“...the circumstances around Rich's death are unusual, the report states. “We may never know why Seth was targeted for attack, but we do know that so many non-routine events had to take place prior to the interaction that it was not statistically random,” the researchers write. Those anomalies include Rich's being out at around 4 a.m. and the fact that he was white, since only 6 percent of unsolved homicides in D.C. in 2016 involved non-African-Americans, according to the report.
The murderer, according to The Profiling Project, “brought a most likely unregistered firearm to the crime scene, utilized the firearm and most likely carried the firearm away from the crime scene.” The report continues, “That the crime scene appeared to be almost sanitized (no firearms casings were reported to be found, no physical evidence was reported), and that there does not appear to be excessive use of force (as only two shots were reported), the offender does not appear to be psychotic.”
The researchers believe there was just one shooter. That shooter could have been a serial killer or serial murderer, according to the report, which uses the FBI’s definition for an offender who kills two or more people in separate events. “With such a sanitized crime scene and no emotional indications,” the report says, “this is not Offender[’s] first kill.”
As for the conspiracy theories, the Profiling Project says those are unfounded, given that Rich did not die immediately at the scene: “A professional killer, whose sole job would have been to terminate Seth, did not accomplish their mission prior to escaping.”
“If this were a professional hit person, they failed,” says Doherty, the team member. “Nothing we've seen supports [the theory of] an assassin.”
Newsweek jumps on the idea that Rich's death is the work of a “serial killer,” rather than a professional assassin. The sole reason for this is that Rich didn't die at the scene. Given the evidence that Rich was deliberately targeted, it seems more reasonable to conclude only that his killer wasn't a top pro - not that his death was not a hit.