Keyword: michaelbarone

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  • Levin's complaints that Trump is attacking from the left using "Alinsky" tactics are silly [vanity]

    01/20/2016 12:13:55 PM PST · by springwater13 · 50 replies
    Levin might cry and whine about Trump's tactics but here's the thing, there are no rules in politics. The only rule is winning. Trump is making that clear this cycle by breaking all the rules and winning so far. If Cruz can't beat Trump, he doesn't deserve to be the nominee. Hillary and the democrats would use the same "tactics" and more to pulverize him. This is what primaries are about. They are tests for the strongest nominee. They make the eventual nominee stronger. Cry baby whining about Trump does not make Cruz stronger. It's what losers do when they...
  • Mark Levin's fiancee's son works for Ted Cruz.

    01/21/2016 3:36:03 PM PST · by Enduro Guy · 252 replies
    So... I heard straight from the great one's mouth. Mark Levin's fiancee's son works for Ted Cruz.
  • Mark Levin saya he is being threatened by a campaign

    01/21/2016 3:35:24 PM PST · by alpo · 173 replies
    Mark Levin Show
    Mark Levin opened his radio show with the disclosure a political campaign was attempt to intimidate him by disclosing his fiancee's son works in Ted Cruz's DC office. He said he is going to find out and identify who it is. He doesn't believe it is the Trump group.
  • The “Trump Conservative War” – The Great Trumpian Divide – National Review VS Mainstreet…

    09/12/2015 5:08:11 PM PDT · by sheikdetailfeather · 62 replies
    The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 9-12-15 | sundance
    There is an expression: “I will leave you naked before your enemies”… A proactive assertion essentially stating: if you chose to engage in war with me – not only do I promise your defeat against my interests, but I will lay you open to exposure from all adversaries – who will then take advantage of your new vulnerability. Presidential Candidate Donald Trump is doing a remarkable job filling the role behind this proclamation. In a seismic political shift Trump has gone far beyond drawing a line in the sand. He has openly dug a trench on his pre-selected battle space...
  • Not coincidental Trumps 2015 conservative critics were Obamas 2009 fan boys

    12/29/2015 12:58:32 PM PST · by Sybeck1 · 33 replies
    The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 12-29-15 | Sundance
    By now almost everyone has acknowledged that Donald Trump has ripped the masks from most of the modern professional punditry who espoused to be conservatives yet showed their hidden ideological colors as elite globalists. Most notably this was evidenced in June as millions of Fox News viewers saw FOX’s entire line-up of professional pundits proclaim borders shouldn’t matter; border walls won’t work; illegal alien amnesty was the only viable solution to decades of unenforced immigration law; and, heck, this was only in week #1 of Donald Trump’s campaign Since June ’15, on almost every issue those same pundits have now...
  • Not Coincidental - Trump’s 2015 Conservative Critics Were Obama's 2009 Fan Boys...

    12/29/2015 3:24:36 AM PST · by cotton1706 · 40 replies ^ | 12/29/15 | Sundance
    By now almost everyone has acknowledged that Donald Trump has ripped the masks from most of the modern professional punditry who espoused to be conservatives yet showed their hidden ideological colors as elite globalists. Most notably this was evidenced in June as millions of Fox News viewers saw FOX's entire line-up of professional pundits proclaim borders shouldn’t matter; border walls won’t work; illegal alien amnesty was the only viable solution to decades of unenforced immigration law; and, heck, this was only in week #1 of Donald Trump's campaign. Since June '15, on almost every issue those same pundits have now...
  • Trump’s 2015 Conservative Critics Were Obama’s 2009 Fan Boys…

    12/30/2015 8:55:08 PM PST · by akalinin · 12 replies
    The Last Refuge ^ | December 28 2015 | sundance
    By now almost everyone has acknowledged that Donald Trump has ripped the masks from most of the modern professional punditry who espoused to be conservatives yet showed their hidden ideological colors as elite globalists.Most notably this was evidenced in June as millions of Fox News viewers saw FOX’s entire line-up of professional pundits proclaim borders shouldn’t matter; border walls won’t work; illegal alien amnesty was the only viable solution to decades of unenforced immigration law; and, heck, this was only in week #1 of Donald Trump’s campaign. Since June ’15, on almost every issue those same pundits have now openly...
  • Two Impossible Things That Could Happen in 2016

    08/28/2015 8:29:31 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 42 replies ^ | August 28, 2015 | Michael Barone
    "One can't believe impossible things," Alice objected. "I daresay you haven't had much practice," the Red Queen replied. "When I was your age, I always did it for half an hour a day. Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." You may be reading this sometime after breakfast, and six is a pretty large number of impossible things. But looking at developments in the 2016 campaign, I can see two impossible things -- impossible in the sense that almost every pundit (including me) ruled them out -- that might happen in the weeks and months...
  • Donald Trump's Half-Serious, Half-Fantasy Immigration Plan

    08/21/2015 1:13:23 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 29 replies
    Townhall ^ | 08/21/2015 | Michael Barone
    Donald Trump's six-page platform on immigration may not be, as Ann Coulter wrote, "the greatest political document since the Magna Carta." But given the issue's role in elevating the candidate to leading Republican polls, it merits serious attention. And at least some of the platform's planks are serious. Trump calls for nationwide use, presumably mandatory, of E-Verify, the government system that is supposed to enable prospective employers to verify a job applicant's immigration status. He also calls for completion of a visa tracking system. About half of the nation's estimated 11.3 million illegal immigrants (Pew Research Center estimates, not significantly...
  • In Turkey and Mexico, Voters try to Strengthen Electoral Democracy

    06/12/2015 4:45:35 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 1 replies ^ | June 12, 2015 | Michael Barone
    Another election, another surprise. Actually, two elections, in two countries last weekend, with surprisingly pleasant surprises. And in two very large countries: Turkey (population 82 million) and Mexico (119 million), both very important to the United States. In the runup to the Turkish election, speculation in English-speaking publications centered on whether President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's AKP party would get a large enough majority in the parliament to amend the constitution without a popular referendum. The AKP, usually described as mildly Islamist, has been in power since 2002. In some respects it has compiled a record that compares favorably with those...
  • Barone Report: Tea Party Base Instinctively Ahead of GOP Establishment

    11/07/2013 8:39:15 AM PST · by C. Edmund Wright · 33 replies
    The American Thinker ^ | 11-8-13 | C. Edmund Wright
    While the Republican establishment was obsessing over the government shutdown, the evils of Ted Cruz, and the latest Jurassic media poll designed specifically to fool them, they remained blind to the massive iceberg that was about to nearly destroy the McAuliffe money machine campaign. As such, they missed a golden opportunity to nudge Ken Cuccinelli across the finish line -- an opportunity the GOP base understood. While Michael Barone did not say this in so many words, these are the inescapable conclusions of his Virginia race analysis. That iceberg? That would be the reality of ObamaCare, as it sinks in...
  • Why Democrats aren't likely to take the House in 2014

    10/21/2013 3:09:07 PM PDT · by Mikey_1962 · 28 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | 10/7/2013 | Michael Barone
    America's current demography -- with Democratic voters clustered in central cities, certain... Nate Cohn has a good piece in the New Republic explaining to its mostly liberal readers why Democrats don't have a good chance to regain a majority in the House in 2014, despite the supposedly massive unpopularity of House Republicans. The bottom line: There aren't many target seats (only 17 House Republicans represent districts that voted for Barack Obama in 2012) and Democrats don't seem to be running strong candidates in many of them. Another statistic could be cited: Obama carried only 209 congressional districts, while Mitt Romney...
  • Why Opponents Won’t Accept Obamacare: History tells us why it won't happen

    10/01/2013 6:56:05 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 26 replies
    National Review ^ | 10/01/2013 | Michael Barone
    Many Democrats are genuinely puzzled about Republicans’ continuing opposition to Obamacare. It is the law of the land, these Democrats say. Critics should accept it, as critics accepted Medicare. They should work constructively and across the aisle with Democrats to repair any flaws and make the law work to help people. Historical analogies are often useful, but they can be misleading. The Medicare analogy is certainly misleading: Republicans, like it or not, are behaving differently from the way they behaved after the passage of Medicare in 1965. To understand why there is continued resistance to Obamacare and why majorities of...
  • The Gang of Ocho - E-Verify and high-skill immigration are what we should be looking at now.

    05/06/2013 1:46:53 PM PDT · by neverdem · 6 replies
    National Review Online ^ | May 5, 2013 | Michael Barone
    Many loud voices in the debate over immigration have been insisting that effective border enforcement must precede any steps to legalize the status of current illegal immigrants. Some analysts, including my Washington Examiner colleague Byron York, have been reading the fine print in the 800-page draft prepared by the Senate Gang of Eight (or Gang of Ocho, if you prefer). They argue that the legislation is quick to provide some form of legal status but only calls for commissions to be convened at some later time if the border proves not to have been secured. ThereÂ’s something to these arguments....
  • A Republican Strategy at Last? The GOP will put the spotlight on feckless Senate Democrats.

    01/20/2013 10:39:55 PM PST · by neverdem · 16 replies
    National Review Online ^ | JANUARY 21, 2013 | Michael Barone
    Have House Republicans come up with a winning strategy on the debt ceiling and spending cuts? Or at least a viable one? Maybe so.They certainly need the latter, if not the former. Barack Obama is up in the polls since the election, as most reelected presidents have been. The most recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows him with 52 percent approval and 44 percent disapproval. Other polls have similar results.In contrast, the NBC/WSJ poll reports that only 26 percent have positive feelings about the Republican party and 51 percent have negative feelings. Toward Speaker John Boehner only 18 percent...
  • Michael Barone: Obama's numbers went down, but Romney never inspired voters to vote

    12/26/2012 9:21:54 PM PST · by neverdem · 79 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | December 25, 2012 | Michael Barone
    In combing through the results of the 2012 election -- apparently finally complete, nearly two months after the fact -- I continue to find many similarities between 2012 and 2004 and one enormous difference. Both of the elections involved incumbent presidents with approval ratings hovering around or just under 50 percent facing challengers who were rich men from Massachusetts (though one made his money and the other married it).In both cases, the challenger and his campaign seemed confident he was going to win. and had reasonable grounds to believe so.In both elections, the incumbent started running a barrage of negative...
  • Mass migration from Mexico may be history (Michael Barone)

    12/10/2012 10:30:27 AM PST · by neverdem · 20 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | December 8, 2012 | Michael Barone
    Is mass migration from Mexico to the United States a thing of the past? At least for the moment, it is. Last May, the Pew Hispanic Center, in a study based on U.S. and Mexican statistics, reported that net migration from Mexico to this country had fallen to zero from 2005 to 2010. Pew said 20,000 more people moved to Mexico from the United States than from there to here in those years. That's a vivid contrast with the years 1995 to 2000, when net inflow from Mexico was 2.2 million people.Because there was net Mexican immigration until 2007, when...
  • Out-Hustled? Michael Barone on Why So Many Failed to Predict the Reelection of Obama (VIDEO)

    11/26/2012 9:23:44 AM PST · by GVnana · 27 replies
    Many pollsters predicted a Romney win, but were proven wrong on Election Day 2012. Did pollsters fail to account for cellphone users, or did Romney fail at turning out the GOP vote? Did voter fraud play a role? Find out as Michael Barone analyzes the results of the 2012 election with Glenn Reynolds.
  • Must see: Karl Rove vs. Michael Barone On Calling Ohio For Obama (video)

    11/06/2012 10:18:59 PM PST · by i88schwartz · 71 replies
    RealClearPolitics ^ | RealClearPolitics
    Karl Rove argues with Michael Barone and FOX News' decision, along with all major news outlets, to call Ohio and the race for President Obama.
  • Key reasons for a Romney win on Tuesday

    11/05/2012 8:44:35 AM PST · by Oldpuppymax · 1 replies
    Coach is Right ^ | 11/5/2012 | Doug Book
    Rather than try to follow each and every poll result, an impossible task even in midterm years, look at a few persuasive election numbers. According to a Rasmussen, Indiana poll, Mitt Romney currently holds a 52-43 lead over Barack Obama. In 2008, Obama edged John McCain by 1 point. So Romney has turned the vote around by 10 points. This means that Republicans who undoubtedly stayed home in 2008 are NOT going to miss the opportunity to throw Obama from the White House. And it’s a cinch that any number of Democrats who voted for Obama the first time around...
  • Michael Barone's Final Prediction: Romney Beats Obama, Handily

    11/05/2012 7:13:35 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 33 replies
    National Review ^ | 11/05/2012 | Michael Barone
    Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents, and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president. But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider the very sluggish economic recovery unsatisfactory — Friday’s job report showed an unemployment uptick. Also, both national and target-state polls show that independents — voters who don’t identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans — break for Romney. That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32...
  • America's premiere political guru predicts Romney to win comfortably

    11/03/2012 7:53:13 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 61 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 11/03/2012 | Rick Moran
    No one doubts Michael Barone's credentials; the guy has established himself as the pre-eminent political nuts and bolts expert in the country. If you watch Barone on election night, you will realize he knows the politics of America down to the key individual counties in each state. His encyclopedic mind recognizes when a state's vote is trending toward one candidate or another early on, and while he is carefully not to predict a winner, he leaves the viewer with little doubt as to who is in trouble and who isn't. But it makes me wonder when he reels off a...
  • Playing the Petraeus card (Barone)

    10/28/2012 5:21:42 AM PDT · by RoosterRedux · 7 replies ^ | 10/27/2012 | Michael Barone
    Who denied the Navy Seals’ pleas for help in Benghazi? Bill Kristol, in a Friday Weekly Standard blogpost entitled “Petraeus Throws Obama under the Bus,” noted that the CIA put out a statement that “No one at any level in the CIA told anybody not to help those in need; claims to the contrary are simply inaccurate.” Bill says that “presumably” this statement could not have been made without the express approval of CIA Director General David Petraeus and that we must conclude that Petraeus decided that he was not going to take the fall on this. It must have...
  • Reversing Obama’s ‘Soft Despotism’

    02/20/2012 7:21:52 AM PST · by nuconvert · 4 replies
    NRO ^ | Feb 20, 2012
    -excerpt- ..Tocqueville,....."Thus, taking each individual by turns in its powerful hands and kneading him as it likes, the sovereign extends its arms over society as a whole; it covers its surface with a network of small, complicated, painstaking, uniform rules through which the most original minds and the most vigorous souls cannot clear a way to surpass the crowd; it does not break wills, but it softens them, bends them and directs them; it rarely forces one to act, but it constantly opposes itself to one’s acting; it does not destroy, it prevents things from being born; it does not...
  • GOP Shouldn't Panic If Whites Become a Minority

    04/04/2011 11:22:10 AM PDT · by Sarabaracuda · 35 replies
    Human Events ^ | 04/04/2011 | Michael Barone
    Are whites on the verge of becoming a minority of the American population? That's what some analysts of the 2010 Census results claim. Many go on, sometimes with relish, to say that this spells electoral doom for the Republican Party. I think the picture is more complicated than that. And that the demise of the Republican Party is no more foreordained than it was a century ago when Italian, Jewish and Polish immigrants were pouring into the United States in proportions much greater than the Hispanic and Asian immigration of the past two decades. The numbers do appear stark. The...
  • For Tottering States, Bankruptcy Could Be The Answer (How To Defeat The Public Union Mafia Alert)

    11/28/2010 11:29:28 PM PST · by goldstategop · 51 replies
    Townhall ^ | 11/29/2010 | Michael Barone
    We won't be able to say we weren't warned. Continued huge federal budget deficits will eventually mean huge increases in government borrowing costs, Erskine Bowles, co-chairman of Barack Obama's deficit reduction commission, predicted this month. "The markets will come. They will be swift, and they will be severe, and this country will never be the same." Bowles is talking about what the business press calls bond market vigilantes. People with capital are currently willing to loan money to the federal government, by buying U.S. bonds at low interest rates. That's because interest rates are generally low and because Treasury bonds...
  • Michael Barone: Republican House gains will be between 38 (pessimistic) and 90 (optimistic)

    11/01/2010 1:54:16 PM PDT · by matt1234 · 22 replies
    Michael Medved show ^ | Nov. 1, 2010 | Michael Barone
    This hour on the Michael Medved radio show, Michael Barone predicted that the Republicans will gain between 38 and 90 seats. (The midpoint is 64.)
  • Why the US has turned against Obama

    10/25/2010 4:50:24 AM PDT · by chickadee · 25 replies
    Telegraph ^ | October 24, 2010 | Michael Barone
    After the 2008 elections, Democratic strategist James Carville predicted that Democrats would dominate US elections for 40 years; Republican strategist Karl Rove had predicted something similar for his party after George W Bush's narrower win in 2004. And Tony Blair's New Labour dominated British politics for nine or 10 years after its first landslide victory in 1997. But the Obama Democrats' dominance turned out to last not 40 years but 40 weeks – until Republicans overtook Democrats in the polls in August 2009. What gives? In the 1930s, John Maynard Keynes famously said that practical men of business, who acknowledged...
  • Re-educating America, "as the Secretary shall determine"

    09/13/2010 4:29:25 PM PDT · by Michael Zak · 13 replies
    Grand Old Partisan ^ | September 13, 2010 | Michael Zak
    Michael Barone has called attention to threats made by HHS Secretary Kathleen Sebelius against private companies that dare to criticize Obamacare. The Obama administration, Sebelius warned, would impose a "zero tolerance" policy against dissent. Barone denounces this latest outrage as gangster government. Actually, it's worse than gangster government, much worse. Take a good look at the Obamacare logo. An eagle with wings outstretched atop a circular emblem of the regime. Where have we seen such an image before? What socialist regime, in Europe not so many decades ago, used such imagery? Hmmmm....
  • Republicans' 'what now?' challenge

    08/09/2010 3:14:46 AM PDT · by Scanian · 25 replies
    NY Post ^ | August 9, 2010 | MICHAEL BARONE
    Republicans are starting to think about how to answer the Robert Redford question. You know the scene. In the 1972 movie "The Candidate," the Redford character, having won the election, turns to his political consultant and asks, "What do I do now?" Many Republicans fear they'll look as clueless as Redford. They entered this campaign cycle with little hope of winning congressional majorities. Now they have a good chance to do so in the House and an outside chance in the Senate. Some cynical Republicans say candidates should just harp on their opposition to the Obama Democrats' policies and figure...
  • The Return of the Jeffersonian Vision and the Rejection of Progressivism

    07/14/2010 11:17:48 AM PDT · by EscondidoSurfer · 6 replies
    The American ^ | 7/13/10 | Michael Barone
    The major political development of the last 17 months has been an inrush of hundreds of thousands or even millions of Americans into political activity, an inrush symbolized by but not limited to the tea party movement. It is fascinating to me that the tea partiers have adopted the language and in some cases even the costumes of the Founders. While the Progressives’ descriptions of a “horse and buggy” Constitution and their sense that giant auto factories and steel mills were the harbinger of the future seem tinny and out of date, the language of the Founders continues to resonate...
  • Michael Barone: Obama, Brown, and the ‘Third Way’ - The Left loses its way by abandoning the...

    05/03/2010 10:28:07 AM PDT · by neverdem · 10 replies · 736+ views
    NATIONAL REVIEW ONLINE ^ | May 3, 2010 12:00 A.M. | Michael Barone
    Obama, Brown, and the ‘Third Way’The Left loses its way by abandoning the “third way.”  Left parties are in trouble in the Anglosphere. Here in America, Democrats are doing worse in the polls today than at any time in the last 50 years. In Britain, the Labour party is on the brink of finishing third, behind both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats, in the election next Thursday. All of which raises the question: What happened to the “third way” center-left movement that once seemed to sweep all before it? Only a dozen years ago, in 1998, President Clinton enjoyed...
  • Under Obama, Crony Capitalism Again Rules the Day

    02/15/2010 4:40:12 AM PST · by Kaslin · 7 replies · 501+ views ^ | February 15, 2010 | Michael Barone
    In his bestseller "Inside U.S.A.," the hugely readable journalist John Gunther described America as it was in the last year of World War II. He interviewed hundreds of politicians, businessmen and journalists, but only four men rated a separate chapter -- three politicians and Henry J. Kaiser, the California construction magnate who built dams and ships and manufactured concrete and steel and aluminum. Kaiser was, Gunther wrote, "tough, creative, packed with ideas and energy, above all a man who likes to make things." But he was also, he noted, a "link of enterprise by government, since government was on his...
  • Michael Barone: With absolute power, Team Obama grows stupid

    02/10/2010 9:57:54 AM PST · by neverdem · 35 replies · 1,837+ views
    Washington Examiner ^ | February 10, 2010 | Michael Barone
    How could such smart people do so many stupid things? That question, or variations on it, is being asked in Washington and around the country about the Obama administration. The same people who directed the campaign that defeated Hillary Clinton and routed John McCain, a campaign that raised far more money and attracted far more volunteers than any before it, have within a year come up with a legislative program that is crashing in ruins and that, to judge from recent polls, has left the Democratic party weaker than I have seen it in almost 50 years of closely following...
  • The Clinton Voters Jump Ship

    02/07/2010 1:40:01 PM PST · by reaganaut1 · 30 replies · 1,483+ views
    Weekly Standard ^ | February 15, 2010 | Jonathan V. Last
    The conventional wisdom is that Barack Obama’s decline in the polls represents a new, unexpected turn against him. But an examination of the results of the recent elections in Virginia, New Jersey, and Massachusetts suggests that what we might really be seeing is a return to the skepticism that significant portions of the electorate have showed about Obama from the beginning of his national career. For six months during the 2008 primaries, Obama and Hillary Clinton crisscrossed the country wooing voters. Obama consistently failed to win over important parts of the Democratic base, even after it became clear that he...
  • When legerdemain is used to pass an unpopular bill

    12/24/2009 12:15:15 AM PST · by neverdem · 16 replies · 950+ views
    Washington Examiner ^ | December 23, 2009 | Michael Barone
    It's time to blow the whistle on two erroneous statements that opponents and proponents of the health care legislation being jammed through Congress have been making. Republicans have been saying that never before has Congress passed such an unpopular bill with such important ramifications by such a narrow majority. Barack Obama has been saying that passage of the bill will mean that the health care issue will be settled once and for all. The Republicans and Obama are both wrong. But perhaps they can be forgiven because the precedent for Congress passing an unpopular bill is an old one, and...
  • Chaos on Capitol Hill: All politics is loco

    07/13/2009 5:41:35 AM PDT · by reaganaut1 · 5 replies · 439+ views
    Jewish World Review ^ | July 13, 2009 | Michael Barone
    Disarray. That's one word to describe the status of the Obama administration's legislative program as Congress heads into its final four weeks of work before the August recess. A watered-down cap-and-trade bill passed the House narrowly last month, but Sen. Barbara Boxer has decided not to bring up her version in the upper chamber until September. Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus, who promised a health-care bill last month, still isn't delivering, and neither is the Health Committee's Christopher Dodd. They're both trying to nibble down cost estimates from the Congressional Budget Office, which has put the price tag at a...
  • Barone: The Adolescent Angst of Barack Obama (Ouch!)

    06/23/2009 5:52:32 PM PDT · by GVnana · 19 replies · 1,791+ views
    Washington Examiner ^ | 6/23/2009 | Michael Barone
    The adolescent angst of Barack Obama By: Michael Barone Senior Political Analyst 06/23/09 7:22 PM EDT There is a tendency for newly installed presidents, like adolescents suddenly liberated from adult supervision, to do the exact opposite of what their predecessors did. Presidents of both parties indulge in this behavior, though Democrats who campaign as candidates of hope and change are more likely to do so. Some of this is a legitimate response to the political process: Voters tend to elect presidents who seem to possess qualities and views they thought lacking in their predecessors. But some of it, and especially...
  • Dodge facts, skip details, govern Chicago-style

    06/21/2009 11:51:02 AM PDT · by reaganaut1 · 9 replies · 852+ views
    Washington Examiner ^ | Michael Barone
    [A]s Barack Obama deals with difficult problems ranging from health care legislation to upheaval in Iran, let me offer my Three Rules of Obama. First, Obama likes to execute long-range strategies but suffers from cognitive dissonance when new facts render them inappropriate. His 2008 campaign was a largely flawless execution of a smart strategy, but he was flummoxed momentarily when the Russians invaded Georgia and when John McCain picked Sarah Palin as his running mate. On domestic policy, he has been executing his long-range strategy of vastly expanding government, but may be encountering problems as voters show unease at huge...
  • On Guns and Climate, the Elites Are Out of Touch

    05/12/2009 1:34:35 PM PDT · by marktwain · 2 replies · 541+ views
    Washington Examiner ^ | 12 May, 2009 | Michael Barone
    Many years ago, political scientists came up with a theory that elites lead public opinion. And on some issues, they clearly do. But on some issues, they don't. Two examples of the latter phenomenon are conspicuous at a time when Barack Obama enjoys the approval of more than 60 percent of Americans and Democrats have won thumping majorities in two elections in a row. One is global warming. The other is gun control. On both issues, the elites of academe, the media and big business have been solidly on one side for years. But on both, the American public has...
  • On guns and climate, the elites are out of touch

    05/11/2009 6:30:09 AM PDT · by reaganaut1 · 13 replies · 901+ views
    Jewish World Review ^ | May 11, 2009 | Michael Barone
    Many years ago, political scientists came up with a theory that elites lead public opinion. And on some issues, they clearly do. But on some issues, they don't. Two examples of the latter phenomenon are conspicuous at a time when Barack Obama enjoys the approval of more than 60 percent of Americans and Democrats have won thumping majorities in two elections in a row. One is global warming. The other is gun control. On both issues, the elites of academe, the media and big business have been solidly on one side for years. But on both, the American public has...
  • Michael Barone joins The Washington Examiner as senior political analyst [leaves US News]

    04/07/2009 2:50:57 PM PDT · by · 10 replies · 787+ views
    Michael Barone, one of the country’s leading commentators on politics and government, is joining The Washington Examiner as senior political analyst, it was announced Monday. Barone, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and for 18 years a senior writer at U.S. News & World Report, will write a twice-weekly column for the Examiner’s new Politics page and blog regularly for Barone is widely known as the principal co-author of The Almanac American Politics, founded in 1971 and published by National Journal every two years. “Michael knows more about politics than anyone in journalism, as his peers will...
  • The Real Lessons of the Great Depression

    02/14/2009 10:18:47 AM PST · by dbz77 · 4 replies · 592+ views
    TownHall ^ | February 14, 2009 | Michael Barone
    "Not since the Great Depression." "Not since the 1930s." You hear those phrases a lot these days, and with some reason. As Congress prepares to pass the Democratic stimulus package, it may be worthwhile to look back at Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal and consider how well it worked as policy -- and politically. There's a fairly broad consensus on policy that some of Roosevelt's actions made a positive difference but that they didn't get us out of the Depression. Amity Shlaes in her path-breaking "The Forgotten Man" makes a strong case that some of Roosevelt's moves blocked recovery, and even...
  • Michael Barone: The Limits of Success -- and Failure

    11/23/2008 3:37:36 PM PST · by neverdem · 2 replies · 565+ views
    National Review Online ^ | November 22, 2008 | Michael Barone
    November 22, 2008, 0:00 a.m. The Limits of Success -- and FailurePresidencies do not turn out as presidents or their constituents expect. By Michael Barone We Americans are blessed with a history that teaches that things work out right. Our first president set the precedent of relinquishing power he could have had for life and returning to his farm. Two of our greatest presidents were struck down, Abraham Lincoln by an assassin and Franklin Roosevelt by grave illness, at a moment of transcendent victory. Such a history of exceptional leaders is a blessing but also a weakness when things...
  • Are the Polls Accurate?

    10/22/2008 5:26:07 AM PDT · by St. Louis Conservative · 52 replies · 1,339+ views
    The Wall Street Journal ^ | October 22, 2008 | Michael Barone
    Can we trust the polls this year? That's a question many people have been asking as we approach the end of this long, long presidential campaign. As a recovering pollster and continuing poll consumer, my answer is yes -- with qualifications. Martin KozlowskiTo start with, political polling is inherently imperfect. Academic pollsters say that to get a really random sample, you should go back to a designated respondent in a specific household time and again until you get a response. But political pollsters who must report results overnight have to take the respondents they can reach. So they weight the...
  • Will Radical Socialists Steal the Rest of America?

    10/13/2008 1:12:52 PM PDT · by PurpleMountains · 9 replies · 437+ views
    From Sea to Shining Sea ^ | 10/13/08 | Purple Mountains
    The radical socialists have stolen our retirement money, they have stolen the values of our homes, they have ruined and closed our banks and stolen the value of our vote, and, now, the polls say, they will apply the final coupe de grace with an Obama victory in November. First they infiltrated our schools and colleges and our media; then the liberal Democrats passed laws that extorted and forced banks into giving home mortgages to persons who had no chance of repaying these loans – to people with little or no income – in the guise of “fairness”. It’s not...
  • Note to Paulson: The Key to Passing the $700 Billion Bailout Is Insurance (and NO ACORN MONEY)

    09/26/2008 3:00:28 PM PDT · by johncocktoasten · 26 replies · 1,109+ views
    US News and world report ^ | 9/26/2008 | Michael Barone
    Note to Paulson: The Key to Passing the $700 Billion Bailout Is Insurance September 26, 2008 09:58 AM ET | Michael Barone | Permanent Link Contrary to widespread expectations in Washington and on Wall Street, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's financial bailout/rescue package was not agreed to at the White House meeting that started at 4 p.m. Thursday. The meeting included the congressional and committee leaders of both parties and the administration's top financial officials, plus two presidents—George W. Bush and either Barack Obama or John McCain. What's the problem? An agreement modifying the Paulson plan in significant ways seems to...
  • The Old Economic Rule Doesn’t Work - Financial distress doesn't push voters to Democrats.

    09/22/2008 3:33:09 PM PDT · by neverdem · 12 replies · 163+ views
    National Review Online ^ | September 20, 2008 | Michael Barone
    September 20, 2008, 0:00 a.m. The Old Economic Rule Doesn’t WorkFinancial distress doesn't push voters to Democrats. By Michael Barone The bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the sale of Merrill Lynch to Bank of America, the 500-point plunge of the Dow, the government takeover of AIG — all these have got the presidential candidates talking about the economy. But both Barack Obama and John McCain have been vague about their solutions. And for good reason. Our economic problems are concentrated in the finance sector, and that’s the part of the economy the average voter knows least about. Moreover, the political...
  • McCain Flies His Campaign Past Obama (Michael Barone Explains The OODA Strategery Alert)

    09/12/2008 9:13:06 PM PDT · by goldstategop · 107 replies · 440+ views ^ | 9/13/2008 | Michael Barone
    John McCain was trained as a fighter pilot. In his selection of Sarah Palin, and in his convention and campaigning since, he has shown that he learned an important lesson from his fighter pilot days: He has gotten inside Barack Obama's OODA loop. That term was the invention of the great fighter pilot and military strategist John Boyd. It's an acronym for Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. "The key to victory is operating at a faster tempo than the enemy," Boyd's biographer Robert Coram writes. "The key thing to understand about Boyd's version is not the mechanical cycle itself, but rather...
  • Michael Barone: Outrageous Vulnerabilities - Obama may not Weather this storm.

    08/30/2008 5:45:47 PM PDT · by neverdem · 25 replies · 228+ views
    National Review Online ^ | August 30, 2008 | Michael Barone
    August 30, 2008, 9:00 a.m. Outrageous VulnerabilitiesObama may not Weather this storm. By Michael Barone As this is written, with a deadline looming, I have not heard Barack Obama’s acceptance speech at Invesco Field and have not learned who is John McCain’s choice for vice president. You know more about these things than I do. So I will write about something I may know more about, and which has been the subject of some concern at the Democratic National Convention: the Democrats’ charge that Republicans make illegitimate attacks on their candidates, attacks that imply that they are far out...