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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Trump would beat Elizabeth Warren in hypothetical 2020 presidential election, poll shows

    02/15/2017 8:55:44 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The New York Daily News ^ | February 15, 2017 | Adam Edelman
    President Trump would beat Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-.Mass) in a hypothetical presidential election matchup but would lose to a generic Democrat, a new poll out Wednesday showed. Trump would defeat Warren, a darling of the left-wing of the Democratic Party, 42%-36%, the latest Morning Consult / Politico poll showed. But Trump would lose to a "generic Democratic candidate" 43%-35%, indicating substantial vulnerability amid the ongoing controversy surrounding the relationship top Trump aides have had with Russian operatives....
  • Vanity - 2018......Democrat or Republican!!!

    02/13/2017 8:21:50 AM PST · by JLAGRAYFOX · 6 replies
    In June, 2015, as Donald J. Trump jumped into the POTUS race, I sent an e-mail a long time friend of mine, who happens to be one of the top pollster pundits in the USA, telling him to not to jump onto the Hillary Clinton bandwagon, because the Democrats have lost the blue collar vote and are losing the African-American vote with every passing day!!! In detail, I outlined that Trump would win easily, even with the massive illegal voting by Obama/Clinton & the Democrat Party. Of course he did not heed my input and began mocking DJT, as did...
  • The dirty secret smart Democrats know (but won't admit) about Trump

    02/12/2017 7:42:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    Fox News Opinion ^ | February 13, 2017 | Douglas E. Schoen, Democratic pollster and consultant
    President Trump's shocking victory in November and the tumultuous beginning of his presidency have shattered many assumptions about American politics. For many liberals and progressives, the weeks since Donald Trump’s inauguration have been filled with soul-searching and even confusion about their place in American politics. Trump’s flurry of executive orders, coming in quick succession on matters ranging from federal employment and immigration to reorganizing the National Security Council, have driven deep division within the Democratic party. The reaction to Trump’s action have pitted pragmatic, center-left politicians against protesting activists forming “The Resistance.” Many Democratic disagreements with Trump’s executive orders are...
  • Protests didn’t hurt Reagan, and they’re not going to stop Trump

    02/08/2017 7:01:19 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    The Washington Post's PostEverything ^ | February 8, 2017 | Julian Zelizer
    Is President Trump in the process of imploding? Some see reason to think so. Given the major fallout over his travel ban, ranging from the spontaneous protests that have broken out worldwide to a federal judge ruling that the ban needed to be stopped, it seems as though Trump is struggling. Over the past few days, many commentators have pointed to the president’s abysmally low approval ratings, with 53 percent of Americans unhappy with the way that he has handled the job, as evidence that his power may be vastly limited by his unpopularity. With Trump madly (and impotently) tweeting...
  • Donald Trump might be more popular than you think

    02/03/2017 9:11:07 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 3, 2017 | Steven Shepard
    Once again, there's evidence suggesting traditional polls aren't accurately measuring support for the president and his policies. Just how popular is Donald Trump? Two weeks into the new president’s term, it’s a matter of some dispute. Traditional phone polls that use live interviewers — including some of the most trusted polls in politics and media — report limited support for Trump and the controversial executive orders he’s signed. But automated phone and Internet-based surveys tell a different story. Once the element of anonymity is added, the president’s approval ratings suddenly look a lot better. It’s reigniting the campaign debate over...
  • Poll Shows Only 33 Percent Oppose Trump's Temporary Ban on Immigrants From Terrorist Havens

    01/30/2017 3:11:56 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    PJ Media ^ | January 30, 2017 | Debra Heine
    A poll taken late last week shows that a majority of likely voters approve of President Trump’s temporary halt to refugees and visitors from seven Middle Eastern and African countries. Via Rasmussen: A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters favor a temporary ban on refugees from Syria, Iraq, Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen until the federal government approves its ability to screen out potential terrorists form coming here. Thirty-three percent (33%) are opposed, while 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Similarly, 56% favor a temporary block...
  • Trump Is Doing What He Said He’d Do

    01/30/2017 8:49:29 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | January 29, 2017 | Nate Silver, founder and editor in chief
    It’s up against some stiff competition, but there’s a runaway front-runner in the “wrongest idea of 2016” derby. It’s the aphorism, once fashionable on the morning-talk show circuit, that the media mistakenly took Donald Trump “literally but not seriously,” when they should have taken him “seriously but not literally,” as Trump’s supporters did. If the idea is that the media should have taken Trump more seriously, then I’d emphatically agree. But it turns out that they probably ought to have taken him literally too. It’s been an exceptionally busy first 10 days in office for President Trump, culminating in an...
  • That Was Fast: Trump Surges to 59% Approval, Angry Left Hardest Hit

    01/29/2017 11:13:17 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    Jammie Wearing Fools ^ | January 26, 2017
    We’re so old we remember the left kvelling that he had a poor approval rating just last week. My, how quickly things changed. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 59% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-one percent (41%) disapprove. The latest figures include 44% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 31% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of +13 (see trends). In the latest of this week’s executive orders, Trump has begun a crackdown on illegal immigration, adding thousands of Border...
  • Early lessons of the Trump whirlwind

    01/27/2017 4:49:32 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 1 replies
    The Week ^ | January 27, 2017 | W. James Antle III
    We're just a week into Donald Trump's presidency. But already, you can see how this brand of politics could wind up being a viable model for future Republican majorities — or a Pyrrhic victory for the GOP. Trumpism is potentially very popular. A Morning Consult poll taken after the president's inaugural address found voters responding favorably to his "America First" message (taken both literally and seriously, without the phrase's historical baggage). When Trump said, "From this moment on, it's going to be America first. Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs, will be made to benefit...
  • Poll: Voters liked Trump’s ‘America first’ address

    01/25/2017 4:20:27 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Politico ^ | January 25, 2017 | Jake Sherman
    Dark. Negative. Divisive. That's was the immediate narrative about President Donald Trump's inaugural address. But many Americans liked it. . . A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows that the new president’s message is resonating with voters, refuting the idea that Trump bungled his first speech as commander in chief. Trump got relatively high marks on his Friday address, with 49 percent of those who watched or heard about the speech saying it was excellent or good, and just 39 percent rating it as only fair or poor. Sixty-five percent of those surveyed reacted positively to the “America First” message, the...
  • Sorry, Liberals. Bigotry Didn’t Elect Donald Trump.

    12/26/2016 6:23:17 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The New York Times ^ | December 26, 2016 | David Paul Kuhn
    Donald J. Trump won the white working-class vote over Hillary Clinton by a larger margin than any major-party nominee since World War II. Instead of this considerable achievement inspiring introspection, figures from the heights of journalism, entertainment, literature and the Clinton campaign continue to suggest that Mr. Trump won the presidency by appealing to the bigotry of his supporters. As Bill Clinton recently said, the one thing Mr. Trump knows “is how to get angry white men to vote for him.” This stereotyping of Trump voters is not only illiberal, it falsely presumes Mr. Trump won because of his worst...
  • Hillary Clinton Really Shouldn’t Have Told Voters That Trump Wasn’t a Normal Republican

    12/23/2016 1:42:11 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    New York Magazine ^ | December 23, 2016 | Eric Levitz
    Hillary Clinton spent much of last summer arguing that Ronald Reagan would never vote for Donald Trump. At the Democratic National Convention, a series of speakers — including Barack Obama — argued that the patron saint of the conservative movement would recoil at Trump’s authoritarian ethos. At a September press conference, the Democratic nominee suggested that the Gipper would be incensed to see the Republican nominee praise Vladimir Putin while disparaging the American president. One of her super-PACs’ final campaign ads cast Reagan’s ghost as a Clinton surrogate. The point of all this nostalgia for the man who killed off...
  • Why Hillary Clinton is still losing supporters

    12/23/2016 1:53:35 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The New York Post ^ | December 21, 2016 | Salena Zito
    ROCKVILLE, Md. — Democrats’ belief that new information revealed after Donald Trump’s election — as when the reports of Russian interference spurred calls on the left for a revote or, failing that, for “faithless” electors to abandon Trump — would change voters’ minds has taken another hit. A Pew Research survey Wednesday showed a whopping 97 percent of all voters would cast the exact same vote they did on Election Day, including 99 percent of Trump voters and 96 percent of Clinton voters. As with the recount that saw Clinton lose votes and the Electoral College vote that saw her...
  • From Captive Audience to Open Democracy

    12/11/2016 9:26:14 PM PST · by Darch · 4 replies
    OF TWO MINDS ^ | 12-12-2016 | Charles Hugh Smity
    "In a democracy, trust must be earned. It cannot be imposed. The days of captive audiences are over. The monopoly on "news" and propaganda has been broken for good." "Here's The Washington Post's criminally false "fake news" article in case you missed it: Russian propaganda effort helped spread ‘fake news’ during election, experts say."
  • The most satisfying Trump video ever

    12/09/2016 7:09:25 PM PST · by entropy12 · 29 replies
    youtube ^ | Nov 28, 2016 | Trump fan network
    The most satisfying Trump video ever
  • Trump's favorability surges one month after election

    12/06/2016 7:53:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | December 6, 2016 | Gabby Morrongiello
    President-elect Trump's favorability rating has increased significantly since his victory last month, and most voters now believe the incoming Republican president will deliver on his promises to reform healthcare and other issues, a new poll shows. Forty-five percent of voters in the latest George Washington University battleground poll said they have a positive opinion of the president-elect, marking a 9-point increase from mid-October. The percentage of voters who continue to view Trump negatively has declined 12 percentage points – 61 to 49 percent – in the same period. Defeated Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton, who recently joined the Green Party-led...
  • New Yorkers Seem To Be Warming Up To Donald Trump

    12/05/2016 1:07:30 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Huffington Post Politics ^ | December 5, 2016 | Nick Bayer, pollster fellow
    President-elect Donald Trump has become more popular among New York voters since his stunning win on election night, according to a Siena College poll released Monday. Forty-one percent of voters in the state now hold a favorable opinion of the president-elect ― the highest ever favorable rating in any Siena poll of New York. Trump’s favorable rating is 7 points higher now than it was when the college conducted its last poll just before Election Day. Likewise, his unfavorable rating has dropped by 10 percent in the same period, from 63 to 53 percent. Trump lost the largely Democratic state...
  • Trump's victory: the night a machine predicted humans better than the humans

    11/22/2016 1:45:30 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    Campaign ^ | November 9, 2016 | Lisa De Bonis
    President Donald Trump. It's fair to say pollsters, political commentators and experts on both sides of the Atlantic didn't believe they would ever see that. And neither did I. If you listened to us all on the airwaves it was clear that most believed common sense would prevail and prevent someone so polarising and unpredictable being elected to the most powerful office in the world. But there was one expert in a TV studio that, if it had had a voice, would have been saying something like "I told you so". EagleAi was designed and built by Havas for ITV...
  • Trump pollster: Trump won because he was slightly behind

    11/13/2016 12:48:55 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 27 replies
    The Hill ^ | November 13, 2016 | Nikita Vladimirov
    John McLaughlin, a pollster for Donald Trump, on Sunday partly attributed the businessman's win in the presidential election to polls that showed him behind for most of the campaign. McLaughlin compared Trump's victory to the come-from-behind campaign of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last year, saying there were a number of similarities between the races. "We don't want to be ahead. Because if we are ahead, all of the sudden the psychology changes, the media focus attack on us even more so than they were doing," McLaughlin said in an interview with radio host John Catsimatidis. "But there is an...
  • United States presidential election, 2016

    11/12/2016 9:01:05 AM PST · by BlueStateRightist · 3 replies
    Wikipedia ^ | November 12, 2016 | Wikipedia
    Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. The voter survey is based on questionnaires completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on Election Day including 4,398 telephone interviews with early and absentee voters.
  • U.S. voters want leader to end advantage of rich and powerful: Reuters/Ipsos poll

    11/11/2016 8:19:25 PM PST · by Lorianne · 8 replies
    Reuters ^ | 08 November 2016 | Chris Kahn
    Americans who had cast their votes for the next president early on Tuesday appeared to be worried about the direction of the country, and were looking for a "strong leader who can take the country back from the rich and powerful," according to an early reading from the Reuters/Ipsos national Election Day poll. The poll of more than 10,000 people who have already cast their ballots in the presidential election showed a majority of voters are worried about their ability to get ahead and have little confidence in political parties or the media to improve their situation. A majority also...
  • Reminder -- Donald Trump has phone number and website to report voter fraud

    11/08/2016 6:49:24 AM PST · by grey_whiskers · 6 replies
    Mike Roman on Twitter ^ | Nov 8 2016 | Mike Roman
    Click the link or first comment. Print it out before you go to the polls.Make AMERICA Great Again!
  • Latest Florida Polls: Donald Trump Closer to POTUS, According To Recent Numbers

    11/07/2016 8:27:55 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The Inquisitr ^ | November 7, 2016 | Effie Orfanides
    The latest Florida polls show Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in a dead heat just one day before the general election. According to CBS News, the presidential nominees are tied in Ohio and in Florida, two key battleground states that will help determine who becomes the next POTUS. Trump has trailed previously in these states, though not by much, but the latest polls indicate that both states could end up going red on Tuesday. “In Ohio and Florida the races are tight and the trend line is toward Donald Trump. Trump has the narrowest of leads — up one point...
  • Trump Makes Huge Gains With Women Voters In New Poll

    11/07/2016 8:07:26 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | November 7, 2016 | Phillip Stucky
    Republican nominee Donald Trump is leading over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by two points, according to the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) national poll published Monday. Trump’s reversal is due primarily to his increasing support from women voters. Clinton still leads among women 43 percent, but Trump overcame a double-digit deficit in the poll, and is only trailing 3 points behind the Democratic nominee. Clinton lost one point, bring her down to 42 percent in Sunday’s poll, while Trump remained stable at 43 percent in the daily tracking poll. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned 6 percent of the vote, and Green...
  • Clinton's support is wide, while Trump's is deep

    11/06/2016 7:04:38 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette ^ | November 6, 2016 | Chris Potter
    Eva Resnick-Day had seen Hillary Clinton campaigning before. At a political event in March, the environmental activist had a sharp, if brief, exchange with the Democratic presidential nominee over campaign support from the fossil-fuel industry. But when Ms. Clinton held a rally at Heinz Field on Friday Ms. Resnick-Day was there as a supporter. “The window to act on climate change is so narrow,” she said. And unlike Republican Donald Trump, Ms. Clinton hasn’t dismissed climate change as a hoax. “Having a climate-change denier as president is unacceptable,” Ms. Resnick-Day said. Activists like Ms. Resnick-Day, along with black voters and...
  • In Florida, Trump in Far Better Shape Than Romney Before Election Day; Clinton Lags Obama

    11/06/2016 6:44:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    People's Pundit Daily ^ | November 6, 2016 | Richard D. Baris
    Reading the Early Vote Can Be Screwy, But in Florida the Trump Camp Has Reason to Be Optimistic Compared to 2012, early voting indicates Donald Trump heads into Election Day in far better shape than Mitt Romney, while Hillary Clinton lags Barack Obama. We have cautioned our readers not to read too much into early and absentee ballot returns–the reasons why were laid out by Sean Trende at RCP–but since the media made such a splash about the “surge” in Hispanic voting in Florida on Saturday we feel the need to shine some light during what has become the Dark...
  • The “experts” aren’t quite as certain of a Clinton presidency this weekend

    11/06/2016 12:45:39 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Hot Air ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jazz Shaw
    Are the expert election prognosticators seeing some signs in the chicken entrails which tell them that Donald Trump actually has a chance of being elected? I mean, only three weeks ago Charlie Cook was literally saying that the race was over. Clinton had not only already won, but she was probably going to have a landslide of historic proportions. But now, in the final 48 hours, some folks are changing their tune… at least a bit. (Washington Post) With hours until Election Day, the wildest U.S. presidential race in memory has grown more competitive in most of the battleground states,...
  • Nate Silver: Clinton one state away from losing Electoral College

    11/06/2016 11:14:34 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 98 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jessie Hellman
    Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said Sunday. While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position," the pollster said on ABC's "This Week." "The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago," Silver said. Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama's victories in 2008 and 2012. Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio....
  • The Donald is rushed off the stage by Secret Service while speaking during Reno rally...

    11/05/2016 9:51:40 PM PDT · by Darch · 86 replies ^ | Nov 5, 2016 | David Martosko
    Trump had spotted the protester and claimed he was a Hillary Clinton supporter before asking security to 'take him out.' Secret Service grabbed Trump and rush him off stage to the side, while the protester with possible gun was tackled to ground by security and attendees.
  • Richard Baris (pollster People's Pundit Daily) on Don Smith show

    11/05/2016 9:52:11 AM PDT · by LS · 17 replies
    Don Smith Show ^ | 11/5/2016 | Self
    Very interesting interview: 1) FL closing because of late-breaking Hispanics, Trump wins 2) NC gone. "Privately Hillary's people tell me they know NC is out of reach." 3) NV close, "Busloads of Hispanics coming in, we have it very close, but Trump getting more Hispanics than anyone realizes and is winning indies there" (forget his number) 4) Overall he said Trump was +7 with indies 5) MI "VERY close. Very close. Trump 2:1 with indies there, black vote down." 6) PA "Depends on black turnout. Blacks don't seem "stoked about voting" but may vote. Trump will win whites, indies. 7)...
  • Trump Shows Early-Vote Strength in Ohio, Iowa in Final Days

    11/04/2016 9:04:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    Bloomberg Politics | November 4, 2016 | Mark Niquette and John McCormick
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • What If The First Few Swing States Go To Trump By An Eight To Fifteen Point Margin?

    11/04/2016 4:08:00 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 62 replies
    A definite and early sign that Trump will win will be the gap in the first few states that call in their totals. Lets say its Iowa,Indiana,South Carolina,Michigan and one more in middle America. Trump wins all of them handily,either a 65/35 or 60/40 clear victory. This would prove what we have all been suspicious of regarding the skewed polls. ABC and CNN in particular will lose all credibility.
  • NATE SILVER: 'There’s been a potential breach' of Hillary Clinton's 'electoral firewall'

    11/04/2016 2:57:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 83 replies
    Business Insider ^ | November 4, 2016 | Oliver Darcy
    Renowned statistician Nate Silver warned Friday that new polling could indicate trouble for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 race for the White House enters its final days. “There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall,” Silver wrote on his data-journalism publication, FiveThirtyEight. Silver was referring to the so-called blue wall — states that have reliably voted for Democrats in the past several election cycles — and other states which have solidly been in Clinton’s court throughout the cycle. Specifically, Silver pointed to New Hampshire where polls have increasingly narrowed. Three polls released on Thursday showed Donald Trump at...
  • Good Reference Source Heading Into the Final Weekend

    11/04/2016 9:44:55 AM PDT · by Darch
    Good reference source heading into the final weekend leading into the Presidential Election
  • Donald Trump has never been closer to the presidency than he is at this moment

    11/03/2016 2:59:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | November 3, 2016 | Philip Bump
    If the polls closed right at this moment (which they won't) and if the results in each state perfectly mirrored the current RealClearPolitics average of polls in each state (which they won't), Hillary Clinton would be elected president by an electoral college margin of 8 votes. From her high in the polls a week or two ago, Clinton's leads in a number of critical battleground states have collapsed or evaporated entirely. The election could come down to one state with four electoral college votes that flips from Clinton to Donald Trump and, boom: A 269-269 electoral college tie, and a...
  • Independents leaning toward Trump in polls after FBI furor erupts

    11/03/2016 11:23:06 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    McCatchy DC ^ | November 3, 2016 | David Lightman
    The furor over the FBI probe of Hillary Clinton’s emails is helping Donald Trump among independent voters in key swing states. In Wisconsin, a state that for months has been seen as safe Democratic turf, a new Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday found a shift in independent voters’ views. Many moved toward Trump after the FBI said Friday it was again probing Clinton’s use of a private email system for government business. In Florida, a new CNN/ORC survey of Florida voters had Clinton up 2 and Quinnipiac had her up 1. Trump was leading among independent voters, 46-40, Quinnipiac...
  • Trump edges ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire poll | Mitch McConnell’s strongest pro-Trump statement

    11/03/2016 10:35:44 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Market Watch ^ | November 3, 2016 | Robert Schroeder
    Donald Trump edges Hillary Clinton by just one point in New Hampshire with less than a week remaining before Election Day, a new poll finds. Trump beats Clinton 40% to 39%, in the latest survey of likely voters from WBUR. Clinton led Trump by three points in WBUR’s prior poll, on Oct. 12. The new survey was taken Saturday through Tuesday, after Federal Bureau of Investigation Director James Comey said the agency was examining new emails related to its probe of Clinton’s private server. Other New Hampshire polls, meanwhile, have given Clinton the lead, as the RealClearPolitics average shows. McConnell’s...
  • Trump Wins Exit Polls Among Israeli Absentee Voting

    11/03/2016 10:26:59 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    Townhall ^ | November 3, 2016 | Justin Holcomb
    According to the result of an exit poll taken among absentee voters in Israel, Donald Trump would better serve the interests of the Jewish nation rather than Hillary Clinton as president. Trump received 49% of the Israeli-American vote, while Clinton got 44%, according to the poll conducted by get-out-the-vote organization iVoteIsrael and KEEVOON Global Research. The poll found a split between the two major-party candidates in New York, New Jersey, California, and Maryland. However, the swing state of Florida went to Trump outright. The total number of votes coming from Israel, 30,000, is lower than the 80,000 who turned out...
  • Bombshell break for Trump buried in the latest Rasmussen poll

    11/03/2016 9:54:58 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    American Thinker ^ | November 3, 2016 | Thomas Lifson
    Late polling traditionally tightens in presidential races, as propagandistic polls with samples biased toward one candidate or another start to refine their models in order to be not too far off from the final vote counts. What is unusual, maybe even unprecedented, is the volume of negative feelings toward both leading candidates. This makes turnout even more crucial than usual, for there is an excellent chance that numbers of people will fail to rouse themselves sufficiently to vote for a candidate they are not terribly enthusiastic over. And that is why an item from this morning’s Rasmussen Reports is so...
  • Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?

    11/03/2016 9:42:26 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Vox ^ | November 3, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    If you’re a Democrat, the FiveThirtyEight forecast is probably making you feel anxious right about now. Just last week, Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning. But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president. Liberals have tried to comfort themselves with the knowledge that FiveThirtyEight is an outlier among the six major forecasts, and that the other five give Trump between a 16 percent and a sub-1 percent...
  • One of Hillary Clinton's worst fears comes true as black turnout drops

    11/02/2016 11:41:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Independent | November 2, 2016 | Adam Withnall
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • New CNN / ORC polls suggest new strength for Trump, Clinton rise in Florida

    11/02/2016 9:28:03 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | November 2, 2016 | Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
    Both the Clinton and Trump campaigns have hit the ground hard in Arizona, Florida, Nevada and Pennsylvania, and new CNN/ORC polls across the four states paint a picture of a tight race to the finish in critical battlegrounds. Clinton holds a 4-point edge among likely voters in the historically blue-tilting Pennsylvania, and Trump tops Clinton by 5 with voters in red-leaning Arizona. Though both states tilt in the same direction as their 2012 results, the leaders' margins are tighter than their predecessors' final leads were in each state. Florida appears to be as tight a contest as ever, with Clinton...
  • Hillary’s poll numbers vs. Trump drop in California following FBI director’s letter about emails

    11/01/2016 6:10:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Los Angeles Daily News ^ | November 1, 2016 | Todd Harmonson, The Orange County Register
    Hillary Clinton still is expected to beat Donald Trump in California easily, but the hit to her numbers in recent polling could raise some concerns for her nationally. In a poll conducted mostly after the revelation by FBI director James Comey about emails found on former Congressman Anthony Weiner’s computer, Clinton’s lead among independent California voters dropped from 25 percent to only 9 percent. And Clinton, who leads Trump by 17 percent among those who haven’t voted, has only a 21 percent lead overall in the state. That’s down from 26 percent in the previous poll conducted by SurveyUSA and...
  • New Arizona poll: Trump up 45-41 over Clinton, marijuana Prop. 205 down

    11/01/2016 4:22:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    The Phoenix Business Journal ^ | November 1, 2016 | Mike Sunnucks
    A new Arizona poll by Phoenix-based consulting firm Data Orbital gives Donald Trump a 45 percent to 41 percent lead over Hillary Clinton in their U.S. presidential battle. That is within the 550-person poll’s margin of error....
  • Whoa: New poll has Trump by seven in … North Carolina (T 51, C 44)

    11/01/2016 2:44:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    Hot Air ^ | November 1, 2016 | Allahpundit
    Should we succumb to the temptation to freak out about an individual poll, which data nerds tell us we must never do? Or should we calmly remind ourselves that the polling average is usually a more reliable indicator of the state of the race than any one survey is? C’mon, it’s the final week. We’re entitled to a little freaking out. SurveyUSA has it Trump 51, Clinton 44: Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while...
  • Poll: Trump gains on Clinton in NC (Less than 1% difference)

    11/01/2016 12:38:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 1, 2016 | Jonathan Swan
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is nibbling away at Hillary Clinton’s lead in North Carolina, according to a new poll. The race between Clinton and Trump is now too close to call in Elon University’s latest survey of North Carolina. The Democratic nominee leads Trump 42 percent to 41.2 percent, well within the poll’s margin of error of 3.7 percentage points. In last month's version of the poll, Clinton led Trump by nearly 6 points. This latest survey of 710 likely voters was conducted before FBI Director James Comey announced on Friday that the bureau is reviewing a newly discovered...
  • Shock poll puts Trump ahead

    11/01/2016 12:27:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | November 1, 2016 | Agence France-Presse
    An explosive new poll showed Donald Trump leading the race for the White House Tuesday, amid an avalanche of revelations and allegations a week before Election Day. An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll showed the Republican leading his rival Hillary Clinton 46-45 percent, with news of a renewed FBI probe apparently devouring the Democrat's long-held lead. Experts caution not to put too much stock in any one poll, especially one well within the statistical margin of error....
  • Hillary Clinton Fast Losing Advantage Over Donald Trump as Polls Tighten

    10/31/2016 10:15:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    News 18 ^ | November 1, 2016 | The Press Trust of India
    Following FBI's decision to reopen the emails probe against Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee appears to be fast loosing her advantage over her Republican rival Donald Trump, latest opinion polls showed on Monday. Two of the three polls, carried out after the FBI announced its decision on October 28 to reopen its probe into her alleged email scandal, showed Clinton leading Trump by three percentage points, while in another (IBD/TIPP), she is leading the real-estate mogul by just one percentage points. As per IBD/TIPP, considered to be the most accurate poll, Clinton has support of 45 per cent of...
  • No, the Election Isn’t Over

    10/31/2016 2:45:35 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    Richard Viguerie's Conservative HQ ^ | October 31, 2016 | George Rasley, Editor
    A week ago, the Hillary Clinton campaign and their news release readers in the establishment media were proclaiming the election was over, the polls were all trending her way and Election Day was merely a formality. Friday afternoon, after the news broke that the FBI was reopening the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s private email server after some 650,000 or more emails were found on a computer seized from her aide Huma Abedin's relation to the sexting investigation of Abedin’s husband, Anthony Weiner, grassroots conservatives and Trump supporters were proclaiming the election is over, the polls were all trending his way...
  • NH Poll: Trump Holds Slight Lead Over Clinton

    10/31/2016 9:14:35 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 31, 2016 | Kerry Picket
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has a slight lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire according to a newly released poll conducted by InsideSources and the NH Journal. According to the survey conducted between October 26 and 28, Trump holds a 1.7 point lead over Clinton showing him with 44.6 percent support to Clinton’s 42.9 percent. Third party candidates were included in this poll with Libertarian Gary Johnson garnering 4.4 percent, Green presidential candidate Jill Stein receiving 1.8 percent, and independent Evan McMullin at 0.9 percent. Additionally, 2.1 percent gave support to other candidates and 3.5 percent are...