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State and Local (GOP Club)

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  • Real Clear Politics: 2016 GOP Field Deeper, More Qualified

    01/29/2015 5:25:34 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    NewsMax ^ | January 29, 2015 | Andrea Billups
    The nominating process for the 2016 Republican presidential candidate could be fraught with chaos because of the unusually large number of candidates who will likely run, creating real problems for the GOP, which is likely to end up without what many might consider a powerful, unifying nominee, an analysis by Real Clear Politics suggests. The candidate who does emerge could very likely come from a brokered convention, notes RCP's Sean Trende of possible scenarios. "I see a race that is largely chaotic. It is one where an unusually large number of candidates have perfectly plausible paths, if not to the...
  • 9 signs the Kochs have created their own national political party

    01/29/2015 4:50:46 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 35 replies
    Salon ^ | January 3, 2015 | Steven Rosenfeld
    If you want to understand America's painful lurch toward plutocracy, look no further than these mega-millionaires. It is time to stop talking about the Koch brothers and instead talk about the Koch Party, the nation’s third largest political network that is a full-blown but private political operation. The Koch Party has come into view in 2014, as some of the country’s best investigative reporters have traced and exposed various elements of their operation. The Koch Party is not as large as the Democrats or the Republicans, but is still unprecedented in size, scope and reach. Like other political parties, it...
  • The GOP’s Long Love Affair With Schmucks

    01/29/2015 3:50:50 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | January 29, 2015 | Nick Gillespie, editor-in-chief, Reason
    Why Republicans fall in love with inexperienced, no-hope candidates every four years.Conservative Republicans have finally called it quits with short-term former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (she lasted just two-and-a-half years in that position before quitting). The final straw, it seems, is the 2008 vice-presidential candidate’s recent speech at the “Iowa Freedom Summit” that has charitably been called “an interminable ramble,” “an extended stream-of-consciousness complaint,” and simply “bizarro.” So America’s most-famous snowbilly is out of the running for the 2016 Republican nomination. But what about all the other manifestly unqualified novices, jackasses, and publicity hounds that surface every four years when...
  • Alabama's first openly gay lawmaker threatens to 'out' officials having extramarital affairs

    01/27/2015 5:36:10 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 62 replies
    The Birmingham News ^ | January 26, 2015 | Kent Faulk
    Alabama's first openly gay state legislator fired back on Facebook over the weekend, including a threat to expose the affairs of state officials, to comments made by Republican Party officials in the wake of a federal judge declaring the state ban on same-sex marriage unconstitutional. State Rep. Patricia Todd, D-Birmingham, said she was elated and in "shock" when the judge issued the order overturning Alabama's same-sex marriage ban. But after seeing comments by Republican officials, particularly from Alabama Speaker of the House Mike Hubbard, and seeing Attorney General Luther Strange's efforts to get a stay of the judge's orders, Todd...
  • Cillizza Praises Walker, Fiorina, Cruz, Christie Only ‘So-So’

    01/26/2015 6:26:23 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    Breitbart TV ^ | January 26, 2015 | Ian Hanchett
    (VIDEO-AT-LINK)Chris Cillizza, Editor of the Washington Post‘s The Fix praised Scott Walker, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz’s speeches in Iowa, while saying that Chris Christie was only “so-so” on Monday’s “Andrea Mitchell Reports” on MSNBC....
  • Rand Paul spars with Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio over Iran and Cuba in Florida summit

    01/26/2015 11:02:55 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Sen. Rand Paul prefers exhausting diplomatic efforts in dealing with overseas conflicts, and on Sunday he highlighted the difference between his softer approach to foreign policy and that of two other senators who are likely 2016 presidential candidates -- Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. The Kentucky Republican joined fellow first-term senators Cruz of Texas and Rubio of Florida on stage Sunday evening in California for a summit organized by Freedom Partners. That group is the central hub of the powerful network of organizations backed by conservative billionaires Charles and David Koch....
  • As 2016 race begins, GOP faces its Palin problem

    01/25/2015 4:55:37 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 118 replies
    The Washington Examiner's Beltway Confidential ^ | January 25, 2015 | Byron York
    DES MOINES — As a chance to evaluate possible 2016 Republican presidential candidates, the Freedom Summit here in Des Moines was a solid success. Several potential candidates — Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Chris Christie, and a few others — left the 10-hour political marathon with their prospects undeniably enhanced. All that was good news for Republicans. But at the same time, more than a few GOP loyalists came away shaking their heads at the performance of a party star, former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin, whose long, rambling, and at times barely coherent speech left some wondering what role she...
  • Tea Party spawns GOP nightmare: How it’s already ruining the party’s ’16 strategy

    01/23/2015 12:49:47 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    Salon ^ | January 23, 2015 | Elias Isquith
    GOP elites want Americans to think the party's boring and safe again. Maybe someone should notify the Tea Party. If you’re understandably perplexed by the Republican Party’s apparent decision to enter the post-Obama era by nominating either another member of the Bush dynasty, or another version of Mitt Romney, there’s at least one way to think about it that might help explain the seemingly inexplicable. Put simply, the leaders of the GOP, the people who tend to be referred to as “the establishment,” fervently believe that in order to win in 2016, Republicans will have to convince voters that the...
  • Palmetto State no lock for any 2016 GOP hopeful

    01/19/2015 10:48:22 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 1 replies
    The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review ^ | January 17, 2015 | Salena Zito
    South Carolina has been where underdog Republican presidential candidacies die and front-runners begin to look toward November. The only asterisk to its 32-year streak of picking the eventual GOP nominee came in the whack-a-mole 2012 contest that placed former House Speaker Newt Gingrich over eventual nominee Mitt Romney. “Romney never closed the deal with the voters,” said legendary South Carolina Republican strategist Chip Felkel about Romney's inability to win the first-in-the-South primary. “Voters cast with their hearts, not their heads, in that cycle.” Everyone understandably focuses on who is coming and going in Iowa, the first contest of 2016's presidential...
  • As Mitt and Jeb Court Donors For 2016, Ted Cruz Prepares For Potential Run

    01/19/2015 12:46:51 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | January 19, 2015 | Alex Pappas
    As Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney battle behind the scenes for big money donors, Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz is working to portray himself as the presidential candidate of the conservative base. Speaking to tea partiers in South Carolina over the weekend, Cruz cautioned that Republicans will lose the White House in 2016 if the nominee is insufficiently conservative. “If we nominate a candidate in that mold, the same people who stayed home in 2008 and 2012 will stay home in 2016 and the Democrats will win again,” Cruz told the crowd. His comments come as the Texas senator —...
  • Donald Clarke: Republican free-for-all is the converse of 1970’s situation

    01/17/2015 12:22:41 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Irish Times ^ | January 17, 2015 | Donald Clarke
    Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush have emerged to save the party from its immoderate urges.Rick Perlstein’s The Invisible Bridge: The Fall of Nixon and the Rise of Reagan was among the most gripping books published last year. Anybody old enough to remember Nixon’s weighty jowls sagging towards delayed resignation will savour Perlstein’s detailed analysis of Watergate and its aftermath. The book reminds us that – though positively merry in comparison to the UK and Ireland – the United States passed through seven layers of dementia during the 1970s. Patty Hearst was kidnapped. New York City went bust. Helicopters lifted the...
  • Can’t We Do Better? We're going to have to — luckily it’s early.

    01/16/2015 12:06:16 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    The American Spectator ^ | January 16, 2015 | Ross Kaminsky
    I’m not much of a conspiracy theorist — and I certainly have nothing on Paul Craig Roberts whose most recent article, helpfully disseminated by the Ron Paul Institute, claims the Charlie Hebdo attacks to be a “false flag” operation — but I can’t help but wonder if the “mainstream media” is playing up the potential presidential candidacies of Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, and Rick Santorum simply to depress Republican voters. Or, going the full tin-foil-hat route, maybe these guys are themselves double agents, part of a MoveOn.org (does it still exist?) sleeper cell which was just activated (by...
  • Conservatives cheer on Romney as establishment field grows (3 major RINOs in the mix)

    01/14/2015 3:26:18 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The York and Clover Enquirer-Herald / The Associated Press ^ | January 14, 2015 | Steve Peoples and Bill Barrow
    SAN DIEGO — Mitt Romney's unexpected step into the 2016 presidential contest is drawing enthusiasm from the GOP's most passionate conservatives. But not because they want him to win. For the first time in recent memory, prominent conservatives see a Republican presidential field that could have as much competition among the party's establishment-minded prospects — like Romney — as its fiery conservatives....
  • U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz appears for jury service, citing its importance to justice system

    01/10/2015 6:05:22 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    The Cypress Creek Mirror ^ | January 10, 2015
    HOUSTON – Like other visitors to the Harris County Jury Plaza, the prospective juror with neatly combed black hair emptied his pockets as he approached the metal detector, took off his belt, removed his boots and proceeded through in his white socks. But he wasn’t your average citizen come to perform his civic duty – it was Sen. Ted Cruz. “It is both a privilege and responsibility to serve on a jury. One of the best aspects of being an American is our right to trial by jury,” Sen. Cruz said. “When I received my jury summons, I was proud...
  • What America thinks about potential presidential candidates

    01/08/2015 5:29:12 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Myrtle Beach Examiner ^ | January 8, 2015 | Jesse Broadt
    Hillary Clinton is still receiving the majority of attention among Democrats with regard to the presidential nominations, despite the fact that her chances of becoming Mrs. President are slim to none. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is still in the circle of limelight as well, although her chances are only marginally better than those of the former first lady. Republicans, on the other hand have a wide open field that includes candidates new and old alike. Interesting statistics Sixty-six percent of registered voters across all political parties believe Republicans should seek a fresh candidate for 2016, while 42 percent of...
  • N.C. may have early presidential primary

    01/07/2015 3:49:49 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The Wilkes Journal-Patriot ^ | January 7, 2015 | John Hood, chairman of the John Locke Foundation
    RALEIGH — Is North Carolina ready to be an early stop on the road to the White House? Thanks to recent legislation, the Tar Heel State has abandoned its traditionally late presidential primary, held in May. State lawmakers couldn’t let Iowa, New Hampshire, and especially South Carolina have all the fun. So they separated North Carolina’s presidential contest from the state’s other primaries and moved it to the Tuesday after South Carolina’s Saturday primary. Although some of the dates remain tentative, here’s how the nomination battles may unfold according to Josh Putnam, an Appalachian State University political scientist who maintains...
  • Iowa and New Hampshire Have Already Seen Cash From 2016 Contenders (Hillary, Cruz, Paul & Perry)

    01/06/2015 6:46:57 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    The New York Times' The Upshot ^ | January 6, 2015 | Derek Willis
    The next two years are a good time to be a local candidate or party organization in Iowa and New Hampshire. The political action committees supporting Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton have already started doling out cash to the campaigns of potential supporters in the states with the earliest presidential contests of 2016. Leadership PACs — like the one Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor, will be forming soon — provide a natural vehicle for sending campaign money to state and local candidates and committees in key early presidential states. Several potential presidential candidates, through their...
  • Great news: Even beyond Iowa, early GOP primary calendar favors Huckabee

    01/06/2015 6:39:39 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Hot Air ^ | January 6, 2015 | Allahpundit
    I enjoy a good “maybe Huckabee’s going to be president” story the way I enjoy a good campfire ghost story. They’re BS, we all know they’re BS, but there’s nothing more satisfying than watching the terror build in your audience as you tell it. They’re even better than “Romney’s 2016!” stories. Well done, Scott Conroy. This one’s the political equivalent of “The Golden Arm.” [T]here is little doubt that a substantial segment of the South Carolina Republican electorate remains culturally and ideologically aligned with Huckabee—giving him a distinct chance of success in a state where he retains a wide swath...
  • Mike Huckabee and The Dynamics of 2016

    01/04/2015 1:00:59 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    The National Review's Postmodern Conservative Blog ^ | January 4, 2015 | Peter Spiliakos
    There was a time when I thought that Mike Huckabee had a chance to win over enough “somewhat conservative” voters that, when added to his pre-existing base among conservative white evangelicals, would give him a good chance to win the 2016 Republican nomination. I don’t think that chance exists anymore (if it ever did). He hasn’t done any of the maneuvering he would need to do in order to expand his base of support. Thirteen months is not a long time and he has shown no inclination to make the moves he would need to make in order to expand...
  • Mike Huckabee’s Improbable Balancing Act for GOP Nod

    01/04/2015 9:52:44 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | January 4, 2015 | Lloyd Green
    There’s no doubt the Huck will need bucks if he’s going to make a successful run for the GOP nomination, but that’s not the only challenge he faces.Last night, Mike Huckabee bid adieu to his show on Fox, and made his interest in the 2016 Republican presidential nomination a matter of public record. Unlike former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Huckabee is not immediately forming an exploratory committee. Still, the prospect of a Huckabee candidacy should be taken seriously. He finished second in 2008 behind John McCain, and maintains a reservoir of good will among...
  • 10 Dynamics That Will Shape the Next Two Years of American Politics (View from the far left)

    12/30/2014 8:11:29 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Bill Moyers & Company ^ | December 30, 2014 | Joshua Holland
    What’s past isn’t necessarily prologue, but the outcomes of some recent political battles – and a look at who will be coming and going when Congress reconvenes in January – give us a pretty good sense of the dynamics that will shape the next two years of American politics. So while we don’t have a crystal ball, here’s our preview of what you can expect in the final quarter of Barack Obama’s presidency. 1. Gridlock, and an Endless Game of Chicken The past two sessions of Congress have been the least productive in our history, and the next likely will...
  • Why Hillary Clinton doesn’t need to win the white working class (Paul can read minds!)

    12/29/2014 5:40:20 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Washington Post's Plum Line Blog ^ | December 29, 2014 | Paul Waldman
    Few questions in American political debate recur with the regularity of this one: Can Democrats win the white working class? As soon as it’s time to start contemplating the next election, commentators begin to ask this question, demanding of Democrats that they explain why this time will be different and they’ll be able to win over those white voters. I’m going to argue that Democrats don’t have to win the white working class, so they shouldn’t worry themselves too much about it. But first, here’s the latest example of the genre, in today’s Wall Street Journal, which gets a little...
  • Bush, Romney, Cruz, Paul, Perry or ?

    12/29/2014 2:35:39 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    Townhall ^ | December 29, 2014 | Rachel Alexander
    Since forming a presidential exploratory committee earlier this month, Jeb Bush is being considered a serious Republican candidate for president. But as George Will astutely pointed out last week, Bush has two significant hurdles; his support for Common Core and immigration reform. Will correctly points out that his support for the latter is far more nuanced than people understand. Bush does not advocate for more immigration through family reunification, which is the agenda of radical immigration activists, but instead for meeting employment needs, and he supports a path to legal status instead of citizenship. However, his support for Common Core...
  • Republicans have deep bench for 2016; Democrats have, at best, two …

    12/28/2014 5:13:00 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Washington Times ^ | December 28, 2014 | Joseph Curl
    On Sunday on ABC’s “This Week,” Daily Beast contributor Kristen Soltis Anderson made an amazing statement. She said Republicans “understand that they need to start cultivating new and fresh talent.” Fascinating. Because the GOP has been cultivating new and fresh talent for years now and is — finally — poised to look to a whole new generation of Republican leaders, quite possibly starting with the 2017 occupant of the White House. The past few election cycles have been grim. The Republican Party went with Sen. John McCain because, well, it was his turn (just like in 1996 with Sen. Bob...
  • American Thinker proves why Sarah Palin is the most powerful female politician

    12/27/2014 8:11:26 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 36 replies
    The Houston Examiner ^ | December 27, 2014 | Mark Whittington
    The end of 2014 marks, as the ends of all years do, the creation of “best of” and “worst of” awards. It was in that spirit that the American Thinking awarded former Alaska governor, former vice presidential candidate, and most powerful female politician on the planet, the “American Achiever of 2014” award in a piece on Saturday. As she contemplates her political future, such as a possible run for the presidency, Palin can indeed look back on 2014 as a year in which much was achieved. When one describes Palin as the most powerful female politician on the planet, one...
  • Will 2016 resemble 1968 for Democrats?

    12/27/2014 1:37:14 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 59 replies
    Powerline ^ | December 26, 2014 | Paul Mirengoff
    I’ve been dismissive of Jim Webb’s prospects for winning the Democratic presidential nomination. But Jacob Heilbrunn’s column on Webb, and Steve’s commentary on that column, made me take another look. On second look, I still don’t see Webb getting very far. Will female Democrats favor Webb — currently in his third marriage and the author of what some might consider a sexist novel — over Hillary Clinton? Not likely. Will African-Americans favor Webb — so proud of his Scotch-Irish heritage — over the wife of “our first black president”? Not likely. Will white southern Democrats favor Webb? Arguably. But he’s...
  • No, Dems Don't Need a Tea Party: Liz Warren is no Ted Cruz, and the left doesn't need her to be

    12/24/2014 7:04:24 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    US News & World Report ^ | December 24, 2014 | Robert Schlesinger
    The tea party has, to date, been a uniquely Republican movement, with would-be progressive analogs fizzling and fading. “Occupy Wall Street” seemed more interested in drum circles than political engagement. And do you remember the Coffee Party? I didn’t think so. The lack of a tea party left is in part because having the White House helps paper over a lot of intraparty divisions. And it’s also in part a function of the parties’ differing structures, with the GOP’s recent purity pushes abetted by a media-entertainment complex that incentivizes ideological fidelity over electability as well as the conservative movement’s historical...
  • Ticket to the White House set to cost at least $1bn

    12/22/2014 2:46:26 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Financial Times ^ | December 21, 2014 | Megan Murphy
    It is set to be one of the toughest US presidential races and certainly its most expensive. With 687 days to go to election day, the 2016 campaign is already rich with storylines as candidates hone their messages and handshakes for the gruelling primary schedule ahead. Will voters warm to another contest between America’s two modern political dynasties in Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush? Or will other, less well-known candidates capitalise on unrest in the US over its widening economic and social fault lines and growing disquiet over its role as the world’s policeman? For Republicans, the field will be...
  • Tea Party Is a Movement Now, Not Just a Mood

    12/19/2014 8:28:45 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 35 replies
    The Daily Signal ^ | December 19, 2014 | Heath Hansen
    Is the tea party a movement or just a mood? That was the question posed by Weekly Standard columnist and Fox News contributor Steven Hayes as he kicked off a panel at the Heritage Foundation celebrating the 5th anniversary of the tea party. Hayes and his co-panelists, Heritage Action for America CEO Michael Needham and University of Virginia professor of politics James Ceaser, all agreed that the tea party is in fact a movement. Moods, as Hayes noted, don’t last for five years. Recent polls regarding national tea party support show the panel’s assessment is correct. An NBC News/Wall Street...
  • (satire) President Obama To Require Government Caseworkers To Cold-Call Citizens To Join SNAP

    12/19/2014 3:54:34 PM PST · by justiceleagues · 37 replies
    Salty Badger ^ | 12/19/14 | Salty Badger
    Due to an increase in the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program’s budget, formerly known as food stamps, President Obama is requiring all SNAP agencies to add a sales team. The sales team will be responsible for telemarketing, cold-calling eligible Americans and persuading them to join the entitlement program that already services 50 million citizens and visa-holders.
  • Cruz’s Campaign Guided By Goldwater’s Theory (Hosh Posh and hogwash)

    12/19/2014 9:07:03 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Commentary Magazine ^ | December 19, 2014 | Peter Wehner
    National Review’s Eliana Johnson, in writing about Texas Senator Ted Cruz, begins her article this way: To hell with the independents. That’s not usually the animating principle of a presidential campaign, but for Ted Cruz’s, it just might be. His strategists aren’t planning to make a big play for so-called independent voters in the general election if Cruz wins the Republican nomination. According to several of the senator’s top advisers, Cruz sees a path to victory that relies instead on increasing conservative turnout; attracting votes from groups — including Jews, Hispanics, and Millennials — that have tended to favor Democrats;...
  • The More, the Merrier for the GOP in 2016

    12/18/2014 2:58:18 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Commentary Magazine ^ | December 18, 2014 | Peter Wehner
    In the aftermath of President Obama giving the Castro regime diplomatic recognition, Senator Marco Rubio has been pretty much everywhere, including multiple television appearances and authoring this Wall Street Journal op-ed. According to Senator Rubio, “By conceding to the oppressors in the Castro regime, this president and his administration have let the Cuban people down, further weakened America’s standing in the world and endangered Americans.” Whether or not one agrees with Rubio’s position–and I’m sympathetic to it–he makes his case clearly, intelligently, and with passion. Despite some differences with him now and then–I found his advocacy for the tactics that...
  • Democrats go searching for a message ahead of 2016

    12/18/2014 12:53:16 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Yahoo! News ^ | December 17, 2014 | Jon Ward
    Insiders agree the party has lost focus on ‘bread and butter’ economic issues.Elizabeth Warren may have captured the imagination of the Democratic Party’s base, but many in her party worry that it does not have a message that can reach beyond its most loyal supporters. In recent weeks, Democratic operatives have begun to voice concerns that the 2014 midterms made plain the limits of an approach that failed to reach beyond minority groups or those who are reflexively liberal. And yet what should come next is not yet totally clear. “You have to answer the mail about what people’s concerns...
  • Can Jeb Bush win Iowa? Operatives say he may be more formidable than is assumed

    12/17/2014 5:44:13 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 53 replies
    The Politico ^ | December 16, 2014 | James Hohmann
    The Bush family has had its share of disappointment and elation in Iowa and New Hampshire. George H.W. Bush finished a dismal third in the 1988 Iowa caucuses, before rebounding in New Hampshire. George W. Bush, however, won the 2000 caucuses, only to get thumped by John McCain in New Hampshire. Now, with Jeb Bush’s announcement on Tuesday, a third Bush seems to be preparing to face the demanding voters of the first two states in the presidential selection process, with uncertain expectations. But a chorus of top Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire said that the former Florida governor...
  • The 2016 Republican primary is the biggest crap-shoot since at least 1988

    12/17/2014 4:44:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | December 17, 2014 | Scott Clement
    Early national presidential primary polls are, at best, rough indicators of who will eventually become the party's standard-bearer. But the Republican primary field is especially scattered heading into the 2016 cycle, which is one reason why Jeb Bush's recent moves toward a candidacy are getting so much attention. In fact, the GOP field is more scattered at this stage in GOP primaries since at least 1987, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The table below looks back at early Post-ABC surveys in the past five open Republican primary contests. A few findings help give a sense of just...
  • Limbaugh: Jeb Bush really running to kill tea party

    12/17/2014 12:40:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 84 replies
    WorldNetDaily ^ | December 16, 2014 | Joe Kovacs
    'It's all about us being the No. 1 enemy of these people' PALM BEACH, Florida – With the announcement Tuesday by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush that he plans to “actively explore” a run for president in 2016, radio host Rush Limbaugh says the real reason Jeb is seeking the White House is to choke the influence of tea-party conservatives out of the Republican Party. “You want to know why Jeb Bush is thinking about running?” Limbaugh asked on his top-rated program Tuesday. “He’s … being looked at as savior by the big-money donor class and the consultant class –...
  • Jeb Bush’s Rivals Already Running

    12/17/2014 12:22:52 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    OpenSecrets.org ^ | December 17, 2014 | Russ Choma
    Former Florida Governor and ex-First Brother Jeb Bush announced his plans to start a fundraising committee next month, and immediately some big names in GOP money — such as Florida developer Mel Sembler — got behind him. Bush has recently proven his ability to raise big bucks, but some of Bush’s likely competitors for the 2016 GOP nomination already have a head start. Three of them — Sens. Marco Rubio (Fla.), Rand Paul (Ky.) and Ted Cruz (Texas) — have the advantage of a national podium in the Senate and plenty of places to start stashing away cash. All three...
  • Third Party Rumblings After GOP Squanders Election Landslide with Budget Deal

    12/16/2014 5:31:20 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The Excellence In Broadcasting Network ^ | December 16, 2014 | Rush Limbaugh
    BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Here's Bob in Nashua, New Hampshire, as we head back to the phones. Great to have you with us, sir. Hello. CALLER: Yeah, thanks, Rush. Yeah, this theme of the GOP establishment that the Tea Party and conservatives are the main enemy not the Dems, it's nothing new. It goes back, really, to the 2008 presidential election when the Republican establishment -- or at least many in the establishment -- sabotaged McCain-Palin. Because, to them, Palin was the bigger threat, the bigger enemy than the Democrats winning. You know, the funny thing is now more than six...
  • Ted Cruz’s independence from independents

    12/16/2014 3:02:22 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Powerline ^ | December 16, 2014 | Paul Mirengoff
    Eliana Johnson reports that Ted Cruz and his strategists see a path to the presidency that relies on turning out the conservative base and largely ignoring independents: "It’s almost conventional wisdom now that presidential candidates woo the party faithful in primary contests and tack to the middle in the general election to attract more-moderate voters. Not Cruz. As one of his advisers puts it, “winning independents has meant not winning.” The adviser says the moderate fiscal- and social-policy positions that candidates need to adopt to win independent voters have dampened base turnout." As evidence, the adviser points out that George...
  • Ted Cruz Quietly Seeks Peace With GOP's Big Spenders (Donors, not Politicians)

    12/15/2014 6:54:07 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 63 replies
    National Journal ^ | December 15, 2014 | Tim Alberta
    The Texas Republican has traveled to both coasts in the hopes of winning over skeptical donors.There's a downside to digging in. Just ask Ted Cruz. Since being elected to Congress in 2012, the Texas Republican has established himself as a conservative icon. On everything from spending fights to immigration policy and social issues, Cruz has been a powerful and reliable voice of the far right. His push last year to defund Obamacare—which shuttered the government—cemented his image as an uncompromising champion of the tea party. But now, as he prepares a presidential bid, Cruz needs to round out the rough...
  • Which Potential Candidates Speak Spanish—and Will It Matter? (Bush speaks only Spanish at home)

    12/14/2014 5:20:18 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | December 14, 2014 | Eleanor Clift
    Jeb Bush does. The Democrats’ Castro brothers do not. Ted Cruz knows ‘Spanglish.’ But fluency and being able to talk to Hispanics are two entirely different matters.The ability to speak Spanish is a prized commodity on the campaign trail, a way to prove your bona fides with Hispanics—the fastest-growing bloc of voters—and to show your inclusiveness in a rapidly changing country. Lots of Anglos are proficient in Spanish. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, a potential presidential candidate, speaks nothing but Spanish at home, and has for years. His wife, Columba, is from Mexico. A more recent phenomenon in the political...
  • Columnist: attacks on guns and God, not racism, to blame for the demise of the Southern Democrat

    12/12/2014 7:11:01 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Charleston City Paper's Haire Of The Dog Blog ^ | December 12, 2014 | Chris Haire
    In Timothy Carney's Dec. 9 article, the Washington Examiner senior political columnist makes the case that the conventional wisdom is wrong when it comes to why white Southerners have fled the Democratic Party. It's not because of the GOP's very successful Southern Strategy, which played up the racial fears and prejudices of white Southerners in response to an increasingly empowered black population. For Carney, the South no longer has a white Democrat in the U.S. Senate for two reasons and two reasons alone: the Democratic Party is hostile to guns and God, two things that every Southerner hold dear. Carney...
  • Down & Out: Dem losses at state-level almost unprecedented, could cripple it for a long time

    12/12/2014 4:32:47 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Slate ^ | December 11, 2014 | Jamelle Bouie
    The most immediate consequence of the Democrats’ midterm disaster was losing control of the Senate and ceding Congress to the GOP. For the next two years, Democrats will have to deal with conservative legislation, right-wing hijinks, and—in all odds—a vacancy crisis, as Republicans freeze confirmations and refuse to fill spots in the executive branch and on the federal bench. That is bad for the Democratic Party. What’s on the horizon is worse. As Amy Walter notes for the Cook Political Report, Democrats lost big at all levels of government, including the states. “Today,” she writes, “about 55 percent of all...
  • What choice does the right have in 2016? (She's finally lost her mind)

    12/11/2014 7:14:29 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Washington Post's Right Turn Blog ^ | December 11, 2014 | Jennifer Rubin, Queen of the NeoCons
    The most conservative candidates are, with the exception of 1964, invariably the bridesmaid and never the bride in the GOP presidential primary. (In 1980, there were candidates such as Rep. Phil Crane of Illinois to Ronald Reagan’s right.) Part of the explanation is that the most conservative voters divide their support among candidates, leaving a path for a more moderate figure to coast to victory. And part of the explanation is that they tend to set upon candidates who self-destruct, are not qualified or are simply too extreme — and often all three. In 2016, how can they break this...
  • Early 2016 GOP Coronation Not in the Cards

    12/09/2014 9:26:58 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Commentary Magazine ^ | December 9, 2014 | Jonathan S. Tobin
    The Republican Party’s largest donors all seem to have the same idea. They’d like the 2016 presidential nomination race settled early on in the cycle. And, if you believe the reporting of the New York Times (and in this instance, it may be accurate), they’d like it to be one of the following three candidates: Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, or, wait for it, Mitt Romney. The conceit of the article is not crazy. If a critical mass of GOP fat cats gets together on a candidate, the odds will shift in favor of that person. But there’s a big problem...
  • Now they’re trying to steal 2016: GOP schemes to rewire Electoral College & elect a Tea Party prez

    12/08/2014 9:59:11 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    Salon ^ | December 6, 2014 | Paul Rosenberg
    Republicans know they can't win the popular vote. You won't believe sick schemes they've launched to get around it. Republicans have only won the popular vote for president once in the last 25 years, a steep decline in their fortunes from the period from 1972 to 1988, when they won the popular vote every time but one–1976, the aftermath of Watergate. Add to that massive policy failures and demographic trends against them, and the motivations to cheat are overwhelming. Voter suppression seemed promising at first—and it’s helpful in many downticket races—but it’s not going to be enough to secure the...
  • Clinton Will Need to Win Over the Black Voters That Landrieu Couldn't

    12/08/2014 3:29:35 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    National Journal ^ | December 7, 2014 | Alex Roarty
    The likely Democratic presidential nominee needs to duplicate, or at least come close to duplicating, Obama's performance among African-Americans. It's a tall task. Mary Landrieu lost her runoff race Saturday because President Obama isn't well-liked, national Democrats abandoned her, and, statewide, Louisiana pretty much only elects Republicans. But Democrats and their likely presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton, might squirm the most over her defeat for a different reason: The longtime senator couldn't get enough support from African-Americans. Like Landrieu, Clinton (or whoever becomes the party's standard-bearer) will try to win over black voters at the same rate Obama did in both...
  • Michael Tomasky has a meltdown over South’s rejection of Democrats

    12/08/2014 12:41:38 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    Hot Air ^ | December 8, 2014 | Noah Rothman
    Much has been made of the fact that when losing Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) leaves office in January, Louisiana will not have a Democratic statewide elected official in office for the first time since the 1870s. The Republicans who occupy all of the Pelican State’s high offices are in good company; Republicans now control every U.S. Senate seat, legislative chamber, and governor’s mansion across the Deep South – from Texas to the Carolinas. This condition is giving some Democrats, loyal to the party for whom the term “Solid South” was coined, indigestion. The best example of this phenomenon is an...
  • Ted Cruz Was 25 Years Ahead Of His Time On Fighting Campus Rape

    12/08/2014 10:44:20 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Yahoo! Finance / Business Insider ^ | December 8, 2014 | Hunter Walker
    For Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), the issue of sexual assault on college campuses is personal. During his years at Princeton University, Cruz spearheaded efforts to fight date rape at the school. In an exclusive interview with Business Insider, he said his focus on the issue was in part inspired by a dark chapter in his family history. "When I was in student government in college, protecting student safety was a real priority, and no student should ever have to face the threat of sexual assault," Cruz said in an email to Business Insider. "In my own family, my aunt experienced...
  • Mark Shields: 2016 an Unconventional Year for Presidential Nominees

    12/06/2014 8:19:37 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    Noozhawk ^ | December 6, 2014 | Mark Shields
    Since 1952, nearly every battle for an open Republican presidential nomination when there has been no Republican incumbent running for re-election has followed two dependable storylines. First, a year before the party convention, the GOP voters have settled on a front-runner and then, with the only exception being former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani (who, before he self-destructed his campaign in 2008, led in the 2007 polls), 12 months later, nominated that early front-runner. Beginning with Dwight Eisenhower in 1951 — followed by Richard Nixon in 1959 (and again in 1967), Barry Goldwater in 1963, Ronald Reagan in 1979, George...