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Keyword: 2012polls

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  • Survey of Polls 10/2 Romney increasing lead

    10/02/2012 2:07:13 PM PDT · by Leto · 12 replies
    Rebalanced Polls ^ | 10/2/2012 | jb williker
    Party ID and the weighting of poll samples has been a big topic of discussion in the blogs and even in the some of the old media recently. It is a good thing to shine light on the shoddy and indefensible polling practices, but the light has to get even brighter before it will cause a shift with the pollsters to become more than another front in the election campaign. They need to be systematically held up to ridicule when they engage in practices that cannot stand up to intellectual scrutiny. There should be something in polling akin to what...
  • Poll: Plurality say polls biased for Obama

    10/02/2012 1:35:53 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 10 replies
    The Hill ^ | 10/02/2012 | Justin Sink
    A plurality of Americans and more than seven in 10 Republicans say pollsters are intentionally skewing results to benefit President Obama, according to a new poll released Tuesday. Some 42 percent of voters surveyed by Daily Kos and SEIU believe pollsters are manipulating their sample sizes to benefit the incumbent president, while 40 percent do not. An additional 18 percent said they were not sure. That's evidence that Republican claims that Democrats and minority voters are being oversampled in national polls could be resonating — and potentially undermining the momentum of the president's early lead. Some Republicans — most prominently...
  • Obama Leads By 4 Points in Quinnipiac Poll With 24% GOP Sample

    10/02/2012 9:46:40 AM PDT · by Yashcheritsiy · 41 replies
    Jammie Wearing Fool ^ | 02 Oct 2012
    The media is gushing this morning over the latest Quinnipiac poll that allegedly shows the failed president with an 18-point lead among women. Women voters give President Obama a four-point lead over Mitt Romney in a new poll from Quinnipiac University. Obama leads Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 49% to 45% among likely voters, thanks largely to a 56%-38% lead among women. Voters also believe — overwhelmingly — that Obama will win the upcoming set of three debates, Quinnipiac reports, by a margin of 54%-28%. Obama and Romney have their first face-to-face meeting tomorrow night in Denver. Some good news...
  • Could the Wilder Effect be the Explanation Behind Obama's Surge in the Polls?

    10/02/2012 9:12:17 AM PDT · by alan8228 · 15 replies
    Moore Common Sense ^ | 10/2/12 | Alan Moore
    I have been absolutely baffled at the recent poll numbers putting an unpopular president ahead of Mitt Romney. The economy is terrible, no majority supports virtually any of the policies passed by this Administration, and there is no sign of improvement - yet Barack Obama still leads in most polls. So what gives? There could be many explanations. Mitt Romney could be to blame. He has been criticized of running a sub-par campaign even though his fundraising (the true test of organizational strength) has at times eclipsed the incumbent president. Polls are rarely seen by pundits and casual observers alike...
  • The media are massively biased towards Obama. The real problem is obsession with opinion polls

    10/02/2012 6:01:18 AM PDT · by Evil Slayer · 21 replies
    Telegraph [UK] ^ | 10/2/12 | Tim Stanley
    The Republicans aren’t worried about Romney performing well in Wednesday’s debate. They're worried about how the mainstream media will choose to report it. The bias has got so bad that Barack Obama could come on drunk in a peephole bra and many journalists would still label it a triumph (“A historic performance” – Chris Matthews). Incredibly, some journalists are reporting an Obama victory before the debates have even happened. Perhaps the Prez shouldn't show up at all and just leave Romney to talk policy with an empty chair. MSNBC would call it for the chair ("Never in my lifetime has...
  • Polls Show Voters Split Along Gender Lines

    10/02/2012 7:01:33 AM PDT · by ConservativeStatement · 24 replies
    PBS ^ | October 2, 2012 | Christina Bellantoni and Terence Burlij
    On the eve of the first presidential debate, a pair of new national polls find President Obama and Mitt Romney locked in a close race with support for the two candidates divided sharply along gender lines. The president leads Romney, 49 percent to 45 percent, among likely voters in a Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday, buoyed by an 18-point advantage, 56 percent to 38 percent, among women. Romney has a 10-point lead among men, 52 percent to 42 percent. The poll has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 2.2 percent.
  • Battle for presidency remains close in new CNN poll (4 MSM polls tighten up)

    10/02/2012 12:44:59 AM PDT · by Brad from Tennessee · 18 replies
    CNN Political Ticker ^ | Oct. 1, 2012 | CNN Political Unit
    Washington (CNN) – Two days before the first presidential debate, a new national survey indicates a very close contest between President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the race for the White House. ----------------snip------------------------------ Fifty-percent of likely voters questioned in the CNN survey, which was released Monday, say that if the election were held today, they would vote for the president, with 47% saying they would support Romney, the former Massachusetts governor. The president's three point margin is within the poll's sampling error. Three other national polls of likely voters released in the past 24 hours also indicate...
  • A Pollster Under Oath

    10/02/2012 6:04:06 AM PDT · by Aria · 11 replies
    Politico ^ | 10/2/2012 | Josh Gerstein
    When a pollster or strategist for a struggling political campaign presents what seems like a sugar-coated view of his candidate's chances, do you ever think: I wish I could give that adviser some truth serum, or maybe put him under oath? Well, truth serum may be pushing it, but the put-him-under-oath part has actually happened. And when a pollster is required to tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth, under penalty of perjury, what emerges is quite a bit different than what you hear in the waning days of a presidential campaign. In May, the pollster...
  • Is there a Republican landslide coming in November?

    10/02/2012 5:25:25 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 62 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 10/02/2012 | Keith Edwards
    It would be an election night to remember for Republicans and conservatives if the Romney/Ryan presidential ticket wins in a landslide, but nothing short of shock and awe for Democrats and their liberal media allies based on the latest polls. Quick to sweep the historic Republican election landslide in 2010 and Scott Walker's big victory in Wisconsin's recall election under the rug, Democrats and the liberal media have been treating Obama's dismal record on the economy and foreign policy the same way they treated those elections - like they never happened. Since those elections, Democrats and the liberal media have...
  • Which Polls Count

    10/02/2012 5:21:50 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 8 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 10/02/2012 | Bruce Walker
    It is very clear that the polls this election year are wildly out of sync. Consider the four polls which were based on several days of surveys ending on September 16. Pew Research had Obama up by 8%, NBC/Wall Street Journal had Obama up by 5%, Monmouth/Survey USA had Obama up by 3%, and Rasmussen had Romney up by 2%. These polls had margins of error which were significantly smaller than the differences between the polls. Some of the polls are bad science or worse. Which polls should be trusted, and which should be treated with great suspicion? Some news...
  • New Polls Raise Chance of Electoral College Tie

    10/01/2012 11:38:29 PM PDT · by WilliamIII · 30 replies
    NY Times ^ | Oct 2 2012 | Nate Silver
    ...Mitt Romney would probably win such an election, because Republicans will probably control a majority of state delegations in the incoming House of Representatives.
  • Gallup: Americans Say Middle Class Better Off With Obama Than With Romney [Obama 10-Point Lead?]

    10/01/2012 7:31:59 PM PDT · by Steelfish · 76 replies
    WashingtonTimes ^ | October 01, 2012 | David Hill
    Poll: Americans Say Middle Class Better Off With Obama Than With Romney By David Hill - October 1, 2012 More than half of Americans think the middle class would benefit more from a second term for President Obama than the election of Republican challenger Mitt Romney, according to a poll released Monday. The Gallup poll shows that 53 percent of Americans give Mr. Obama an edge in helping middle-class people, compared with just 43 percent for Mr. Romney. Respondents in the poll also said another Obama term would be better for racial and ethnic minorities, lower-income Americans, women, young adults...
  • Elizabeth Warren’s lead over Scott Brown narrows to 2 points in WBUR poll

    10/01/2012 2:19:13 PM PDT · by Zakeet · 33 replies
    Boston Globe ^ | October 1, 2012 | Noah Bierman
    As Senator Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren prepare for their second debate tonight, a new poll shows Warren leading Brown by 2 percentage points — 46 percent to 44 percent, with 9 percent undecided in the hotly contested race. The WBUR/Mass Inc. poll of 504 likely voters taken Sept. 26- Sept. 28 is the seventh of nine surveys taken in September to show Warren, a Democrat and Harvard Law School professor, with a small lead over Brown, a Republican. But the results are well within the poll’s margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 percent. The same polling...
  • Poll: Nelson, Mack tied in Florida Senate race

    10/01/2012 7:03:23 PM PDT · by Perdogg · 38 replies
    Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson's once smooth ride toward a third term has hit a snag, says a new poll, which shows the Florida lawmaker locked in a dead heat with Republican challenger Rep. Connie Mack. The results of an independent survey by Gravis Marketing shows each candidate with the support of 43 percent of likely voters, though 14 percent are undecided. The result is contrary to recent surveys, including four separate independent polls taken in September that pegged Mr. Nelson with a 14-point lead.

    10/01/2012 7:23:15 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 26 replies
    Powerline ^ | 10/01/2012 | John Hindraker
    Today the Romney campaign is trumpeting the latest CNN/ORC poll which shows President Obama with a three-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-47%. The Romney campaign likes this result, apparently, because it represents a significant improvement over the last CNN/ORC poll, which came out three weeks ago. In that survey, CNN/ORC found a six-point Obama lead.I wrote about the earlier poll here, pointing out that it obviously over-sampled Democrats. A reader calculated that, given other data in the survey, the six-point difference was consistent with a breakdown of D-38%, R-26% and I-36%. I wrote that the most significant...
  • NH Poll: Obama opens up 15 point lead

    10/01/2012 5:59:41 PM PDT · by Joe27 · 200 replies
    Reported on RealClearPolitics ^ | October 1st | University of New Hampshire
    "President Barack Obama has opened a lead over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire. Independent voters who had been supporting Romney have swung to Obama in recent weeks." ....... "With one month remaining before the November 6 election, Barack Obama has opened up a statistically significant lead over Mitt Romney in the battleground state of New Hampshire. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 52% of likely New Hampshire voters plan to vote for Obama, 37% say they will support Romney, 3% prefer some other candidate, and 9% say they are undecided."
  • Vote! Every Coffee Cup Counts [7-11 Shows Huge Lead For Obamugabe, Winning Even in Texas]

    10/01/2012 5:46:52 PM PDT · by SoFloFreeper · 41 replies ^ | 10/1/12
    States represented in gray are not participating in 7-Election. States represented with stripes are tied.
  • Tarrance Group/Battleground Poll - Toss-up States R50%/O46%

    10/01/2012 5:39:45 PM PDT · by profit_guy · 23 replies
    See page 69. There are 279 pages of internals here from a very respected pollster.
  • HAHAHAHAHA Washington Post Swing State Poll was 161 People

    10/01/2012 4:25:28 PM PDT · by Perdogg · 21 replies
    I may just poll my comment section and pass that off as a Battleground State poll. The Washington Post explained that rather curious “Swing State” subsection in today’s national poll where Obama had an incredible 11-point lead relative to his national lead of only 2-points: The WaPo-ABC ‘swing state’ poll numbers, explained Monday’s Washington Post-ABC News poll adds to the evidence of an emerging, important dynamic in the presidential contest showing closer parity nationally than in key battleground states, where President Obama has had clear leads.
  • CNN poll: Obama’s bounce gone, race now statistically tied

    10/01/2012 4:43:43 PM PDT · by Justaham · 51 replies ^ | 10/1/12 | Allahpundit
    In CNN’s last poll, taken soon after the Democratic convention, O led by six among likely voters. That lead’s now cut in half, to within the margin of error, despite weeks of media doomsaying about Romney’s campaign. In fact, the last four national polls all have the race within two or three points with a bounce opportunity for Romney looming 48 hours from now. I think the first debate will essentially be an audition for him: Obama’s the ultimate known quantity but, for millions of low-information voters, this’ll be the first time they see Romney in action. If he’s as...