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End of an Era
sci.space.policy | September 12, 2001 | Rand Simberg

Posted on 09/12/2001 4:14:50 AM PDT by NonZeroSum

They blew their wad.

The grounding of the nation's air fleet can be lifted--it's safe to fly again.

Whoever committed this heinous crime yesterday did do the world at least one favor. In a single day, they ended the four-decade reign of fear over aircraft hijacking.

Forever.

This incident didn't result from a breakdown of security--no one had weapons that the security system looks for. The reason, and the only reason, that the perpetrators succeeded in their diabolical plot was that they had the element of surprise.

Prior to September 11, 2001, aircraft hijacking was something to be prevented if possible, but if it wasn't possible, the hijackers were people to be cooperated with until they could somehow be brought to justice, in order to save plane, crew and passengers.

This attitude allowed men armed, apparently, with only knives, to commandeer an aircraft in which they were massively outnumbered, by threatening or killing individual passengers and crew. To save those people, everyone went along, at least on three of the four planes.

Had those passengers been aware of the ultimate purpose of those hijackings, they would have failed--the hijackers would have been overcome and subdued, if not killed, by passengers and crew desperate to save themselves and their plane.

The paradigm has permanently shifted. From this day forward, passengers will now be aware that there are worse things than letting hostages die in an aircraft.

Whoever did this screwed it up for all future hijackers, regardless of their purpose. A similar scheme will not succeed today, or tomorrow, or any time that the flying public retain memories of what happened yesterday.

No need to change procedures--the potential victims themselves have changed, fundamentally, and will be victims no more.

Let the aircraft fly.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
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An interesting viewpoint. Perhaps we can lift the fleet grounding sooner than we thought. Every day of delay increases the backlog and chaos of trying to rebook passengers.
1 posted on 09/12/2001 4:14:50 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
There has got to be a way to isolate the cockpit from the passengers. Even a locked steel door would work. If the hijackers know that the pilots are ordered to land the plane safely at the destination, three guys with box-cutters won't stand a chance against 80 passengers.
2 posted on 09/12/2001 4:27:39 AM PDT by CHIEF negotiator
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To: NonZeroSum
Self bump...
3 posted on 09/12/2001 4:27:45 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: CHIEF negotiator
There was another thread somewhere which said that a strong door endangers the plane in the event of an sudden depressurization..that's why the barrier can't be too strong...
4 posted on 09/12/2001 4:30:29 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: CHIEF negotiator
Both options are correct. We don't need to devolve into a police state. Stop the fatal error of "Victim Compliance". Resolve to fight. The problem has been solved.
5 posted on 09/12/2001 4:32:29 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: ken5050
A steel cage then. Or how about three guys with box-cutters against 10 women with pepper-spray?....or, the pilots could flood the cabin with sleeping gas?
6 posted on 09/12/2001 4:33:45 AM PDT by CHIEF negotiator
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To: CHIEF negotiator
The objective should not be to attempt to re-engineer the entire air travel system.....which IMHO is an impossibility, but rather to immediately, and massively, strike back against the terrorist who did this and the nations which harbored them......
7 posted on 09/12/2001 4:58:26 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050
The objective should not be to attempt to re-engineer the entire air travel system.

The point of the piece is that there is no need to do so. The existing system will be much more effective now, because the terrorists have reengineered the attitudes of the public. For at least the next few days or weeks, the response of airline passengers and crew to a hijacking will be not fear, but rage.

8 posted on 09/12/2001 5:01:22 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
So how many Americans will fly again before we have some confidence that the events of yesterday will not be repeated ?


BUMP

9 posted on 09/12/2001 5:07:17 AM PDT by tm22721
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To: tm22721
So how many Americans will fly again before we have some confidence that the events of yesterday will not be repeated ?

I think that the point of the piece was to get people thinking, and rebuild that confidence. According to another thread, the fourth plane that went down in Pittsburgh was a failure for exactly the reason that the passengers found out the plan, and took it down themselves. Now that the cat's out of the bag, any further hijacking attempts will be futile. There may be one or two more before hijackers realize this, but once they do, hijacking will end.

As I said, the reaction of passengers to a hijacking today, as opposed to Monday, will be not fear, but rage. The paradigm has shifted.

10 posted on 09/12/2001 5:22:09 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
Bump again...
11 posted on 09/12/2001 6:26:57 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: CHIEF negotiator
The best solution would be to eliminate the pilots altogether and delegate the aircraft to a computer. The flight control software for this already exists. You can no more hijack a programmed aircraft than you can commandeer an elevator.
12 posted on 09/12/2001 6:34:53 AM PDT by wretchard
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To: wretchard
You can no more hijack a programmed aircraft than you can commandeer an elevator.

The unhackable computer hasn't been designed yet...

13 posted on 09/12/2001 6:40:34 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
Bump again... Let the aircraft fly.
14 posted on 09/12/2001 7:17:55 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: wretchard
You can no more hijack a programmed aircraft than you can commandeer an elevator.

Uh, I "commandeer" elevators all the time. Of course, given that they generally only run on a track that's no longer than the distance between top and bottom floors, I can't exactly go very far in them. But it's their limitted range, rather than their semi-automated control, which makes them not generally be attractive to hijackers.

15 posted on 09/12/2001 7:25:18 AM PDT by supercat
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To: NonZeroSum
Another airline-saving bump...
16 posted on 09/12/2001 7:48:07 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
And another...
17 posted on 09/12/2001 8:42:14 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: NonZeroSum
And another...
18 posted on 09/12/2001 8:43:53 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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To: tm22721
So how many Americans will fly again before we have some confidence that the events of yesterday will not be repeated ?

I'm booked on flights next week for a Board meeting. My mom is already trying to convince me to drive. I've not made a decision. But if travel is still bad, I'm assuming the meeting will be postponed.

19 posted on 09/12/2001 8:47:39 AM PDT by Ward Smythe
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To: mike2right
My mom is already trying to convince me to drive.

That's irrational (yeah, moms are like that). Air travel will be safer next week than it has been in years.

20 posted on 09/12/2001 9:17:32 AM PDT by NonZeroSum
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