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Keyword: analysis

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  • MIDTERM ANALYSIS: The Logic Gap Between Polling & Reality

    10/28/2018 6:28:51 AM PDT · by EarlyBird · 20 replies
    Big League Politics ^ | 10/27/2018 | Larry Schweikart
    Just this week, a poll came out—I won’t mention the polling company—that had U.S. Senator Bill Nelson (D) ahead in his Florida senate race against Governor Rick Scott by (hang on) . . . 17 points. Now, even if you think (and I don’t) that Nelson is ahead, this is one of those whoppers that stands up there with Hillary Clinton winning the Michigan Primary in 2016 (when Bernie Sanders drubbed her by double digits) or every single one of the pollsters getting Wisconsin wrong. The average error was six points. Some were off by as many as nine points...
  • Re Ford: Are Psychologists Psychoanalysed?

    09/27/2018 12:57:38 PM PDT · by Ronin · 51 replies
    Vanity | 09/28/2019 | Ronin
    Pardon the vanity, but an interesting question occurred to me last night. This woman, Ford, is a licensed Psychologist, right? Now, if I understand it right, every psychiatrist has to undergo analysis before entering practice. Doesn't the same (or an equivalent) hold true for psychologists? If so, wouldn't this incident and her allegations have come to light back then? I think the timing of her "discovery" back prior to the 2012 election is as suspicious as anything else she has said. Comments?
  • Democrats' 1968 rerun will have a November like last

    07/02/2018 7:45:21 AM PDT · by centurion316 · 13 replies
    Washington Times ^ | July 1, 2018 | Charles Hurt
    Call it the summer of ‘68. Rioters in the streets. Communists on the ballot. Radical leftists threaten to kidnap, rape and torture political enemies. Even the children of political enemies. The only thing we are missing these days are political assassinations. So far, these lunatics have mostly stuck to executing police officers. Of course they sure tried to assassinate dozens of Republican congressmen last summer. Luckily, that plot was thwarted but not before the ardent supporter of socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders shot Rep. Steve Scalise, a Capitol Police officer and two others.
  • Scott Adams: Fake News persuasion, how Jordan Peterson triggered 12 hallucinations in an interviewer

    01/21/2018 3:59:05 PM PST · by tbw2 · 24 replies
    OpenMind Youtube Channel ^ | 01/18/2018 | Scott Adams
    An analysis of the Dr. Jordan Peterson - Cindy Newman debate that revealed how liberals filter information and a dozen separate cases of cognitive dissonance. Also explains the genius of Trump's fake news awards
  • Bannon: "If Moore Wins, ‘Real Review’ Needed Find How Trump Got Bad Info, Came Down on Wrong Side"

    09/26/2017 8:33:13 PM PDT · by ForYourChildren · 66 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 09/25/2017 | Tony Lee
    Former White House Chief Strategist Steve Bannon told Sean Hannity on Monday evening that if grassroots conservative candidate Roy Moore defeats D.C. establishment Senator Luther Strange on Tuesday, a “real review has to be done of how President Donald Trump got the wrong information and came down on the wrong side of the football here.” Bannon gave Hannity his first cable television interview since leaving the White House after rallying for Moore in Alabama. Bannon blasted the D.C. establishment and their preferred consultants like Karl Rove, Ward Baker, and Steven Law for having run the “cruelest, nastiest ads” that he...
  • Keeping Things Right: The Daily Ledger [my vanity] . . .

    02/25/2017 5:50:42 PM PST · by righttackle44 · 4 replies
    February 25, 2017 | RightTackle 44
    Even when Graham Ledger is wrong, he's right. He tell us that every day when he signs off his One America News Network commentry, interview, and analysis show, The Daily Ledger. which airs at various times through out the 24 day. Ledger, an Emmy Award and Golden Mike award recipient, brings a right-side look at the political news, spilling out analysis, commentary, and humor, usually at the left's expense. His is biting commentary and observation, and exposes the progressive/liberal weaknesses, fallacies, and outright lies while nailing down the political right point of view. This link,, takes you to The...
  • A legal analysis of the Ninth Circuit’s dangerous usurpation of presidential power

    02/10/2017 1:47:30 PM PST · by Ray76 · 13 replies
    Counter Jihad Report ^ | Feb 10, 2017: | Ed Straker
    Federal District Judge James Robart violated the Constitution in issuing a TRO (temporary restraining order) against President Trump’s temporary entry ban for citizens of seven countries. Now a three-judge panel of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals has affirmed that stay. What we have here is a creeping constitutional coup. As long as President Obama was in charge and had a massive open door policy at our borders and at our airports, in violation of statutory law, the judiciary was content to be silent. But when Donald Trump became president and tried to use the powers of the Presidency to...
  • Analysis: Donald Trump Promises a Presidency Like No Other

    01/21/2017 9:43:22 PM PST · by catnipman · 9 replies
    NBC News ^ | 1/21/2017 | Benjy Sarlin
    Trump, who upended politics with his inflammatory nationalist message and takes office as the most disliked incoming president in memory ... went with Reagan's approach, but substituted his own brand of belligerent nationalism for the late president's principled conservatism. Trump walked down a dark dystopia in which crime, joblessness and foreign exploitation had laid the country low while a shadowy elite profited at every turn.
  • EXCLUSIVE: Dinesh D'Souza speaks for first time after Trump win!

    11/23/2016 2:35:16 AM PST · by Freedom'sWorthIt · 18 replies
    You Tube ^ | Nov 10, 2016 | YAFTV
    Speech by Dinesh D'Sousa sponsored by Young Americans for Freedom. He speaks at college in Texas. Talks about the amazing victory of Donald J. his unique manner and context. Gives history of politics in America as well.
  • NY Times: How Hillary Clinton Went From Hesitant to Scorching

    09/26/2016 11:27:58 PM PDT · by Zakeet · 38 replies
    NY Times ^ | September 27, 2016 | Michael Barbaro and Matt Flegenheimer
    It started with a mystifying missed opportunity on race. It ended with a piercing attack on gender. Hillary Clinton's performance in the first presidential debate on Monday veered from uncertain and tentative to firm and, ultimately, scorching. No amount of practice, it seemed, could fully prepare her - or perhaps anyone - for Donald J. Trump's hurricane of factual distortion, taunting interruptions and blustery generalities. Mrs. Clinton seemed to slowly but steadily learn how to confront and subdue Mr. Trump on the fly, as tens of millions of Americans watched. [Snip] Mrs. Clinton eventually found her footing in the second...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending September 24, 2016

    09/24/2016 2:58:40 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 12 replies
    Various Polls | September 24, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:September 17, 2016September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) Model Changes Since Last Week This week, I'm bringing back the "Tilt" designation. The Toss-Up category is being split into Tilt Democrat and Tilt Republican, but will not count towards the candidates' total. This will give visibility into how the toss up states are leaning. Maine has been split into the state and its two Congressional districts, in order to properly account for the likelihood that Maine CD-2 breaks with the state. I made a small change to the poll weighting algorithm to correct for turned off polls that were not outright...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending September 17, 2016

    09/18/2016 9:51:14 AM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 14 replies
    Various Polls | September 18, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) I made another significant change to the model from last week, as I continue to tweak the new system: I am aging the polls, giving more weight to recent polls. Last week, I was using the starting date of the poll as the basis of weighting. This week, I changed this to be the mid-point of the poll as the basis of weighting. Based on some targeted feedback, I added Ipsos/Reuters polls to the model. I was sourcing from Real Clear Politics, but they are not comprehensive in the polls they average. That said,...
  • Amateur analysis of US backing of The Islamic State

    08/03/2016 9:00:11 AM PDT · by wtd · 5 replies
    YouTube/VladTepesblog ^ | Aug 29, 2014 / August 3, 2016 | StormCloudsGathering
    Amateur analysis of US backing of The Islamic StateThere is certainly some truth on this.
  • A New Theory of Trump

    03/21/2016 9:56:23 AM PDT · by wildbill · 34 replies
    Commentary Magazine ^ | 3/15/2016 | John Podhoretz
    Why Trump? Why him? Why now? As is ever the case with a phenomenon that defies conventional wisdom, analysts have sought to explain his rise by asserting he has risen to prove exactly the point they have been making for years but nobody was listening.
  • Ted Cruz Keeps Winning [Race Analysis]

    02/10/2016 7:13:12 AM PST · by St_Thomas_Aquinas · 76 replies
    The Nation ^ | 2/10/16 | George Zornick
    ...he will reap the benefits on March 1. Almost one-quarter of the available delegates are up for grabs that day, mostly in primaries in the Deep South. That already favors Cruz, not least because his home state of Texas offers the most delegates, but Rubio's slide will help him even more. In all of those Southern states but one, candidates must reach either 15 or 20 percent of the vote to receive any delegates at all, as we noted last week. Rubio was already only pulling about 10 percent several of those states. With his standing weakened and the so-called...
  • Trump, Fox News, and Megyn Kelly Explained

    01/26/2016 8:19:43 PM PST · by ground_fog · 128 replies
    Scott Adams Bllog ^ | January 26th, 2016 | Scott Adams
    Donald Trump says he won’t appear at the upcoming debate on FOX if Megyn Kelly is a moderator, and as of this writing, it appears she will be. Some of you asked me how this move by Trump could possibly be a smart thing. On the 2D playing field, Trump appears petulant and whiney. Maybe narcissistic, fascist, and a little bit of Hitler too. And as FOX cleverly pointed out, negotiating with foreign leaders won’t be easier than Megyn Kelly’s questions. So Trump loses badly in the second dimension. Let’s shift to the third dimension and see if the view...
  • Dumb Gun Expert

    12/04/2015 11:16:50 AM PST · by Nacho Bidnith · 30 replies
    FOX News Happening Live ^ | Dec 4, 2015 | FOX News
    Watch FOX News talking head Greg Jarrett giving his expert analysis (NOT) regarding the AR-15 style rifles used in the San Bernardino terrorist attack.
  • Post GOP Debate Thoughts and Analysis…

    09/17/2015 8:17:37 AM PDT · by sheikdetailfeather · 36 replies
    The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 9-17-2015 | sundance
    Disclaimer: Your opinion on the debate performances are far more valid than mine. My perspective is skewed because I’m looking through a filter of how Wall Street RNC/GOPe and DNC interests will view and perceive the debate performances. Baseline – Going into the debate all the candidates, other than Trump, had something to gain and little to lose. Donald Trump had everything to lose and little to gain. With that in mind:
  • UVA associate dean Nicole Eramo sues Rolling Stone: an early analysis

    05/13/2015 10:00:55 AM PDT · by OK Sun · 3 replies
    Washington Post ^ | May 12 at 7:42 PM | Eugene Volokh
    UVA associate dean Nicole Eramo is suing Rolling Stone and writer Sabrina Rubin Erdely for statements in Rolling Stone’s now-retracted “A Rape on Campus” story. How will courts likely deal with this lawsuit? Here are a few early and tentative thoughts, though of course much depends on facts that are not yet known. 1. Federal vs. state court: Eramo sued in Virginia state court, but it seems likely that Rolling Stone and Erdely will want the case removed to federal court: The conventional wisdom is that libel defendants are procedurally better off in federal court, where it’s easier to get...
  • Billboards in Iran Say ‘Death to America,’ but Officials Say ‘Let’s Make a Deal’

    04/21/2015 10:30:32 AM PDT · by The_Media_never_lie · 11 replies
    War in Context ^ | April 19, 2015 | THOMAS ERDBRINK
    TEHRAN — Wearing business suits set off with sneakers, the American executives trailed a young guide along the narrow sidewalks of the capital of Iran, once branded by the United States as part of the “Axis of Evil.” Their destination was one of Tehran’s most luxurious restaurants, where Iranian officials and business consultants greeted the visitors with open arms and the Pharrell Williams song “Happy” blasted from the sound system. “Everybody loves us here,” said Ned Lamont, a digital services entrepreneur and former politician, holding a glass of carrot juice offered by one of his hosts.