Well, perhaps...but I tend to think a bargain will be struck...as even Porosehnko said Ukraine could not function independantly from Russia.....the EU is already struggling how to play Ukraine with the IMF and funding. It’s not about the people of Ukraine...it’s about who controls the resources there...and the Oligarchy Government.
Putin doesn’t want Ukraine or he’d had it long ago....nor does he want the East....that IS going to end up affiliated far more with Ukraine than Russia. Otherwise Putin would not have raised the stakes by calling, for the first time, for ‘statehood’ to be considered for East Ukraine...and this right after the EU gave Putin one week to change his course or there will be further sanctions. (they’re still playing tit-for -tat).
Poroshenko and Putin are both mule-headed and know each other’s stubborness well ....but it’s a far better match than between Obama and Putin. The further Poroshenko gets from Obama and deals with the EU the better for Ukraine overall.... and since Bo has said no US military involvement in Ukraine, ( though CIA, Blackwater and who knows who else, are present anyway)... it will have to be European boots on the ground in Ukraine against RUssia and Nato cannot do much because Ukraine is not a member of Nato....yet.