Posts by only1percent

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  • TERROR? Unexplained 8-Minute Plunge w/ NO SOS has GermanWings Pilots Refusing to Fly...

    03/25/2015 5:14:34 AM PDT · 32 of 95
    only1percent to Reaganite Republican

    This was the European equivalent of a Spirit Air flight from Miami to Minneapolis crashing in the Ozarks. There’s basically no flight less likely to have had any high value targets on the ground or aboard. It would fit into a terror plan only if they could repeat it often enough to stop all flying.

  • Presbyterian group votes to allow gay marriage

    03/22/2015 9:53:08 AM PDT · 18 of 25
    only1percent to lqcincinnatus

    It makes perfect sense for the PCUSA to do this. The whole point of the PCUSA (and ELCA and TEC) for most of its younger members is to provide spiritual validation for their lifestyle choices and political views. People who take scripture seriously (whether Protestant, Catholic or Orthodox) were not about to start to worship at their local PCUSA church if the national body had decided against gay marriage, but it DEFINITELY is the case that the core membership would stroll on over to a more liberal congregation. It’s already happening to Methodists outside of the South.

    Is it doomed in the end? Yes, of course — the kids being raised in these hyper-liberal churches mostly end up irreligious, or if by chance they actually pick up a faith in scripture, moving on to more serious churches. But in the meantime it’s what they need to do to survive.

  • Texas Senator Ted Cruz to announce presidential run: report

    03/22/2015 9:37:03 AM PDT · 64 of 122
    only1percent to TangledUpInBlue

    It’s great to see him in.

    But I hope that he and Walker fight it out aggressively THIS YEAR and one emerges as the clear conservative choice.

    The system is oriented towards individual plurality, not collective majority. If Christie doesn’t make a real run for it, Bush gets 90%+ of the moderate vote. If Clinton has no real opposition, tons of people will vote on the Republican line in favor of the GOP moderate(s).

    If BOTH of these conditions apply (Hillary effectively unopposed, Christie not a significant factor), than Bush is essentially assured of the nomination before March 1st if both Cruz and Walker are dividing up the conservative vote.

  • The End Of Starbucks as We Know It?

    03/21/2015 2:14:34 PM PDT · 37 of 61
    only1percent to SamAdams76

    Starbucks margins and traffic don’t sustain those kind of rents. An ex-Starbucks location in Manhattan will become a bank branch (thanks to the Federal Reserve, nothing’s more profitable than taking deposits), cell phone outlet, or a restaurant with higher margins and a stronger evening / weekend business.

  • Obama: College ‘surest ticket’ to middle class

    03/15/2015 9:01:19 AM PDT · 111 of 112
    only1percent to john mirse

    This is really an Occam’s Razor issue.

    Is there one person who’d think less of Obama (whether or not they like him now) if he found out that as a 17 year old kid Obama had ticked a “foreign” box in his application to Oxy? I don’t think so: confirms what birthers think they already know, doesn’t mean a thing to lefties who already think that American exceptionalism is bigotry.

    But there are a LOT of people who have a lot invested in the idea of Obama being extremely smart and intellectually diligent, and would be shaken up badly to see bad grades and low board scores ... and the simple fact is that standard affirmative action policies, read against his academic path, could have allowed him to have had pretty bad grades and board scores at very points.

  • Obama: College ‘surest ticket’ to middle class

    03/14/2015 8:40:30 AM PDT · 84 of 112
    only1percent to john mirse

    Obama’s college and law school experience is not especially controversial or suspect. He had the helping hands that any smart, personable, prep-school educated African American child of a low-income single mother had before him, at the same time as him, and since. Now those helping hands certainly are considerable, but are only objectionable or controversial to the extent that you consider affirmative action objectionable or controversial as a general matter. No conspiracy, that’s for sure.

    And while it’s clear that he had some powerful friends and advocates who navigated him from Harvard Law to his first book contract and his gig at the University of Chicago, from then on, it was pretty much all him. The way he launched his political career — a 1996 machine-supported bid for the state legislature from a Chicago district — was hardly auspicious for a big time political career; no Chicago local pol had been elected Governor or US Senator since 1948, and even that was Paul Douglas who was no Daley guy. From 2003 to 2008 the guy was willing to take on long odds and got nice and lucky when the odds-on Democrats proved hapless and the Republicans nominated jokes and has-beens to oppose him.

  • Obama Administration Unlikely to Seek Emergency Stay on Immigration Ruling

    02/17/2015 7:41:52 PM PST · 28 of 38
    only1percent to LongWayHome

    The amnesty establishment wants political cover on this, ideally a pro-amnesty Republican being nominated for President or an anti-amnesty one losing the election.

  • New York City sets record with no murders in 10 days in a row

    02/12/2015 8:01:31 PM PST · 42 of 43
    only1percent to Labyrinthos

    well said

  • Jeb Bush has become the GOP front-runner for 2016 — so now what?

    02/01/2015 11:39:37 AM PST · 72 of 81
    only1percent to C19fan

    We all need to calm down.

    Things are much better than they’ve been in a long, long time.

    We have at least two likely candidates (Walker and Cruz) who are better than anything the conservative wing of the party has offered since Ronald Reagan 37 years ago. Conservative candidates in the past have been nobodies, has-beens, or barely trying. Thanks to the internet donor base and independent expenditures of dedicated conservative donors they can be fully financially competitive without any establishment-blessed fundraisers in New York or LA.

    And Jeb Bush is unlike any past “establishment” candidates. He is violently opposed to many mainstream conservative goals and ideas. He is distinctly associated with NO mainstream conservative goals and ideas. He’s not like John McCain in 2008 ... heck, he’s not even like Rudy Giuliani in 2008. You have to reach back to the likes of Howard Javitz to find someone with his (lack of) fit on the ideological spectrum.

    If Jeb is nominated, it’s because Republicans want him, not because the wool was pulled over anyone’s eyes.

  • CNN/ORC Poll: Bush surges to 2016 GOP frontrunner

    12/28/2014 7:59:50 AM PST · 60 of 160
    only1percent to C19fan

    To be fair, the MSM is also pushing “Hillary can’t be beat” while at the same time her polls indicate that her support is shallower than a puddle after a 20-minute rainfall.

    There’s a real chance the Democrats will be faked out, and nominate Hillary by default with (say) Bernie Sanders playing the role that Joe Biden played in 2000 against Al Gore — nominal opposition.

    At least on our side we can be comforted that we won’t be faked out into nominating Jeb — between Cruz, Walker and Jindal, if even only one runs, we’re already assured we will have the strongest conservative aspirant for the Republican nomination since Reagan in 1980. Unlike the moderate nominees since Reagan, if Jeb’s the nominee it will be out of conscious decision not to go right by a plurality of the Republican primary and caucus voters.

  • Ted Cruz 2016: 4 Hurdles Faced By GOP Presidential Hopeful

    12/21/2014 2:04:44 PM PST · 30 of 32
    only1percent to 2ndDivisionVet

    It’s pretty clear to me that this is wrong. There will be two to three serious conservative campaigns: Walker, Cruz and/or Jindal. The least successful of them will still be ten times more substantial than the best conservative attempts since Ronald Reagan in 1980. Neither Jeb Bush nor Chris Christie will be able to run them off the road the way the way Pat Robertson, Pat Buchannan, Phil Gramm, Michelle Bachman or Rick Santorum were so relatively easily derailed.

  • NY woman awarded $1M in false-arrest case

    12/13/2014 7:41:12 AM PST · 23 of 38
    only1percent to GrandJediMasterYoda

    Absolutely right. I know a lot of Long Island cops, and they just don’t think in the way that would lead you to arrest a 58-year-old woman and say “I’m going to make an example of you to other right-wingers.” It just didn’t happen. I could see them saying that to some tweaker from Mastic or banger from Roosevelt while cuffing them facedown on the pavement after mouthing off ... but this? Nah.

    Now, Long Island cops aren’t exactly conservatives. They are very well-paid government employees who rely for their big salaries and their (to a private sector person) almost unimaginably generous retirement plans upon local and state government which the public employee unions have almost entirely captured, and on the extremely high taxes that their captive government is willing to impose. If there were a robust Tea Party movement on Long Island which was stalking the tax assessor or PBA President driving his kids to lacrosse practice, sure I could see them getting up in arms about a right winger — but the military? No way. Cops are completely pro-military, and are important component of the Guard and Reserve manpower by the way. (I played golf with a LI police lieutenant who told me their guys had suffered more shots-fired-in-anger injuries in Iraq and Afghanistan at $600/week than they had in patrolling Nassau and Suffolk Counties at $2000/week in the past 15 years.)

  • Civil War Erupting Among Democrats Over Obamacare

    12/07/2014 12:51:05 PM PST · 26 of 68
    only1percent to Zakeet

    Here’s the basic problem.

    The popular parts of Obamacare are already done — pre-existing conditions limits, kids covered to 26, and insurance or Medicaid plans for people who weren’t dirt poor enough to get Medicaid but not high-value enough employees to warrant health care benefits, the passive income surcharge tax on nastry ole’ rich people.

    But these popular parts REQUIRE that the unpopular parts be implemented or the whole thing collapses. Employer mandate, huge deductibles on bronze and silver plans, large premium increases on employer-provided plans because of new benefits and eligibility requirements, etc.

    You can’t undo one without the other.

  • Meet the house that inequality built: 432 Park Avenue

    11/29/2014 4:49:02 AM PST · 19 of 24
    only1percent to dangus

    In all likelihood, no Republicams or Democrats. It’s a pied a terre building for foreigners. It’s a stupid location for a primary home for a wealthy person, being far from residential amenitIes and in a weekend dead zone.

  • The New G.O.P. Showdown Threat (NYT editorial)

    11/28/2014 7:43:54 AM PST · 39 of 49
    only1percent to reaganaut1
    Impeaching in the House is easy, convicting in the Senate with the 2/3 majority is the hard part. I don't think we should impeach just for show.

    Exactly. Impeachment simply gives Obama grounds to grandstand in front of his base. He will plead not guilty on the ground that the executive orders are within his Constitutional authority, and zero Democrat Senators will vote to convict. Impeachment didn't hurt Bill Clinton one bit, and this will actually help Obama.
  • Southern Democrats trying to recover lost ground

    11/28/2014 5:59:42 AM PST · 64 of 80
    only1percent to Prov1322

    Southern Democrats have reached the point of declining returns — they can’t reap any more identity voting among minorities and yankees without sewing even more of it for Republicans among whites.

    And, even the pandering to minorities is hitting a wall. Democrats offer zero — less than zero, when you think about it — to a black man with a job supporting his family. A few more Tim Scotts and we’ll have the African American Democrat vote trending down from the 90s to the 70s while the vote stays solid in the 60s and 70s. That’s unbeatable.

  • Ted Cruz Impresses NYC's Jewish Donors in Whirlwind Stopover

    11/26/2014 6:07:31 AM PST · 37 of 72
    only1percent to evilC

    Adelson cares infinitely more about Israel than he does about illegals. (He doubtless employs plenty of illegals, but his casinos are unionized so he’s paying them far higher wages than most U.S. citizens get when working in the hospitality industry.)

    If he’s smart he’ll recognize the need to keep the Republican party politically viable through retaking the Presidency in 2016. A Republican Party that can’t get the White House means the certain takeover of military and foreign policy by anti-Israel people.

    Democrats of Hillary’s generation, or Obama’s, may be rhetorically or sentimentally anti-Israel but don’t perceive themselves free to take substantive action in that direction. Younger Democrats who aren’t Jewish are monolithically pro-Palestinian and younger Jewish liberals are too embarrassed to make Israel a do-or-die issue.

  • Judge backpedals on controversial ruling in favor of Fort Worth mega church

    11/26/2014 5:53:04 AM PST · 11 of 30
    only1percent to Gamecock

    Met with the church’s pastor, changed the beneficiary of his life insurance to the church, and then killed himself.

    That’s a tasty meatball!

  • The Path to a Permanent GOP Majority

    11/25/2014 5:08:56 AM PST · 11 of 19
    only1percent to Kaslin

    A permanent Republican majority will need 70% of white votes and at least half of Asian and a third of Hispanic votes, with a strong replacement dynamic (i.e., young white voters trending strongly Republican, and young Asian and Hispanic voters not trending hugely Democrat). There is a LONG way to go to achieve any of these targets.

  • What Makes Wisconsin's Republican Governor Scott Walker a Good Choice for 2016

    11/23/2014 6:17:14 AM PST · 29 of 48
    only1percent to Menthops

    That’s not a fair comment. And I like Cruz!

    Walker has done a lot to live forward conservative ideas into policy in the face of withering opposition in three general election.

    Cruz has talked a big game, with only nominal opposition in his one general election, with the next (an off year 2018) offering approximately zero risk to his reelection.

  • Elizabeth Warren Polishes Her Class Warfare Rhetoric

    11/19/2014 8:25:02 PM PST · 14 of 38
    only1percent to 2ndDivisionVet

    A lot of people wake up every day hoping for higher taxes — it’s pretty mainstream.

    Liberals writing for mass audiences talk about uncapping Social Security tax as if its an obvious good (or, rather, that Social Security tax being capped is an obvious giveaway to the undeserving “rich”). That it would instantly hike the effective tax (employer + employee) by 12.4% of wages, close to a 30% increase in average tax burden, they don’t care.

    And it gets heavier. Google “guaranteed basic income.” People as high profile as Warren won’t talk about it (yet), but it is approaching monolithic as a concept on the left.

  • 13 College Majors Where The Pay Goes Nowhere

    11/18/2014 9:25:16 AM PST · 45 of 53
    only1percent to The Great RJ

    Philosophy majors from rigorous programs do very well indeed. Probably the highest-IQ set you’ll find anywhere. I can’t think of a philosophy major I knew who isn’t either a multi-millionaire or a tenured professor at a very respectable school (in several fields). Most became computer programming whizzes along the way.

    I knew a few Peace Studies majors. Also very smart kids. Hippies, obviously, but it hasn’t held ‘em back. One went into organic agriculture VERY early and has several bicycles worth more than my car. Couple went corporate and are doing fine. Couple are still hippies but boy they look fit and happy with their 15-years-younger girlfriends on Facebook.

    English? Real grab bag. The ones who went to law school have high-powered careers of the sorts that people who go to good law schools (used to be) more or less assured of. Kind of functions as a “yes I got a college degree more rigorous than mass communications or early-childhood education” stamp on your resume — what you make of it.

  • Bill De Blasio 2016? NYC Mayor Will Run For President, Beat Hillary Clinton, New York..

    11/17/2014 8:16:19 AM PST · 32 of 46
    only1percent to PROCON

    It’s not a terrible idea. Leftists want a champion against Hillary, and Warren may not oblige. He is a creation of the public employee and health care unions — and they have never had one of their own as the nominee; Warren is good for them but De Blasio infinitely better. He has an African-American wife and that worked extremely well for him in getting the African-American vote in the Mayoral primary in 2013, no reason it couldn’t do that for him in the key early states of South Carolina and Florida.

  • The first 2016 Electoral College Map looks bad for Democrats

    11/14/2014 12:38:07 PM PST · 28 of 40
    only1percent to Din Maker

    Hillary’s uninspiring ... but against any white man she’s going to get almost all the female and black vote in primaries and caucuses, and won’t have any problem getting enough white and Hispanic men voting to top it off. Warren is the only plausible challenger, and that’s only because she can sweep Iowa and New Hampshire, and hopefully get so many white women and men behind that she can overcome the big advantage Hillary will have with blacks and hispanics in South Carolina, Nevada and Florida.

  • Best Candidate of 2014 (Cory Garner) -- and lessons for 2016

    11/12/2014 6:40:56 PM PST · 1 of 3
    only1percent
    Conservatives need to focus like a laser on what Cory Gardner got done. Winning in a Democrat-leaning state with a growing non-white population is a trick that we're going to have to repeat half a dozen times in 2016 to take the Presidency and hold on to a Senate majority.
  • Obama Amnesty Drafts Leaked; Would Legalize 4.5 Million Illegals (satire)

    11/12/2014 3:20:18 PM PST · 11 of 27
    only1percent to rightistight

    If that’s so ... it’s FAR more limited than anything that was discussed previously. No anchor baby benefits, indeed, nothing at all for adult illegal arrivals. Elections have consequences, I guess.

  • You supported Obama. He knew you were stupid. He counted on you being stupid. He was right.

    11/11/2014 6:29:36 PM PST · 16 of 28
    only1percent to Starman417

    The vast majority of Obama voters knew quite rationally what they were hoping for and, by and large, they have gotten it, especially given a Republican-controlled House since January 2011.

    Government employees and contractors supported? Check (2009 stimulus, and subsequent spending, with more to come).

    Gay marriage? Check, and more to come.

    Strengthened affirmative action and civil rights enforcement? Check.

    Amnesty for illegal aliens? Check (”Dreamers”) and more to come.

    Regulating coal back into the ground? Check, and more to come.

    Higher taxes to support spending on all of the above? Check.

    Expanded health coverage for the working poor? Check.

    Drug enthusiasts have gotten a “Feds will look the other way” on state legalization efforts, and potentially MUCH more to come. (I think that a full-on gay-marriage-in-2012 “change of heart” is coming on this issue; maybe a comprehensive federal non-prosecution policy on marijuana and street-level heroin and cocaine offendss.)

    More taxes on the “rich” to pay for all the above? Check.

    More liberal judges to perpetuate and expand all of the above for years to come? Check.

    Now — there are Obama voters who aren’t happy.

    Extremists wish he’d done more and faster on every front.

    Peace and privacy activists legitimately complain that he’s done little, except maybe some unfriendly rhetoric about Israel, that George W. Bush wouldn’t have done with drones, spying, troops in wherever, etc.

    Private sector unions haven’t gotten anything tangible, although the NLRB has taken some stabs at things without much effect.

  • Terrorists foiled in plot to kill Queen Elizabeth

    11/08/2014 8:49:53 AM PST · 17 of 38
    only1percent to GrandJediMasterYoda

    Sure these guys are no princes, but what are the odds that this was the work of a police or intelligence agent provocateur? All the numbskull plots in the US were a collaboration between low IQ losers and eager g-men. Serious Muslim extremists in the UK are joining ISIS, where they can actually hope to make a difference, or at least provide a target for JDAMs and be a useful diversion. Killing the Queen sounds like the world’s most useless gesture.

  • Paul Begala: Democrats have no one but Hillary for 2016

    11/06/2014 12:58:14 PM PST · 48 of 77
    only1percent to SeekAndFind

    Ridiculous. Warren and Cuomo are chomping at the bit. Kerry, Biden and Al Gore could easily ride back in, and at least one will I think. That’s five candidates other than Hillary who would raise $100mm inside two weeks and start out with a huge name recognition and organizational advantage over any Republican likely other than Jeb Bush. And that’s saying nothing about active and potential candidates in the second tier: O’Malley, Insley, McAuliffe, Castro, etc.

  • Is Hillary Clinton The Big Winner Of 2014?

    11/05/2014 10:26:15 AM PST · 30 of 36
    only1percent to LeoMcNeil

    I don’t think this made any difference.

    The next Democratic nomination remains, as it has been since Bush was re-elected ten years ago, Hillary’s to lose.

    We know from 2008 what it takes for her to lose it: a candidate who excites the money, appeals to one or more core primary demographic, and feeds the media a story as good or better as “first woman President.”

    We can start out saying that no white man plays, period. Elizabeth Warren neutralizes the “first woman” story ... but she has yet to convert her left wing preaching into any kind of support outside of the latte-sippers, who are a minor demographic, while that preaching has polarized the East Coast money against her. Julian Castro might be a better case; in 2016 Latinos will be a much larger share of the primary electorate than African Americans in many states, while at the same time he doesn’t have the reputation as a leader in the anti-business rhetoric that Warren does.

  • Republicans First Had to Wrestle With Their Own Poor Discipline (sob)

    11/05/2014 4:26:39 AM PST · 17 of 23
    only1percent to goldstategop

    Both things can be true. Nominating moderates in states that can elect true blue conservatives is bad. But nominating idiots and people who violate the MSM’s red lines for PC for no good reason is worse. It’s not a choice we have to make — there are a thousand Ted Cruz types out there, more than enough for every seat in existence.

  • Ted Cruz Is The Frontrunner For The Republican Nomination

    11/04/2014 6:25:55 AM PST · 13 of 73
    only1percent to 2ndDivisionVet

    Cruz is much more establishment than a lot of FReepers think, or would like to believe. Less so than Bush, comparable to Jindal, far more than any other aspirant.

    He has two Ivy League degrees, had a distinguished legal and policy run in DC, and is enthusiastically backed when he tours the centimillionaires and billionaire abodes on the West Side of LA and the Upper East Side of NY.

  • Predicted headlines for Wednesday, November 5th (post them here)

    11/02/2014 5:32:39 PM PST · 101 of 105
    only1percent to keat

    I wish it weren’t so, but here’s where I would lay my money: “Democrats Hold Senate Majority and Post Big Gains in Statehouses.”

    My guess is we knock of one incumbent (Pryor) but they take down Roberts. Landrieu is forced to a run-off.

    Democrats hold all their contested open seats except Montana and South Dakota. Republicans hold their except Georgia, which heads to a run-off. We go into the election 45-55, and come out of it 47-51, and expect to split the runoffs (Rs win LA, Ds win GA), for a final result of 48-52.

    Begich and Hagan win, by margins that are so narrow, while Shaheen and Mark Udall win by margins that are so wide, that is clear that Republican strategists blew two winnable races to chase two other races that were never going to happen. But because that would have only led to staying in the minority 50-51 (Biden breaking the tie), it’s really not that big an incremental loss in the nuclear option Senate.

  • What are the predictions for the Senate races?

    10/31/2014 7:58:54 AM PDT · 28 of 47
    only1percent to nikos1121

    Dems hold 53-46 on election night, and end up 54-46 winning Georgia run-off (net loss of one seat) and, in so doing, rewrite the pollsters likely voter models with record off-year turnout of all their core demographics (African Americans, single women, the young). In addition to Georgia, the threatened R incumbents mostly fall, and Ds hold Alaska, Colorado, New Hampshire, Arkansas and North Carolina. Exit polls show that unchurched (atheists, agnostics, rarely or nevers) turnout surpasses that of self-described white Evangelicals. Extrapolating to 2016 it becomes clear that we are likely to see President Clinton or Warren with a 60- or 61-seat filibuster proof Senate majority in January 2017.

    Republicans are toast until they start to win super-majorities of educated, upper-middle-class white voters and get to 40% or better among the Hispanic and Asian middle class.

  • Nikkei up 725 (buying panic)

    10/31/2014 7:34:41 AM PDT · 37 of 40
    only1percent to Vermont Lt

    Buying panic is a pretty common feature of Asian equity markets. Asset managers who have gone to cash, or gotten short, get desperately afraid of falling short of the index. US equity managers are less closely tied in fees / pay to indices, and tend avoid this by not going to cash or short in the first place.

  • Hill panic: 300-600 Senate Dem staffers would be fired in GOP win

    10/30/2014 9:47:18 AM PDT · 77 of 157
    only1percent to Parmenio

    Democratic House staffers did just fine after 2010, as did Republican staffers in 2006. Senior ones go to lobby shops, private equity shops, think tanks, visiting professorships at policy schools, and investment banks. Junior ones go to independent expenditure groups, law school, business school, “back home” to start their own political careers, etc.

  • In Case You Had Any Doubts About What the Freedom From Religion Foundation

    10/29/2014 6:28:19 AM PDT · 8 of 9
    only1percent to Blood of Tyrants

    You should spend some time in the capitals of Europe. Unless you hang out in immigrant ghettos, you can live your whole social and professional life never encountering anyone remotely religiously observant.

  • Jerry Brown in the Stratosphere: "Governor Moonbeam" is coasting to reelection.

    10/28/2014 10:25:23 AM PDT · 22 of 37
    only1percent to SoFloFreeper

    I know it comes in for a beating on FR ... but for a party whose Presidential candidates attract significantly less than 40% of the vote, the California GOP does fine.

    It dominates rural districts, losing only one or two hippy / pot farmer / vineyard districts up north and a couple of very heavily Latino districts in the Central Valley.

    It is much more competitive in the suburban and exurban districts of Southern California than most other GOPs of are in suburbs and exurbs of similarly liberal core urban areas. That they achieve it in districts that are 40%+ Asian and Hispanic is all the more remarkable.

  • 6 Reasons We Need To Help Republicans Take The Senate Even Though They Stink

    10/28/2014 6:09:51 AM PDT · 31 of 116
    only1percent to grania

    Exactly.

    The closest the typical Republican Senate candidate comes to an issue is “I wish Obama wasn’t President and I wish Obamacare hadn’t passed.” Guess what: Obama will be President for two more years no matter what, and Obamacare cannot be repealed and the GOP Senate certainly won’t push the government shutdown face-off that would be required to defund it.

    There is a freedom and prosperity agenda that is begging for advocates, and isn’t getting it.

    The thing I worry about most in a GOP victory next week is that they’ll take it as a mandate for their do-nothing agenda.

  • Excitement mounts among Colorado GOP: ‘Republican ballots are pouring in’(12% over Dems)

    10/26/2014 8:35:40 PM PDT · 26 of 97
    only1percent to Extremely Extreme Extremist

    Yup. With Dems at least you know most of what they stand for. I couldn’t tell you what Mitch McConnell as Majority Leader is going to try to do, to say the least of accomplish, other than force Obama to nominate slightly more moderate judges.

  • Sunday poll dump: GOP surging toward the finish line

    10/26/2014 11:32:07 AM PDT · 22 of 39
    only1percent to jocon307

    Would that it were so ... but I think it’s going to fall well short, and a loss of seats is quite possible. For the Senate, there is no central Republican message, and there are a lot of weak candidates. The Democratic GOTV machine runs better every year and I think that the “likely” voter calculus understates the D vote by 2-3 points. (People are smoking crack if they think that Georgia or Louisiana run-offs will be won; the Democratic GOTV superiority will crank those to easy wins for the incumbent.)

    The governor races are going to range between disappointing missed opportunity (Illinois) to disaster (Walker’s loss in Wisconsin). Jerry Brown and Andrew Cuomo may break 65% of the vote in races in which they are barely bothering to campaign.

    The saddest thing is that Republicans f’ing up the Senate puts a 60 or 61 D filibuster proof Senate in reach for 2016.

  • RIP, NYC's middle class: Why families are being pushed away from the city

    10/26/2014 11:15:22 AM PDT · 38 of 39
    only1percent to Kid Shelleen

    NYC is FULL of the middle class — but it is mostly an immigrant middle class who overpays (relative to value received) to have the linguistic and commercial amenities of leaving near their people. Once you’re assimilated or intermarried, but aren’t rich enough to live in the upper class neighborhoods, the suburbs are what you do.

    The liberalism of the suburbs of New York really needs to have an asterisk on it. Sentimental liberals are certainly more abundant than in Texas or South Carolina — but they run their towns to be very safe, very solvent, very protective of homeowners’ economic interests, with very good schools aimed at a very conventional set of academic outcomes.

  • Puerto Rico's Gay Marriage Ban UPHELD by Federal Judge

    10/23/2014 5:50:31 AM PDT · 43 of 47
    only1percent to Yashcheritsiy
    The First Circuit will reverse him, to be sure, but will have to grapple more extensively with Baker than prior Courts of Appeals' decisions have.

    Ordinarily, this would invite cert from SCOTUS regardless of the substantive issue, but the Court should care intensely about when its past decisions can be deemed overruled by implication, but it has clearly taken the political decision that it's best for gay marriage to become law with no more SCOTUS dictate than Windsor.

    It will still require the 5th, 6th, 8th or 11th Circuits to uphold one of the DOMAs under challenge before them for the Supremes to act.
  • Why would any man vote Democrat?

    10/21/2014 10:48:05 AM PDT · 28 of 42
    only1percent to pushforbush

    40% rational self-interest: government worker, trial lawyer, a few private sector trade unions, SSI recipient, other beneficiary of Democratic policies (60%).

    20% irrational self-interest: dirt poor, Jewish, gay, most private sector trade unions

    20% thought-through (if not necessary thougtFUL) left-wing ideology

    20% knee-jerk bias — Republicans are all rich kid slobs or God-bothering hicks.

  • Wyoming won't appeal gay marriage ruling; couples can wed starting Tuesday

    10/20/2014 3:09:04 PM PDT · 16 of 18
    only1percent to eyeamok

    These cases were brought not against states but against their executive or vital statistics officers in their official capacity to compel or prohibit certain enforcement activities, which has always — for the entire history of the judiciary — functioned to vest in the District Court original jurisdiction over suits to nullify state or local laws.

  • Wyoming won't appeal gay marriage ruling; couples can wed starting Tuesday

    10/20/2014 11:52:30 AM PDT · 4 of 18
    only1percent to Vigilanteman

    No competent lawyer can appeal. The 9th Circuit has already ruled on the issue and Supreme Court refused a stay. Until and unless the Supreme Court takes cert on the 9th Circuit or another Circuit’s or State Supreme Court ruling, no District Court in the 9th Circuit can do otherwise, and no attorney should appeal. Those are the rules.

  • AGAIN! Obama claims USA to be a MUSLIM NATION!

    10/19/2014 8:26:00 PM PDT · 51 of 59
    only1percent to iontheball

    What do they say — don’t attribute to evil what can be explained by stupidity? It has a corollary for liberals — don’t attribute to evil what can be explained by a cheap, reflexive bow to diversity.

    Obama has never evidenced the slightest regard for the faith or mores of his Muslim family in Kenya or for his Muslim step-family in Indonesia.

    If there’s a closet he comes out when he retires from office, my guess is it’s more likely to be the atheist closet than the Muslim or gay one.

  • Nobody Wants To Host The 2022 Olympics — And One Example From A College Professor Tells You Why

    10/19/2014 8:16:25 PM PDT · 23 of 28
    only1percent to Dallas59

    Winter Olympics, take note.

    Putting the Winter Olympics anywhere but a well-established and centrally-located ski resort area is simply insane.

    That’s why they were so perfect in Salt Lake City — a big city with an airport and arenas with five world class ski resorts, and another half a dozen boutique ski resorts, within an hour’s drive.

  • Is Ferguson officer about to be CLEARED over killing of unarmed Michael Brown? ......

    10/19/2014 3:02:14 PM PDT · 61 of 61
    only1percent to Morgana

    A grand jury will always indict unless the prosecutor specifically opens the door to a no true bill by permitting exculpatory evidence and open debate. A prosecutor does that when he’s afraid of the trial and wants a way out.

    If the St. Louis County grand jury does no true bill, than the US Department of Justice is going to face a real problem. Sure, they can push the civil rights indictment through the grand jury — but the trial will before a petit jury drawn from the Eastern Division jury pool: considerably whiter and more conservative than the St. Louis County jury pool, and already thoroughly imbued with knowledge of the St. Louis County no true bill.

    My guess is that the Feds do not prosecute unless they think that there is drop-dead evidence that the state didn’t present to the St. Louis County grand jury.

  • Southern Evangelicals: Dwindling—and Taking the GOP Edge With Them

    10/18/2014 1:32:53 PM PDT · 14 of 52
    only1percent to Oliviaforever
    If America was losing one of the protected classes, such as blacks, Latinos, gays and lesbians, at this rate, there would be media outrage.

    You'd be surprised.

    Many of the most liberal places in the country are seeing huge waves of gentrification and loss of African American population with not more than a ho-hum.

    For example, San Francisco's African American population in the 2020 census is likely to be less than half of what it was in 1990 and the decline is even more severe when you realize that in 2020 the black population will be mostly confined to a few isolated, and hopeless housing projects.