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Keyword: polling

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  • The Visual Guide to Disputing Media Polling

    10/28/2016 12:29:45 AM PDT · by Az Joe · 34 replies
    American Thinker ^ | October 28, 2016 | Seth Keshel
    To believe recent mainstream media polling releases, one would have to suspend reality enough to believe that John Podesta's email leaks, the ongoing Project Veritas video series, a world on fire, and new revelations about Obamacare are driving the public to embrace Hillary Clinton as never before.  Things are apparently so good for the former first lady that ABC has her with a 12-point lead, a margin not seen in a presidential election since 1984.  CNN is less confident but still has her sporting a comfortable 5-point lead.  Fox News has wavered between "too close to call" and the current...
  • New Polls: Trump Gaining in Pennsylvania, Ahead in Florida and Ohio

    10/27/2016 3:44:17 PM PDT · by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies · 135 replies
    Townhall ^ | October 26, 2016 11:00 AM | Justin Holcomb
    Why is Republican nominee Donald Trump leading in two battleground states and nearly tied in another with less than two weeks before the election? Experts, analysts, and Washington, D.C. insiders lectured the American people on how this was not supposed to happen. According to a new poll, Trump maintains a healthy lead in Ohio over Hillary Clinton, 46 to 42 percentage points and in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Florida, Trump leads Clinton 45 to 43. In Pennsylvania, Trump continues to dwindle Clinton's lead where he is now within three points of the Democratic nominee. Florida and Ohio are must...
  • Trump polling at 29% with African-Americans in Pennsylvania (page 4)

    10/27/2016 8:51:46 AM PDT · by GilGil · 70 replies
    Remington Research Group ^ | 10/22/2016 | Staff
    Q: The candidates in the General Election for President of the United States are the Republican Donald Trump, the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Libertarian Gary Johnson or someone else. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE) BY RACE Column % White African-American Hispanic Other Donald Trump 45% 29% 30% 26% Hillary Clinton 42% 61% 58% 51% Gary Johnson 5% 3% 7% 8% Someone else 1% 1% 0% 0% Undecided 7% 6% 5% 15%
  • Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by three points

    10/26/2016 3:10:39 PM PDT · by grayboots · 94 replies
    Fox News ^ | 10/26/2015 | Dana Blanton
    With less than two weeks to go, the race for the White House has narrowed as Hillary Clinton now has a three-point advantage over Donald Trump. That’s within the margin of error of the national Fox News Poll of likely voters. Clinton is ahead of Trump by 44-41 percent. Another one-in-ten back a third-party candidate and four percent are undecided. Last week she was up by six points (45-39 percent) and before that by seven (45-38 percent). Related Image Fox Poll 1Expand / Contract The poll, released Wednesday, finds Clinton leads 49-44 percent in the head-to-head matchup. That 5-point advantage...
  • Trump 46 - Clinton 42 in OH (Axiom / Remington Poll Oct 20 - 22)

    10/25/2016 11:54:47 AM PDT · by oblomov · 78 replies ^ | Survey conducted October 20 through October 22 , 2016. 25 Oct 2016 | Real Clear Politics Axiom/Remington Missouri
    Q: The candidates in the General Election for President of the United States are the Republican Donald Trump, the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Libertarian Gary Johnson or someone else. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE) Donald Trump: 46% Hillary Clinton: 42% Gary Johnson: 4% Someone else: 2% Undecided: 6%
  • New Numbers Reveal Trump Is Ahead In Florida, Contradicting Media Narrative

    10/25/2016 11:52:11 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 54 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 25, 2016 | Ted Goodman
    Newly released numbers in Florida indicate a head-to-head battle for the state’s 29 electoral votes. Republicans account for about 654,000, or 41.5 percent of the votes, while Democrats account for 638,000, or 40.5 percent of the votes Tuesday morning, according to Politico Playbook. Florida Republicans cast 3 percent more ballots than Democrats by absentee mail-in voting in 2o12, according to NBC News. But, by Nov. 1, 2012 (five days before the Nov. 6 election date), fortunes were reversed, with Democrats turning in 3 percent more ballots. With 43 percent of the 4.3 million votes belonging to Democrats, and 40 percent...
  • Axiom's Battleground Counties - Oct. 23rd

    10/25/2016 6:32:52 AM PDT · by LouieFisk · 19 replies
    Axiom Strategies ^ | October 23rd 2016 | Axiom Strategies
  • VANITY: Is there any video of pollsters ACTUALLY polling people?

    10/22/2016 5:12:10 AM PDT · by tellw · 37 replies
    FR Vanity ^ | 10-22-16 | me
    With all of the polling data coming out, there must quite a lot of people and companies involved in polling. But it still seems like a very opaque industry to have so much influience on the daily conversation. I have not been able to find on youtube a good video of a Presidential poll being taken from start to finish. Can we see one? How many calls does it take? How are they getting their phone numbers? How do they know when to stop calling? Who are the people doing the actual calling and can we sure they have no...
  • Pat Caddell: ‘Polling Is All Over the Place… Shock Potential Is Enormous’

    10/21/2016 1:36:15 PM PDT · by GilGil · 52 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 10/21/2016 | Dan Riehl
    “Something is going to happen here, I just sense it,” he concluded. Either “Hillary will glide into the White House, or we’re headed for one of the greatest shocks in American politics. I think it’s a very close call. I think the shock potential is enormous.”
  • White House Watch: Still A Close One

    10/21/2016 5:45:11 AM PDT · by Ernest_at_the_Beach · 25 replies ^ | Friday, October 21, 2016
    Early results from their final debate are in, and Donald Trump remains barely ahead of Hillary Clinton in the White House Watch. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with a 43% to 41% lead over his Democratic rival. Five percent (5%) favor Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein earns three percent (3%) support. Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Yesterday, Trump was ahead by three. The lead has been shifting back and...
  • The perils of polling in a Brexit and Donald Trump world

    10/19/2016 6:04:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Tech Crunch ^ | October 19, 2016 | Michael Li and Raymond Perkins
    Over the last decade we’ve witnessed big data tackle issues such as crime, health care, climate change, and even how to select a movie. So, with the availability of ever-growing collections of political data, more sophisticated statistical analysis techniques, and the ubiquitous presence of social media, it is tempting to think that big data should be able to give us a completely accurate prediction of major votes likes Brexit or the American presidential election. After all, statistical error decreases with sample size, so with unbounded data at our fingertips, it’s easy to imagine that measurement error will also vanish. Indeed,...
  • Netanyahu's party trails in last polls before Israel election

    10/19/2016 1:14:53 PM PDT · by outofsalt · 15 replies
    CBS/AP ^ | March 13, 2015, 3:25 PM | Unatributed
    JERUSALEM -- The last polls just days before Israel's election show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party trailing behind the center-left opposition. Poll results in the Yediot Ahronot newspaper on Friday gave the Zionist Union, comprised of labor and a center-left party, 26 seats over 22 for Netanyahu's hawkish Likud party. It polled 1,032 people with a margin of error of 2.5 percent. Other polls had similar results.
  • Trump down by only 7 points in Oregon

    10/18/2016 2:18:26 PM PDT · by GregBo · 51 replies
    A new poll came out today for Oregon and Clinton is only ahead of Trump by 7 points. It seems like this is a pretty reputable poll, so this is good news for Trump. If he is only down 7 in Oregon, there is no way he is down nationwide.
  • Trump Starts His Upward Climb in USC/Dornsife Poll

    10/17/2016 6:27:44 AM PDT · by vette6387 · 15 replies
    USC/Dornsife | Oct. 17. 2016 | vette6387
  • Clinton holds 11-point national lead over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll ( 18.9% more dems sampled)

    10/16/2016 10:09:12 AM PDT · by GilGil · 154 replies
    CNBC ^ | 10/16/2016 | Mark Murray
    Hillary Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump by double digits with just over three weeks until Election Day, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted entirely after the second presidential debate.
  • Trump and the Politics of Polling

    10/15/2016 9:24:02 AM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 11 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 10/15/16 | Jim O'Neill
    Trump: They've betrayed our workers, they've betrayed our borders and, most of all, they've betrayed our freedoms There’s something missing in the polling. There’s an avalanche of negative media coverage but still thousands rally for Trump.—Gov. Mike Pence “Pence: ‘There’s Something Missing in the Polling These Days’” “There’s something awfully screwy going on around here.” Elmer Fudd If you are still relying on the MSM for your “news” then you my friend have a very skewed idea of reality. For example: after days, weeks, months of Trump’s record-breaking rallies in locations all across the nation, we are supposed to believe...
  • Why those polls that say Clinton’s ahead could be wrong

    10/13/2016 10:32:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    CNBC ^ | October 13, 2016 | Jake Novak
    There's one word to describe the major national presidential election polls over the last two weeks: "wild." Just about all of those wild swings in the polls lately have been in favor of Hillary Clinton, as she's now increased her lead from less than one percentage point in the RealClearPolitics poll average to 4.6 points as of Thursday morning. But there's another word you have to use when you see such massive swings in the polls in just a few days with less than a month to go before Election Day: "baloney." And the reason why they're baloney has nothing...
  • Ohio Poll Shows Trump Leading Ohio by 6.67% Debate Trump then Gains 4% while Clinton Loses 1%...

    10/13/2016 2:12:11 PM PDT · by Typelouder · 46 replies
    We The People Convention ^ | 10/13/16 | Tommy Z.
    PRESS RELEASE FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Thursday, October 13, 2016 Ohio Poll Shows Trump Leading Ohio by 6.67% Pre-Debate Trump then Gains 4% while Clinton Loses 1% After the Debate Akron, OH – The We the People Convention today announced the results of a two part Ohio poll of likely voters. The poll was intended to determine voter preferences in the presidential election prior to the debate on Sunday, October 9, 2016, but after the Trump tapes and the WikiLeaks emails were leaked on Friday, October 7, 1016, and then after the debate was over. The original poll on Saturday, October...
  • White House Watch: Trump Takes the Lead

    10/13/2016 5:31:40 AM PDT · by Trump20162020 · 113 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/13/2016 | Scott Rasmuseen
    The full results from Sunday night’s debate are in, and Donald Trump has come from behind to take the lead over Hillary Clinton. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.
  • White House Watch: Race Continues to Tighten

    10/12/2016 5:35:18 AM PDT · by Trump20162020 · 30 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/12/2016 | Scott Rasmussen
    The race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton continues to tighten as the results following Sunday’s night debate keep coming in. Clinton still holds a four-point lead over Trump - 43% to 39% - among Likely U.S. Voters in Rasmussen Reports’ latest White House Watch national telephone and online survey. But that’s down from five points yesterday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday. Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. The survey has a margin of...
  • Susquehanna PA Poll - Toomey +4, Hillary +4 (half post "tape", all pre-debate)

    10/11/2016 5:09:28 AM PDT · by NYC-RepublicanCT · 24 replies
    Susquehanna Poll ^ | Susquehanna Polling
    Q7. If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Green Party candidate Jill Stein or Constitutional Party candidate Darrell Castle? (ROTATE NAMES) 1. Clinton/Democrat. 44%. 2. Trump/Republican. 40% 3. Johnson/Libertarian 4% 4. Stein/Green. 2%.
  • Half a Dozen News Sites Stop Polling Their Readers on Who Won the Presidential Debate

    10/10/2016 10:32:55 AM PDT · by servo1969 · 28 replies ^ | 10-10-2016 | EZRA DULIS
    Half a dozen news outlets skipped posting snap polls after the second 2016 presidential debate on Sunday — most likely because Donald Trump touted his dominance of their polls after the first debate in September. The first presidential debate was a tough one for Republican presidential candidate Trump, but he publicly declared victory by citing a slew of unscientific online polls where respondents said he beat his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The Daily Mail rounded up the results of many of these snap polls, as well, with a headline blaring “Trump won debate by a landslide.”
  • Why the post-debate polls for CNN and YouGov are wrong

    10/10/2016 10:12:51 AM PDT · by TheRef · 5 replies
    Political Ref ^ | 10/10/16
      Why the post-debate polls for CNN and YouGov are wrong Donald Trump will not win a poll with a +10% Democratic voter sample, and pollsters know it The YouGov poll, to its credit, provided internals for their poll. CNN has not, although apparently there is more to come. According to the YouGov poll, Clinton edged out Trump in the debate last night by a 47 to 42 margin. The CNN poll, absurdly, found that Clinton won the debate by a twenty-three point margin, 57 to 34. CNN notes in its article that their results match voter preference from...
  • Leaked Monmouth U. polling memo: Democrats ‘despondent’; Hillary..., seen as a ‘lying harpy’

    The Florida geography is also working against us. Hillary has 53+ Field Offices and they’re empty of volunteers. This lack of enthusiasm is showing up in the voting responses and it’s killing us. The “cell phones” rationale will only hold out for so long.
  • Poll: LI equally divided on Clinton, Trump for president [New York]

    10/06/2016 4:21:25 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    News 12 Long Island ^ | October 6, 2016
    WOODBURY - A News 12 Long Island/Hofstra University poll shows that Long Islanders are divided about who they want to win the presidency. A total of 40 percent said they want Hillary Clinton to be the next president, while 40 percent said they supported Donald Trump. Six percent said they want another candidate, and six percent aren't voting at all. Eight percent of those polled said they were undecided. Political analyst Michael Dawidziak said the result are not surprising. "That's consistent. That's what the polls have been on Long Island almost from the time when these two candidates were chosen,"...
  • UPI/CVoter state polls: Donald Trump gains support in all but 5 states(All State Polling)

    10/06/2016 11:56:50 AM PDT · by Red Steel · 50 replies
    UPI ^ | Oct. 3, 2016 at 2:30 PM | Stephen Feller
    UPI/CVoter state polls: Donald Trump gains support in all but 5 states with Hillary Clinton in several states. Hillary Clinton 46.89% Donald Trump 49.38%
  • (VANITY) What is going on with the polls?

    10/06/2016 6:07:37 AM PDT · by DrDude · 69 replies
    10/6/16 | DrDude
    I know the polls are all over the place. Trump seems to be up in 4 Tracking Polls. State polls vary wildly. My question is the RCP Polls. Do they have any ryhme or reason for which polls are included? They don't hide their bias. As soon as Trump takes a lead they slap up some moronic poll which is way out of line. Why don't they include Reuters which they had last month when it was showing a lead for HRC? I was looking around last night and went to 538. It had Trump with only a 23% chance....
  • New Reuters Polling: TRUMP Up 7 in Iowa, 2 in Colorado, 13 in Georgia

    10/05/2016 6:31:29 PM PDT · by bobsunshine · 123 replies
    The Gateway Pundit ^ | October 5, 2016 | Jim Hoft
    Republican Donald Trump is now leading Hillary Clinton by 7 points in Iowa and 2 points in Colorado – two formerly blue states. Trump is also up 13 points in Georgia. Trump leads unpopular Hillary Clinton by 2 points in the Reuters national poll.
  • Pennsylvania moves to ‘toss-up’ in our new 2016 ratings! (From "Leans Democrat")

    10/03/2016 10:20:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 75 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | October 3, 2016 | Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake
    With the 2016 presidential election now just 36 days away, we'll be updating our Fix electoral map every Monday from here on out as things change. The big change this week is that Pennsylvania, long the holy grail for Donald Trump's chances of expanding the playing field and potentially getting 270 electoral votes in his race against Hillary Clinton, is moving back to the toss-up category in our rankings. Why? Because poll after poll after poll — including one released by Quinnipiac University on Monday — suggest that in a four-way race that includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green...
  • New Ohio poll shows Trump pulling away from Clinton

    10/03/2016 12:57:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The Youngstown Vindicator ^ | October 3, 2016
    COLUMBUS — Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is pulling away from Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University Poll released Monday afternoon. In a survey of 497 likely Ohio voters conducted in the days after the first presidential debate, 47 percent of respondents backed Trump, versus 42 percent who picked Clinton. Another 6 percent sided with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. Among other results released Monday, Trump was ahead of Clinton in Florida (46 percent-41 percent). Clinton was preferred in North Carolina (46 percent-43 percent) and Pennsylvania (45 percent-41 percent).The results had a margin of error...
  • Rethinking Polls. Whistling Past the Graveyard – The Threat of Low Response Rates in Political Polls

    10/03/2016 8:29:22 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Media File ^ | October 3, 2016 | John Newhagen
    “Rip” Smith, played by Jimmy Stewart, solved the problem of getting respondents to take part in a telephone poll in the 1947 film Magic Town. He found the perfectly representative Midwestern city and simply asked a few folks around town how they felt about the day’s burning issues. Stewart’s character, just back from the war, had his work cut out for him. He wanted to break into the then new science of public opinion polling. But he was broke and his competition, George Stringer, was well established. Then he discovered Grandview, which was perfectly representative of the county as a...
  • Clinton, Trump in tight race in New Mexico

    10/02/2016 2:38:00 AM PDT · by Redmen4ever · 29 replies
    Albuquerque Journal ^ | 10/2/16 | Michael Coleman
    Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton holds a slight lead over Republican Donald Trump among likely New Mexico voters …
  • Trump, Clinton Tied in Minnesota with Pennsylvania, North Carolina Tightening

    09/26/2016 12:05:24 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 60 replies
    Breitbart ^ | SEPTEMBER 26, 2016 | NEIL W. MCCABE
    Democratic pollster Patrick Caddell told Breitbart News: “Trump is closing everywhere and states that have not been in play are coming into play, like Minnesota.” Caddell said those states that had been considered battleground states are not moving as fast, but all are inside the margin of error. In the battleground states, the Clinton campaign has built the infrastructure and made the investments, so they have the ability to fight there what is becoming a national tide, he said. “Part of that is because the Clinton campaign, well both campaigns, but particularly the Clinton campaign has spent so much of...
  • Gravis Poll (Post Debate): Trump +5

    09/28/2016 7:23:53 AM PDT · by hawaiian · 115 replies
    Gravis Marketing ^ | 7/27/16 | Gravis
    This polll shows Hillary "won the debate" but it shows several other much more notable things. Note that this poll was taken all post debate: Very few people changed their minds. Of those who changed their minds 2% (Undecideds) changed towards Trump. 1% changed from Trump to Hillary. 1% changed from Hillary to Trump. Of the rest, 48% say they're going to vote for Trump, 43% for Hillary. Trump won on trustworthiness, strong leader, and even "cares about people like me"Guys if this poll is remotely true, Hillary is toast. She will never do better and Trump will only get...
  • Trump Tied in PA, CO, +1 in Maine, Down 2 Wisc. (Opinion Dynamics Research)

    09/27/2016 12:47:50 PM PDT · by CWW · 79 replies
    Opinion Dynamics Research ^ | 09-27-2016 | cww
    New 3 day rolling #s from Opinion Research Dynamics (which correctly predicted every senate race in 2014): Maine: Trump 42% Clinton 41% Colorado: Trump 42% Clinton 42% Pennsylvania: Trump 44% Clinton 44% Wisconsin: Trump 40 Clinton 44%
  • Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead could be vanishing, according to new polls

    09/26/2016 5:26:35 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    Vox ^ | September 26, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    Just before the first presidential debate Monday night, a new round of polls has been released that should strike fear into the hearts of Democrats. First off, the national race is looking very tight indeed. Democrats had hoped that Clinton had rebounded after a couple of respected polls last week showed her taking a 6-point lead over Trump. But the newest polls from major outlets — ABC News/Washington Post, Quinnipiac, and Bloomberg — show Clinton up 2, up 1, and down 2 to Trump in a four-way matchup that includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. But what’s probably scarier for...
  • Who Will Win the Presidency? (Trump @ 48.1% in 538)

    09/26/2016 6:20:11 AM PDT · by Hieronymus · 7 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | Sept. 26 | Nate SIlver
  • CNN/ORC polls: Trump, Clinton deadlocked in Colorado, Pennsylvania

    09/26/2016 3:43:27 AM PDT · by sheikdetailfeather · 36 replies
    CNN ^ | 9-26-2016 | Jennifer Agiesta
    (CNN)Just one point separates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in two states that are critical to both candidates' chances of becoming president, according to new CNN/ORC polls in Pennsylvania and Colorado. In Colorado, likely voters break 42% for Trump, 41% for Clinton, 13% for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3% for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Pennsylvania's likely voters split 45% for Clinton, 44% for Trump, 6% for Johnson and 3% for Stein. Those divides are well within each poll's 3.5-point margin of sampling error. The new results in two battleground states underscore the closeness of the race and come as...
  • Nate Silver: Trump closing in, Clinton lead 'a lot less safe' than Obama's in 2012

    09/25/2016 2:51:05 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | September 25, 2016 | Paige Winfield Cunningham
    (TWEET-AT-LINK) A model from election-forecasting whiz Nate Silver shows Donald Trump once again closing in on Hillary Clinton, as he did right after the party conventions in July, and warned that Clinton's lead is "a lot less safe" than President Obama's lead in the polls in 2012. Silver's FiveThirtyEight website currently gives Clinton a 58.1 percent chance and Trump a 41.9 percent chance of becoming president. That's not the closest the two candidates have been, as Silver's widely-respected projection showed them neck-and-neck on July 30. Clinton opened a wider lead over Trump in August in Silver's model, but Trump has...
  • White House Watch: Trump 44%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%

    Thursday, September 22, 2016 With the first presidential debate coming on Monday, Donald Trump has moved to a five-point lead over Hillary Clinton, his biggest advantage since mid-July. The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch telephone and online survey finds Trump with 44% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 39%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided.
  • Race tightens in Virginia; Trump down by 1 in Colorado, up by 9 in Missouri

    09/25/2016 8:05:22 AM PDT · by Redmen4ever · 33 replies
    YouGov ^ | 9/25/16 | CBS/YouGov
    Ahead of the first presidential debate Democrat Hillary Clinton gets mixed results …
  • Trump makes big gains in latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of Pa. voters

    09/25/2016 7:20:59 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 10 replies
    Morning Call ^ | 25 Sep 2016 | Laura Olson
    WASHINGTON — On the eve of the first presidential debate, a new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows a narrow gap between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump amid rising support for Trump within his own party. Clinton still leads Trump in a head-to-head matchup, but only by a 3-point margin, 44 percent to 41 percent. Those results showed Clinton's support dropping and Trump's gaining compared with a Morning Call/Muhlenberg poll a week earlier, which showed Clinton at 47 percent and Trump at 38 percent. In a four-way matchup, Clinton leads by 2 points, at 40 percent to Trump's 38...
  • The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll (T: 47.1, C: 41.7)

    09/20/2016 4:21:00 AM PDT · by PapaBear3625 · 73 replies
    see link
  • Trump Now Winning in IA, NM, FL, CO, NV – 5 States Obama Won Twice

    09/18/2016 9:58:05 PM PDT · by Helicondelta · 78 replies ^ | Sep 18th, 2016
    Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton in several states won by Barack Obama including: Iowa, Florida, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada and is tied with Hillary Clinton in Michigan. Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway cheered the development in a series of tweets.
  • I got polled!!!

    09/19/2016 6:29:20 AM PDT · by spacewarp · 53 replies
    Self | 9/19/2016 | Paul Rivers
    Last night, I got called and polled for the coming election. Was asked if I was voting for Trump, Clinton or Johnson. No questions about Stein. Answered Trump. Was asked in NC, if I was voting for Burr or his opponent. Answered Burr. Was asked if I'd seen any ads in the last two weeks in favor of Trump. I answered yes. I said that I'd seen several. Was asked if I'd seen any ads in the last two weeks attacking Clinton. I answered yes. Told them I saw an NRA ad and it was quite effective. Was asked if...
  • L.A. Times: Trump Up 7 over Clinton; Breaks 20% Among Blacks

    09/18/2016 2:34:43 PM PDT · by PROCON · 114 replies ^ | Sep. 18, 2016 | JOHN PUDNER
    The latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times tracking poll puts Republican nominee Donald Trump up nearly 7 points over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton as of Sunday morning — and over 20% among black voters Trump led Clinton, 47.7% to 41.0% — his highest overall support in the poll, and the largest gap since Trump led by 7.3% during the party conventions in July. The poll was conducted among 2,507 respondents, including over 400 who are polled every day. In addition to increasing his lead overall, Trump continued to improve among black voters. While media outlets have tried to assure readers that...
  • Trump Hits Record High in LA Times/USC Poll, Lead Nears 7%

    09/18/2016 12:17:41 AM PDT · by NYRepublican72 · 95 replies
    LA Times/USC-Dornsife ^ | 9/18/2016 | LA Times/USC-Dornsife
  • Polling is being made “complicated” to camouflage the lie

    09/16/2016 9:09:07 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 7 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 9/16/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Ockham’s razor is a problem solving formula the holds, “Among competing hypotheses, the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected.” This simple principle is very often pushed aside by self-important, “deep thinkers” who make a living making things seem complicated and therefore insoluble except for those with “expert” knowledge. The famous Danish writer Hans Christian Andersen showed us the value of Ockham’s razor in his short story; “The Emperor's New Clothes." In this tale two weavers promise their emperor “a new suit of clothes that is invisible to those who are unfit for their positions, stupid, or incompetent.” When...
  • Donald Trump's lead widens in USC/L.A. Times tracking poll (+6)

    09/15/2016 7:20:41 AM PDT · by GilGil · 93 replies
    LATimes ^ | 9/15/2016 | Staff
    Who’s Winning? Daily track of Clinton and Trump’s support
  • Trump Has 5-Point Lead in Bloomberg Poll of Battleground Ohio

    09/15/2016 12:35:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    Bloomberg Politics | September 14, 2016 | John McCormick and Mark Niquette
    Link only due to copyright issues: