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Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead (49-47)

    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82691.html Politico/Battleground Tracking Poll Romney 49 Obama 47 "Mitt Romney has taken a narrow national lead, tightened the gender gap and expanded his edge over President Barack Obama on who would best grow the economy."
  • Here Come The Other States

    10/21/2012 9:59:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    DickMorris.com ^ | October 19, 2012 | Dick Morris
    While all national attention is focused — indeed riveted — on the seven to nine swing or battleground states, a major shift is taking place in the rest of the country: Voters are turning off Obama and onto Romney. In the forty states where the Obama campaign has not spread toxic negative ads against Romney, the Republican is gaining by leaps and bounds and will likely carry a bunch of “non-swing” normally blue states. Specifically, Romney is now three points ahead in Pennsylvania, one point behind in Michigan, and only two points behind in Wisconsin and Minnesota. Together, these four...
  • Election Night Surprise: Why Minnesota Will Turn Red on November 6

    10/21/2012 6:26:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Battleground Watch ^ | October 19, 2012 | Keith Backer
    Minnesota has crept into the news cycle recently with senior campaign surrogates stumping in the state and campaign dollars flowing to a state once thought out of reach for Republicans this cycle. I received a lot of push-back over my conclusion regarding Minnesota’s competitiveness based on Rochester, Minnesota being a top 10 ad market this week. Upon closer inspection, however, the evidence keeps piling up that the Land of 10,000 Lakes should be on everyone’s radar for an election night surprise. The latest is a poll released yesterday from SurveyUSA gives President Obama a 10-point lead over Mitt Romney, 50...
  • Mitt Romney likely win in November indicated by latest polls

    10/21/2012 3:56:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Examiner ^ | October 21, 2012 | Dean Chambers
    If the election were held today Mitt Romney would win 321 electoral votes while Barack Obama would win in states worth 217 electoral votes according to the latest polling data available today. The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Daily Tracking poll released today shows President Obama leading over Mitt Romney by a 49 percent to 47 percent margin. The new Gallup Tracking poll released today shows Romney leading 52 percent to 45 percent. Today's release of the QStarNews Daily Tracking Poll shows a 52 percent to 41 percent lead for Mitt Romney. These are the most accurate and least skewed polls among...
  • Hold On, Obama Still Has 1 More Debate ("Everyone seems to agree that Obama had a pretty good week")

    10/21/2012 2:06:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Root ^ | October 19, 2012 | Keli Goff
    Everyone seems to agree that President Obama had a pretty good week. His debate performance on Tuesday night was a vast improvement over his performance in the previous debate, but he still has a tough road ahead in regaining some of the ground the polls indicate he lost with voters. So below are the five things he needs to do in the next debate, and in the weeks to come, if he is serious about remaining in the White House. 1. Win Back Women President Obama held a comfortable lead with women voters for much of the general election campaign....
  • It’s Romney’s Race to Lose: Here's how the Republican can close the sale...

    10/20/2012 2:08:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    PJ Media ^ | October 19, 2012 | Rick Moran
    With less than three weeks to go until the election, both camps are on edge, hoping not to make a fatal misstep while praying their opponent stumbles. At this point, gaffe recovery would be problematic and the unfortunate candidate who shoots himself in the foot may think seriously of finishing the job by aiming the gun to his head. You can smell the desperation in the crazy attacks mounted by both campaigns and their thousands of surrogates on the web and social media in the last 72 hours. Romney’s “binder”comment was inexplicably seized upon by Obama and his twitterites and...
  • IBD/TIPP Poll - Is it Credible?

    10/20/2012 1:32:29 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 49 replies
    The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows Obama up 3, 47 to 44 (though that's due to rounding, it's actually only Obama up 2.6%). Now, both sides love to discredit any poll that doesn't look good for them: look at how the left is freaking out about the "outlier" of a Gallup poll. I don't do that..I've seen many polls that look bad for Romney that I actually find believable once looking at the internals. I never discredit a poll just because I don't like it - I just call it like I see it. Having said that... The IBD/TIPP poll is...
  • Polls Sample

    10/20/2012 8:54:20 AM PDT · by Massimo75 · 19 replies
    Hi everybody! My name is Massimo and I am from Italy. I have one of the very few GOP Oriented political blog in Italy (which you can find here http://awhiteavenue.blogspot.it/), but being all in italian I doubt it can be an interesting reading for you whatsoever! I'd like to share some thought on the polls sample. Recently some polls showed Obama ahead by 2-3 points (IBD/TIPP Tracking, Hartford Courant/UConn, ABC News/Wash Post), they keep Obama up in the RCP average but they all have a sample with way more democrats than they should. Dem +7 or Dem+9 would be comparable...
  • Poll: Romney now leads by one in New Hampshire — and Iowa

    10/19/2012 6:36:39 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 19, 2012 | Allahpundi
    Yes, yes, I know, this comes from Kos’s pollster. What can I say? If the left can cling bitterly to Rasmussen as a bulwark against terrible numbers from Gallup, I can cling to this. RCP’s average already had New Hampshire within a point so the new PPP number there isn’t news. The Iowa number is. This is the first poll in a month showing Romney ahead in the state, notwithstanding his blockbuster debate two weeks ago. NBC’s poll last night, in fact, had O up by eight points in Iowa, a ridiculous figure given that Obama’s worried enough to have...
  • Romney Up in RCP "No Toss up" Map

    10/19/2012 8:20:57 AM PDT · by NY4Romney · 7 replies
    Recently, we were very excited when Romney finally took a lead in the RCP map, 206 to 201. That's a huge step, and today the RCP made another positive change for us! Romney has now gained Virginia in the "no toss up" map, making it 281 Obama to 257 Romney. For comparison, as recently as TWO WEEKS ago, the no toss up map was Obama 347 to Romney 191. That's a HUGE, HUGE change this close to the election, and the momentum is clearly with us, with a state changing from Obama to Romney every few days. We are just...
  • Bob Beckel: If Gallup numbers are correct, ‘It’s over’

    10/18/2012 8:41:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 18, 2012 | Jeff Poor
    (VIDEO AT LINK) Thursday’s Gallup tracking poll giving Republican nominee Mitt Romney a seven-point lead over President Barack Obama sent shock waves throughout the political world. It also may have dampened the outlook of a few Democrats just weeks before the presidential election. On Fox News Channel’s “The Five” on Thursday, Bob Beckel, the show’s lone liberal, said the election is over if the poll is accurate. “If I were looking at the numbers and managing the campaign, I would be upset,” Beckel said. “I’m not sure panic. But if the numbers are correct, it’s over. It is over. So,...
  • Why Race Is Moving Towards Romney: That 1st Debate Made American People Realize Obama's A Screw-up

    10/18/2012 2:57:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Right Wing News ^ | October 18, 2012 | John Hawkins
    Political junkies — and you are almost certainly one of them if you’re reading this post — pay close attention to politics. Most Americans don’t. They may read the paper and watch the nightly news, but they don’t have a deep understanding of what’s going on in the country because those outlets don’t provide that any more. Sure, if you read the New York Times and watch CNN every night, you may get what’s happening in the country in a broad sense, but compared to the sort of people who read blogs and listen to talk radio, your knowledge level...
  • A Note on the Gallup Poll

    10/18/2012 2:41:45 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 12 replies
    Just a quick note on the latest Gallup Poll showing Romney up 52 to 45 over Obama, which I want everyone to consider as Zero's disciples keep insisting the debate bump is coming: The poll is a 7 day rolling average. Today's poll now has one day of post-debate polling in it and Romney went UP one point. Before you shrug it off as "just one point" consider how high Romney already was. With the 7 day tracking poll, each day's results only count as 1/7 of the overall average, and Romney was already at 51 percent. So today, one...
  • Romney takes his first Electoral College lead

    10/18/2012 1:12:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 18, 2012 | Howard Portnoy
    Since the debate on Tuesday, which many analysts ceded to President Obama, mainly on strength of his having shown up, the term comeback kid has been getting play among liberal pundits. Yet, this afternoon’s Real Clear Politics Electoral Map suggests goaway kid (or maybe just, “Go away, kid!”) is a more fitting description. The map for the first time gives challenger Mitt Romney a lead of 206 to 201 over Obama in Electoral College votes. Strikingly, the map has Florida (with 29 Electoral votes), Michigan (with 16), Ohio (with 18), Pennsylvania (with 20), Virginia (with 13), and Wisconsin (with 10)...
  • Romney gains a point post-debate in Gallup, up 7 (So much for Re-Energized Barack Obama)

    10/18/2012 12:19:46 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 18, 2012 | Ed Morrissey
    So much for Re-Energized Barack Obama. Gallup’s seven-day tracking poll picked up its first post-debate day of polling — and Mitt Romney added a point to his lead among likely voters. He’s now up 52-45. Obama did pick up a point among registered voters, but still trails by a point, 48/47. He also went from +4 to +6 on his job approval among all adults, now at 50/44, but that isn’t helping much among likely voters, as the rolling average shows. When Romney took a six-point lead in yesterday’s tracking poll results, Washington Post analyst Aaron Blake cautioned to wait...
  • Early Vote Looking Good in Iowa

    10/18/2012 7:52:15 AM PDT · by NY4Romney · 5 replies
    On October 15th, the Washington Post did on article on early voting in Iowa and how it is "looking good for democrats." They explained that of all ballots cast, it's 53% democrat and 28% republican - a 25% lead. In 2008, democrats won the early vote by 18% Now, today, only 3 days later, the Iowa Secretary of State reports of ballots cast, it is now 49% democrat and 30% Republican. That's a SIX POINT swing in just 3 days. Furthermore, the ballots "requested" is 46% to 31%. A report from Politico yesterday said this: "Republican voters’ requests for ballots...
  • PPP sees no Obama Bounce post debate

    10/17/2012 8:39:05 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 37 replies
    Just saw this tweet from public policy polling: Not seeing anything in our polls tonight to suggest a big shift back toward Obama- think things will go on similar to how they have been Great news for Romney - the American people are smart enough to see who won despite the MSMs lies
  • Report: Obama campaign turning grim on Florida, Virginia, North Carolina — and Colorado?

    10/17/2012 3:12:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 17, 2012 | Allahpundit
    You need to read way, way, way down into this National Journal piece to find the key bit, but it’s worth it. Says Jay Cost, “I’ve never seen anybody bury a lede like Major Garrett here.” Let’s bring this treasure chest up to the surface: What also became clear after the dust began to settle from the rumble on Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obama’s team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss...
  • A new, improved Barack Obama shows up for the second debate but fails to halt Mitt Romney's momentum

    10/17/2012 11:06:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | October 17, 2012 | Toby Harnden
    President Barack Obama needed a game-changing night here in Hampstead, New York and Mitt Romney made sure he didn't get it. Over the 90 minutes, Obama might have edged it - just - but strategically he did little if anything to blunt Romney's growing advantage. Just as Al Gore over-compensated for his poor first debate in 2000, we saw a completely different Obama this time around. He had clearly had some intensive coaching from his debate prep team and was acting under orders to do change everything. Romney strategist Stuart Stevens quipped afterwards that he became 'Joe Biden without the...
  • The Debate Romney Won: Strong moments on key issues

    10/17/2012 10:45:19 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 3 replies
    BuzzFeed ^ | October 17, 2012 | McKay Coppins and Zeke Miller
    HEMPSTEAD, N.Y. — Bullish Democrats are calling it a blow-out. Pundits are giving the president the slight edge. And the late-night insta-polls splashed across cable news chyrons initially appeared to give Obama a solid, if not game-changing, win. But the Romney campaign spent the hours after the contest contending that the debate strengthened their position — and they may have a point. A CNN/ORC International poll published late Tuesday identified Obama has the overall winner, 46 percent to 39 percent. But the poll also showed that Romney won on virtually every issue he's chosen to place at the center of...
  • Kimball Political Consulting Results for 10-12, 10-13 VA Poll (Romney 54%, Obama 43%)

    10/17/2012 12:02:31 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Methodology (Caller ID) All respondents interviewed in this study were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in the state of Virginia using a probability sampling method of landlines for a total sample of N=696 registered “likely” voters. The Margin of Error for the sample is +/- 3.7% with a confidence level of 95%. The survey was administered using an Automated Telephone Interviewing (ATI) system. The ATI system allows data to be entered directly into a computerized database through the numbers on interviewee’s phone, providing a highly reliable system of data collection. A random sample of registered voters...
  • Chuck Todd: We’re seeing a structural change in the race toward Romney

    10/15/2012 11:27:14 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 15, 2012 | Ed Morrissey
    Bear in mind that Chuck Todd is using the WaPo/ABC poll from this morning for part of his analysis, and you can see just how bad things are going for Team Obama. While I agree with Todd on the momentum shift, I’m not as sure it’s recent, but I do think the debate was indeed the big inflection point for the toplines of the polls. Even before that debate, Mitt Romney routinely led among independents in polling outside the margin of error — and in a cycle where Republican enthusiasm outstrips that of the Democrats, that’s a powerful indicator how...
  • Obama’s ‘Long March’ to victory in November spearheaded by Muppets

    10/15/2012 5:10:33 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 14, 2012 | Howard Portnoy
    MSNBC’s race-baiting commentator Touré has an amusing pep talk in Sunday’s Daily News, in which he assures the Democratic faithful that Obama has this one sewn up. The evidence Touré offers in support of his conviction is as thin as his overuse of metaphor is thick (“It has been so long since Democrats felt even a scintilla of electoral despair that the slightest taste of it was frightening enough to make them look like [sic] they were in Edvard Munch’s ‘The Scream.’”) The timing of the column is interesting, coming as it does the morning after Real Clear Politics updated...
  • DOOM ANTIDOTE: Dems losing badly even in gerrymandered Illinois districts — 10/14/2012

    10/14/2012 8:21:31 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    HillBuzz ^ | October 14, 2012 | Kevin DuJan
    Someone asked me why a “DOOM ANTIDOTE” is still needed when it looks like since the Denver debate not even the most conniving of Tokyo Roses in conservative ranks has been able to rev the Eeyores out there up with any “We’re doomed!” reports of “Obama’s winning this!”. Something magical happened at that debate between Romney and Obama that has prevented the Democrats’ Ministry of Truth (Minitru, for short) in the national media from being able to claim that “Romney’s campaign is imploding!” or “Obama’s inevitable!”. None of that was ever true. Romney was never in trouble. Romney’s campaign has...
  • Romney now on track

    10/14/2012 2:18:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Washington Post's Right Turn ^ | October 14, 2012 | Jennifer Rubin
    Mitt Romney leads President Obama in national polls, and the president is approaching his all-time low in the RealClearPolitics average. Romney leads in some key swing states (e.g., Florida, Colorado and North Carolina) and has largely erased the deficit in others (Ohio, Virginia, Nevada). His approval rating (the likability rating so many liberals have obsessed about) is in positive territory; the gap between the two candidates’ approval ratings has all but disappeared. Obama is below 60 on Intrade. Crowds for Romney and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) are swelling in battleground states like Ohio. The Associated Press reported: The crowds tell...
  • John Zogby to Newsmax: Ohio Momentum 'Clearly With Romney'

    10/13/2012 9:29:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Newsmax ^ | October 12, 2012 | David Alliot and John Bachman
    When it comes to the all-important swing state of Ohio this election, “the momentum is clearly with Romney,” now that President Barack Obama’s 9-point lead going into the first presidential debate has vanished, pollster John Zogby tells Newsmax TV. But it’s the independent vote that really matters in the Buckeye State, he says. When asked how important the independent vote is for Ohio, Zogby tells Newsmax: “Extremely important. For starters, Ohio does not have registration by political party. People will identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans but most voters in Ohio are independents.” (VIDEO AT LINK) Newsmax has teamed up...
  • Polls like Romney: Pundits wonder if popularity survives next week's debate

    10/13/2012 4:01:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The Albany Times-Union / The Los Angeles Times ^ | October 12, 2012 | Doyle McManus
    The first debate between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney was an even bigger win for Romney than it appeared at the time. That's what the polls are telling us. The Oct. 3 debate, it seems, prompted swing voters to take a second look at Romney, and it also boosted Republican voters' resolve to get out and vote. A presidential election that once appeared to favor Obama is now razor-close again, and heading toward an unpredictable finish. Four national polls released their first post-debate findings this week. The Pew Research Center reported that Romney had moved into the lead among...
  • Biden brings fight to Wisconsin with appeal to women voters (Wisconsin?)

    10/13/2012 1:53:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 12, 2012 | Nick Kalman
    LA CROSSE, Wis. - A day after going toe-to-toe with Congressman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) in a spirited and oftentimes feisty debate, Vice President Joe Biden took the fight to his GOP rival's home state. Speaking to a crowd packed with 2,000 people at the University of Wisconsin - La Crosse, Biden tried to follow up on his Thursday night performance. This time, with a particularly direct appeal to women. "If anyone had a doubt about what's at stake in this election, when it comes to women's rights, and the Supreme Court, I am sure they were settled last night," Biden...
  • Daily Breakdown: Romney's Best Polling Day Yet

    10/13/2012 1:07:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The New Republic ^ | October 13, 2012 | Nate Cohn
    After a week of swing state polls going Obama’s way, Romney finally added a wave of strong showings in the battleground states while preserving his lead in the national polls.(GRAPH AT LINK)This is probably Romney’s best polling day of this election. Not only did he hold leads in the battleground state polls but Romney made relatively large gains compared to pre-DNC surveys. And the North Carolina poll where Obama led was partially conducted prior to the debate and Romney led by 6 points in the post-debate sample. Romney even led a poll in Nevada, the first he’s led since the...
  • Death of the Obamabots

    10/13/2012 12:33:28 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Taki's Magazine ^ | October 5, 2012 | The Editors
    Mitt Romney kicked Barack Obama’s ass so thoroughly Wednesday night, Attorney General Eric Holder has considered charging him with a hate crime. This gives us throbbing levels of immensely transcendent galaxy-tripping joy not because we think Romney is anything to write home about or that any substantial issues were raised during the debate, but because Obama’s lapdogs and water boys and bootlickers and lawn jockeys and Fourth Estate concubines have been trying their gosh-diggety-darndest to declare that Romney had already lost the election. September had been an awful month for Romney, mainly because the overwhelmingly left-leaning media had insisted it...
  • State of the Race

    10/12/2012 9:19:36 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 7 replies
    So the race for the White House has definitely become much easier for us in the past week and a half...and the VP debate probably didn't do anything to help Obama. After analyzing the polls and history, I think we can safely say that the electoral vote count is: Romney: 257 I give Romney all McCain states plus Indiana, Nebraska 2, NC, FL, VA, and Colorado. I think Romney will definitely win those, meaning he needs only 13 more electoral votes with theses states left: PA, WI, MI, NH, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio. These are the states Romney needs to...
  • New Hampshire (Romney 50%, Obama 46%)

    10/12/2012 8:36:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    American Research Group ^ | October 12, 2012
    Interview dates: October 9-11, 2012 Sample size: 600 likely voters Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time Question wording and responses: If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else? New Hampshire Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 46% 50% 1% 3% Democrats (29%) 94% 3% - 3% Republicans (35%) 6% 92% -...
  • The Edge of Panic

    10/12/2012 8:09:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    Ricochet ^ | October 12, 2012 | Rick Wilson
    Last night's performance by Biden – capering, giggling, near-maniacal opera buffa – was targeted in one place: a dispirited, demoralized Democratic base on the edge of panic. Paul Ryan was businesslike, steady, and on-point. He hit solid doubles all night, and that's all he needed to do. If he'd been as amped and manic as Biden, it would have been a political and imaging disaster. Biden aimed to throw the Obama base a lifeline. He fed the Kos Kidz desperate need to see some fight, but at the cost of his remaining (and mostly notional) dignity. If you want a...
  • Democrats’ Folly: How bad will Obama’s loss really be?

    10/12/2012 7:40:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 63 replies
    HillBuzz ^ | October 12, 2012 | Kevin DuJan
    You can create a map like the one above for yourself, by using the tool over at RealClearPolitics. I think this is how the election is going to shake out, with a Romney win of between 70-100 EVs. Pennsylvania, the “Zac Efron of states”, has been a perpetual tease for years…always threatening to come out and be who it really is at heart, but then chickening out and doing what its publicist wants it to keep doing. I think if Pennsylvania would ever finally to go Republicans it would be this year…but I still don’t know if the War on...
  • Oh my: Romney up 7 in new VA poll

    10/12/2012 8:34:04 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 12, 2012 | Ed Morrissey
    A new poll from McLaughlin & Associates, highlighted by BreitbartÂ’s Tony Lee, provides even more supporting evidence for Suffolk UniversityÂ’s conclusion that thereÂ’s not much chance of Barack Obama winning the state. Mitt Romney has taken a seven-point lead and grabbed a majority, 51/44, in the survey taken on Monday and Tuesday of 600 likely voters in the state. More importantly, Romney has a double-digit lead among independents (via Drudge Report): According to a McLaughlin & Associates poll that had an R+.02 sample, Romney leads Obama in Virginia 51%-44%. Among independents, Romney beats Obama by 11 points, 50%-39%. If these...
  • The Cook Report: There's No Question, Romney Changed the Game

    10/11/2012 8:47:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    The National Journal ^ | Charlie Cook
    The first debate was a game changer. The president will need to be both aggressive and presidential in the second. Before the first presidential debate, this column repeatedly pointed out that Mitt Romney needed something to happen—an event or development that would change the trajectory of this race—or he would lose. As Jay Leno remarked, the only people who thought President Obama won the debate were the NFL replacement referees. Unquestionably, the Denver debate changed the course of the race enormously. For Romney, it was necessary, but we will have to see if it is sufficient to put him over...
  • Oh my: New Florida poll shows Romney up by seven overall — and up two among Latinos

    10/11/2012 5:15:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 11, 2012 | Allahpundit
    First real earthquake poll that I can recall at the state level, not unlike how Monday’s Pew national poll felt. I’m tempted to break out the mushroom cloud thumbnail, but … no, not yet. Let’s save that for the last two weeks. Second look at that Suffolk pollster’s decision to stop polling Florida? The survey conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. That’s a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent — and a direct result...
  • Scarborough: Obama's Rocky Mountain horror show

    10/10/2012 10:19:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Politico ^ | October 9, 2012 | Former Rep. Joe Scarborough (R-FL)
    You have to want it. And you have to work for it. Those have been twin truths in American politics since Andrew Jackson took presidential politics to the people in the 19th century. Barack Obama, however, lost that memo last week in Denver — a single evening, yes, but one that raises a fascinating and timely question: Is the 44th president no more than a mediocre political talent who’s had one of the greatest runs of luck in history? And did that luck begin to run out in Denver last Wednesday during the homestretch of his final campaign? A week...
  • As Romney’s lead in the polls widens, libs slip further into funk

    10/10/2012 3:39:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 10, 2012 | Howard Portnoy
    This wasn’t how it was supposed to be. Barack Obama, despite having placed the country’s future in greater jeopardy than he found it in 2008 and having no second-term plans for dealing with the deficit or entitlements, was supposed to coast to a second term against a hapless, floundering Mitt Romney. Then along came that wretched debate and Romney lied and now he’s ahead in the polls by a full percentage point. Today’s Real Clear Politics average has Romney at 48.2%, the president at 47.2%. Romney now has a lead of between 1 and 5 points in three polls, Obama...
  • The truth about the Ryan-Biden debate

    10/10/2012 1:37:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 9, 2012 | Dick Morris
    The vice presidential debate gives Paul Ryan a unique opportunity to explain Mitt Romney’s economic programs and ideas in front of a massive national audience. We will see Paul Ryan at his best. And that is very, very good. He is not just a vice presidential candidate. He is the author and intellectual founder of the modern Republican agenda. There can be no more profound and articulate a spokesman to defend and elaborate the Romney agenda to America. It is rare that the ideological and substantive creator of a public policy agenda gets to weigh in during a national public...
  • Confirmed: Big Bird ad a flop across the entire political spectrum (BigBird a Bain investor?)

    10/10/2012 12:48:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 10, 2012 | Ed Morrissey
    Put this another way. When your campaign strategy loses Matt Lauer, Chris Matthews Bob Shrum, and earns four Pinocchios from the Washington Post, where exactly does that leave you? In a fine, feathered mess, that’s where. Lauer interviewed Obama campaign adviser Robert Gibbs this morning on Today, and asked, “Is that the kind of political ad that a campaign releases when it feels that it has ideas and solutions on its side, or is that the kind of political ad a campaign releases when it simply wants to get attention?” As if on cue, Gibbs insists that Mitt Romney declared...
  • Democrats on edge amid Obama debate fallout

    10/10/2012 12:36:44 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    Yahoo! News / The Associated Press ^ | October 10, 2012 | Julie Pace
    It's more than President Barack Obama's lackluster debate performance that has some Democrats on edge a month from Election Day. Party loyalists, in Washington and in battleground states, are fretting that Obama's campaign has been slow to rebound after Republican Mitt Romney's commanding debate. They're worried that the Democratic ticket isn't aggressive enough in blocking Romney's post-debate pivot to the political center. And they fear Romney's new effort to show a softer side gives the Republican nominee an opening with female voters, who are crucial to the president's re-election prospects...
  • Romney will Win Ohio + The Election (Vanity)

    10/10/2012 9:53:22 AM PDT · by NY4Romney · 30 replies
    So everyone, I'm new here. Hated Obama in 2008 but wasn't crazy about McCain and knew he would lose anyway. This year I was supporting Romney more as an Anti-Obama vote until the debate - which has fired me up and actually made me as much pro-Romney as Anti-Obama (which I suspect is the case around the country). I'm also a huge statistics wonk, and I watch polls, trends, demographics, etc. Until the debate, I figured the election would be close and Obama would squeak out a win. Right now, though, I think that Obama will probably lose and here's...
  • US House Chat

    10/09/2012 7:21:50 PM PDT · by scrabblehack · 15 replies
    10/9/2012 | self
    You can't believe polls any more, especially those conducted at the CD level. Also we're not in a position to conduct one. So let's look at past results, primaries, funding levels, maybe even economic indicators (local unemployment rate, etc.) to get a grasp on the next Congress.
  • Romney Jumps to Lead in Another Poll

    10/09/2012 6:30:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    PJ Tatler ^ | October 9, 2012 | Bryan Preston
    Whoa. Public Policy Polling sometimes acts like Public Policy Trolling. Tom Jensen’s outfit will publish polls that are not just outliers from other polls, they can be outliers from our realm in the time-space continuum. They had Obama leading Rick Perry in Texas, at the height of Perry’s presidential buzz last year, for instance, and PPP’s polls tend to lean more left than other polls. I bring all of that up, to drop this hammer on you. Mitt Romney has overtaken President Obama in a Public Policy Polling survey released on Tuesday. Romney won 49 percent support from likely voters...
  • Romney Targets Obama Voters-As Polls Show Tighter Race, Gov. Tries to Peel Supporters From Pres.

    10/09/2012 5:08:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The Wall Street Journal ^ | October 9, 2012 | Colleen McCain Nelson and Patrick O'Connor
    With new polls showing his campaign gaining momentum, Mitt Romney is venturing into what might be viewed as unfriendly territory, visiting counties in swing states that voted for President Barack Obama in 2008 and urging the president's supporters to switch sides. The strategy is crucial to the Republican nominee: With the pool of undecided voters now small, Mr. Romney's best path to building a majority includes stripping Mr. Obama of some of his more tentative supporters. "I'd like you to go out and find one person who voted for Barack Obama, or maybe two or three or four or five,...
  • Inside the campaign: The Romney rebellion (Mrs. Romney and Tagg change direction of campaign)

    10/09/2012 2:11:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The Politico ^ | October 9, 2012 | Mike Allen and Jim VandeHei
    For months, Ann Romney and her eldest son, Tagg, were dutifully supportive of the political professionals running Mitt Romney’s campaign. All the while, their private frustration was mounting. Shortly before the first debate, it finally boiled over. What followed was a family intervention. The candidate’s family prevailed on Mitt Romney, and the campaign operation, to shake things up dramatically, according to campaign insiders. The family pushed for a new message, putting an emphasis on a softer and more moderate image for the GOP nominee — a “let Mitt be Mitt” approach they believed more accurately reflected the looser, generous and...
  • It's Important To Understand Why Romney Won

    10/08/2012 10:16:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Townhall ^ | October 9, 2012 | Dennis Prager
    Understanding why Mitt Romney so decisively won the first presidential debate is as important as the fact that he did. Why? Because once we know the reasons, almost everything about President Barack Obama and this election becomes clear. First, Obama lost because he, like virtually the entire left, lives in a left-wing bubble. Left-wing academics live in this bubble. There is no greater uniformity of thought than at our universities; their much-ballyhooed commitment to diversity is about race and ethnicity, not about ideas. So, too, the great majority of news media people live in the same bubble, the left-wing herd...
  • Romney’s trouncing of Obama in debate sets Gallup record: 52 points

    10/08/2012 4:40:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 8, 2012 | Howard Portnoy
    The flood of excuses for why the president performed as abysmally as he did in the first presidential debate last Wednesday has risen up to the firmament … of higher education. In The New Yorker’s now-infamous cover story—the illustration for which shows the debate stage with an empty chair at Obama’s lectern—editor David Remnick samples the opinions of “Obama’s old friends” from academe (h/t James Taranto). Included are Harvard law professor Laurence Tribe and another teacher, Christopher Edley. Tribe explains Romney’s rout of Obama by insisting that the president’s “instincts and talents have never included going for an opponent’s jugular....
  • EXCLUSIVE POLL: Romney narrows gap on Obama in Michigan

    10/08/2012 3:41:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    WXYZ-TV ^ | October 8, 2012 | Chuck Stokes
    Once again, the campaign for US President is a horse race in the battleground state of Michigan! The momentum has now shifted to former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney because of his winning performance in the first of three scheduled debates against President Barack Obama. In September, the momentum was behind the President after he received a big boost from the Democratic National Convention. In a new and exclusive poll for WXYZ, the Detroit Free Press, and our statewide media partners, 48 percent say they would vote for Democrat Obama if the election were held today. Forty-five percent of the 600...