http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/noamscheiber/ en-us Sun, 26 Oct 2008 10:14:03 GMT Focus Forum 15 http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2115533/posts <p>President Obama? Not so fast, says The New Republic’s Noam Scheiber. John McCain doesn’t need a “catastrophic external event” to defeat Obama on Election Day, Scheiber says.</p> <p>“I happen to think Obama’s chances of winning are upward of 80 percent,” he writes at The Plank, his magazine’s political blog. He later adds, “But, truth be told, I can imagine a losing scenario that doesn’t involve outside events. It goes something like this: Obama wins all the Kerry states plus Iowa and New Mexico, giving him 264 electoral votes, then narrowly loses the rest of the red states where he’s currently competitive.”</p> Opinionator http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2115533/posts#comment Sun, 26 Oct 2008 10:14:03 GMT http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1990800/posts When Democrats contemplate the apocalypse these days, they have visions of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton slugging it out à la Ted Kennedy and Jimmy Carter at the 1980 convention. The campaign's current trajectory is, in fact, alarmingly similar to the one that produced that disastrous affair. Back then, Carter had built up a delegate lead with early wins in Iowa, New Hampshire, and several Southern states. But, as the primary season dragged on, Kennedy began pocketing big states and gaining momentum. Once all the voting ended and Kennedy came up short, he eyed the New York convention as a... The New Republic http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1990800/posts#comment Mon, 24 Mar 2008 19:03:42 GMT http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1361775/posts The New Republic's Noam Scheiber argues that the Republican Party is less likely to benefit from the wave of "democratization" going on in the Middle East than the Democratic Party: "[I]n the long-term, I think Bush's democratization initiatives clearly benefit Democrats, assuming they don't find a way to screw it up. Here's why: The Republican base consists primarily of Southern and lower-midwestern isolationist/realist types, Western libertarians, conservative evangelicals, and K-Street taxcutters. (As far as I can tell, no one ever lost a Republican primary by failing to win the neocon vote.) None of these groups gets particularly excited about democratizing... BELDAR BLOG.COM http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1361775/posts#comment Sun, 13 Mar 2005 05:30:01 GMT