Free Republic

A round of new polls by Mason-Dixon and the Denver Post, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, and the Salt Lake Tribune will give everyone something to chew on. ... On the plus side for McCain, he’s surprisingly up by four points in New Mexico (45%-41%) and seven points in Nevada (46%-39%). On the minus side for him, he’s ahead only by six points in his home state of Arizona (47%-41%), and he’s trailing Obama by three in Colorado (46%-43%), although a new Quinnipiac poll out today has McCain up one in this state (47%-46%).

WASHINGTON — Democrats are slightly ahead of Republican incumbents in three election battleground states that will help determine control of the Senate, a series of polls released Sunday showed. In Montana, Democrat Jon Tester had the support of 47 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns had the support of 40 percent. In Ohio, Democrat Rep. Sherrod Brown had 45 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Mike DeWine had 43 percent. In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. had 43 percent, and former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, the Republican Senate nominee, had 42 percent. Democrats...

NEW YORK - Incumbent Republican Senator George Allen and Democratic challenger Jim Webb are tied in the latest MSNBC/McClatchy poll conducted by Mason-Dixon. Each candidate received the support of 43 percent of likely voters in Virginia with 2 percent supporting a third candidate and 12 percent undecided. The results represent a rapid change in support for Allen, who was once not only thought to be a safe bet for re-election but perhaps a candidate for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination. If Allen were to lose, the chances of Democrats gaining control of the senate would be increased. The Democrats need...

Republican Sen. John Ensign retains a lead of more than 20 percentage points over his Democratic challenger, Jack Carter, according to a new Review-Journal poll. The poll, conducted last week by Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., found Ensign supported by 58 percent of those surveyed and Carter by 35 percent. The 23-point lead for Ensign is a good sign for the incumbent, who has consistently performed strongly in the Review-Journal's polling, although some other surveys have found him to be more vulnerable. A Mason-Dixon poll last month gave Ensign 54 percent of the vote; one in April put...

LAS VEGAS (AP) - Republican incumbent Jon Porter had a 47 percent to 37 percent lead over Democratic challenger Tessa Hafen in the race for Nevada's 3rd Congressional District seat, according to a new statewide poll. Meanwhile, the race for the House seat being vacated by Rep. Jim Gibbons remained too close to call Monday between Republican Secretary of State Dean Heller and Democratic university Regent Jill Derby. Heller drew 45 percent support from the 400 registered voters interviewed, while Derby drew 42 percent. The sampling error margin was plus or minus 5 percentage points, making the Heller-Derby race too...

THe Mason Dixon poll, conducted on behalf of Minnesota Public Radio and the St. Paul Pioneer Press, is similar to other independent polls released on the race last week. Both candidates are polling well among their core supporters but Klobuchar also has strong support from independent voters. St. Paul, Minn. — The poll interviewed 625 registered voters in Minnesota between September 18 and September 20. The poll found that a little more than half of those polled -- 52 percent -- support Democrat Amy Klobuchar. Thirty-seven percent support Republican Mark Kennedy. Independence Party member Robert Fitzgerald and Green Party member...

The controversy surrounding U.S. Sen. George Allen’s campaign trail remarks in August has helped turn his re-election race into a close contest, according to a poll conducted for The Roanoke Times and other Virginia newspapers. Allen, the Republican incumbent, leads Democrat Jim Webb by just 4 percentage points — 46 to 42 — in a survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Allen’s lead has diminished by 12 points since a Mason-Dixon poll conducted in July, even though Webb was barely seen on the campaign trail for much of the summer. The erosion of Allen’s lead is largely because of...

More Nevadans know Jack Carter today than four months ago, but the president's son turned Democratic Senate candidate is still far from giving the Republican incumbent a competitive run. According to a new Review-Journal poll, if the general election were held today, Sen. John Ensign would attract 54 percent of the state's votes. Almost a quarter, 23 percent, of Democrats would vote for him, as would half of Clark County, a Democratic stronghold. Thirty-three percent of voters statewide said they'd vote for Carter, and 13 percent were undecided. "We've got work to do, but I'm pleased with the direction it's...

RICHMOND -- U.S. Sen. George Allen holds a comfortable lead in his race for re-election and boasts a solid job approval rating, according to a poll commissioned by The Roanoke Times and other Virginia newspapers. The Republican senator leads Democratic challenger James Webb by 16 percentage points in a statewide survey conducted last week by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. But one-fifth of the voters remain undecided, and Allen still lacks majority support in his bid for a second term, according to the poll. Allen has the support of 48 percent of the voters surveyed and leads Webb by wide margins...

A statewide poll shows 76 percent of respondents support a proposed state constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage. The Mason-Dixon poll for the Chattanooga Times Free Press found strong support among 642 Tennessee voters who were interviewed in a telephone survey between July 17th and 19th. Fifteen percent said they'd vote against it and nine percent were undecided. The poll has an error margin of plus or minus four percent. Support for the amendment was strongest among men and residents of East Tennessee, where 81 percent of respondents said they would vote for it. The question will appear on the November...

TAMPA - Attorney General Charlie Crist may be running away with the Republican nomination in the governor's race, a new poll for The Tampa Tribune and WFLA, News Channel 8, shows. Crist leads Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher 55 percent to 24 percent among likely Republican voters surveyed last week by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. The race for the Democratic nomination remains wide open, however,with a majority of the Democrats surveyed undecided on whether to support U.S. Rep. Jim Davis, of Tampa, or state Sen. Rod Smith, of Alachua. Of those who chose a candidate, Davis led 29 percent to...

John Jacob, a political neophyte, has ridden anxieties over immigration into striking distance of unseating Rep. Chris Cannon in the 3rd Congressional District race, according to a Salt Lake Tribune poll. The survey of 400 likely voters, conducted Monday through Thursday, found Eagle Mountain businessman Jacob and five-term congressman Cannon in a dead heat with 44 percent of voters favoring Cannon to 41 percent for Jacob, leaving enough voters on the fence to throw the race either way. Among those who insist they are "definite" about turning out Tuesday to vote, Jacob holds a slight edge: 45 percent to 44...

...In the poll, voters give Jeb Bush a record high rating for his performance as governor. But they disagree with one of his top educational priorities: By a slim majority, they want to maintain class size limits passed in a 2002 referendum, which Bush wants to revise. Voters agree with the governor by a plurality, however, on another of his educational goals - reinstating the statewide private school tuition voucher program, which was struck down by the state Supreme Court. ...The poll, done by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the Tribune and News Channel 8, tapped the opinions of...

TAMPA - A new poll shows U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson maintaining a lead of 16 percentage points over potential challenger Katherine Harris, a lead unchanged despite problems that have plagued Harris' campaign. At the same time, voters are seeing Nelson's performance in office in a more positive light. His job approval ratings have gone well over 50 percent, an unprecedented level in this poll. Pollster Brad Coker said that's probably because Nelson has avoided a high profile on divisive national issues recently, concentrating instead on state issues, and because he's coming out of the shadow of former Sen. Bob Graham....

HELENA — Both Republican U.S. Sen. Conrad Burns and Rep. Denny Rehberg lead trial matchups against potential Democratic opponents for the 2006 election and, as incumbents, are far better known among the voters, a new Lee Newspapers poll shows.The telephone survey, taken May 23-25 of 625 likely Montana voters by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. If the 2006 Senate election were held today, Burns would defeat state Auditor John Morrison, a Democrat, by a 49 to 34 percent margin, with 17 percent undecided. Burns leads among men by...

Republican Rep. Jim Gibbons has both the highest name recognition and the best chance to be Nevada's next governor, according to a poll of statewide voters. Gibbons trounces potential Republican primary opponents and beats both likely Democratic candidates by double digits, according to the survey of 625 Nevada voters commissioned by the Review-Journal and reviewjournal.com. Voters were polled May 12-14 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., based in Washington, D.C. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. For the Republican and Democratic subgroup questions, the margin is 6 percentage points. On the high...

The defining moment of my visit to New Orleans a year ago occurred in a gift shop. I'm somewhat embarrassed to admit this, but at least it wasn't the kind that sells feather boas and t-shirts with jazz-playing lobsters. I wasn't a sorority girl nursing my hangover at Café Du Monde during Mardi Gras; I was a tourist visiting what used to be a sprawling, stately slave plantation. I was busy mulling over that subtly troubling experience, browsing through the gift shop's bookshelves, when I came to a curious array of volumes. The title The South Was Right! jumped out...

I've analyzed the pre-election surveys of the 10 major multi-state polling firms. They were: American Research Group (ARG), Fox, Gallup, Quinnipiac (Q), Research 2000 (R2000), Rasmussen (Ras), Strategic Vision (SV) Survey USA (SUSA), and Zogby. I found Survey USA to be the best. Of the 35 states which I researched, SUSA polled in 29 of them. They were correct every time. What was truly astounding was their track record in states where the contest was not close. SUSA was largely on their own polling in these states, and such contests are often very unpredictable since creating turnout models is virtually...

Mason-Dixon Actual EV Bush Kerry Margin Bush Kerry Margin Swing States FL 27 49 45 4 52 47 5 PA 21 46 48 -2 49 51 -2 OH 20 48 46 2 51 49 2 MI 17 45 47 -2 48 51 -3 MN 10 48 47 1 48 51 -3 WI 10 46 48 -2 49 50 -1 IA 7 49 44 5 50 49 1 NM 5 49 45 4 50 49 1 NV 5 50 44 6 50 48 2 NH 4 46 47 -1 49 50 -1 Likely States NJ 15 WA 11 45 50...

Just perused the realclearpolitics state projections. Mason-Dixon just about nailed it...only missed Minnesota (had a 1% Bush lead). This assumes we win NM and IA. I don't think anyone else who projected as many states came anywhere close.

Rush's analysis http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_110104/content/stack_a.guest.html State-by-State Polling Gives Slight Edge to President Bush October 31, 2004 01:18 AM Mason-Dixon Polling and Research had a stellar performance in the 2002 elections missing only 1 poll out of the 23 the firm conducted. Their average error on each candidate was only 1.8%. While past performances hardly guarantee this year’s results, Mason-Dixon has released their latest round (and perhaps their last) list of battleground state polls. They strongly favor the president. Arkansas - Bush, 51-43 (6 EV) Colorado - Bush, 50-43 (9 EV) Florida - Bush, 49-45 (27 EV) Iowa - Bush, 49-44 (7 EV)...

After seeing the flood of poll data that has been rolling in from late last night to early this morning, I wanted to post some brief notes to all of you on this recent news, and in part to clear up some confusion among our members, because I think the weight of evidence provided by the polls taken as a whole is that Bush is going to win.Note: All links in this post are of the "pop up" variety, which you can open without leaving this page.First; to answer a question posed and argued over last night, the Gallup national...

A look at two recent polls of Michigan voters 10/31/2004, 11:33 a.m. ET The Associated Press (AP) — Results of recent polls in Michigan on the presidential race. Listed above each set of results is the name of the organization that conducted the poll, the dates, the number interviewed, whether they were adults, registered voters (RV) or likely voters (LV) and the margin of error (MoE). Results might not total 100 percent because of rounding. Trend, when available from the same polling firm, is in parentheses after the current numbers. An asterisk () indicates less than 1 percent. •__ Mason-Dixon...

Bush hangs on to slim leads in state polls Good news for the president in two states Gore carried, Iowa and New Mexico; virtual tie in Ohio, four-point Bush edge in Florida By Tom Curry National affairs writer MSNBC Updated: 8:01 p.m. ET Oct. 30, 2004 MILWAUKEE, Wisc. - With 48 hours of campaigning left, President Bush is holding on to narrow leads over Democratic challenger John Kerry in two-thirds of states surveyed by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, including six of the nine that remain on most lists of crucial "battleground states" that are considered too close to call. In...

New Mason-Dixon polls just released: FL+4; OH:+2; WV:+8; MN:+1; NM:+5; IA:5; AR:+8; NV:+6

I can't seem to find a schedule, and they are pretty accurate on state polling.

I once saw two guys having a shouting match over one of the great vexed questions of our time: Is Florida part of the South? This altercation took place, appropriately enough, at the Flora-Bama Lounge, a bar which straddles the border between Florida and Alabama like a drunken colossus. The place is famous for its mullet-tossing competitions.Anyway, one guy (who was from Jacksonville) said Florida was full of old Yankees and new Cubans and so is not Southern. The other guy (who was from Arcadia) said Florida is too Southern - his local Denny's serves two flavors of grits and...

Most political pundits said Senator John Kerry out performed President Bush during their three presidential debates. But talk is cheap at least in the eyes of South Dakota voters. Last week we randomly surveyed 800 registered voters in South Dakota by phone. And judging by the numbers, President Bush will easily win South Dakota's three electoral votes. The last time we took a scientific poll in the presidential race, 11% of the voters were still undecided on who they were going to vote for, President Bush or John Kerry. "Probably because John Kerry is a fairly new commodity, he went...

Jim DeMint's commanding lead the U.S. Senate race has evaporated during the past month, a new independent poll shows. The Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. poll shows the Republican U.S. House member at 47 percent and Inez Tenenbaum, his Democratic opponent, at 43 percent. That's within the 4 percentage point margin of sampling error for the telephone poll of 625 likely voters statewide interviewed Tuesday and Wednesday by Mason-Dixon for The Post and Courier of Charleston. The paper reported on Oct. 3 that a Mason-Dixon poll had DeMint at 50 percent and the two-term education superintendent at 38 percent in...

Nathanael posted a link to another website, where a poster claimed to have some of the Mason-Dixon Gore-state polls that are coming out later. Paleocon has chimed in stating that those numbers are correct, and gave the results for the other states that the other site’s post did not have. Call it a hunch, but something tells me that these are, in fact, the numbers. Let’s see if my radar is good here, and that instead of these posters just making things up they actually have a scoop. The results: PA: K46-B45 OR: K46-B45 WI: K45-B45 IA: B49-K43 NM: B49-K44...

On the eve of the first presidential debate, the race for Pennsylvania's electoral votes was a virtual dead heat. A new Pennsylvania Poll found U.S. Sen. John Kerry with a statistically insignificant lead over President Bush of 45 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the state.

President Bush leads Sen. John Kerry by 50 percent to 42 percent in Ohio, a state considered crucial by both campaigns, a new poll indicates. Two percent of those surveyed supported Ralph Nader. The poll commissioned by The Plain Dealer for its Sunday edition was conducted from Sept. 10 to Tuesday by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research of Washington, D.C. It was based on interviews with 1,500 registered voters who plan to vote Nov. 2. The margin of error was 2.5 percentage points.

Bush is running slightly ahead of Democrat John Kerry among registered voters in Colorado, a new poll shows. The president had 48 percent support and Kerry was at 43 percent in the survey, conducted for The Denver Post by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Six percent of voters said they were undecided. The poll, conducted June 15-18, has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Colorado was considered safe for Bush, but Kerry recently began competing there although registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by 185,000. Bush won the state in 2000 by 9 percentage points over Democrat...

Some of you have been following my constant embattlement with polls. Well, I found a website with state polling data from the 2000 election and compared them results from the election (The site only had data starting with "H", as the page with A-G states was lost from the server apparently) and here are a few observations. ARG - American Research Group was by far one of the worst polling services that covered many of the states. They consistantly and constantly slanted towards Gore, even having Tennessee in the Gore column by 5 percentage points in a poll conducted just...

<p>President Bush leads John Kerry by six percentage points in the battle for Ohio, a state that could decide who wins the White House, according to a statewide Plain Dealer poll. Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over Kerry, 47 percent to 41 percent.</p>

Bush Leads Kerry in Ohio, New Poll Shows CLEVELAND (AP) -- President Bush leads Democratic rival John Kerry in the key swing state of Ohio in a three-way matchup that includes independent presidential candidate Ralph Nader, a new poll shows. Republican Bush was at 47 percent, followed by Kerry at 41 percent and Nader at 3 percent among registered voters surveyed by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research for The Plain Dealer. Results were released late Saturday. Nine percent of voters were undecided. Bush's lead came although about half in the poll expressed disapproval of his handling of the economy, found to...

President Bush leads John Kerry by 6 percentage points in the battle for Ohio, a state that could decide who wins the White House, according to a statewide Plain Dealer poll. Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over Kerry, 47 percent to 41 percent. Consumer advocate Ralph Nader draws 3 percent, though he has yet to qualify for the Ohio ballot. Nine percent say they are undecided. Though Bush is given low marks for his handling of the economy and the war in Iraq, those who say they favor him cite his moral character and his stewardship over the...

CLEVELAND - President Bush has a 6 percentage point lead over John Kerry in Ohio, considered a must-win state rich in electoral votes, a newspaper's statewide poll has found. Bush led Kerry 47 percent to 41 percent among Ohio voters surveyed for the poll, which The Plain Dealer released Saturday night. Three percent of voters said they favored independent Ralph Nader, although he has yet to qualify for the Ohio ballot. Nine percent were undecided. Washington, D.C-based Mason-Dixon Polling and Research interviewed 1,500 registered voters who plan to vote in November for the poll, which was conducted May 20-25. The...

President Bush leads John Kerry by 6 percentage points in the battle for Ohio, a state that could decide who wins the White House, according to a statewide Plain Dealer poll. Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over Kerry, 47 percent to 41 percent. Consumer advocate Ralph Nader draws 3 percent, though he has yet to qualify for the Ohio ballot. Nine percent say they are undecided. Though Bush is given low marks for his handling of the economy and the war in Iraq, those who say they favor him cite his moral character and his stewardship over the...

Florida Poll Shows President Bush Pulls Slightly Ahead of Kerry in Florida After Ad Blitz The Associated Press WASHINGTON April 6 — President Bush has pulled slightly ahead of Democrat John Kerry in Florida after several weeks of a withering blitz of political advertising, according to a poll released Tuesday. Bush had the backing of 51 percent of likely voters, while Kerry had the backing of 43 percent in a two-way matchup in the Mason-Dixon poll taken for the Orlando Sentinel and WESH-TV. Six percent were undecided. Two polls conducted in early March suggested the race is close in Florida,...

QUESTION: If the 2004 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were John Kerry, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican and Ralph Nader, an independent? STATE BUSH: 49% KERRY: 38% NADER: 4% UNDECIDED: 9%

During the Civil War, Old Bridge supplied the Union troops with salt hay to feed their horses. The Mason Dixon Line — the symbolic border between the Union and the Confederacy — passed through New Jersey, geographically separating southern New Jersey from northern portions of the state. The town of Kearney was named for Philip Kearney, a one-armed military general who led many successful battles against the Confederates before being killed in battle. These and many other facts, some little-known, some not, are revealed in a new exhibit titled "Our Long Endurance: The Story of New Jersey in the Civil...

I was reading the forum this morning and I swear I saw an article posted circa 9/10:00 am EST re: a new Mason Dixon poll that showed McBride ahead of Jeb Bush for the first time. I skimmed the article and don't recall the actual numbers but I do remember reading about this. I was halfway out the door when I quickly skimmed the article. I am pretty sure it referred to a new Mason Dixon poll - could be wrong, but that is my memory at this time. In any case, I've just spent 30 minutes doing FR searches...

Saving The Mason-Dixon Line By Bijal P. Trivedi National Geographic Today April 10, 2002 Most Americans know the Mason-Dixon Line as the divider between North and South; freedom and slavery. But the line's origins have nothing to do with slavery and actually predate the United States. The line is, in fact, the result of a bloody land dispute between proprietors of Pennsylvania and Maryland when the country was just a collection of British colonies. Todd Babcock (left) and Dilwyn Knott (right) next to one of the stone markers on the Mason-Dixon Line. Yet the very stones that mark this infamous...