Free Republic

Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That's bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president. But it's also true that most voters oppose Obama's major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery -- Friday's jobs report showed an unemployment uptick. Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who don't identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, break for Romney. That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32 percent,...

Barack Obama is clearly winning the early vote in Ohio. But careful analysis of the actual numbers so far suggest very good news for Mitt Romney. The Romney campaign claims the president is merely banking votes he would have received on Election Day anyway, so his early lead isn’t very important. They say their early voting strategy relies on targeting low-voting-propensity Romney supporters for early voting and leaving the others to turn out on Election Day. In other words, they claim Obama’s effort is merely harvesting votes while theirs is creating votes. This approach makes sense, but it’s hard to...

ONE FOR THE TEAM http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYZVJoV0jC0&feature=player_embedded Yes, the Obamacare ruling was a heart-breaker. It was a disaster -- no two ways around it. But if you need a pep talk, Bill is your man. Find out what we need to do NOW! We can undo every one of these miserable affronts to our liberty if we decide to Conservatives out number Leftists 2 to 1. All we need to do is personally make sure that 5 people who would not have otherwise voted understand what’s at stake and get the voting booth on Nov 6th. If you believe as I do,...

You've heard about Mitt Romney's problems with the women's vote, the black vote, the Hispanic vote, the union vote and the young Democrats vote. But there's one major voting group that's fallen off the map since the primaries.The evangelical vote. When Mitt Romney's 2012 candidacy was gaining traction in the primaries, the conventional wisdom instantly conveyed that the evangelical vote, skeptical of Mormonism, would sink him. What if in Ohio next week the opposite is true? There and in other swing states—Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina, Florida—the evangelical vote is flying beneath the media's radar. It's a lot of voters not...

It comes down to numbers. And in the final days of this presidential race, from polling data to early voting, they favor Mitt Romney. ~ snip ~ In addition to the data, the anecdotal and intangible evidence—from crowd sizes to each side's closing arguments—give the sense that the odds favor Mr. Romney. They do. My prediction: Sometime after the cock crows on the morning of Nov. 7, Mitt Romney will be declared America's 45th president. Let's call it 51%-48%, with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more.

Romney: You warm our hearts on such a cool evening. Chants of Romney break out. #RomneyStark 26 Oct 12 Reply Retweet Favorite A huge crowd turned out for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan at Hoover High School in North Canton, Ohio, Friday evening. Even wet weather and frigid temperatures couldnÂ’t keep thousands of energetic supporters from lining up to see the GOP candidates speak in the crucial swing state. Paula Bolyard @pbolyard Crowds waiting in the cold and rain to see Romney and Ryan in N. Canton Ohio. pic.twitter.com/9tIfPDax Pamela Osborne @PamelaOsborne Freezing in North Canton, thousands waiting to hear...

Momentum Shift in the Final Stretch By Ben Shapiro October 25, 2012 President Obama was on the ropes in the polls after the first presidential debate. After the second presidential debate, he hit the mat in the polls. And after the third presidential debate, he looks to be down for the count. The question, of course, is why. Looking at the debates alone doesn't tell the full story. Romney surely won the first debate — in fact, he cleaned President Obama's clock — but in the second debate, he fought President Obama to a draw. And in the third and...

This is techinically a vanity post, but newsworthy, all the same. Dave Wasserman is one of the head number crunchers at Cook Political Report, and he has been tweeting results from Virigina's early voting period. The numbers look good for Romney and very, very bad for Obama. Here are a several of his tweets with the raw data:VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Up 18.8% in the 86 localities McCain won in '08, but up ONLY 4.4% in the 48 Obama won: http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/sbe_csv/STATS/Overall, early vote up 9.4% across the board in VA vs this point in '08, but this 14% disparity very troubling...

The United States of America's next president won't be its first president of Italian ancestry (as Rudy Giuliani hopes), because the Republicans won't nominate a person who does not share the Republicans' traditional pro-life, pro-personal morality values; or the first former prisoner-of-war (as John McCain still yearns), because now he's too old for the grueling job and previously he was too inclined to break with most Republicans and join with Democrats (McCain-Feingold, Kennedy-McCain, Gang of Fourteen); or the first Baptist minister (as Mike Huckabee prays), because he's not up to the job, he's not the best choice and one president...

The Rasmussen and Mason-Dixon numbers show a Romney trend, one no doubt assisted by the Fred-heads moving towards Romney. There is still tremendous volatility in the electorate, and conservative voters wishing to end the attempt by MSM to jam down McCain's nomination on an unwilling party could continue to move to Romney to block that result.

Brit Hume just called it.

Mitt Romney Wins Illinois Straw Poll - Thursday, August 16, 2007 SPRINGFIELD, IL –Illinois State Republican Party Chairman Andy McKenna announced today that Mitt Romney won the Illinois Straw Poll on Republican Day at the Illinois State Fair. “Congratulations to Mitt Romney, whose strong showing today indicates he has begun to put together a strong statewide organization” said McKenna. “There’s no question that Illinois’ demographics closely match those of the United States and this could be an indication as to whom Illinois voters are leaning toward this coming February.” The Illinois Republican Party sponsored the straw poll during its Republican...

The results of the latest Insiders Poll are out and Mitt Romney has pulled into a dead heat with Rudy Giuliani as the frontrunner for the '08 GOP nod. Hillary Rodham Clinton continues to lead the Democratic field for her party’s nod. Following Giuliani and Romney are: Fred Thompson and John McCain, with Newt Gingrich and Mike Huckabee tied for fifth. In the volatile GOP contest, Romney’s steady rise in the poll is credited to his org. strength in IA and NH, fundraising, and capacity to break into his own wallet if needed. Giuliani continues to confound the skeptics, but...