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Posts by John Robinson

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  • Lawmakers push for racial breakdown in Maryland’s public coronavirus data, seek to spot disparities early

    03/31/2020 3:46:45 AM PDT · 22 of 46
    John Robinson to 11th_VA

    The “people of color” angle as presented is retarded, but we SHOULD collect this data. Was watching a clip of a Chinese program talking about engineering viruses to target specific ethnicities. What if this is bio-engineered to wreck havoc particularly hard on a European ethniticity.

  • Why Iceland’s approach to coronavirus testing may be better than America’s

    03/29/2020 6:00:04 PM PDT · 3 of 29
    John Robinson to DHerion

    This data will help model the disease. From this data, multiplying hospitalized cases by 40 gives a rough estimate of the true number of infections. Half of those having no idea, just walking around shedding viral load.

  • New York state coronavirus cases soar to about 1,700, hospitalizing 19%

    03/18/2020 4:12:13 AM PDT · 175 of 255
    John Robinson to RomanSoldier19
    The worst part of this is that those who are showing up with symptoms now were infected anywhere from 2 days to 2 weeks ago. Of those just now showing up, if their case closes in death, it will be 10 days from now. If they fully recover, it could be 20+ days from now (I don't have this figure off-hand.)

    I haven't seen rate of infection for New York specifically, but they're currently the new hot spot. Nationally, an order of magnitude increase in cases every two weeks. That rate of increase far outstrips ramped up testing, these are not being discovered through testing -- they're coming in with symptoms and then tested positive.

    This situation will quickly escalate.

    If suppression was effective in the state, R will be knocked below 1 and the number of new cases will begin to dwindle effectively a few weeks beyond the date of successful R < 1, allowing hospitals to clear out the cases.

    Quarantine measures will then be eased.

    And then we'll probably go through the entire process again in a few months, with different patients. Hopefully, reinfection is not possible.

    There is no other way to handle this situation. Alternative scenarios involve catastrophic casualties -- from 4.4+ million with zero effort to contain the virus (well beyond surge capacity), to 2.2+ million in an effort to "burn through the virus" (gaining herd immunity but beyond surge capacity), to this current throttle-via-quarantine method until a vaccine is developed -or- we've gained herd immunity and lost aprx 1.1 million.

    This is the study that details why the UK shifted away from "burn through" to suppression. In summary, as the study says, firsthand experience with this virus demonstrated that previous estimates were too optimistic. I think that's an academic way of saying China lied.

  • White House Takes New Line After Dire Report on Death Toll

    03/17/2020 3:14:01 AM PDT · 73 of 122
    John Robinson to RoosterRedux; hoosierham

    Good points, you two. I am suspicious of the nature of this beast — and I have researched, but there appears to only be circumstantial evidence and some disputed genome analysis. I know nothing about genetic analysis so I’ll accept the conclusion of being “disputed genetic analysis” with great circumstantial evidence on the other side. The greatest point of contention is the “insertion”; several gene hackers have opined that nobody would splice genes in such a way. (But couldn’t a manmade virus been grown through a long series of evolutions — thus erasing the evidence of splicing. I don’t know the answer nor have the expertise.)

  • White House Takes New Line After Dire Report on Death Toll

    03/17/2020 2:55:20 AM PDT · 67 of 122
    John Robinson to Mr Ramsbotham
    Bioweapon or not, it's an excellent virus in that: it spreads asymptomatically from 2 days to 2 weeks before symptoms appear, from which it then slowly degrades its host. 20% requiring substantial care, with a substantial death rate (mean time from symptoms to death: 10.1 days.) It is effectively a highly infectious pathogen despite the person-to-person infection rate being relatively low -- it's the amount of time it remains undetected leaving its host appearing healthy, giving Coronachan many opportunities to spread her blessings.

    It currently spreads through the population at a rate of approximately tenfold every two weeks, with those newly infected essentially hidden for up to two weeks (asymptomatic.)

    In battle, this is like a gutshot. Not instantly fatal, it takes not just one soldier off the field, but support staff as well, tying up resources all the while.

    It would make the perfect bioweapon if the aggressor nation had a vaccine. (Which is why, if anything, this was an unintentional leak -- if it is manmade.)

  • NSC Twitter: “Text message rumors of a national #quarantine are FAKE. There is no national lockdown.”

    03/16/2020 5:00:22 AM PDT · 49 of 53
    John Robinson to Stravinsky
    Ah, I didn't mean to address the article specifically nor you, Strav. The general tone around here -- within all Wu Flu threads. Part of me sincerely wants to call this a pandemic of mass hysteria, but there are data points that stick in my craw, things I cannot dismiss as easily. I know the many enemies of Trump are taking full advantage of this situation, but the severity of actions taken by China -- unless THAT was fabricated, and this is all some huge 4D chess game of psychological manipulation. That's so very thin, though.

    As it stands, we're facing severe economic hardship as this draws out, and even the national quarantine rumored here doesn't seem implausible given the trajectory, which might not just be the last nail in the coffin for the economy, but the final straw before civil unrest.

    With a potential Sanders candidacy, and potential for revolution inducing hardship, we must move forward with extreme care.

  • NSC Twitter: “Text message rumors of a national #quarantine are FAKE. There is no national lockdown.”

    03/16/2020 12:28:18 AM PDT · 42 of 53
    John Robinson to Stravinsky
    Western democratic governments around the globe are enacting extreme measures including full quarantines. To believe all these institutions are reacting to hyper-sensationalism in the global media to install Biden as the US President sounds absurd.

    I do not trust the media, the US or elsewhere, but there are a few things I trust even less: China and government in general.

    Is it so difficult to consider a scenario where China accidentally released an unfinished bioweapon, for which they vehemently deny (of course), and for which Western governments are at least suspect is the case -- but will not reveal because we all see the panic from a 1% lethality virus and it wouldn't be mayhem compared to the knowledge that a bonafide bioweapon is rampaging the planet. I'm not saying that is necessarily the case, but it's a scenario that would cause world governments to react this way for good reason. A Spanish Flu pandemic is plausibly another case.

  • At 366 Fatalities, Italy Has Second-Highest Virus Deaths, Infections After China (Now Second-Worst at 7,375, Up 1,492 on Day)

    03/08/2020 12:18:46 PM PDT · 6 of 21
    John Robinson to null and void
    [Preprint] Bulk and Single-Cell Transcriptomics Identify Tobacco-Use Disparity in Lung Gene Expression of ACE2, the Receptor of 2019-nCov

    In this study, we analyzed five large-scale bulk transcriptomic datasets of normal lung tissue and two single-cell transcriptomic datasets to investigate the disparities related to race, age, gender and smoking status in ACE2 gene expression and its distribution among cell types. We didn’t find significant disparities in ACE2 gene expression between racial groups (Asian vs Caucasian), age groups (>60 vs <60) or gender groups (male vs female). However, we observed significantly higher ACE2 gene expression in former smoker’s lung compared to non-smoker’s lung. Also, we found higher ACE2 gene expression in Asian current smokers compared to non-smokers but not in Caucasian current smokers, which may indicate an existence of gene-smoking interaction. In addition, we found that ACE2 gene is expressed in specific cell types related to smoking history and location.
    I understand Chinese men are heavy smokers which may have contributed in part (combined with CCP's lackluster initial response) to the higher CFR in Wuhan.
  • First Coronavirus Case Confirmed in Washington, DC

    03/08/2020 5:28:14 AM PDT · 26 of 36
    John Robinson to Vigilantcitizen

    As I understand the foul-up, the CDC, in it’s infinite wisdom, designed a 3-in-1 test kit (SARS, MERS, COVID19) which had a defect in one of its components, ruining the kit for all three tests. Beyond stupid, particularly in the face of a potential pandemic. Keep It Simple, Stupid.

  • First Coronavirus Case Confirmed in Washington, DC

    03/07/2020 10:57:51 PM PST · 17 of 36
    John Robinson to allendale
    South Korea is testing aggressively. IIRC, they've performed something like 100,000 tests, have 7,134 confirmed cases and 50 deaths. I'm going to call that the gold standard despite the church incident. Using that as a model, I divide SK cases by SK deaths (7134/50=142.68) then multiply that against US deaths (*19) for an estimate of US cases: 2,711. There are probably hilarious flaws with this method, but it's a start. (Using the floating petri dish [but smaller sample size] gives 696/6=116 ... *19=2,204.)

    data

  • First Coronavirus Case Confirmed in Washington, DC

    03/07/2020 10:45:51 PM PST · 16 of 36
    John Robinson to familyop

    Moreso, children rely more on their innate immune response as they haven’t encountered nearly as many patterns to build an effective adaptive immune response. Being a novel virus, only the innate immune response is effective. As we grow older, our adaptive immune response becomes more prevalent. Generally, this is better equipped to handle the bugs in our environment. However, with something completely foreign like this, it’s more of a hindrance. Those in their golden years gradually lose their innate response entirely, and thus the high mortality rate.

  • FFS ANOTHER ATTACK ON FR???

    02/04/2020 8:19:46 PM PST · 34 of 63
    John Robinson to Secret Agent Man

    Yeah. He changed his tactics. I’ll work on a countermeasure tonight to be ready for tomorrow.

  • Looks like we have another DOS attack in progress

    01/24/2020 12:01:52 PM PST · 36 of 69
    John Robinson to Swordmaker

    Skynet blocked over 7,500 distinct hosts from all over the world the other day before the attack ended (after nearly exactly 24 hours — probably rented botnet for a day.) Because the attacks were against a few URLs, some not receiving much traffic, it’s probably possible to go back through the logs to find the IP address of the attacker — assuming he visited the URL before configuring the botnet to attack it. Not much I could do with that so I haven’t bothered, except maybe a counter-attack ;-) Maybe we’ll have a Freepbotnet haha

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 4:37:52 PM PST · 60 of 64
    John Robinson to ransomnote
    A leftist got ahold of a botnet, thousands of compromised computers, and is using those machines to attack Free Republic. Skynet is a little script I wrote to defend against this. Over 4,000 bots blocked so far.

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 12:16:27 PM PST · 41 of 64
    John Robinson to John Robinson
    GET /tag/*/index?q=%random% HTTP/1.0
    LOL
  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 12:14:17 PM PST · 39 of 64
    John Robinson to ConservativeMind

    Yeah, over 2.5 thousand scalps collected so far. I even reset the block list just to giddily watch it in action all over again.

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 11:45:49 AM PST · 27 of 64
    John Robinson to Jim Robinson

    $ wc -l killed.log
    1692 killed.log

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 11:42:50 AM PST · 24 of 64
    John Robinson to Revel

    Yes, some script kiddie that voted for Hillary is sad right now.

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 11:33:59 AM PST · 2 of 64
    John Robinson to John Robinson

    Over 1,400 severed already!

  • Skynet is online

    01/21/2020 11:32:46 AM PST · 1 of 64
    John Robinson