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Keyword: polling

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  • Walker, Barrett in dead heat in recall showdown, poll says (Putting Perspective on the Polls)

    09/10/2012 4:01:15 PM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 18 replies
    Milwaukee Journal Sentinel ^ | May 2, 2012 | Patrick Marley
    Madison - Gov. Scott Walker and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett are locked in a dead-even race for governor, according to a poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School. The poll also showed Barrett leading his Democratic rivals in Tuesday's primary. The primary winner will face the Republican governor in the June 5 recall election.
  • Facts, History Undermine Media Con That Obama Win Is Inevitable

    09/10/2012 9:17:33 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 20 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 09/10/2012 | John Nolte
    Over the past ten days, what hasn't surprised me is how the corrupt media created its own pro-Obama reality coming out of the conventions. What does surprise me is how this coordinated psy-ops push is working to panic a lot of conservatives. Saturday afternoon I signed off for the rest of the weekend feeling pretty good about where things were. Obama's convention speech was a dud, the latest jobs report was a catastrophe, and Romney had sharpened his message considerably. Then I wake Monday morning to find conservatives who should know better screaming that the sky is falling. Don't fall...
  • Omens of Doom? - Nate Silver gives 4-to-1 odds against a Romney win

    09/10/2012 4:34:28 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 139 replies
    The American Spectator ^ | September 10, 2012 | Robert Stacy McCain
    ................But why bring Nate Silver into this?Silver is the poll-analyzing guru of the New York Times, whose reputation as a wizard was developed in crunching baseball statistics before being applied to political campaigns. On Saturday afternoon, Silver published an analysis which asserted that Obama now has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the election, with 317 Electoral College votes and 52 percent of the popular vote. All of which is very interesting -- and very important, if true.However,....I recall the Sunday in October 2010 when I arrived in New York's 25th Congressional District and was greeted by a Syracuse...
  • Justice Dept. Gallup lawsuit came after Axelrod criticized pollsters

    09/06/2012 8:37:24 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 19 replies
    Daily Caller ^ | September 6, 2012 | Matthew Boyle
    Internal emails between senior officials at The Gallup Organization, obtained by The Daily Caller, show senior Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod attempting to subtly intimidate the respected polling firm when its numbers were unfavorable to the president. After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obama’s Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face. TheDC is withholding the identities of the Gallup officials to protect them from potential retaliation from Obama’s campaign and his administration. In April, Axelrod tweeted that a poll showing Mitt Romney with a 48-43 percent lead over Obama was...
  • Who Were The Most Accurate Presidential Pollsters? (2008)

    08/22/2012 6:37:34 PM PDT · by IllumiNaughtyByNature · 6 replies
    Political Vindication ^ | Nov. 5th, 2008 | Shane
    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)** 1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)** 3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1) 4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27) 5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)* 6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)* 6T. ARG (10/25-27)*8T. CNN (10/30-11/1) 8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1) 10. (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3) 11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27) 12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2) 13. FOX (11/1-2) 14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27) 15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3) 16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2) 17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2) 18. Marist College (11/3) 19. CBS (10/31-11/2) 20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3) 22. CBS/Times (10/25-29) 23. Newsweek (10/22-23)
  • Rasmussen: Ohio: 51% Have Favorable Opinion of Paul Ryan

    08/14/2012 7:41:49 AM PDT · by tsowellfan · 8 replies
    Early reactions to Mitt Romney’s new running mate are modestly positive in Ohio. Fifty-one percent (51%) have a favorable opinion of the GOP’s Vice Presidential running mate. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Ohio finds that 39% have an unfavorable view. Those figures include 33% with a Very Favorable opinion and 24% with a Very Unfavorable view...
  • Keeping up with the poll numbers. (Vanity)

    08/13/2012 11:32:47 AM PDT · by barmag25 · 23 replies
    08/13/12 | Vanity
    Keeping up with the poll numbers. Current poll numbers from Real Clear Politics shows Obama winning with a large victory. 332-206 Obama victory (with no toss ups) the problem with this is that RCP uses a polling average. This average includes such sources as CBS, NYT, PPP, Quinnipiac, we ask America, Mason-Dixie, Rasmussen, Fox news, & Purple strategies. If you remove all except for Rasmussen (most reliable source in my opinion) the race looks completely different. First let’s remove the safe states. Solid Obama: California-55, DC-3, Illinois-20, Mass-11, RI-4, Delaware-3, Hawaii-4, Maryland-10, New York-29, Vermont-3, Connecticut-7, Maine-4, New Jersey-14, Washington-12,...
  • Obama: Flailing and Failing

    08/13/2012 10:09:46 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 2 replies ^ | August 13, 2012 | Laura Hollis
    OK, can we all calm down now? Within the space of a few hours, Mitt Romney’s pick of Paul Ryan for Vice President has changed the entire tenor of the campaign, and revealed about both presidential candidates what really should have been obvious before: Romney is a calm, serious, principled, methodical man, who does not make rash decisions, does not lash out, and who does precisely what he sets out to do. This is the same man who could come in and clean up the Olympics, who could take failing businesses and make every reasonable effort to save them (and,...
  • Obama's Flailing Goal

    08/13/2012 4:21:17 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 4 replies ^ | August 13, 2012 | Salena Zito
    Barack Obama does not want this election to be about Barack Obama. If it is a referendum on him, Obama knows that he loses. Instead, he needs to make it a “choice” election between him, the guy who will take the country forward, and Mitt Romney, the businessman who will leave the poor behind. That’s why Obama and his team are waging a brutal character war against Romney. So far, they have suggested Romney committed at least one felony, evaded income taxes for years and single-handedly caused a woman’s death through a layoff ordered by Romney’s venture-capital firm. The blatantly...

    08/10/2012 8:21:55 AM PDT · by barmag25 · 75 replies
    breitbart ^ | 10 Aug 2012 | MIKE FLYNN
    Okay, I'm not certain they are literally making up poll results, but the poll CNN and British market research firm ORC International released Thursday afternoon is so screwy and raises so many questions that they might as well be doing it intentionally. If CNN is already resorting to these kinds of tricks before the conventions have even started, it's going to be a very long campaign. First let me say, with less than three months to go in this campaign, can we please stop polling the political views of "adults", rather than "registered voters." We really should be moving soon...
  • The Real Poll Data – Dick Morris TV: Lunch Alert! (Romney may win in a landslide)

    08/06/2012 8:29:42 AM PDT · by Signalman · 9 replies
    Dick Morris ^ | 8/6/2012 | Dick Morris
    Dear Friend, In this video commentary, I discuss the real poll data. Forget the media polls, here are the real numbers state-by-state. And Romney’s winning! Tune in!
  • James Carville’s polling firm to Obama: Nobody believes that the economy’s recovering anymore

    06/12/2012 6:20:53 PM PDT · by Nachum · 26 replies
    Hot Air ^ | 6/12/12 | Allahpundit
    Tough stuff from Team Serpenthead. What’s a president to do when he can’t run on the idea that America’s better off now than it was four years ago? Simple. Run on the idea that America will be better off four years from now if it gives him another term. 2008: The future is now. 2012: No, wait, we mean the future is now. Hope and change — they’re always a day away. What is clear from this fresh look at public consciousness on the economy is how difficult this period has been for both non-college-educated and college-educated voters – and...
  • Santorum leads GOP candidates in La., exclusive WWL-TV poll shows [26% undecided - Mitt gets libs]

    03/13/2012 4:55:07 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 17 replies
    WWL-TV ^ | March 12, 2012 | Dennis Woltering
    NEW ORLEANS – A new, exclusive statewide poll of likely Republican voters in Louisiana conducted for WWL-TV shows voters favoring Rick Santorum, with the primary election two weeks away. The telephone poll of 515 likely Republican voters reveals Santorum leading the field, with just over 25 percent of the vote. Mitt Romney places second with just under 21 percent and is in a virtual tie with Newt Gingrich, who has almost 20 percent. Ron Paul is way behind, with less than 6 percent. Undecided gets the biggest score of all -- 26 percent. WWL-TV election analyst Greg Rigamer, whose firm,...
  • CNN Catches Sarah Palin At Her Polling Place (Video)

    This is short but good interview with Sarah Palin where she talks about running in 2016 and perhaps participating in a brokered convention:
  • ARG Poll: Newt and Mitt numbers moving in Tennessee

    03/04/2012 2:31:23 PM PST · by Cincinatus' Wife · 57 replies
    American Research Group: CHECK IT OUT Newt's numbers have moved up 4 points the same as Mitt's. But the news is that Romney is surging.
  • Obama media begin the faking of Obama poll numbers

    02/16/2012 10:06:37 AM PST · by detective · 34 replies · 1+ views
    Renew America ^ | February 16, 2012 | Sher Zieve
    In order to sway the vast majority and growing number of Americans who have finally faced up to the fact that Obama is purposefully trying to destroy the United States of America, the Obama Media have begun their side of the Obama syndicate's overall strategy of lying to us. Polls now show 50% of voters would vote for Obama. Intelligent people — even those few on the Left — know this is a lie. But, it's what all third-world countries have done for since their inception. This is what we said would happen, at least a year ago. This is...
  • In politics, as in sports, a sure thing just doesn't exist

    02/09/2012 1:04:21 AM PST · by Cincinatus' Wife · 3 replies
    The News Tribune ^ | February 9, 2012 | JOEL ACHENBACH
    <p>WASHINGTON – Rick Santorum is back! Is Herman Cain next? Do you think Rick Perry is kicking himself for dropping out of this race? Paging Sarah Palin!</p> <p>The keepers of political conven-tional wisdom are sobbing in a bar next to the gamblers who took the Pats and gave the points. Nothing is deterministic in sports or politics. This is why they play the game (and hold the election).</p>
  • Volatile Polling Marks Primary Election Time

    by Alan McBride The last day before the Florida primary left the contest very much up for grabs between Newt Gingrich and rival Mitt Romney. Less than 24 hours after a poll taken by Quinnipiac University showed Newt Gingrich trailing Romney by 14 points, a new poll showed late-breaking and heavy movement in favor of the former House Speaker. According to the InsiderAdvantage poll of 646 likely Republican voters, Gingrich was just five points behind Romney, and the gap was closing.
  • Romney frets Gingrich's attacks could deflate win

    01/30/2012 12:25:59 PM PST · by Cincinatus' Wife · 83 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | January 30, 2012 | Paul Bedard
    Confident of victory in the Florida primaries tomorrow but afraid it might not be big enough to derail challenger Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney's team is moving to play down talk he will win by 10 points or more. "The win will wind up big, but we're not going to get double digits," said a key advisor. Several polls today have Romney's lead increasing to a Real Clear Politics average of 12 percent. Only three of nine of the most recent polls have Romney's lead in single numbers, with the highest being a 20 point lead in a Suffolk University poll...
  • Rasmussen: Newt Pulling Away Nationally

    01/24/2012 12:05:31 PM PST · by Reaganite Republican · 56 replies
    Reaganite Republican ^ | January 24, 2012 | Reaganite Republican
    Gingrich 35%    Romney 28    Santorum 16    Paul 10  Well, that happened quite a bit quicker than I expected- Newt out 7 points on Mittens nationally.  If you missed it, Gallup already had the Former House Speaker hypothetically in a statistical dead-heat with Obama, too... maybe he's 'electable' after all, eh. And another thing you hear from the other side is stuff about Newt’s considerable ego and ‘megalomaniac’, etc. Well, consider this: the ball is REALLY teed up for any who’d like to be a conservative hero of all time… think about it. The opportunity is right there,...