Articles Posted by Political Junkie Too

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  • Democrat Playbook: "Pull the majority along as far as we can..."

    03/03/2017 8:49:43 PM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 7 replies
    U.S. Senate: Select Committee on Intelligence | November 06, 2003 | Senator Jay Rockefeller
    We have carefully reviewed our options under the rules and believe we have identified the best approach. Our plan is as follows: 1) Pull the majority along as far as we can on issues that may lead to major new disclosures regarding improper or questionable conduct by administration officials. We are having some success in that regard. For example, in addition to the president's State of the Union speech, the chairman has agreed to look at the activities of the Office of the Secretary of Defense as well as Secretary Bolton's office at the State Department. The fact that the...
  • Communication Stream of Conspiracy Commerce (Oldie)

    01/12/2017 11:25:02 AM PST · by Political Junkie Too
    Clinton Library via DC Leaks ^ | 1995 | Clinton Administration Staff
    OVERVIEW COMMUNICATION STREAM OF CONSPIRACY COMMERCE: The Communication Stream of Conspiracy Commerce refers to the mode of communication employed by the right wing to convey their fringe stories into legitimate subjects of coverage by the mainstream media. This is how the stream works. First, well funded right wing think tanks and individuals underwrite conservative newsletters and newspapers such as the Western Journalism Center, the American Spectator and the Pittsburgh Tribune Review. Next, the stories are reprinted on the internet where they are bounced all over the world. From the internet, the stories are bounced into the mainstream media through one...
  • Election Is Over: The Unanimous Winner of the Old Town Spring, TX Pet Fest Costume Contest Is...

    10/15/2016 5:34:50 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 22 replies
    October 15, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending October 1, 2016

    10/02/2016 1:30:17 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 27 replies
    Various Polls | October 2, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:September 24, 2016September 17, 2016September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) Purpose of the Model This was asked of me earlier this week. Here is my reply. The purpose of my model over the years has never been to predict the outcome, as I am not a pollster gathering my own data. The purpose of my model has always been to reflect back the aggregate implications of the various polls that do exist, and leave it to the reader to draw insights and implications. Polls from different states with different margins of error are hard to conceptualize at an aggregate national...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending September 24, 2016

    09/24/2016 2:58:40 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 12 replies
    Various Polls | September 24, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:September 17, 2016September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) Model Changes Since Last Week This week, I'm bringing back the "Tilt" designation. The Toss-Up category is being split into Tilt Democrat and Tilt Republican, but will not count towards the candidates' total. This will give visibility into how the toss up states are leaning. Maine has been split into the state and its two Congressional districts, in order to properly account for the likelihood that Maine CD-2 breaks with the state. I made a small change to the poll weighting algorithm to correct for turned off polls that were not outright...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending September 17, 2016

    09/18/2016 9:51:14 AM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 14 replies
    Various Polls | September 18, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) I made another significant change to the model from last week, as I continue to tweak the new system: I am aging the polls, giving more weight to recent polls. Last week, I was using the starting date of the poll as the basis of weighting. This week, I changed this to be the mid-point of the poll as the basis of weighting. Based on some targeted feedback, I added Ipsos/Reuters polls to the model. I was sourcing from Real Clear Politics, but they are not comprehensive in the polls they average. That said,...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending September 9, 2016 (Premier 2016 Edition)

    09/10/2016 2:18:42 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 28 replies
    September 10, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:November 6, 2012 Post Mortem This is the premier edition of my 2016 state-by-state presidential election model. I made several significant changes to the model from the previous election cycle: The model no longer uses Rasmussen as the polling source. I moved to a poll averaging model based on the polls listed at Real Clear Politics. I do not use their poll averaging, I use my own method, but I use their listed polls. I am not using a random Monte Carlo simulation of 32,000 iterations. I now use a 1,000 iteration methodology based on Stochastic Information Packages developed...
  • Holy Cow! Houston New Black Panther Head Quannel X Supports Trump!

    08/25/2016 10:47:41 AM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 45 replies
    Fox 26 Face-Off KRIV Houston ^ | August 24, 2016 | Quannel X and Matt Patrick
    This is the weekly point-counterpoint show on Houston Fox affiliate KRIV 26 between Community activist Quanell X and AM 740 KTRH NewsRadio show host Matt Patrick. Quannel X discusses Donald Trump's Minneapolis speech. I was absolutely floored when I watched this last night. I think this video has the potential to dramatically shift the narrative of Trump support in the African-American community. Pay special attention to Quannel X's silence at the end when Matt Patrick sums things up. Youtube Recording of Fox 26 KRIV Faceoff -PJ
  • Texas Couple Sued: Pet sitting business bites back after getting bad Yelp review

    02/19/2016 6:10:14 AM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 46 replies
    CBS News ^ | February 19, 2016
    A Texas couple faces a lawsuit demanding thousands of dollars over a negative online review about a business, reports Cristin Severance of CBS News' Dallas affiliate station, KTVT. "I was like, 'oh my God, I didn't do anything wrong' and my husband said there is a police officer coming to the house to serve you," said Michelle Duchouquette. When Michelle and Robert Duchouquette sought out a pet sitter for their two dogs and a fish, they chose a Dallas company called "Prestigious Pets." But they say their experience wasn't positive. Michelle wrote the online review, giving the business one star...
  • A Review of Presidential Debate Questions - Nixon v Kennedy

    01/28/2016 2:28:09 PM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 18 replies
    January 16, 2016 | Political Junkie Too
    A Review of Presidential Debate Questions in the Modern Era The Nixon-Kennedy Debates Can you tell if there is any hostility, bias, or gotchas in the questions over time? I will use a 1-5 point system to "rate" the question, and then normalize and "score" the fairness of the overall debate. A perfectly neutral debate should score 50/50. Scoring System 1=Biased against the candidate. Intended to create conflict with others, or make the candidate defensive or unappealing. 2=Mostly fair, but makes unnecessary snipes at the candidate. 3=A generally fair question. 4=Mostly fair, but gives the candidate an intentional opportunity to...
  • White House To Trade For Release of Eric Cantor (R-VA)

    06/10/2014 11:19:14 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 14 replies
    Self | June 10, 2014 | Political Junkie Too
    The White House today announced that it has negotiated a trade for House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA). In exchange for the return of Cantor to the House of Representatives, Democrats have agreed to expel Debbie Wasserman-Shultz (D-FL), Maria Cantwell (D-WA), Patty Murray (D-WA), Sheila Jackson-Lee (D-TX), and Maxine Waters (D-CA). Observers remarked on the fact that Democrats traded five women in exchange for one man, hinting that the so-called War on Women was really worth five women to one man. "We can do better than this," said former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. "Under my leadership, no women were...
  • Girl, 14, struck and killed by train in Martinez

    03/03/2014 9:19:40 PM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 34 replies
    San Francisco Chronicle ^ | March 3, 2014 | Henry K. Lee
    Family members, friends and school officials are mourning the loss of a 14-year-old girl who was struck and killed by a train in Martinez when, according to her mother, she tried to retrieve a cell phone she had dropped on the tracks. [snip] The two jumped out of the way, but "she dropped her phone and went back to retrieve it," Dena Betti wrote. "She didn't judge the approach, and the train creates a vacuum, we were told, and it sucks you in. We are beyond devastated.
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - November 6, 2012 Post Mortem

    11/06/2012 11:43:03 PM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 34 replies
    Rasmussen Reports Polling Data ^ | November 6, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:November 3, 2012October 27, 2012October 20, 2012October 13, 2012August 11, 2012August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates:...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending November 3, 2012 (Key Swings Missing!)

    11/04/2012 2:19:55 PM PST · by Political Junkie Too · 12 replies
    Rasmussen Reports Pollig Data ^ | November 4, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:October 27, 2012October 20, 2012October 13, 2012August 11, 2012August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates: The Race...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending October 27, 2012 (Senate Slowly Swinging)

    10/27/2012 2:21:24 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 42 replies
    Rasmussen Reports Polling Data ^ | October 27, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:October 20, 2012October 13, 2012August 11, 2012August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates: The Race for the...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending October 20, 2012 (Senate Still Stuck)

    10/20/2012 3:07:21 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 17 replies
    Rasmussen Reports Polling Data ^ | October 20, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:October 13, 2012August 11, 2012August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates: The Race for the White House...
  • Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending October 13, 2012 (Senate Slipping Away)

    10/13/2012 9:02:04 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 64 replies
    Rasmussen Reports Data ^ | 10/13/12 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:August 11, 2012August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates: This time, we'll start in the Senate. The...
  • Steve Wozniak Seeks Australian Citizenship: America May Lose Yet Another Billionaire

    09/27/2012 5:39:46 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 36 replies
    PolicyMic ^ | 9/27/12 | Steven Bywater
    CNBC is reporting that Steve Wozniak, who founded Apple with Steve Jobs in 1976, is seeking to become an Australian citizen. Wozniak, who is currently in Australia promoting the launch of the new iPhone 5, spoke with Australian media and expressed his love for the country, and for the Australian government’s plans to launch its National Broadband Network (NBN). This lead many news outlets to incorrectly report that Wozniak’s motivations for emigrating were purely because of the NBN. Wozniak mentioned that he would keep his U.S. citizenship, but said, “I intend to call myself an Australian and feel Australian.” Unfortunately,...
  • FR Exclusive: Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending August 11, 2012

    08/19/2012 11:22:03 AM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 32 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 12, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:August 4, 2012July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state polls as they are published. Final 2008 Electoral College results were Obama 365, McCain 173. My model begins with Obama 364, McCain 174, due to not handling the few split-win states. Furthermore, 2010 apportionment favored Republicans, leaving us with a starting point of Obama 358, Romney 180. This Edition's Updates: Since the last report, Rasmussen published polls in Colorado, Florida,...
  • FR Exclusive: Political Junkie's Guide To The Elections - Week Ending August 4, 2012

    08/04/2012 2:01:51 PM PDT · by Political Junkie Too · 38 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 4, 2012 | Political Junkie Too
    Previous Editions:July 21, 2012Premier - July 4, 2012 I discoverd that the maps and charts did not display last time. This is due to it being hosted by an encrypted storage site. I was using a free anonymous site in 2010, but that site has since shut down. For now, you will have to click on a link to see each chart. I apologize for the inconvenience. This Editions's Updates: Here is the latest update of my Rasmussen state-by-state presidential model. The model begins with the final results of the 2008 election, and updates those results with current Rasmussen state...