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Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead (49-47) Politico/Battleground Tracking Poll Romney 49 Obama 47 "Mitt Romney has taken a narrow national lead, tightened the gender gap and expanded his edge over President Barack Obama on who would best grow the economy."
  • Here Come The Other States

    10/21/2012 9:59:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies ^ | October 19, 2012 | Dick Morris
    While all national attention is focused — indeed riveted — on the seven to nine swing or battleground states, a major shift is taking place in the rest of the country: Voters are turning off Obama and onto Romney. In the forty states where the Obama campaign has not spread toxic negative ads against Romney, the Republican is gaining by leaps and bounds and will likely carry a bunch of “non-swing” normally blue states. Specifically, Romney is now three points ahead in Pennsylvania, one point behind in Michigan, and only two points behind in Wisconsin and Minnesota. Together, these four...
  • Election Night Surprise: Why Minnesota Will Turn Red on November 6

    10/21/2012 6:26:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Battleground Watch ^ | October 19, 2012 | Keith Backer
    Minnesota has crept into the news cycle recently with senior campaign surrogates stumping in the state and campaign dollars flowing to a state once thought out of reach for Republicans this cycle. I received a lot of push-back over my conclusion regarding Minnesota’s competitiveness based on Rochester, Minnesota being a top 10 ad market this week. Upon closer inspection, however, the evidence keeps piling up that the Land of 10,000 Lakes should be on everyone’s radar for an election night surprise. The latest is a poll released yesterday from SurveyUSA gives President Obama a 10-point lead over Mitt Romney, 50...
  • Mitt Romney likely win in November indicated by latest polls

    10/21/2012 3:56:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Examiner ^ | October 21, 2012 | Dean Chambers
    If the election were held today Mitt Romney would win 321 electoral votes while Barack Obama would win in states worth 217 electoral votes according to the latest polling data available today. The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Daily Tracking poll released today shows President Obama leading over Mitt Romney by a 49 percent to 47 percent margin. The new Gallup Tracking poll released today shows Romney leading 52 percent to 45 percent. Today's release of the QStarNews Daily Tracking Poll shows a 52 percent to 41 percent lead for Mitt Romney. These are the most accurate and least skewed polls among...
  • Hold On, Obama Still Has 1 More Debate ("Everyone seems to agree that Obama had a pretty good week")

    10/21/2012 2:06:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Root ^ | October 19, 2012 | Keli Goff
    Everyone seems to agree that President Obama had a pretty good week. His debate performance on Tuesday night was a vast improvement over his performance in the previous debate, but he still has a tough road ahead in regaining some of the ground the polls indicate he lost with voters. So below are the five things he needs to do in the next debate, and in the weeks to come, if he is serious about remaining in the White House. 1. Win Back Women President Obama held a comfortable lead with women voters for much of the general election campaign....
  • It’s Romney’s Race to Lose: Here's how the Republican can close the sale...

    10/20/2012 2:08:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    PJ Media ^ | October 19, 2012 | Rick Moran
    With less than three weeks to go until the election, both camps are on edge, hoping not to make a fatal misstep while praying their opponent stumbles. At this point, gaffe recovery would be problematic and the unfortunate candidate who shoots himself in the foot may think seriously of finishing the job by aiming the gun to his head. You can smell the desperation in the crazy attacks mounted by both campaigns and their thousands of surrogates on the web and social media in the last 72 hours. Romney’s “binder”comment was inexplicably seized upon by Obama and his twitterites and...
  • IBD/TIPP Poll - Is it Credible?

    10/20/2012 1:32:29 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 49 replies
    The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows Obama up 3, 47 to 44 (though that's due to rounding, it's actually only Obama up 2.6%). Now, both sides love to discredit any poll that doesn't look good for them: look at how the left is freaking out about the "outlier" of a Gallup poll. I don't do that..I've seen many polls that look bad for Romney that I actually find believable once looking at the internals. I never discredit a poll just because I don't like it - I just call it like I see it. Having said that... The IBD/TIPP poll is...
  • Polls Sample

    10/20/2012 8:54:20 AM PDT · by Massimo75 · 19 replies
    Hi everybody! My name is Massimo and I am from Italy. I have one of the very few GOP Oriented political blog in Italy (which you can find here, but being all in italian I doubt it can be an interesting reading for you whatsoever! I'd like to share some thought on the polls sample. Recently some polls showed Obama ahead by 2-3 points (IBD/TIPP Tracking, Hartford Courant/UConn, ABC News/Wash Post), they keep Obama up in the RCP average but they all have a sample with way more democrats than they should. Dem +7 or Dem+9 would be comparable...
  • Poll: Romney now leads by one in New Hampshire — and Iowa

    10/19/2012 6:36:39 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 19, 2012 | Allahpundi
    Yes, yes, I know, this comes from Kos’s pollster. What can I say? If the left can cling bitterly to Rasmussen as a bulwark against terrible numbers from Gallup, I can cling to this. RCP’s average already had New Hampshire within a point so the new PPP number there isn’t news. The Iowa number is. This is the first poll in a month showing Romney ahead in the state, notwithstanding his blockbuster debate two weeks ago. NBC’s poll last night, in fact, had O up by eight points in Iowa, a ridiculous figure given that Obama’s worried enough to have...
  • Romney Up in RCP "No Toss up" Map

    10/19/2012 8:20:57 AM PDT · by NY4Romney · 7 replies
    Recently, we were very excited when Romney finally took a lead in the RCP map, 206 to 201. That's a huge step, and today the RCP made another positive change for us! Romney has now gained Virginia in the "no toss up" map, making it 281 Obama to 257 Romney. For comparison, as recently as TWO WEEKS ago, the no toss up map was Obama 347 to Romney 191. That's a HUGE, HUGE change this close to the election, and the momentum is clearly with us, with a state changing from Obama to Romney every few days. We are just...
  • Bob Beckel: If Gallup numbers are correct, ‘It’s over’

    10/18/2012 8:41:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 18, 2012 | Jeff Poor
    (VIDEO AT LINK) Thursday’s Gallup tracking poll giving Republican nominee Mitt Romney a seven-point lead over President Barack Obama sent shock waves throughout the political world. It also may have dampened the outlook of a few Democrats just weeks before the presidential election. On Fox News Channel’s “The Five” on Thursday, Bob Beckel, the show’s lone liberal, said the election is over if the poll is accurate. “If I were looking at the numbers and managing the campaign, I would be upset,” Beckel said. “I’m not sure panic. But if the numbers are correct, it’s over. It is over. So,...
  • Why Race Is Moving Towards Romney: That 1st Debate Made American People Realize Obama's A Screw-up

    10/18/2012 2:57:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Right Wing News ^ | October 18, 2012 | John Hawkins
    Political junkies — and you are almost certainly one of them if you’re reading this post — pay close attention to politics. Most Americans don’t. They may read the paper and watch the nightly news, but they don’t have a deep understanding of what’s going on in the country because those outlets don’t provide that any more. Sure, if you read the New York Times and watch CNN every night, you may get what’s happening in the country in a broad sense, but compared to the sort of people who read blogs and listen to talk radio, your knowledge level...
  • A Note on the Gallup Poll

    10/18/2012 2:41:45 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 12 replies
    Just a quick note on the latest Gallup Poll showing Romney up 52 to 45 over Obama, which I want everyone to consider as Zero's disciples keep insisting the debate bump is coming: The poll is a 7 day rolling average. Today's poll now has one day of post-debate polling in it and Romney went UP one point. Before you shrug it off as "just one point" consider how high Romney already was. With the 7 day tracking poll, each day's results only count as 1/7 of the overall average, and Romney was already at 51 percent. So today, one...
  • Romney takes his first Electoral College lead

    10/18/2012 1:12:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 18, 2012 | Howard Portnoy
    Since the debate on Tuesday, which many analysts ceded to President Obama, mainly on strength of his having shown up, the term comeback kid has been getting play among liberal pundits. Yet, this afternoon’s Real Clear Politics Electoral Map suggests goaway kid (or maybe just, “Go away, kid!”) is a more fitting description. The map for the first time gives challenger Mitt Romney a lead of 206 to 201 over Obama in Electoral College votes. Strikingly, the map has Florida (with 29 Electoral votes), Michigan (with 16), Ohio (with 18), Pennsylvania (with 20), Virginia (with 13), and Wisconsin (with 10)...
  • Romney gains a point post-debate in Gallup, up 7 (So much for Re-Energized Barack Obama)

    10/18/2012 12:19:46 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 18, 2012 | Ed Morrissey
    So much for Re-Energized Barack Obama. Gallup’s seven-day tracking poll picked up its first post-debate day of polling — and Mitt Romney added a point to his lead among likely voters. He’s now up 52-45. Obama did pick up a point among registered voters, but still trails by a point, 48/47. He also went from +4 to +6 on his job approval among all adults, now at 50/44, but that isn’t helping much among likely voters, as the rolling average shows. When Romney took a six-point lead in yesterday’s tracking poll results, Washington Post analyst Aaron Blake cautioned to wait...
  • Early Vote Looking Good in Iowa

    10/18/2012 7:52:15 AM PDT · by NY4Romney · 5 replies
    On October 15th, the Washington Post did on article on early voting in Iowa and how it is "looking good for democrats." They explained that of all ballots cast, it's 53% democrat and 28% republican - a 25% lead. In 2008, democrats won the early vote by 18% Now, today, only 3 days later, the Iowa Secretary of State reports of ballots cast, it is now 49% democrat and 30% Republican. That's a SIX POINT swing in just 3 days. Furthermore, the ballots "requested" is 46% to 31%. A report from Politico yesterday said this: "Republican voters’ requests for ballots...
  • PPP sees no Obama Bounce post debate

    10/17/2012 8:39:05 PM PDT · by NY4Romney · 37 replies
    Just saw this tweet from public policy polling: Not seeing anything in our polls tonight to suggest a big shift back toward Obama- think things will go on similar to how they have been Great news for Romney - the American people are smart enough to see who won despite the MSMs lies
  • Report: Obama campaign turning grim on Florida, Virginia, North Carolina — and Colorado?

    10/17/2012 3:12:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 17, 2012 | Allahpundit
    You need to read way, way, way down into this National Journal piece to find the key bit, but it’s worth it. Says Jay Cost, “I’ve never seen anybody bury a lede like Major Garrett here.” Let’s bring this treasure chest up to the surface: What also became clear after the dust began to settle from the rumble on Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obama’s team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss...
  • A new, improved Barack Obama shows up for the second debate but fails to halt Mitt Romney's momentum

    10/17/2012 11:06:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | October 17, 2012 | Toby Harnden
    President Barack Obama needed a game-changing night here in Hampstead, New York and Mitt Romney made sure he didn't get it. Over the 90 minutes, Obama might have edged it - just - but strategically he did little if anything to blunt Romney's growing advantage. Just as Al Gore over-compensated for his poor first debate in 2000, we saw a completely different Obama this time around. He had clearly had some intensive coaching from his debate prep team and was acting under orders to do change everything. Romney strategist Stuart Stevens quipped afterwards that he became 'Joe Biden without the...
  • The Debate Romney Won: Strong moments on key issues

    10/17/2012 10:45:19 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 3 replies
    BuzzFeed ^ | October 17, 2012 | McKay Coppins and Zeke Miller
    HEMPSTEAD, N.Y. — Bullish Democrats are calling it a blow-out. Pundits are giving the president the slight edge. And the late-night insta-polls splashed across cable news chyrons initially appeared to give Obama a solid, if not game-changing, win. But the Romney campaign spent the hours after the contest contending that the debate strengthened their position — and they may have a point. A CNN/ORC International poll published late Tuesday identified Obama has the overall winner, 46 percent to 39 percent. But the poll also showed that Romney won on virtually every issue he's chosen to place at the center of...