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Keyword: fakepolls

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  • How Trump's 2020 reelection strategy could work -- but probably won't (CNN hallucinations)

    07/20/2019 8:21:18 AM PDT · by E. Pluribus Unum · 15 replies
    CNN ^ | Updated 11:02 AM ET, Sat July 20, 2019 | Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN
    Washington (CNN)First things first: The theme song of the week is the theme from The Larry Sanders Show. Poll of the week: A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that President Donald Trump's approval rating among voters nationwide is 45%. His disapproval rating is 52%. This makes for a net approval (approval - disapproval) of -7 points. The average poll has Trump's net approval among voters at -9 points. What's the point: Trump's 2020 strategy seemed to be in full swing this past week. He looks to be doubling down on a campaign of hardline immigration policies and racial...
  • Trump will lose 2020 per unique prediction model that nailed 2018 midterm results

    07/18/2019 5:00:18 PM PDT · by nwrep · 163 replies
    Oregonian ^ | July 18, 2019 | Douglas Perry
    Rachel Bitecofer, the assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Virginia’s Christopher Newport University, created a unique prediction model that almost perfectly foretold in July 2018 the results of the 2018 midterm election. (The model concluded the Democrats would pick up 42 House seats; the Dems gained 40 seats.) Bitecofer’s model has concluded that it matters not who the Democratic presidential nominee is -- “unless it ends up being a disruptor like Bernie Sanders.” Whoever wins the Democratic nomination -- other than possibly Bernie, that is -- will defeat Trump in the general election. The only unexpected...
  • Even When Accounting for ‘Shy Trump Voters,’ the President Needs His Numbers to Improve

    07/13/2019 7:42:39 AM PDT · by madprof98 · 72 replies
    National Review (Corner) ^ | 7/12/19 | Jim Geraghty
    Is there a shy Trump voter factor the way there used to be “shy Tory factor” in polls? Probably. *** Let’s say the shy Trump voters are worth a five-point swing in favor of Trump compared to the most recent numbers in key states. In a matchup against Joe Biden, Trump would still lose Michigan, lose Pennsylvania, and lose Wisconsin, as well as losing the national popular vote by a slightly larger margin than in 2016. If Biden won those three states, and kept Hillary Clinton’s states, he’s at 278 electoral votes and Trump would be a one-term president. If...
  • Election model that predicted 2018 blue wave has Trump losing, liberal voters ‘terrified’

    07/01/2019 8:29:04 PM PDT · by lasereye · 149 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | 07/01/19 | Paul Bedard
    A university election model that predicted the blue wave in the House in 2018 almost to the seat is predicting a big loss by President Trump next year due to an explosion of bitter partisanship and Trump hate. An election forecast model designed by Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, predicted that Trump will lose the Electoral College 297-197, with 270 of 538 needed to win. Three key states that helped push Trump over Hillary Rodham Clinton in 2016, despite her winning the popular vote, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, will turn...
  • AP-NORC Poll: Trump not boosted by strong American economy [lol]

    07/01/2019 11:09:27 PM PDT · by Olog-hai · 25 replies
    Dissociated Press ^ | July 1, 2019 | Josh Boak and Hannah Fingerhut
    The solid economy is doing little to bolster support for President Donald Trump. Americans give Trump mixed reviews for his economic stewardship despite the growth achieved during this presidency, according to a new survey by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Nearly two-thirds describe as “good” an economy that appears to have set a record for the longest expansion in U.S. history, with decade-long growth that began under Barack Obama. More people consider the economy to be good today than did at the start of the year. But significantly fewer approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, even...
  • Drudge poll shock: Tulsi Gabbard runaway winner of first Democratic debate

    06/26/2019 8:13:07 PM PDT · by rintintin · 161 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | June 26 2019 | Ellie Bufkin
    The Drudge Report political website posted a surprising instant poll showing that its visitors believe Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii was winning the debate at the 90-minute mark, polling at almost 25% with 4,297 votes.
  • Jittery: 55% of Democrats already alarmed over a Trump victory in 2020

    06/17/2019 12:22:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    The Washington Times ^ | June 16, 2019 | Jennifer Harper
    When Hillary Clinton lost to Donald Trump in 2016, many Democrats wept openly, particularly those who were in the audience at Mrs. Clinton’s election night rally as the news broke. Similar emotions are already percolating. Blame it on nonstop alarmist coverage of the news media, perhaps, but some voters already are poised to quake, shake, or cry over the very real prospect that President Trump could win in 2020. How do we know? A voter poll of course, this one from Fox News — which simply asked people how they would react to a Trump victory. Partisan divides are very...
  • New poll shows Trump trailing Biden and four other Democrats

    06/16/2019 1:21:26 PM PDT · by libh8er · 94 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | June 16th, 2019 | Brian Knowlton
    Washington (AFP) - A nationwide Fox News poll released Sunday shows President Donald Trump trailing former vice president Joe Biden and no fewer than four other Democratic contenders as early campaigning for the 2020 election begins to gain steam. A separate survey of battleground states, by CBS, shows Democrats strongly favor Biden as the candidate most likely to beat Trump in next year's elections. The Fox poll showed Biden leading Trump by 49 percent to 39 percent among all registered voters nationwide, while Senator Bernie Sanders held nearly the same advantage over the president, at 49 percent to 40 percent....
  • Problematic Women: Women Are Increasingly Embracing Socialism … but Why?

    06/13/2019 6:44:25 PM PDT · by Tolerance Sucks Rocks · 119 replies
    The Daily Signal ^ | June 13, 2019 | Lauren Evans and Kelsey Bolar
    In a recent poll for “Axios on HBO,” 55% of American women say they would prefer to live in a socialist country over a capitalist country. This week on “Problematic Women,” we discuss why women are embracing socialism and what can be done to stop this trend. Also, we break down why freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says members of Congress, despite already making $174,000 a year, deserve a pay raise. We crown Yale University graduate and future Justice Brett Kavanaugh law clerk Sophia Chua-Rubenfeld Problematic Woman of the Week. And we discuss these topics: — Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had...
  • National (US) Poll - May 28, 2015 (Bias Quinnipiac 1.5 Yr. Until Election: Hillary Over Trump By 18%

    06/12/2019 11:08:20 AM PDT · by Its All Over Except ... · 20 replies
    Quinnipiac ^ | May 28, 2015 | Staff
    ... In a general election matchup, Clinton...leads other top Republicans - 50 to 32 percent over Trump.
  • Internal Polling Shows Trump Beats Any Dem, Will Hold Trump States — LOOKING TO EXPAND TO OREGON

    06/12/2019 7:51:39 AM PDT · by NKP_Vet · 60 replies ^ | June 11, 2019 | JIM Hoft
    Trump campaign spokeswoman Kayleigh McEnany joined The Evening Edit on Tuesday night as President Trump campaigned in Iowa. Both President Trump and Joe Biden are campaigning in Iowa today. During the discussion McEnany was confronted with the recent polling data by far left Quinnipiac College that shows President Trump getting drubbed by Democrat challengers. McEnany told Blake Burman that Trump internal polling data shows the President up on any Democrat and that Trump will hold the states they won in 2016. Kayleigh added that the Trump campaign is currently looking to expand to Oregon where polling looks good for Trump.
  • Disaster for Brexit? SHOCK poll suggests pro-EU Lib Dems on track to WIN general election

    05/30/2019 9:48:46 PM PDT · by Cronos · 96 replies
    Express ^ | 31 May 2019 | James Bickerton
    A SHOCK poll has suggested the Liberal Democrats are on course to get the most votes in a general election, ahead of the Brexit Party, raising fresh concerns anti-Brexit activists will be able to block the UK’s EU departure. The fiercely pro-EU Liberal Democrats have vowed to call a second referendum on Britain's EU membership. A YouGov poll for The Times put them on 24 percent of the vote, ahead of the Brexit party with 22 percent. The Conservatives and Labour are relegated to joint third position with 19 percent each. However according to the Electoral Calculus website Labour still...
  • This is the biggest 2020 mistake the Democrats could make

    05/22/2019 4:41:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    CNN Opinion ^ | May 22, 2019 | Jill Filipovic
    The economy, voters say, is strong. Most Americans say they are better off financially than they were in 2016; more say that things stayed the same than say they got worse. And yet many more voters say President Donald Trump is doing a poor job than say he's doing a good one. This is all according to a new Quinnipiac poll, and it should give Democrats hope for 2020. At this point, the election is the left's to lose. Polls this early in the game won't necessarily mean much come Election Day, but the latest Quinnipiac numbers suggest that Americans...
  • Pennsylvania Landslide: Biden 53, Trump 42 In New Quinnipiac Poll

    05/15/2019 6:50:24 PM PDT · by deek69 · 131 replies
    Hotair ^ | 5/15/2019 | Allah Pundit
    Trump’s been worried for months that Joe from Scranton might pose a threat to him in Pennsylvania and the Rust Belt that other Dems can’t match. His fears turn out to be well-founded, per Quinnipiac.
  • CNN poll: Trump's disapproval rating slides to lowest of presidency

    03/20/2019 7:23:40 AM PDT · by SMGFan · 44 replies
    The Hill ^ | March 18, 2019
    President Trump's disapproval rating has dropped to the lowest point of his presidency in CNN polling. The survey released Monday found that 51 percent of respondents disapprove of Trump's job performance, the lowest share since CNN began polling at the beginning of Trump's term. Monday's poll also shows that 42 percent of respondents said they approve of Trump's performance, while the remaining respondents said they have no opinion. In each of the previous versions of the survey, between 52 and 59 percent of respondents said they disapproved of the president. In the February edition of the poll, 55 percent said...
  • Exclusive poll: Young Americans are embracing socialism

    03/10/2019 5:47:58 PM PDT · by E. Pluribus Unum · 39 replies
    Axios ^ | 10 March 2019 | Stef W. Kight
    Generation Z has a more positive view of the word "socialism" than previous generations, and — along with millennials — are more likely to embrace socialistic policies and principles than past generations, according to a new Harris Poll given exclusively to Axios. Why it matters: The word "socialism" does not carry the same stigma it did in the past, now that it has been resurrected by celebrity politicians like Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Young people's political views often change as they grow older, but their support for socialistic policies is a sign that the old rules of politics are...
  • Here's the best poll # for Donald Trump this year

    03/06/2019 9:53:34 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | March 6, 2019 | Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large
    The first two years of Donald Trump's presidency haven't exactly been filled with stellar ratings from the public. Trump's approval rating in Gallup has never -- not one time -- been above 50% since he was sworn into office. His overall job approval number in the Real Clear Politics' average is below 44%. Almost six in 10 people disapproved of how Trump has handled the Russia investigation in a CNN-SSRS poll last month. On and on it goes -- bad numbers following bad numbers, leaving the poll-obsessed Trump to cherry-pick a piece of data here and there that suggests he...
  • Quinnipiac Poll: Almost two-thirds of voters think Trump committed crimes before taking office

    03/06/2019 9:31:36 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 81 replies
    Fox2 Now St. Louis Via CNN Wires ^ | 03/06/2019 | CNN Wires
    Nearly two-thirds of registered voters think President Donald Trump committed crimes before assuming the presidency, according to a new poll taken in the days after former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen testified to Congress. According to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday, 64% of registered voters said Trump had committed crimes before entering office and nearly half of voters — 45% — think he committed crimes while serving as President. Despite Trump’s massive popularity in the GOP, even a third of Republicans said Trump had engaged in criminal activity before his presidency. The poll showed that 89% of Democrats and 65%...
  • Freep this poll - do you believe Michael Cohen?

    03/01/2019 12:49:28 AM PST · by qwerty1234 · 32 replies
    Do you believe the testimony of Michael Cohen regarding President Trump? Poll currently running just under 50/50 - we can fix that - the 'right' vote is 'NO' if you think Cohen is lying and Trump is telling the truth. Poll requires no registration, front page scroll down a bit on the left....thanks.
  • Americans' Perceptions of U.S. World Image Best Since 2003

    02/25/2019 11:07:56 AM PST · by yesthatjallen · 4 replies
    Gallup ^ | Justin McCarthy
    Story Highlights: 58% say U.S. rates very or somewhat favorably in world's eyes 45% satisfied with U.S. position in the world Most say Trump not respected by foreign leaders