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Keyword: 2006polls

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  • Democrats Have No Right To Be Snooty About Rush Not Wanting the President to Succeed

    03/09/2009 7:05:48 PM PDT · by mfnorman · 16 replies · 1,109+ views
    Let’s put aside arguments about Rush Limbaugh for the time being and recognize that he’s undeniably right about this: Were the liberals out there hoping Bush succeeded or were they out there trying to destroy him before he was even inaugurated? I think we all know the answer to that — but here’s some hard proof. Reader jimboster passes along a 2006 poll (.pdf) that proves the point. Check out question 10 — and pay particular attention to how the answers break down by party:
  • Crystal Ball 2006: THE PREDICTIONS

    11/02/2006 8:52:38 AM PST · by finnman69 · 147 replies · 4,312+ views
    Center for Politics ^ | 11/2/06 | Larry Sabato
    www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball Crystal Ball 2006: THE PREDICTIONSCampaigns Clamor for Last-Minute Midterm "Mo"Larry J. Sabato and David WassermanU.Va. Center for PoliticsNovember 2, 2006 Just how Democratic a year is 2006? Five days out, let's rephrase the question this way: when's the last time a major political party has failed to capture a single House seat, Senate seat, or governorship of the opposing party in a federal election year? We bet it's never happened before, and it certainly hasn't happened in the post-World War II era. After all, even when a party suffers miserable net losses, it usually picks up at least several...
  • Political Scientists Say Democratic Control [of House] a "Near Certainty"

    10/25/2006 11:59:44 AM PDT · by Torie · 154 replies · 3,432+ views
    Political Wire ^ | October 25, 2006 | Taegan Goddard
    In a new research paper, three political scientists attempt to use the results of generic congressional polls to predict the outcome of the midterm elections. "Via computer simulation based on statistical analysis of historical data, we show how generic vote polls can be used to forecast the election outcome. We convert the results of generic vote polls into a projection of the actual national vote for Congress and ultimately into the partisan division of seats in the House of Representatives. Our model allows both a point forecast-our expectation of the seat division between Republicans and Democrats-and an estimate of the...
  • IREY CAMP: TRIB-REVIEW 'POLL' DOESN'T PASS THE SMELL TEST

    10/12/2006 4:56:26 PM PDT · by smoothsailing · 35 replies · 1,534+ views
    Diana Irey for Congress ^ | 10-12-06 | Press Release
    IREY CAMP: TRIB-REVIEW 'POLL' DOESN'T PASS THE SMELL TEST Thursday, October 12, 2006 (MONONGAHELA, October 12) -- Irey for Congress general consultant Bill Pascoe -- responding to the release of a suspect survey in today's Pittsburgh Tribune-Review -- today released the following statement: "Today's Tribune-Review contained a report on a 'poll' with suspect methodology and even more suspect results. No one interested in the race between Jack Murtha and Diana Irey should be fooled into thinking this race is actually where this 'poll' says it's at -- unless, of course, the interested person is a Jack Murtha supporter, and his...
  • Survey USA poll in South Carolina's 5th district: Spratt up 14

    10/12/2006 6:11:43 PM PDT · by okstate · 5 replies · 869+ views
    Survey USA ^ | 12 October 2006 | Survey USA
    John Spratt (D) 56% Ralph Norman (R) 42% Undecided 2% 408 Likely Voters, +/- 4.9 MOE
  • FOX News Poll: Few Would Change Vote Due to Foley Scandal

    10/12/2006 12:03:23 PM PDT · by Henry Wilson · 29 replies · 1,018+ views
    Fox ^ | 10/12/06
    NEW YORK — There has been little change in the past two weeks regarding intentions for the upcoming congressional election; by a 9-point margin, voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress over the Republican if the election were held today, compared with an 11-point margin two weeks ago. Only 11 percent of voters say the congressional page scandal will be extremely important to their vote, although nearly half see the scandal as part of a larger pattern of Washington abuse of power rather than an isolated incident. These are just some of the findings from the...
  • New Survey USA poll in Missouri has Talent down 9

    10/12/2006 2:29:39 PM PDT · by okstate · 29 replies · 1,325+ views
    Survey USA ^ | 12 October 2006 | Survey USA
    Democrat McCaskill Pulls Ahead of Talent in MO, U.S. Senate Seat May 'Flip': In an election for United States Senator from Missouri today, 10/12/06, Democratic challenger Claire McCaskill leads Republican incumbent Jim Talent 51% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSDK-TV St. Louis and KCTV-TV Kansas City. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll 4 weeks ago, on 9/14/06, McCaskill has gained 3 points and Talent has lost 5 points. McCaskill's advantage has grown from 1 point to 9 points. The election is in 26 days, on 11/7/06. Most of the movement in the race comes from Independent...
  • 32 new House polls from Majority Watch/Constituent Dynamics

    10/12/2006 1:26:25 PM PDT · by okstate · 145 replies · 3,479+ views
    Majority Watch ^ | 12 October 2006 | Constituent Dynamics
    All polls were taken from October 8th to October 10th. (Sunday through Tuesday). Polls have between 963 and 1069 likely voters EACH. The margin of error on the polls is between +/- 2.9 percent and +/- 3.1 percent. ARIZONA 1STRick Renzi (R) 46%Ellen Simon (D) 50% CALIFORNIA 4THJohn Doolittle (R) 52% Charles Brown (D) 44% COLORADO 7THRick O'Donnell (R) 47% Ed Perlmutter (D) 47% CONNECTICUT 5THNancy Johnson (R) 52%Chris Murphy (D) 46% FLORIDA 13THVern Buchanan (R) 44%Christine Jennings (D) 47% IOWA 2NDJim Leach (R) 47%David Loebsack (D) 48% IDAHO 1STBill Sali (R) 46%Larry Grant (D) 43% ILLINOIS 6THPeter Roskam (R)...
  • Poll: Murtha has big lead (Murtha up 27 points)

    10/12/2006 11:43:40 AM PDT · by okstate · 95 replies · 3,859+ views
    Pittsburgh Tribune-Review ^ | 12 October 2006 | Robin Acton
    With nearly four weeks to go before the Nov. 7 election, a poll commissioned by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review shows incumbent U.S. Rep. John P. Murtha holding a strong lead over his GOP challenger, Washington County Commissioner Diana Irey. If the election were held today, the Johnstown Democrat would coast to an 18th term in the 12th Congressional District, according to results of the poll conducted Oct. 7-8 by Susquehanna Polling and Research in Harrisburg. Murtha leads Irey 57 percent to 30 percent, according to the survey of 400 voters. Eleven percent of those polled were undecided, 1 percent said they...
  • Poll: Brown has slight lead over DeWine in Senate race (DeWine down 14, Blackwell down 28)

    10/12/2006 10:45:20 AM PDT · by okstate · 88 replies · 2,339+ views
    WKYC-TV Channel 3 ^ | 12 October 2006 | WKYC
    A SurveyUSA poll finds Democrat Sherrod Brown leading incumbent Republican Mike DeWine. In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, 10/12/2006, Brown defeats DeWine, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WYTV-TV Youngstown. Brown, who represents Ohio's 13th District in Congress, unseats DeWine, 54% to 40% in a vote today. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll 9/21/06, Brown has gained 2 points and DeWine has lost 2 points. Brown's lead has grown from 10 to 14 points. Male voters still prefer Brown by 1 point, but Brown's lead among women has grown from 19...
  • Congressional polls offer mixed results (Chocola down 1 or 16, depending)

    10/12/2006 10:21:20 AM PDT · by okstate · 14 replies · 596+ views
    South Bend Tribune ^ | 11 October 2006 | James Wensits
    A new Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee poll showing Democrat Joe Donnelly leading incumbent U.S. Rep. Chris Chocola, R-2nd, by a 16-percentage-point count "has no basis in reality," according to a Chocola source. The poll results, released amid reports that Democrats are pulling ahead in several races nationwide, were backed as accurate by the DCCC and embraced by the Donnelly campaign. "Joe Donnelly's winning," said DCCC spokesman Bill Burton. "It's clear from everything we're seeing that Indiana families are sick of what they see in Washington, and that's what we're seeing in these polls." But Burton cautioned that the race is...
  • New Rasmussen poll in Tennessee finds Ford leading by 2 points

    10/12/2006 10:15:59 AM PDT · by okstate · 46 replies · 1,289+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 12 October 2006 | Scott Rasmussen
    Harold Ford, Jr. (D) 48% Bob Corker (R) 46% Undecided 5% 500 Likely Voters, Survey Conducted on October 10th
  • Rasmussen poll finds Menendez up 4 in New Jersey

    10/12/2006 10:12:53 AM PDT · by okstate · 29 replies · 1,039+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 12 October 2006 | Scott Rasmussen
    Bob Menendez (D) 44% Tom Kean, Jr. (R) 40% Undecided 15% 500 Likely Voters, Survey Conducted October 10th
  • Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race (Quinnipiac poll)

    10/11/2006 5:42:55 PM PDT · by okstate · 129 replies · 2,810+ views
    Quinnipiac University ^ | 11 October 2006 | Quinnipiac University
    October 11, 2006 - Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say U.S. Is Losing The War In Iraq In the Florida Senate race, Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson has a commanding 61 - 33 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris among likely voters, including leaners, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent are undecided and 18 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind in the next four weeks. Sen. Nelson leads Rep. Harris 56 - 31 percent among registered...
  • Palin (R) leads by 7 in new Rasmussen poll of Alaska Governor race

    10/11/2006 5:39:29 PM PDT · by okstate · 12 replies · 782+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 9 October 2006 | Rasmussen Reports
    Sarah Palin (R) 47% Tony Knowles (D) 40% Undecided 13% 500 Likely Voters Survey conducted October 9th
  • Rasmussen poll finds Perry ahead 13 points over Strayhorn

    10/11/2006 5:36:14 PM PDT · by okstate · 35 replies · 1,012+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 11 October 2006 | Scott Rasmussen
    Rick Perry (R) 34% Carole Keeton Strayhorn (I) 21% Chris Bell (D) 19% Kinky Friedman (I) 18% 500 Likely Voters Survey conducted October 9th
  • Lieberman ahead of Lamont by 13 points in new Survey USA poll

    10/11/2006 5:31:38 PM PDT · by okstate · 21 replies · 1,038+ views
    Survey USA ^ | 11 October 2006 | Survey USA
    Joe Lieberman (I) 53% Ned Lamont (D) 40% Alan Schlesinger (R) 4% Other/undecided 2% 572 Likely Voters +/- 4.2% MOE
  • Virgil Goode leading by 16 points in Virginia's 5th Congressional District (Survey USA)

    10/11/2006 5:28:19 PM PDT · by okstate · 10 replies · 652+ views
    Survey USA ^ | 11 October 2006 | Survey USA
    Virgil Goode (R) 56% Al Weed (D) 40% Oddo (IG) 4% Undecided 2% 502 Likely Voters MOE +/- 4.4%
  • Mary Fallin (R) up 29 points in race for Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District (Survey USA)

    10/11/2006 5:24:52 PM PDT · by okstate · 8 replies · 590+ views
    Survey USA ^ | 11 October 2006 | Survey USA
    Mary Fallin (R) 62% David Hunter (D) 33% Woodson (I) 3% Undecided 2% 435 Likely Voters MOE +/- 4.7%
  • Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 50% Santorum (R) 37% (Rasmussen)

    10/10/2006 4:34:34 PM PDT · by okstate · 89 replies · 2,177+ views
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10 October 2006 | Scott Rasmussen
    Republican Senator Rick Santorum continues to be the nation’s most vulnerable incumbent and has lost ground once again to Democratic challenger Bob Casey, Jr. Casey now leads the race, 50% to 37%. If undecided voters leaning toward a candidate are added to the mix, Casey leads 52% to 39%. We are now shifting this race from “Leans Democrat” to “Democrat” in our Senate Balance of Power summary. Santorum is the only Republican incumbent to have his re-election chances rated weaker than “Leans Democrat.” The weakest Democrat of 2006 is New Jersey’s Bob Menendez whose race with Tom Kean Jr. (R)...