Keyword: 2012polls

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  • Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call (R 47% O 47%)

    11/03/2012 9:22:32 PM PDT · by smoothsailing · 43 replies
    Pittsburgh Tribune-Review ^ | 11-4-2012 | Mike Wereschagin
    Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call by Mike Wereschagin Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m. President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows. The poll showed the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have begun to saturate the...
  • Romney Rises in Favorability; Obama’s Pushback is Intensity

    11/03/2012 10:42:50 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 21 replies
    ABC News ^ | 11-4
    After lagging for months at historic lows, Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has advanced in the final weekend to its highest of the 2012 campaign, rivaling Barack Obama’s. But Obama pushes back with greater enthusiasm among his supporters – and the race itself remains a tie. Fifty-four percent of likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll express a favorable opinion of Obama overall, the most basic measure of a public figure’s popularity. Yet 53 percent now see Romney favorably – a majority, remarkably, for the first time. It’s a dramatic gain for Romney, who emerged from the Republican...
  • WaPo-ABC tracking poll: all tied up as Romney draws even on favorability

    11/03/2012 9:21:36 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 29 replies
    President Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney are once again tied nationally with just days to go in the 2012 campaign, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. Among likely voters, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 48 percent. For the first time this year, the two contenders are also tied among political independents, with 46 percent apiece. Before this poll, Romney had been consistently ahead with these potentially critical voters. While Obama has evened the score with independents, the challenger has made gains of his own. Heading into Nov. 6, 53 percent of likely voters express...
  • Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up

    11/03/2012 9:26:08 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 45 replies
    Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day. The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points. Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are...
  • Pittsburgh Tribune poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call (47/47)

    11/03/2012 9:14:39 PM PDT · by Arec Barrwin · 25 replies
    Pittsburgh Tribune ^ | November 3, 2012 | Mike Wereschagin
    Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call By Mike Wereschagin Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m. Updated 11 minutes ago President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows. The poll showed the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have...
  • Poll: Maine Is On The Presidential Map; Romney Has Chance To Pick Up Key Electoral Vote

    11/03/2012 6:15:20 PM PDT · by Jet Jaguar · 9 replies
    PR newswire ^ | Oct 31, 2012 | N/A
    According to a new Kimball Political Consulting survey, Governor Romney has a chance to pick up an Electoral College vote in Maine, which could determine the Presidential election. Maine is one of two states, Nebraska is the other, that award electoral college votes based on the popular vote in their Congressional districts. Maine's 2nd Congressional district is polling 50% in support of Barack Obama and 45% in support of Mitt Romney with 5% undecided. According to the pollster, Spencer Kimball, "there are several indicators suggesting the President is not vulnerable to defeat." Kimball points out that the President is still...
  • Parsing the Polls [Why Romney Could Win By 5-10 points]

    11/03/2012 5:07:11 PM PDT · by Steelfish · 40 replies
    National Review ^ | November 03, 2012 | Michael G. Franc
    NOVEMBER 3 Parsing the Polls If Gallup is right, Tuesday will be a long night for the Democratic party. By Michael G. Franc Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead may be several percentage points greater than the most recent round of polls suggests. Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with “likely voters” conducted since October 1. Its conclusion: “The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking...
  • New Minnesota Poll: Romney 46%, 0bama 45%

    11/03/2012 5:02:48 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 141 replies
    New Minnesota Poll: Romney 46%, 0bama 45% NMB Research conducted a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in Minnesota from October 30-31, 2012. Twenty percent (20%) of the interviews were conducted with cell phone respondents. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 4.38 percent in 95 out of 100 cases.
  • Romney – Obama Dead Heat in Wisconsin, 2% Undecided — Rasmussen

    11/03/2012 2:09:09 PM PDT · by Steelfish · 31 replies
    Romney – Obama Dead Heat in Wisconsin, 2% Undecided — Rasmussen The latest from Rasmussen Reports in Wisconsin shows it is anybody’s race at this point: Wisconsin which may prove to be the key to the entire presidential contest remains a tie less than a week before Election Day. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama and Mitt Romney each earning 49% support. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. Wisconsin remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama carried Wisconsin by a 56% to 42% margin in 2008. The race in the...
  • Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 46% - Romney 46%

    11/03/2012 12:29:29 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 48 replies
    Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos national voting data shows the candidates exactly even on 46%. Other findings include: Over a quarter (27%) have already cast votes, which breaks down to 51% Obama vs. 44% Romney Almost a third (31%) have been contacted on the phone or in person by one or both of the campaigns The most important issues to voting are the economy and jobs, followed by healthcare, the deficit, and social issues. Independents especially prioritize economic issues like unemployment and the deficit These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2012....
  • Three Numbers That Could Hold the Key to a Romney Win

    11/02/2012 8:37:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Fox News ^ | November 1, 2012 | Chris Stirewalt
    “We’ve got to make people understand that what they’re seeing is not the real Mitt Romney.”-- President Obama’s top political adviser, David Plouffe, describing the president’s re-election message, according to top campaign advisers interviewed by The Wall Street Journal for the piece “Obama Adviser’s Strategy Is High Risk, High Reward.”A deadlocked race on the first day of November means a wild ride for Election Day and a boost for antacid sales in Boston and Chicago. With five days to go, both campaigns can make a convincing argument for why they will have the edge on Tuesday. Team Obama says that...
  • Obama seems to have early voter lead in key states

    11/03/2012 10:41:27 AM PDT · by granada · 43 replies
    AP via Yahoo ^ | Nov. 3, 2012 | STEPHEN OHLEMACHER
    WASHINGTON (AP) — President Barack Obama heads toward Election Day with an apparent lead over Republican Mitt Romney among early voters in key states that could decide the election. Obama's advantage, however, isn't as big as the one he had over John McCain four years ago, giving Romney's campaign hope that the former Massachusetts governor can erase the gap when people vote on Tuesday. About 25 million people already have voted in 34 states and the District of Columbia. No votes will be counted until Election Day but several battleground states are releasing the party affiliation of people who have...
  • Weekly Reader Presidential Poll no more.

    11/03/2012 10:45:10 AM PDT · by CGASMIA68 · 12 replies
    Weekly Reader ^ | 2day | t1
    I just checked and it is no more. Remember when the Weekly Reader posted the results of the Presidential Election as seen through the eyes of the little ones? I always found it entertaining and I do belive they got it correct often,not sure.They say it was an eye into the way the parental-units were voting as the cookie crunchers brought the family views to the classroom.
  • Romney way ahead in Lynchburg VA area poll

    11/03/2012 7:48:31 AM PDT · by loveitor.. · 19 replies
    WSET ^ | November 3rd, 2012 | WSET
    WSET.com Poll The following candidates for President appear on the ballot in Virginia. Which candidate do you prefer? Thank you for participating in our poll. Here are the results so far: Mitt Romney 67% Barack Obama 24% Virgil Goode 2% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% None of the above 5%
  • Mitt's Royal Slam (If you only read one political editorial today, make it this one)

    10/30/2012 1:50:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 111 replies
    American Thinker ^ | October 30, 2012 | J.R. Dunn
    What's the explanation for Mitt Romney's unparalleled breakout? A few weeks ago, the Romney campaign was regarded as dead in the water. The polls (with the exception of Rasmussen) had the campaign uniformly down, giving Obama up to half a dozen points. Voter interest was phlegmatic at best. A combined Chicago-media offensive appeared to have put Romney on the ropes. The consensus was that Obama would cruise to another victory, one paralleling and perhaps even exceeding his triumph over John McCain four years ago. Today, little more than an electoral-cycle heartbeat later, the situation is utterly reversed. The big mo...
  • Times/Bay News 9/Herald Florida Poll: Mitt Romney 51, Barack Obama 45

    11/03/2012 10:00:06 AM PDT · by Free ThinkerNY · 14 replies
    tampabay.com ^ | Nov. 3, 2012 | Alex Leary
    Florida continues to look good for Mitt Romney. The Republican holds a 6-point lead in the state essential to his hopes of defeating President Barack Obama, according to a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald poll. The poll shows slight tightening, with Romney's 51-45 lead down 1 percentage point from the Times' statewide poll a month ago. Other Florida surveys show a tighter contest and both campaigns are blanketing the state with appearances geared toward scraping together every last vote. Still, nearly every key indicator in the Times' pre-Election Day poll reveals Romney's advantage in a state Obama won...
  • In The Last Few Hours…Sudden Danger Signs In Polling

    11/03/2012 9:36:38 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 71 replies
    Dick Morris.com ^ | November 2,2012 | Dick Morris
    As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992. With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome. It may be that Obama’s...
  • Romney up 6 in Florida

    11/03/2012 8:04:25 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 33 replies
    Hot Air ^ | November 3,2012 | ED MORRISSEY
    According to a new poll by the Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald, we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column. With just three days left for campaigning, Romney has a 51/45 lead over Barack Obama in a state Obama won by three in 2008. Romney even takes an edge in foreign policy now over Obama: The Herald has an interesting analysis, one that confounds the national media narrative. Romney now gets more crossover votes than Obama, contra to the common assumption that independents are proto-Republicans and Romney has trouble with his base: Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more...
  • Election 2012: Ohio Senate Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 48%

    11/03/2012 9:00:06 AM PDT · by barryobi · 18 replies
    rasmussen ^ | 11/03/2012 | ras
    The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a close one. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 48% support. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin...
  • Keep Calm and Finish Him

    11/03/2012 6:02:24 AM PDT · by Not gonna take it anymore · 19 replies
    PJ Tatler ^ | November 2, 2012 | Charlie Martin
    . . . That said, there are some things to look at that can perhaps help you sleep tonight. I. Michael Barone There’s not a lot of people smarter about American politics than Michael Barone; he’s worked for both parties over the years, he’s made a life study out of American politics. And he’s been saying for weeks that he thinks Romney will win. He said it today, again. Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. II. Today’s Washington Post In a story today...
  • Zogby: Sandy Helping Obama With Independents

    11/03/2012 5:56:48 AM PDT · by lasereye · 77 replies
    Newsmax ^ | 11/2/12 | John Bachman and Patrick Hobin
    Despite President Barack Obama turning the tide with a five-point swing among Independents with his response to Hurricane Sandy, the race is still too close to call, pollster John Zogby tells Newsmax TV. The latest NewsmaxZogby polling numbers show Obama, who was down three points just a few days ago, has pulled ahead by a couple of points. Zogby said the president is “turning the tide with Independents.” “He was down by as many as nine and 10 points nationally among independents and now what we see is that that’s a razor thin,” he said. “The governor leads by only...
  • Democratic/Media Axis again FURIOUS with Cuban-American Voters!

    11/03/2012 6:24:31 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 12 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | November 2, 2012 | Humberto Fontova
    As we go to press polls show America’s largest swing state in a dead head between Romney and Obama. Florida has 29 electoral votes and the third largest “Hispanic” population in America. Normally this means a cakewalk for any Democrat. But whoops! Turns out that about a third of these Florida Hispanics (Cuban-Americans) are actually so—as in Americans whose ancestors hail almost exclusively from Europe’s Iberian Peninsula known as Hispania by the Romans. So as a broken clock is right twice a day, the term “Hispanic” as used by the mainstream media can actually be correct about 1/1000 of...
  • Barone: Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily (315 to 223)

    11/03/2012 6:26:31 AM PDT · by mazda77 · 34 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | 11/2/12 | Michael Barone
    Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
  • Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased (Silver: 83.7% Chance Obama Win)

    11/03/2012 6:56:11 AM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 68 replies
    NY Times FiveThirtyEight ^ | November 3, 2012 | Nate Silver
    President Obama is now better than a 4-in-5 favorite to win the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. His chances of winning it increased to 83.7 percent on Friday, his highest figure since the Denver debate and improved from 80.8 percent on Thursday.
  • Rasmussen Daily: SAT: 11/03: R:48 O:48 Obama -8% : THREE Days Left!

    11/03/2012 6:36:26 AM PDT · by SoftwareEngineer · 107 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/03/2012 | Rasmussen Reports
    Saturday, November 03, 2012 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows the race tied, with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided. See daily tracking history. Forty-six percent (46%) are certain they will vote for Romney, while 45% are sure they will vote for the president. For most of the year, Rasmussen Reports has conducted 500 survey interviews per night and reported the results on a three-day rolling average basis. For the final week of the campaign,...
  • POLLS SHOW ROMNEY UP IN OH, IA, CO -- TIED IN WI, NH

    11/02/2012 10:16:39 PM PDT · by Steelfish · 23 replies
    Breitbart ^ | November 01, 2012
    POLLS SHOW ROMNEY UP IN OH, IA, CO -- TIED IN WI, NH JOHN NOLTE 1 Nov 2012 The race is on between two entirely different sets of polling turnout models. One says the electorate will look like the wave election of 2008 that swept Obama into office with a seven-percent turnout election. Another says the electorate will look more like 2004, when neither party enjoyed an advantage. Here are eight reasons my money's on the 2004 model and here are more polls backing that up: OHIO: Republican pollster Citizens United show Romney up in Ohio 49-46% . WISCONSIN: Citizens...
  • Catholics Turn on the One

    11/02/2012 8:33:44 PM PDT · by Rob in Arizona · 71 replies
    Breitbart Big Government ^ | Nov. 1, 2012 | Joel B. Pollack
    Catholic voters have reason to feel particularly aggrieved, given the Obama administration’s battle with the Catholic church over the mandate in Obamacare that employers cover abortion drugs and contraceptives. Those grievances came to the fore particularly sharply in mid-October, after the Vice Presidential debate between incumbent Democrat Joe Biden and Republican challenger Paul Ryan (both Catholics). Ryan brought up the conflict between the administration and the church over Obamacare: “They're infringing upon our first freedom, the freedom of religion, by infringing on Catholic charities, Catholic churches, Catholic hospitals.” Biden’s response was total denial: With regard to the assault on the...
  • Survey shows voters' thoughts on character traits of Obama, Romney

    11/02/2012 8:45:18 PM PDT · by SmithL · 10 replies
    Knoxville News Sentinel ^ | 11/2/12 | BARTHOLOMEW SULLIVAN, Scripps Howard News Service
    Results from an online survey posted on Scripps websites (including knoxnews.com) suggests people seek leadership, honesty, judgment and fairness in their next president but don't see either Mitt Romney or Barack Obama strongly possessing all of those traits. Voters think character is an important determinant in selecting political candidates, according to polls cited by Neal H. Mayerson, whose non-profit Cincinnati-based VIA Institute on Character designed the online survey that was placed on several Scripps websites in recent weeks. The nonscientific survey asked respondents to identify the top character traits they sought in the next president from a list of 24....
  • Dick Morris: In The Last Few Hours, Sudden Danger Signs In Polling (Christie Hurts Romney)

    11/02/2012 4:40:55 PM PDT · by montag813 · 168 replies
    DickMorris.com ^ | 11-02-2012 | Dick Morris
    As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992. With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome. And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led...
  • Mourdock trails by 11 points in Indiana Senate race, new poll shows

    11/02/2012 5:08:17 PM PDT · by deek69 · 58 replies
    Richard Mourdock--the Indiana Republican Senate candidate who sparked a controversy during a debate last month when he said he opposes abortion even in the case of rape because "it is something that God intended to happen"--is now trailing Democrat Joe Donnelly by 11 points, a new state poll shows. According to the Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground Poll released on Friday, Donnelly leads Mourdock 47 percent to 36 percent among likely voters.
  • POLL: BROWN UP +2 IN MASSACHUSETTS SENATE RACE

    11/02/2012 7:55:08 PM PDT · by MrChips · 30 replies
    Weekly Standard ^ | Nov. 2, 2012 | Michael Warren
    In the second poll released this week, Republican Scott Brown has a two-point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the Massachusetts Senate race. A new poll from Kimball Political Consulting, a firm based in Massachusetts affiliated with the GOP, finds 49 percent support Brown while 47 percent support Warren. A Boston Globe poll released on Monday also showed a two-point lead for Brown, 45 percent to 43 percent. . . .
  • InTrade Electoral Map: 0 281 R 235 Toss-Up 22

    11/02/2012 8:43:20 PM PDT · by jwsea55 · 66 replies
    InTrade ^ | Nov 2 2012 | InTrade
    If you are supposed to follow the money, look at InTrade's current numbers: 0 @ $6.71 R @ $3.33
  • Miami Herald FL Poll: Romney 51%-Obama 45%

    11/02/2012 9:03:33 PM PDT · by ConservativeStatement · 14 replies
    Miami Herald ^ | November 2, 2012 | Marc Caputo
    Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.
  • New Florida Poll: Mitt Romney maintains lead over Obama, 51-45

    11/02/2012 9:02:00 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 47 replies
    BY MARC CAPUTO MCAPUTO@MIAMIHERALD.COM Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points. Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Romney’s crossover appeal is fueled by strong support in rural North Florida, a conservative bastion where a relatively high percentage of Democrats often vote Republican in presidential election years. “I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon...
  • Michigan Poll: Obama and Romney In Dead Heat [10 Days Ago]

    11/02/2012 8:05:37 PM PDT · by Steelfish · 17 replies
    MyFoxDetroit ^ | October 25, 2012
    Michigan Poll: Obama and Romney In Dead Heat Oct 25, 2012 Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences for the presidential election. An initial qualifying statement was read to respondents asking them to participate only if they were very likely to vote...
  • Breaking: Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four

    11/02/2012 7:50:40 PM PDT · by Arec Barrwin · 300 replies
    Susquehanna Polling ^ | November 2, 2012 | Erie County Republican Party
    Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four Posted on November 2, 2012 by eriecogop Susquehanna Polling and Research results for Pennsylvania released today shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49% to 45% among 1376 likely voters. Two percent are undecided and 3% are for other candidates. In the same sample Republican Tom Smith leads Senator Casey by two percentage points in the race for the United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania. Smith is at 48% to Casey’s 46% according to this poll. Diana Irey Vaughan (R) is tied with McCord at 45% each, David Freed(R) trails Kane by 45%...
  • CNN Ohio Poll: Romney Up 13 Among Election-Day Voters

    11/02/2012 6:14:29 PM PDT · by Kolath · 25 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 11/2/2012 | Joel B. Pollak
    If you want to understand why voters no longer trust pollsters, look no further than the latest CNN poll of Ohio voters, showing President Barack Obama with a 50%-47% lead over Gov. Mitt Romney--a result that is within the poll’s 3.5% margin of error, but which suggests a slight Obama lead. The internal numbers reveal that Romney is leading among independents by 2%, and winning Election Day voters by a staggering 13%.
  • Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

    11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT · by ScottinVA · 186 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 2 November 2012 | Scott Rasmussen
    With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin. At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was...
  • OH: Early Vote down 370,000 from 08

    11/02/2012 9:54:34 AM PDT · by LS · 22 replies
    Twitter ^ | LS from Twitter
    RT @justkarl: Early voting in OH. 2008: 1,628,013. 10/30/12: 1,257,320. Again, Obama won 08 by 260,000 and piled up a 20 point lead in early voting. Still think it will be close?
  • Rasmussen Daily: FRI 11/02: R:48 O:48 Obama -11%: 4 Days to go!!

    11/02/2012 7:14:02 AM PDT · by SoftwareEngineer · 133 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/02/2012 | Rasmussen Reports
    On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.
  • Ohio Poll: R 49%, 0 46% (37% Dem, 32% GOP)

    11/01/2012 10:29:08 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 33 replies
    Ohio Poll: R 49%, 0 46% (37% Dem, 32% GOP)
  • Tribune poll: Matheson trails Mia Love 52 percent to 40 percent

    11/01/2012 9:05:39 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 29 replies
    Salt Lake Tribune
    Tribune poll: Matheson trails Mia Love 52 percent to 40 percent
  • Romney tries to put PA in play

    11/01/2012 9:06:41 PM PDT · by LittleSpotBlog · 37 replies
    CNN ^ | 11/1/12 | Jim Acosta
    Norfolk, Virginia (CNN) –In a late campaign push to change the battleground map, Mitt Romney will travel to Pennsylvania on Sunday in the hopes of capturing the traditionally Democratic-leaning state. A Romney campaign official confirmed to CNN the GOP nominee will stop in the Philadelphia area Sunday afternoon.
  • Flawed Poll Models Underestimating Romney’s Lead

    11/01/2012 8:44:10 PM PDT · by Art in Idaho · 53 replies
    Wall Street Examiner ^ | November 1, 2012 | Russ Winter
    Partisans on both sides have been making claims of a lead in the polls — the Republicans cite the national polls and the Democrats the state. I’m not a partisan or a Romney supporter, but I feel compelled to argue that the poll models are flawed and underestimating Romney’s lead. As far as modeling in these polls, the example of Marist and Mason-Dixon in Florida is illustrative of skewing. Marist tends to report big Obama leads, and M-D has reported decent Romney results. From the Tampa Bay Herald: “Mason-Dixon, which has been polling in Florida for 28 years, uses a...
  • Middle Cheese: Internals Show Romney Leading Wisconsin By One Point

    11/01/2012 3:05:51 PM PDT · by TBBT · 10 replies
    nationalreview.com ^ | 11/1/2012 | Jim Geraghty
    Middle Cheese, my source on the Bush-Cheney 2004 campaign who talks to the Romney big cheeses regularly, writes in with a state-of-the-race update for Thursday: Politically, Hurricane Sandy (and Gov. Chris Christie) helped President Obama, but my sense is that it was more a respite than a boost. FL, VA, and CO are looking very solid for Romney. NV remains within reach for Romney, but favors Obama ever-so-slightly. WI, MI, IA, PA seem to be closing well for Romney. In WI, internal GOP polling shows Romney with a 1 point lead and gaining steam.
  • Zogby/Washington Times Poll shows Obama, Romney in a dead heat (49% to 49%)

    11/01/2012 6:17:23 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 34 replies
    President Obama and Mitt Romney are deadlocked with each holding 49 percent support nationally as they head into Tuesday’s election, though Mr. Romney holds a lead on enthusiasm, according to this week’s The Washington Times/Zogby Poll of likely voters, released Thursday night. Mr. Obama has more votes already in the bank: About a quarter of those surveyed said they’ve cast their ballots by absentee or early voting, and they broke 53 percent to 45 percent in favor of the president. But Mr. Romney, the Republican nominee, leads when it comes to those who have yet to hit the polling booth...
  • Nate Silver-Intrade Poll Obama 82.35% Romney 16.93% MoE 1.8%

    11/01/2012 6:36:15 PM PDT · by Perdogg · 26 replies
    Breaking from a bathhouse in NYC, Nate Silver released his first poll in cooperation with Intrade betting site. He predicted with 99.9998% certainty that Obama would win all 538 Electoral Votes from all 57 states. He also said with 116.342% certainty that Obama would win the 2016 Republican and Democrat nomination and run unopposed.
  • Newest Wenzel Strategies/Citizens United Poll: OHIO – Romney 49%, Obama 46%

    11/01/2012 3:36:40 PM PDT · by drewh · 22 replies
    Wenzel Strategies ^ | 1 hour ago | November 1st, 2012 by Fritz Wenzel
    NOVEMBER 1, 2012-The latest Wenzel Strategies survey of Ohio voters shows Republican Mitt Romney leading Democrat Barack Obama, 49% to 46%. The race is also razor-thin in Wisconsin, where Obama leads by a 49% to 47% margin. See the story here. Here is the topline report for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Poll Topline Report 11-1-2012 Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum 11-1-2012 Here is the topline report for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Poll Topline Summary 11-1-2012 Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum...
  • Breaking: US citizens in Israel vote 85% Romney

    11/01/2012 1:38:47 PM PDT · by hecht · 14 replies
    Breaking: US citizens in Israel vote 85% Romney, 14% Obama (UPDATED WITH FULL RESULTS) I was invited to this press conference, but could not make it because of another commitment. According to my sources, iVoteIsrael held a press conference today, at which they announced that 85%(!!!!) of the ballots cast by American citizens residing in Israel for the US elections went to Mitt Romney. 85%!!!!! More information to follow when I have it. UPDATE 5:46 PM It should be noted that according to official statistics, there are over 163,000 American voters in Israel (and there are actually probably more). UPDATE...
  • WaPo-ABC tracking poll: Presidential contest as close as close can be (0 48.56% R 48.49%)

    11/01/2012 2:10:26 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 33 replies
    The race for the White House remains steadily and extraordinarily competitive in its final days, with President Obama and Mitt Romney continuing to run neck-and-neck in the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. In the latest release, 49 percent of likely voters across the country back Obama, 48 percent his Republican challenger. It’s an identical 49 to 48 percent looking across eight states identified as “tossups” by The Washington Post. There are few ways to adequately grasp the tightness of the contest. Nationally, in 10 out of 11 releases of the tracking poll, the two presidential contenders have been separated by...