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Articles Posted by John Robie

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  • U.S.: Kim Jong Il may have suffered stroke

    09/09/2008 7:25:04 AM PDT · by John Robie · 82 replies · 372+ views
    MSNBC ^ | 9/9/2008
    SEOUL, South Korea - A U.S. intelligence official said North Korean leader Kim Jong Il, 66, may have suffered a stroke, the Associated Press reported Tuesday. A U.S. intelligence official said there is reason to believe Kim Jong Il is sick after he failed to show up at a North Korean national celebration on Tuesday. That official and another U.S. source spoke on condition of anonymity to describe sensitive intelligence gathering. Earlier, South Korea's largest daily, the Chosun Ilbo, said Kim collapsed last month, citing a South Korean diplomatic source in Beijing.
  • Tibet crisis won't dissuade Bush from attending Olympics

    03/20/2008 11:23:30 PM PDT · by John Robie · 19 replies · 497+ views
    AFP ^ | 3/20/2008 | AFP
    WASHINGTON (AFP) — The United States made a high-level plea Thursday to China to show restraint in Tibet and open talks with the Dalai Lama but said the unrest will not force President George W. Bush to miss the Olympics Games. Bush intends to visit Beijing for the Olympics in August because it is a sporting rather than a political event, but in making the trip, he will be able to speak his mind to President Hu Jintao, Bush spokeswoman Dana Perino said. Unlike other people, "he's able to speak very frankly to the Chinese president or the Russian president...
  • US, NATO may be poised to move against Al Qaeda and Taliban in Pakistan

    01/28/2008 12:36:48 AM PST · by John Robie · 18 replies · 58+ views
    Strategic Intelligence ^ | 1/22/2008 | Strategic Intelligence
    1/22/2008 1:09 AM EST I. Our intelligence analysts have observed several trends and occurrences that indicate the United States and its NATO allies may be preparing to take significant action against the Pakistan-based al Qaeda Central (AQC) and Taliban in 2008 and beyond. In the following estimate, we have outlined these trends and occurrences, along with the US and NATO’s likely courses of action. II. The following attitudes among American and NATO leadership lead our analysts to conclude that the allies will be more aggressive in targeting AQC and the Taliban within Pakistan’s borders: A) Many in Washington have become...
  • The first crisis of the Second Cold War?

    01/22/2008 12:40:02 PM PST · by John Robie · 12 replies · 53+ views
    Strategic Intelligence ^ | 1/22/2008 | Startegic Intelligence
    Over the past several years, the Russian Federation has taken a posture that is increasingly antagonistic and hostile toward the US and NATO. Recent Russian military activity and the Kremlin’s stances on Iran and Kosovo indicate a potential for confrontation with the West. We assess that the Kosovo situation in particular could be a catalyst for this confrontation. Kosovo’s quest for independence from Serbia has been largely ignored by Western policymakers and the media, but this volatile issue could quickly become a global crisis, pitting Kosovo and its NATO allies against the Russian Federation. Putin has explicitly stated that they...
  • U.S. warplanes flatten ‘safe havens’ in Iraq

    01/10/2008 9:02:34 AM PST · by John Robie · 30 replies · 81+ views
    AP ^ | 1/10/2008 | AP
    BAGHDAD - U.S. bombers and jet fighters unleashed 40,000 pounds of explosives during a 10-minute airstrike Thursday, flattening what the military called al-Qaida in Iraq safe havens on the southern outskirts of the capital. The strikes, carried out above approaching troops, was part of Operation Phantom Phoenix, a nationwide campaign launched Tuesday against al-Qaida in Iraq
  • Bush trip is not without dangers

    01/10/2008 9:01:29 AM PST · by John Robie · 13 replies · 108+ views
    Strategic Intelligence ^ | 1/10/2008 | Strategic Intelligence
    January 10, 2008 2:49 AM EST Intelligence Estimate for President Bush’s Trip to the Middle East and Persian Gulf President Bush has embarked on an eight-day visit to Israel, the West Bank, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt. Strategic Intelligence believes this tour is perhaps the most dangerous mission ever carried out by a sitting US President. Strategic Intelligence was preparing an estimate on the threat to US leaders in light of the recent assassination of Benazir Bhutto. The estimate was set to focus specifically on the threat posed by the Al-Qaeda Network and likeminded organizations....
  • Iranian deception in the Strait of Hormuz?

    01/10/2008 9:01:27 AM PST · by John Robie · 44 replies · 79+ views
    Strategic Intelligence ^ | 1/10/2008 | Strategic Intelligence
    January 10, 2008 2:59 AM EST Threat Assessment Regarding US Ships in the Persian Gulf Last weekend’s incident involving Iranian fast boats and US naval ships underscores the volatile nature of the Persian Gulf. During the incident, a US naval convoy was approached by five fast boats operated by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard (IRG). The Iranian boats came within 200 meters of convoy and issued threats indicating that they were conducting a suicide attack of some sort. The Iranian boats then turned around and fled the area. The incident occurred in the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, through which 20%...