Posted on 12/08/2001 1:25:38 AM PST by JohnHuang2
The warhawks who had been demanding we use Sept. 11 as an excuse to invade Iraq and depose Saddam Hussein have changed their tune. Now they are demanding that we use Saddam's refusal to allow UN inspectors back in Iraq as an excuse to invade Iraq and depose Saddam Hussein.
Lately, the warhawks have been parading around a 1996 Iraqi defector named Khidhir Hamza. Hamza claims that after the Israelis bombed the Osiraq nuclear reactor in 1981, the Iraqis set out to build 400 uranium-235 enrichment facilities, disguised as farmhouses. The warhawks claim that Saddam threw the International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors out in December 1998 so they wouldn't find all those farmhouses. They claim that if Saddam doesn't let the IAEA back in then, under UN Resolution 687, we have the right to go in and destroy all those farmhouses.
Well, almost all of that is wrong. UN Resolution 687 doesn't give them that right. And the IAEA inspectors responsible for seeing to it that signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty don't develop nukes on their own were in Iraq in January of 2001, saw everything they asked to see, and reported back that Iraq was in full compliance with its obligations as an NPT signatory.
To make an unsophisticated nuke, you need maybe 50 Kg of uranium-235. At the time of the Gulf War, Iraq had 12.3 kilograms of 93 percent uranium-235, contained in fuel supplied by the French for the Osiraq research reactor, but never used, since the Israelis destroyed the Osiraq reactor in 1981, just before it was to begin operation. The IAEA verified as recently as January of this year that the fuel was intact and that Iraqis had not extracted any of the uranium-235. Furthermore, they looked for and didn't find any uranium-235 enrichment activities.
Now, in the aftermath of the Gulf War, much to their surprise, the IAEA inspectors did find near Tarmiya the ruins of a large building with an associated 100 mwe power plant that was intended to house 70 first-stage and another with an associated 40 mwe power plant that was to house 20 second-stage calutrons. Nearby, there were large chemical-processing plants and associated cooling towers. A similar complex was under construction elsewhere in Iraq. However, when destroyed, neither complex was yet operational, and Iraq may never have been able to produce the tens of kilograms of uranium-235 needed to make a nuke. It is estimated that Saddam spent more than $8 billion on the calutron program that was utterly destroyed in the Gulf War.
A calutron is essentially a modified cyclotron a metal vacuum chamber about six feet in diameter inserted between poles of electro-magnets, which are also about six feet in diameter. The uranium-235 used in our first few nukes was produced by calutrons. We had more than 1,600 of them operating for a short time at Oak Ridge. Partial enrichment of uranium is achieved in the large first-stage, and higher enrichment is achieved in a separate second-stage calutron, which is about half the size.
In operation, less than 10 percent of the uranium winds up on the small "collectors" the rest getting plated out on the inside of the vacuum chamber. So, after about a month of operation, a calutron is usually shut down, disassembled and the 90 percent that didn't make it to collectors chemically recovered. Calutrons were terribly messy, inefficient and expensive to build and operate and very energy intensive. So, as soon as gaseous diffusion cascades began operating at Oak Ridge in 1945, all of the calutrons were shut down. A few calutrons have since been built and operated in a number of Western countries, but for isotope separation not for enriching uranium
So, there was nothing secret about calutrons, nor were there any export restrictions on the materials or components needed to build one. According to post-Gulf War reports by the IAEA, after the Israelis bombed Osiraq in 1981, the Iraqis just went out and bought what they needed. By 1986, they had a research calutron operating at the Tuwaitha Nuclear Research Center near Baghdad. By 1990, they had eight calutrons operating but not very well at the Tarmiya complex. These developmental calutrons had been shut down for modifications when the Gulf War broke out.
Now, back to the warhawks and their defector, Khidhir Hamza. Since the Gulf War, could the Iraqis have secretly built 400 calutrons, disguised as farmhouses? Well, perhaps, but they would be easy for the IAEA inspectors to spot. You see, each farm would also have on it a one to two megawatt oil-fired power plant, complete with oil storage tanks, a cooling pond and/or cooling towers.
Good! The Sooner the Better!!
No Iraqi involvement in 9/11? Look at this thread: Suspected Foreign Terrorists Nabbed in Philippines .
That's your evidence of Iraqi involvement in 9/11? That's the best you can do? Sorry. Underwhelming, like all of the cooked up evidence against Iraq. If anything it is we who are guilty...of bombing Iraq continuously for ten years for no reason and without any authority under 687.
Reasons? We don't need no steenkin'reasons.....we be the baddest bully on the planet.
The war machine is terrified because there seems little left to bomb in Afghanistan and they are desperate to find new places to bomb. Even the Mossad say there is no Iraqi involvement in 9/11, so they are making up new reasons.
The funniest (in a sick way) thing about Afghanistan that no one says, is that the whole thing has been a total failure. We have bombed the hell out of a third-world country, forced a change of government -- and the whole reason we started this thing is as far away as when the first bomb fell. The people who bombed us have gotten away, leaving only an innocent country bombed to oblivion by the United States. Tell me, how is this a victory? We have not gotten any of those responsible for the attack, but have managed to spend already several billion tax dollars. Lockheed-Martin is thrilled, but I hoped for a little more for my money. I guess no one else out there cares a whit if their money is wasted bombing helpless nations while the bad guys slip away in the night...
The good news is we got the Kyber pass, half the Unocal pipeline route from the Caspian, a great fortified position for a base from which to protect it (Tora Bora), and the opium crop will resume unhindered!
This means we achieved all our real objectives.
8 years of socialist self-beating and repent to rogues and billions of dollars in loans and concessions and all they did was prosecuting terror against us that has gotten us hell. Iraq is hosting terrorists and its terror making capability has to be stopped. THere is no stopping the inevitable. Good must become temporarily evil and terrifying for good has little left to sustain itself with as its political capital has been eroded even while conducting generous policies. Only the iron can provide for much needed overdue redress.
The question is can we do it? Do we have the guts for what it takes? I sure hope so because this next world is going to be very unforgiving as it will seek to democraticaly acquire nukes all the while displaying the same hostility. We are facing a dark future in front of long time declared and unrepenting enemies.
The good news is we got the Kyber pass, half the Unocal pipeline route from the Caspian, a great fortified position for a base from which to protect it (Tora Bora), and the opium crop will resume unhindered! This means we achieved all our real objectives.
Yep, you about covered all the bases. Good analysis. And the "bad guys" mysteriously got away.
America has been cornered by terror and America should never repent for seeking destruction of terror hosts who cannot be capable of hosting legitimate dissent and ideological self criticism in their own midsts.
Here's a clue, dude: Iraq didn't do it. I know it is difficult to comprehend, but it is objective fact. If anyone is the terrorist, it is the United States, who have been bombing Iraq continuously for ten years. Meanwhile, those wonderful Kuwaitis who we defended (while they partied away the nights in the discos of Europe) just give us the finger by way of thanks.
And your rationale for attacking Iraq is...?
Iraq is hosting terrorists
Bullsh*t. Prove it. The Mossad says no. I suppose you know better than them?
We will get both and more. Either that or we are going to erode to terror faster than the 50 minutes it took for that tower to fall down. There is no refuge for America in the current conditions of a radicalisation of the third world. Who are we going to trust to protect us from terror when even Saudi Arabia is now hosting enemies? Europe? What a joke, Europe not only decolonised but now is being colonised by North Africa. Russia? China? America is more alone today than it ever was. Diplomatic hostility abounds while we are under attack.
There is no looking back. The falling towers were a Pearl Harbor of dozens loosely organised terror states from the third world. It's a hydra monster that has to be dried up of both funds and war fighting capabilities.
That means taking out the terror brains produced by our new knowledge economy and warfare age.
My guess is you are a 50-something armchair warrior, depressed as hell because you terrify no one in real life. So you get your rocks off barfing out big-man war talk on the internet. No chance you will get your ass shot off bombing a nation that has NEVER attacked us.
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