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Keyword: bubble

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  • Economist Andy Xie: Chinese Real Estate Prices Will Drop By 50% In 3 Years

    05/20/2011 7:46:10 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 8 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 05/20/2011
    Independent Economist Andy Xie has been a China bear for some years now, so long that as if there is no one who wants to listen to him again. Well, at least I will still first read about what he said before dismissing him. In the Lujiazui forum, he told Sina finance that real estate prices will drop by 25% by the end of this year, and 40-50% in three years. Yet he thinks the banking sector will not be hurt much even with 50% of drop. This now echoes the view by Guo Shiping, a professor in Shenzhen University,...
  • Housing Crash Is Getting Worse: Report

    05/09/2011 10:25:16 AM PDT · by Justaham · 59 replies
    MarketWatch ^ | 5-9-11 | Brett Arends
    If you thought the housing crisis was bad, think again. It's worse. New data just out from Zillow, the real-estate information company, show house prices are falling at their fastest rate since the Lehman collapse. Average home prices are down 8% from a year ago, 3% over the quarter, and are falling at about 1% every month, according to Zillow. And the percentage of homeowners in negative-equity positions — with a home worth less than its mortgage — has rocketed to 28%, a new crisis high. Zillow now predicts prices will fall about 8% this year and says it no...
  • Rare Earths Seen Growing Less Rare

    05/07/2011 7:16:50 AM PDT · by TigerLikesRooster · 11 replies · 1+ views
    Nikkei ^ | 05/06/11
    Friday, May 6, 2011 Rare Earths Seen Growing Less Rare SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Demand for rare earth elements that has driven up prices more than tenfold since 2009 is likely to be met by a surplus of supply by 2013, as Western companies start up new mines to compete with the Chinese firms that now dominate the market, Goldman Sachs analysts predicted Thursday. The forecast calls into question the sustainability of the current boom in rare earths, a suite of 17 elements used in products from high-powered magnets, and fuel refining to energy-efficient light bulbs and mobile phone screens, as well...
  • The Business School Tuition Bubble (Could it follow the Housing Collapse?)

    05/06/2011 7:18:15 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 4 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 05/06/2011 | Michael Ryall, Harvard Business Review
    Following the collapse of housing prices, a growing number of people have voiced concerns over a looming collapse of higher education tuition. Initial apprehensions were expressed at least as early as 2009 in places like The Economist and The Chronicle of Higher Education. Today, there is a wikipedia page devoted to the topic and, in the last week alone, articles about this issue appeared here, here, and here. As Glenn Reynolds, a faculty member at the University of Tennessee law school, points out, higher education shares some salient features with the pre-collapse housing market. (And Mark Perry, a professor of...
  • Panic in the Pits: Silver Plunge Spreads to Oil, Copper

    05/06/2011 4:31:26 AM PDT · by Perdogg · 41 replies · 1+ views
    cnbc ^ | 05.05.11
    A cascading crash in commodities beginning with silver a week ago spread to oil and copper as exchanges took steps to rein in speculation, economic data pointed to a global selloff and big name investors took profits.
  • 6 Huge Problems For Silver Investors (The Price of Silver has Tanked Spectacularly)

    05/05/2011 11:54:08 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 56 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 05/05/2011 | Joe Weisenthal
    Silver is now threatening to fall below $38/oz, which would mark a nearly 22% decline from its bubblicious highs last week. It's obviously spectacularly volatile, and we don't know how this will end up, but we can think of several threats to silver bulls. * As the lady in the Lind Waldock (commodities broker) commercials always says, commodities are all a price play. There's no hard metric for anyone to know whether something has gotten cheap or not. There's no P/E level that makes silver a must buy. * Big, smart money is selling: Soros, Carlos Slim, etc. * Margin...
  • Silver prices keep tumbling retreat.

    05/05/2011 8:08:13 AM PDT · by babble-on · 40 replies
    LA Times ^ | May 5, 2011 | Tom Petruno
    (summary deck only) Silver futures contracts fall $3.19, or 7.5%, to $39.38 an ounce, their third consecutive decrease since hitting a record $48.58 on Friday. Most other commodities also retreat.
  • Is There Really a ‘Gold Bubble’? Maybe Not.

    05/05/2011 6:59:36 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 11 replies · 1+ views
    Hotair ^ | 05/05/2011 | DirectorBlue
    Brett Arends, writing at MarketWatch, refutes the notion that gold is in a speculative “bubble”. He does so by comparing the current spike in gold prices with other speculative run-ups in recent history. Gold is in a bubble. Anyone will tell you that. They’ve been saying it since gold was about, oh, $500 an ounce.But it’s a funny kind of a bubble. It’s the only one I’ve encountered where so few people seem to own the asset in question… During the dot-com bubble, you met lots of people with tech stocks. Taxi drivers told you what dot-coms they owned.During the...
  • Jim Rogers Concerned by Silver's 'Parabolic' Rise

    04/30/2011 4:03:26 PM PDT · by TigerLikesRooster · 19 replies · 1+ views
    CNBC ^ | 04/27/11 | Antonia van de Velde
    Jim Rogers Concerned by Silver's 'Parabolic' Rise Published: Wednesday, 27 Apr 2011 | 7:11 AM ET By: Antonia van de Velde CNBC Associate Web Producer With silver near multi-year highs, famous commodities bull Jim Rogers warned silver prices could become dangerous if they rose even further to “parabolic” levels, telling The Times of India he is keen to buy more, but would sell if the price rose too fast. Silver futures surged to a multi-year high of $49.45 per ounce on Monday, but on Tuesday the May silver contract recorded its largest one-day fall in a month. Silver steadied somewhat...
  • Silver fever is about to break, and break badly (Buying opportunity as mania subsides)

    04/29/2011 6:35:44 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 35 replies
    Marketwatch ^ | 04/29/2011 | Howard Gold, No Nonsense Investing
    I was just starting to work on a column about silver mania Tuesday morning when a big, beautifully produced ad insert on silver, of all things, arrived with my Financial Times. Proclaiming that “silver is the single greatest profit opportunity of our time,” the insert featured a huge, nearly three-dimensional replica of a one-ounce U.S. silver eagle, with Liberty herself reaching out her hand and In God We Trust right there for all to see. The coin replica, some 3 ˝ inches in diameter, shone like a harvest moon, glittering with the possibility of instant riches. And — you just...
  • Deepening Crisis: Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, Surge In The Price Of Gold And Silver

    04/24/2011 8:40:02 PM PDT · by blam · 32 replies
    TMO ^ | 4-24-2011 | Bob Chapman
    Deepening Economic Crisis: Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, Surge In The Price Of Gold And Silver Economics / Inflation Apr 24, 2011 - 12:43 PM By: Bob Chapman Economic recovery does not seem to be taking effect in spite of more massive expenditures by Congress and the Fed. The IMF says financial stability has improved, but then again their vision is almost always clouded. US tax revenues are not increasing in a meaningful way, manufacturing struggles to expand and Wall Street flourishes in a cascade of mega salaries and bonuses. In another six months the US will be three years what...
  • College Education: Another bubble ready to burst!

    04/19/2011 8:55:52 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 53 replies
    Bennington Banner ^ | 04/19/2011 | Audrey Pietrucha
    Senator Bernie Sanders added a new victim to the long list in his most recent column -- college students. Sanders complained that the Republican budget proposal would reduce the average Pell higher education grant by 17 percent at a time when the cost of a college education is "soaring." Having just sent the last of my three children off to college, I cannot argue with Sanders’ description of college tuition costs -- they are, indeed, soaring. Statistics confirm personal observation as, according to the Measuring Up 2008 report by the National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, tuition and...
  • Could ETFs Become the Next Toxic Assets?

    04/15/2011 6:47:04 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 12 replies
    Wall Street Journal ^ | 04/15/2011 | Christopher Emsden
    Weird ice cream flavors have in recent years spread like mad and now include such inviting types as raw horseflesh or sardines and brandy. Is something similar happening in the world of ETFs, or Exchange Traded Funds? Mario Draghi, chairman of the Financial Stability Board, hinted as much last week. On Monday, the FSB delivered a more detailed report on the matter, noting that these once “plain vanilla” investment products have taken a “disquieting” turn and have tacked on “new elements of complexity and opacity.” The new flavors of ETFs pose new challenges regarding counterparty and collateral risks and could...
  • Chinese Real Estate Bubble Pops: Beijing Real Estate Prices Plunge 27% In One Month

    04/14/2011 9:15:38 AM PDT · by jpl · 12 replies
    Zero Hedge Blog ^ | Thursday April 14, 2011 | Tyler Durden
    Could the Chinese monetary tightening be working? The National Bureau of Statistics has released its latest food price update for the period April 1-10, which shows that while most foods continue to rise modestly, several food products have plunged particularly cucumbers and rapes, both falling 8.8%, kidney beans 6.3% and kidney beans down 6.3%. Yet this is nothing compared to what is happening to Chinese real estate: it appears Chanos' long anticipated property bubble may have popped... but the supersonic boom is so loud that nobody has heard it yet. From Market News: Prices of new homes in China's capital...
  • Federal Reserve Policies Risk Creating Asset Bubbles

    04/12/2011 6:13:53 PM PDT · by expat_panama · 17 replies
    INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY ^ | April 12, 2011 | NORM ALSTER
    When Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke this month kicks off regular press briefings, he'll likely face uncomfortable questions about whether his ultra-easy policies risk creating a new round of asset bubbles.Critics inside and outside the Fed have taken aim at Bernanke's aggressive strategy and its long-term effects on bonds, commodities, stocks and more. They recall that the central bank's cheap money helped inflate the housing bubble whose debris has yet to be fully cleared."We are seeing the signs of all the intoxication that typically takes place when we have the ambrosia of cheap and readily available capital," Dallas Fed President...
  • Silver's Price Action Nearly Parabolic, but Is a Bubble Really Forming?

    04/07/2011 8:42:20 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 17 replies
    Minyanville ^ | 04/06/2011 | Michael A. Gayed
    Every now and then, I like to run a comparative screen on my list of over 800 ETFs/ETNs to find those areas of the investable universe which are at extremes relative to the broader stock market, or relative to themselves. Given recent market actions and the incredible resilience risk assets have had as of late, I thought it might be worth identifying those ETFs/ETNs furthest away from their respective 50-day moving averages. The purpose of doing this is to see where the crowd has been putting money to work the most, and perhaps identify contrarian trades. Silver by far and...
  • The Higher Education Bubble

    04/06/2011 8:06:48 AM PDT · by Black_Shark · 1 replies
    Forbes.com ^ | April 5th, 2011 | Richard Vedder
    Higher education is in a bubble situation—its price has risen sharply, fueled by cheap federal loan and grant money (sound familiar?) while the return on the investment has fallen. More and more college students are either not graduating or are taking jobs that do not require college-level skills and often pay mediocre amounts. In investor parlance, the price-earnings ratio on investing in higher education seems to be rising sharply. Where markets operate without external interference, there would be a correction. Sensing lower returns on their investment, the demand for higher education would fall and, with that, enrollments. Declining demand would...
  • After historic gains, are stocks nearing a bubble?

    03/06/2011 12:30:32 PM PST · by BenLurkin · 9 replies
    AP ^ | Sunday March 6, 2011, 3:10 pm | Matthew Craft and David K. Randall,
    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke fielded the usual questions about inflation, tax cuts and government debt during a trip to Congress last week. Then a new question popped up: Is the Fed creating another bubble in stock prices?
  • China’s High-Speed Rail, Highly Suspect

    03/04/2011 2:11:03 AM PST · by TigerLikesRooster · 14 replies
    Forbes ^ | 03/02/11 | TIM FERGUSON
    China’s High-Speed Rail, Highly Suspect Mar. 2 2011 - 5:41 pm By TIM FERGUSON May we please have a station stop in the slavering over the Chinese high-speed rail program? China itself is not so enamored, based on the crackdown on officials involved. Here’s the latest from the South China Morning Post on the dismissal of the nation’s Railways Minister and the engineer in charge of the system’s R&D. Seems there were “severe violations of discipline,” which is usually code for corruption. The larger issue with the vast (16,000 kilometers planned by 2020) endeavor is that it isn’t, in fact,...
  • Twitter for $10bn? Don't form a queue (This is a bubble that says 175M users are worth $57 each)

    02/11/2011 6:53:53 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 15 replies
    The Guardian ^ | 02/11/2011 | Nilis Pratley
    AOL's purchase of The Huffington Post for $315m, or 10 times revenues, was bizarre. A valuation of $50bn for Facebook, which has revenues of $2bn, was extraordinary. But $10bn for Twitter? That's off the scale. It is 100 times revenues – this year's forecast revenues, not sales that have been generated yet. That cannot make sense. It is reported, however, that Twitter has been talking to potential suitors, including Google and Facebook, about a deal at such a sky-high price. But Twitter's last fundraising was only two months ago and valued the networking site at $3.9bn. Is the company supposed...