Keyword: demography

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • A Forest of Bare Branches

    01/05/2019 2:03:16 PM PST · by Twotone · 18 replies
    Steyn On-line ^ | January 5, 2019 | Mark Steyn
    In 2006 I wrote an international bestseller about demography. Which is harder to do than you might think. But it was leavened with Dean Martin gags and whatnot. Nevertheless, it made some big-picture points: Will China be the hyperpower of the 21st century? Answer: No. Its population will get old before it's got rich. That's a cute line. I've been using it since the dawn of the millennium and I've been interested to watch it catch on. A few years back, I had the pleasure of hearing Henry Kissinger use it: It sounds so much more geopolitically persuasive in his...
  • Global Population Growth Ceased in 1988...Population Has Only Grown Older Since

    07/19/2018 8:42:39 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 25 replies
    Econimica ^ | 07/19/2018 | Chris Hamilton
    Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, The world stopped growing about 1988... and has only grown older since. Global births, per five year periods, according to the UN. Births and UN medium and low variant estimates through 2040...plus my best estimate of the most likely births. Despite the significantly larger (older) total population, births continue to languish and appear set to decline. Since 2000, total births are declining everywhere except Africa. Assuming the UN medium variant...chart below shows births by Africa, S. Asia (India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, Iran, Sri Lanka) and the world minus Africa /...
  • How Muslim Migrants Are Reshaping Russia's Dying Countryside, One Village At A Time

    "'Better you than the Chinese,' that's what my ex-boss told me," the small-framed Soliev says between double shifts as a stoker at the village school, earning him around $250 a month, nearly twice the average Tajik wage. The arrival to urban centers and the countryside of Soliev and millions of other mostly Muslim labor migrants from Central Asia is at the center of what could emerge as Russia's most radical ethnic makeover in centuries. Half of the students in Soliev's school are their raven-haired children, and their wives, in long skirts and head scarves, shop for groceries at a store...
  • U.S. Fertility Keeps Declining – Demography is Destiny, Baby (Especially If There's No Baby)

    05/31/2018 8:24:23 AM PDT · by fwdude · 66 replies
    GrasstopsUSA ^ | May 30, 2018 | Don Feder
    If you asked the average American about declining fertility, he'd think you were talking about soil conditions, crop rotation or the weather. Most lack the awareness to even begin discussing what could be the greatest crisis of the 21st century. Not that I blame them. The media and political elite have us chasing after illusions – like global warming, so-called over-population, and "white privilege" – so we miss the reality of a disaster that's almost on us. In terms of demography, fertility refers to the number of children the average woman will have in her lifetime. Roughly 2.1 is needed...
  • In Japan, these single moms and shrinking cities are trying a new start – together

    11/03/2017 6:44:14 AM PDT · by Jagermonster · 11 replies
    The Christian Science Monitor ^ | November 2, 2017 | Susie Armitage - Contributor
    SEARCH FOR SOLUTIONS   Women face deep-seated challenges in Japan's work culture, all the more difficult for single moms. But amid a nation-wide demographic crisis, some particularly hard-hit areas are reaching out to these families with relocation programs, hoping that both sides can benefit. HAMADA, JAPAN—Mitsue Murakami was newly divorced and living in Yokohama, Japan’s second-largest city, when she typed a few words into a search engine on her phone: “single mother,” “work,” “countryside,” and “cheap rent.” Her ex-husband had gambled away their money. Ms. Murakami worked part-time in a hospital. The hours were convenient and the pay was pretty...
  • Liberals Don’t Get To Have It Both Ways With White Americans

    09/02/2017 4:55:14 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 52 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | September 2, 2017 | John Hawkins
    "The base of the Democratic party used to be working people, regardless of race, ethnic, or ethnic identity, sexual orientation, et cetera. That was a Roosevelt agenda. That was the Truman agenda. Over time, and I think particularly over the last eight years, the Democratic Party has moved into interest group politics and in many cases white working people have become the whipping post, or were. I think what you saw in this election here is white working people in these rural areas seeing that someone actually was articulating the fact that they had become disenfranchised and they gravitated toward...
  • India's Population Already Overtaken China's: Chinese Demographer

    05/31/2017 10:31:34 AM PDT · by nickcarraway · 11 replies
    IndiaToday ^ | 5/23 | Ananth Krishnan
    According to the demographer's numbers, India is now the world's most populous country, overtaking China five years ahead of forecasts.hina's population may be smaller than the official 1.37 billion figure and closer to around 1.29 billion people - less than India's population - according to an independent Chinese demographer. "China's real population may have been about 1.29 billion last year, 90 million fewer people than the official figure released by the National Bureau of Statistics," the South China Morning Post quoted Yi Fuxian, a scholar and demographer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, as saying at a seminar in Peking University...
  • Baby dearth: why rich societies like Hong Kong are committing demographic suicide

    05/21/2017 9:37:02 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 38 replies
    South China Morning Post ^ | 05/21/2017 | N. Balakrishnan
    As a newly married man in Singapore many years ago, my hairdresser once asked me when my wife and I were going to have our first child. I replied, like many people do even today, that it was too expensive to have a child and to bring one up. He said that people who were earning a fraction of what we were and living in a one-room flat were still able to have two children and bring them up, and so could we. It is a truism that we put up with hardships to do things we want to do...
  • The GOP’s electoral-map problem is not about Trump. It’s about demographics.

    05/08/2016 5:28:25 PM PDT · by Innovative · 74 replies
    Washington Post ^ | May 8, 2016 | Chris Cillizza
    Republicans have a major electoral-map problem in November. Major. Donald Trump’s victory last week in Indiana’s primary not only effectively sealed the GOP nomination for the real estate billionaire but also brought into sharp relief how difficult it will be for any Republican to get to 270 electoral votes and beat Hillary Clinton to become the 45th president this fall. Start here: Eighteen states plus the District of Columbia have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election between 1992 and 2012. Add them up, and you get 242 electoral votes.
  • The Winds of Political Change… And Why You Almost Never Feel Them Coming

    03/06/2005 9:52:13 PM PST · by SunkenCiv · 3 replies · 487+ views
    American Heritage ^ | February/March 2005 | Kevin Baker
    "This was the greatest vote, the greatest margin and the greatest percentage (61 percent) that any President had ever drawn from the American people; we shall live long before we see its like again," the inventor of the modern campaign chronicle, Theodore H. White, wrote after Lyndon Johnson's lopsided triumph over Barry Goldwater in 1964. In fact we would see its like again twice in the next 20 years, and from the Republican side, as Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swamped their opponents in 1972 and 1984, respectively... Those gripped by either despair or euphoria over the 2004 election might...
  • GOP Plants Flag on New Voting Frontier

    11/23/2004 11:52:29 AM PST · by SunkenCiv · 14 replies · 1,596+ views
    LA Times ^ | Mon Nov 22 2004, 7:55 AM ET | Ronald Brownstein and Richard Rainey, with contributions by Kathleen Hennessey
    In this month's election, President Bush carried 97 of the nation's 100 fastest-growing counties, most of them "exurban" communities that are rapidly transforming farmland into subdivisions and shopping malls on the periphery of major metropolitan areas. Together, these fast-growing communities provided Bush a punishing 1.72 million vote advantage over Democrat John F. Kerry, according to a Times analysis of election results. That was almost half the president's total margin of victory... In states like Ohio, Minnesota and Virginia, Republican strength in these outer suburbs is offsetting Democratic gains over the last decade in more established — and often more affluent...
  • The Republican Party's Diminishing Strength in New York

    09/09/2004 11:19:54 AM PDT · by SunkenCiv · 6 replies · 638+ views
    Gotham Gazette (dot com) ^ | June 7, 2004 | Gerald Benjamin
    At the turn of the 20th century, both United States senators from New York were Republicans; at the turn of the 21st century, both were Democrats. In 1904, 20 of 37 New York members of the House of Representatives were Republican; in 2004, 19 of 29 New York Congress members were Democrats. Of the 13 members of the U.S. House of Representatives from the city, only one - Vito Fossella of Staten Island – is a Republican... At the same time, the painful truth is that slow-growing New York has become increasingly less important in national electoral politics. When Dwight...
  • Democratic Debacle (1964 convention, repercussions today)

    07/27/2004 9:59:49 PM PDT · by SunkenCiv · 23 replies · 1,244+ views
    America Heritage ^ | July 2004 (cover date) | Joshua Zeitz
    On Saturday they would appear before the convention’s Credentials Committee and ask to be seated as the official Mississippi state delegation... Shortly after he signed the Civil Rights Act, Lyndon Johnson told his aide Joseph Califano, "I think we’ve delivered the South to the Republican party for your lifetime and mine." Maybe so, but he was determined to hold onto the region long enough to ensure his own re-election; the opinion polls might show him leading the Republican candidate, Barry Goldwater, by an enormous margin, but he was desperate not to stoke the fires of sectional conflict. Only one...
  • This is how the suburbs die

    03/01/2016 10:15:16 AM PST · by ek_hornbeck · 83 replies
    The Week ^ | 1/21/206 | Michael Brendan Dougherty
    In 1974, corporate behemoth GE moved its headquarters from Manhattan to the suburban Fairfield, Connecticut. Last week, it announced that it was leaving Fairfield for Boston's waterfront district. And as GE goes, it has people wondering whether the suburbs are going to lose their economic lifeblood. Mad Men reminded us that mid-century advertising executives worked in the heart of Manhattan, but slowly began their retreat to the burbs as crime exploded in New York City. The corporate offices followed them and their growing families in the 1970s and 1980s.
  • Christians 'Declining Sharply' in America; Unaffiliated Rising, Now Hold Greater Population Share

    05/12/2015 11:57:01 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 14 replies
    Christian Post ^ | 05/12/2015 | Stoyan Zaimov
    An extensive study by the Pew Research Center has revealed that Christians are declining sharply in America in terms of population share, while the religiously unaffiliated are rising, and now make up a larger share than American Catholics. The rise of religious intermarriages was one trend linked to the growth of the unaffiliated. The report, which was released on Tuesday, stated: "The drop in the Christian share of the population has been driven mainly by declines among mainline Protestants and Catholics. Each of those large religious traditions has shrunk by approximately 3 percentage points since 2007. The evangelical Protestant share...
  • Half of all Londoners will be foreign-born by 2031

    01/26/2015 10:23:26 AM PST · by pabianice · 25 replies
    Daily Mail ^ | 1/26/15 | Robinson
    Foreigners living in London set to outnumber native Britons in 16 years Capital's immigrant population will hit five million for the first time in 2031 They will overtake number of British-born residents, which's on the decline In 1971 it was more than 6m but this will sink below 5m in coming decades Total population, currently at 8.7m, will hit 10m in 2031 and 11m in 2041 The number of foreign-born people living in London will outnumber native Britons by 2031, it was revealed today. The immigrant population of the capital will reach at least five million in 16 years -...
  • Archbishop of Mosul: "I have lost my Diocese to Islam - You in the West...

    08/17/2014 12:19:31 PM PDT · by BlatherNaut · 87 replies
    Rorate Caeli ^ | 8/17/14 | New Catholic
    Our sufferings today are the prelude of those you, Europeans and Western Christians, will also suffer in the near future. I lost my diocese. The physical setting of my apostolate has been occupied by Islamic radicals who want us converted or dead. But my community is still alive. Please, try to understand us. Your liberal and democratic principles are worth nothing here. You must consider again our reality in the Middle East, because you are welcoming in your countries an ever growing number of Muslims. Also you are in danger. You must take strong and courageous decisions, even at the...
  • The Almost Exclusively White Phenomenon of Conservatism

    05/24/2014 8:28:43 PM PDT · by River Hawk · 28 replies
    The American Thinker ^ | May 23, 2014 | John Bennett
    Every conservative should consider the profound and possibly awful observation made by the New York Times’ Josh Barro (italics added): The rush to stand with Mr. Bundy against the Bureau of Land Management is the latest incarnation of conservative antigovernment messaging. And nonwhites are not interested, because a gut-level aversion to the government is almost exclusively a white phenomenon. If there were validity to Barro’s observation, then any anti-government political philosophy (that wished to survive) would seek to reduce immigration. After all, America is rapidly importing economically poor, poorly educated, low-skilled immigrants. Those immigrants generate racial inequalities, and inequality is...
  • Demography and the Future of the GOP (Michael Barone)

    05/13/2014 10:43:45 AM PDT · by neverdem · 15 replies
    National Review Online ^ | May 13, 2014 | Michael Barone
    In recent years, the Democratic hold on key constituencies has weakened considerably.Demography is destiny, we are often told, and rightly — up to a point. The American electorate is made up of multiple identifiable segments, defined in various ways: by race and ethnicity, by age cohort, by region and religiosity (or lack thereof), by economic status and interest. Over time, some segments become larger and some smaller. Some prove to be politically crucial, given the political alignments of the time. Others become irrelevant as they lose cohesion and identity. From the results of the 2008 presidential election, many pundits prophesied...
  • 'Dying' Russia's Birth Rate Is Now Higher Than The United States'

    09/15/2013 9:41:23 AM PDT · by Mrs. Don-o · 46 replies
    Forbes ^ | August 25, 2013 | Mark Adomanis
    This was not the headline that the CDC's National Center for Health Statistics gave its recent release of provisional fertility data for 2012. But for the first time, in 2012 Russia’s birth rate actually exceeded that of the United States. This is a significant reversal from the past when the US had a birth rate that was as much as 75% higher than Russia’s. The speed and scale of the convergence is impressive. Since 2008, the Russian birth rate has increased by about 10% while the United States has slumped by about 9%. [snip] Essentially, Russian wages have never been...