34 Senators will be up for election in 2002

This table is corrected from the last one I posted.

How in the world South Dakota can give Geo Bush a 23% margin and still vote in two RAT senators is beyond any reasonable logic.

For the Senate vote to select the leader, having a RINO is hands down better than a RAT.

Out of this list, the probabilities support the ouster of Carnahan, Landrieu, Johnson, and Cleland, while Collins and Smith are particularly vulnerable for the R's. Johnson & Cleland's states went heavily for Bush yet have no Republican senators...people will notice that in '02, but alot has to do with who the R's are running. It's easy to pre-gloat about future wins based on the presidential showing, but it doesn't do any good if you shoot yourself in the foot by running a Michael Huffington or equivalent.

Carnahan will suffer from the Mosely Braun syndrome and be tossed out, and Johnson & Landrieu share the same predicament as Cleland. I don't see Baucus losing, he's been there a long time and has support in the eastern half of the state. Likewise, I don't see Domenici falling, either, for the same reasons. This can turn out well, but the base cannot be slacking off on election day for yet another election.

"yellow indicate potential flip to DemocRAT" Good color choice. Here's a chant from our Condit freeps: "He's not a blue dog; he's a YELLOW DOG!" For victory & freedom!!!

--as a former resident here is my opinion: South Dakota has been a near 50-50 state in the past. This year, the decent people, including lots of Demo's, came out and voted massively against Clinton clone Gore. Hopefully, the actions of Tom D'Aschole will cause the same reaction in '02 and '04--

Thanks for these charts! I don't think incumbents are as vulnerable as you suggest, however. Some people I know vote for Republicans for President, yet vote Democrat for everything else. Being from GA, I can tell you that Max Cleland is very popular, despite voting with Sen Kennedy more than he does the GOP, and will probably get re-elected. Same for Daschle and Landrieu (on the latter, I saw an article that said a Republican was raising money for her; must not be an overly bright Republican). If your math was correct, Baucus of Montana would also be dethroned, but he will probably return as well. Unlike us junkies, regular people in the street are incredibly stupid (they think Dems stand for the "little guy," that the GOP only represents the rich, etc), and with the Leftist media drumming that into their empty heads non-stop, you begin to get the picture. Anything is possible, but for a Presidental party in power, the first midterm election is not landslide territory (Reagan in 82, Clinton in 94). Let us hope I'm wrong about 2002.....

Carnahan will suffer the Mosely-Braun Syndrome only if the fraud can be stopped in Saint Louis.
Thank God enough of us rural people voted for Bush to offset the dead people and pets voting in Saint Louis.

Well, I don't believe Smith is going beat Sununu, so that is water under the bridge. Who is challenging Collins that would make her vulnerable?

Carnahan will suffer from the Mosely Braun syndrome and be tossed out

As a Missourian I hope and pray that you are right, If I am correct, I think Jim Talent is running against the widdow Carnahan.

She has been keeping a low profile since the election, except for the one vote "against" John Ashcroft for Atty. Gen. Whom she beat out for the Senate seat by virtue of the pitty-vote generated for the week-old corpse Mr.C. I still am Fumming over the shennanigins pulled by the Dems in STL on election eve to keep the poles open longer to perpetuate more voter fraud, I am convinced had this not happened John would have won that seat, but in hindsight God may have been at work?

ftm

Better have the Missouri Court of Appeals in session when the polls close in case another incompetent (or corrupt) judge decides to rule to keep the polls open in only one part of the State again...

With Gramm out Texas will have an open seat.... The democrats appear to be having a hotly contested primary with 3 or 4 candidates in the race. It is questionable at this time that a hotly contested primary will occur in the Republican Primary as some of the previous mentioned candidates have indicated they won't run. All in all it should still be a win for the Republicans, I'd think.

Louisiana still hasn't gotten a strong Republican candidate to challenge Landrieu as far as I can tell...

Who are some of the other Senators who will not be running this year, any ideas?

I hope the Repubs are grooming a decent candidate in each state where they have a chance, and if not just pull a carpetbagger into the slot the way Hillary! did last year.

HW, Think SD is bad, watch Maine vote in Dem replacement for Collins and watch Dem John Baldachi get elected Gov.
Maine is fast becoming home to all the liberals, the rest of us are packing up and moving out...

Getting rid of Tim Johnson in SD should be a piece of cake, except how in hell can these people vote so heavily for Bush and still send to Democraps to the Senate? I hope they have a good candidate in the Repub corner.

If this $hit happens again, it is only our fault. We were put on strong notice last year about deviant MO Dem politics, and tactics in WI and other states. We better set up strong counter offensives now.

For the Senate vote to select the leader, having a RINO is hands down better than a RAT.

I dunno.... sometimes it's better for satan to be ugly - - he's easier to recognize that way.
RINOs (like Jeffords was) turn my stomach more than nearly any rat, except maybe for pukes like Leahy and Boxer.

Think SD is bad, watch Maine vote in Dem replacement for Collins

I think Collins is liberal enough to be safe.
Maine is such a pretty state, too. I wonder, where do all the liberal parasite Democrats come from?

The ONLY reason a RINO beats a RAT is during the moment when they vote for Senate leader.

If the RINO intends on getting any Republican money, backing, support or committee positions, the senator MUST vote the party for Senate leader. This is the only reason a RINO beats a RAT, but it is a big one.

Jeffords felt he had to renounce his Republicanship so he could remove his vote for the Republican Senate leader candidate.

Thurmond for sure..... There was talk of Helms, and maybe Thompson, not running.... I'm not sure where they stand at this time. And Bob Smith in NH will have a strong challenge it appears from Sununu

I like Sununu, he would be a great Senator. He is intelligent, commanding, and vocal.

He would skewer liberals into a nice shish-kebob. Those are made out of sheep aren't they?