!) - Middle-Class Holocaust.

47 posted on 08/03/2003 6:51:09 AM PDT by searchandrecovery (America will not exist in 25 years.)
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To: searchandrecovery
The only hope for IT people is for some new invention like nano-tech or something to lead to a new "new economy" burst of manufacturing and jobs. The problem is that this will bubble for about 2-3 years and have to be replaced with something grander because all the nano-tech jobs will be again outsourced to China and India.

I get all warm and fuzzy at the thought of China having access to laser weapons and nano-tech systems and such just a brief time after we've invented them.
54 posted on 08/03/2003 7:15:20 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (Putting government in charge of morality is like putting pedophiles in charge of children.)
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