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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • NYT: Clinton Campaign Implodes Against Trump

    05/29/2016 3:38:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    Breitbart ^ | May 28, 2016 | Staff
    AMY CHOZICK, ALEXANDER BURNS, and JONATHAN MARTIN write at the NY Times: Democrats could hardly believe their good fortune last month when it became clear that Hillary Clinton was headed to a general election showdown with Donald J. Trump. Mr. Trump carried so much baggage and had insulted so many voting blocs that some Clinton supporters began to imagine a landslide. But early optimism that this would be an easy race is evaporating. In the corridors of Congress, on airplane shuttles between New York and Washington, at donor gatherings and on conference calls, anxiety is spreading through the Democratic Party...
  • A bar bet on Trump’s appeal to African-Americans(Says Trump can reach 20% of black voters)

    05/29/2016 2:04:07 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The Atlanta Journal-Constitution ^ | May 28, 2016 | Jim Galloway
    If you had a decent history teacher in high school, you were taught that European democracies are slightly different from those in the Americas, both north and south. Democracies in this Western Hemisphere tend to be ethnic stews governed, with varying degrees of faithfulness, by constitutions and compacts. European democracies are built around nationalities — tribes of same-language peoples. A President Donald Trump and his “great again” appeals would push us closer toward the European model than we already are, his critics contend. If they’re right, a heightened season of racial tension could be in our Southern future. Some of...
  • US election: Why has Trump caught Clinton in the polls?

    05/26/2016 7:46:38 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The British Broadcasting Corporation ^ | May 24, 2016 | Anthony Zurcher, North American reporter
    For the first time in this long election campaign, Republican Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Democrat Hillary Clinton in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls. Mrs Clinton's double-digit lead, which she has held over the past several months, has vanished - and with it, apparently, Democrats' dreams of a transformational 2016 victory that would leave Republicans wandering the wilderness for a generation. What happened? A closer look at those poll numbers offers some clarity....
  • Latest polls have Democrats in a panic

    05/25/2016 5:19:05 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 27 replies
    The Sun Sentinel ^ | May 25, 2016 | Doyle McManus
    emocrats hoped this presidential election would be a cakewalk. In their eyes, the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, spent most of the spring alienating big chunks of the electorate, beginning with women. Meanwhile, the presumptive Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, has run a careful, well-funded, well-honed campaign. What could go wrong? And yet, in a spate of reputable surveys Trump has suddenly erased the advantage Clinton had held all year. The average of major polls compiled by the website RealClearPolitics shows the two candidates tied with 43 percent each. In at least three polls, Trump has even pulled ahead by a...
  • Why Bernie’s Crushing Trump (He hasn't been vetted)

    05/24/2016 8:05:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | May 23, 2016 | Michael Tomasky
    If Sanders were somehow able to beat Clinton, he’d be the least vetted, most vulnerable major-party nominee in American history. So Bernie’s still at it, telling George Stephanopoulos on Sunday that he thinks it’s not impossible for him to get 70 percent of the vote in every remaining state. Impossible. If anyone’s likely to hit 70 anywhere, it’s Hillary Clinton in Puerto Rico. Maybe Sanders can do it in the Dakotas, but even that seems ludicrous, because those states have primaries, not caucuses, and he’s never won a primary by that kind of margin except in his home state. But...
  • #BernieOrBust: Why 20 Percent of Sanders Supporters Say They Would Vote for Trump over Hillary

    05/24/2016 1:00:08 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    People Magazine ^ | May 23, 2016 | Tierney McAfee
    A new national poll suggests that Bernie Sanders' continued presence in the Democratic primary has damaged front-runner Hillary Clinton by helping close the gap between the former secretary of state and presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump. The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released Sunday shows that Clinton's lead over the billionaire businessman has shrunk to just three points, with the former first lady "weighed down by resistance from [a] significant chunk of Sanders supporters," as CNBC chief Washington correspondent John Harwood tweeted. Pollsters, too, have attributed Clinton's shrinking lead in part to resistance from Sanders supporters....
  • Top three reasons Donald Trump is surging in the polls right now

    05/24/2016 8:50:03 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    Yahoo! Finance ^ | May 24, 2016 | Jake Novak, CNBC
    Donald Trump 's surge in the polls isn't just the result of the usual bump presidential candidates historically enjoy after they sew up the primary battles and earn the "presumptive nominee" title. And it's also not just the result of Hillary Clinton 's mistakes, even though she is making some serious campaign errors right now. What has been happening over the last few weeks is that Trump has changed his attack and messaging in a subtle but effective way, so subtle that many pundits may have missed it. But here are the three things Trump is doing very well right...
  • Half Of West Virginia's Sanders Fans Would Vote Trump

    05/23/2016 7:51:24 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    Quadrangle ^ | May 24, 2016 | Otis Underwood
    In an email sent out on Wednesday, Bernie 2016 campaign manager Jeff Weaver declared plans to push for a contested convention in Philadelphia in July. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely Democratic Voters believe the Democratic Party should be more like Clinton, but 39% say it should be more like Sanders. He campaigned in OR and California on Tuesday and his victory in West Virginia highlighted anew Clinton's struggles to win over white men and independents - weaknesses Trump wants to exploit in the fall campaign. The split on the left comes after months...
  • ABC posts another poll showing Trump leading Clinton among registered voters

    05/22/2016 6:49:27 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Hot Air ^ | May 22, 2016 | Jazz Shaw
    In a recent editorial for Fox News, Wayne Allyn Root tried to explain why Hillary Clinton is sinking faster than the Titanic. It’s still far too early to say whether the Carpathia will arrive in time to pluck Hillary’s supporters out of the frigid waters, but yet another set of early indicators shows that this race is shaping up to be anything but the blowout that Trump’s detractors have been predicting from day one. ABC News and the Washington Post have posted a new set of numbers which are firming up the trend indicated in previous results we saw from...
  • The Case for Panicking (The Left is freaking out on new polls)

    05/19/2016 10:18:07 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 51 replies
    Slate ^ | May 19, 2016 | Isaac Chotiner
    On Wednesday afternoon, Fox News released a new national poll showing Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton, 45 to 42 percent, a 10-point swing since the previous Fox survey a month ago. The poll sparked a discussion on social media, which included the usual caveats: It’s just one poll (true); Trump is almost certainly not leading Clinton by three points (also true: the pollster.com average has her up three points); professional Democrats enjoy freaking out (undeniably true); and we still have months of campaigning (sadly true). Trump got a bump for essentially wrapping up the Republican nomination; Clinton, meanwhile, is still...
  • Trump Leads Hillary!,Well Juan Williams? Who Looks Like A Complete Fool Now?

    05/19/2016 2:45:53 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 79 replies
    For the last 18 to 24 months, many of us have been watching The Five, and watching Juan Williams trying to convince us that "Hillary Is Way Ahead" of any potential GOP/Democrat candidate. No One Can Beat Hillary!, Well, here we are about a year or so later, and now we have Donald Trump leading Hillary? Anyone watching "The Five" now? Juan can't explain any of this. But hey, we all saw this coming! Awe, Poor Juan Williams! now he has to go home tonight with three feet of toilet paper stuck to his pants.
  • Ted Cruz Might Take The Jon Snow Route With His Campaign

    05/11/2016 6:45:05 AM PDT · by scottycraig · 74 replies
    Cruz refuses to call his campaign dead. He said in the interview that he might resurrect his campaign if he sees a path towards victory. However, Cruz’s campaign has left enough supporters into position of power among the Republican delegates. These supporters can have a substantial impact even if Trump is the sole nominee left. Read more
  • Trump Forces Didn't Just Beat the Establishment, They Overran It

    05/10/2016 11:02:35 AM PDT · by RayofHope · 14 replies
    NBC News ^ | 05/10/2016 | Dante Chinni
    Donald Trump didn't just outlast a long list of Republican challengers to be the last man standing for the presidential nomination. He won by remaking the Republican Primary electorate itself. About 25.7 million people have voted in the 2016 Republican primaries and caucuses so far. That's about seven million more votes than were cast in the entire 2012 GOP presidential primary - and there are likely still well over two million votes yet to be cast in nine states this year, including in the nation's most populous state, California.
  • The Alan Colmes Hillary Defense."There Is No Evidence Against Hillary Clinton". Right?

    05/09/2016 7:33:47 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 21 replies
    It seems every time Alan Colmes is in a verbal dispute with any Fox News Cable Host, first thing that comes out of his mouth, it's often something like, "Look, there is no real evidence" or, "The FBI has no solid evidence on Hillary". Etc. Etc.! Have any of you taken notice of this every time Alan is arguing with Bill/Sean/Megyn ??. And in the end, Alan Colmes always winds up losing the argument and looks like a lying blockhead liberal in the end!
  • #nevertrump signatures

    05/07/2016 4:26:21 PM PDT · by stocksthatgoup · 49 replies
    #nevertrump ^ | Current | Never trump website
    We, the undersigned, will never vote for Donald Trump. We stand united to defend basic, common decency and Constitutional principles. And we will do our part to deny Donald Trump the Republican nomination and ensure that he never becomes Commander-in-Chief. Never means never. 36,829 people have signed their name to this pledge. We need to stand together and send a clear message that we reject Trump. Add your name now.
  • Nebraska GOP Primary 2016: Trump an Early Favorite

    05/04/2016 6:04:01 AM PDT · by RayofHope · 19 replies
    Heavy ^ | 05/03/2016 | Jonathan Adams
    Nebraska is the next stop on the campaign trail for the GOP candidates. The Nebraska Republican primary will take place May 10 with 36 delegates at stake. The delegates are awarded in winner-take-all fashion with the candidate with the most votes statewide winning all 36 delegates. There have been no early polls taken in Nebraska but this will likely change in the coming days. PredictWise aggregates the betting markets to project primary winners. They give Donald Trump a 71 percent chance of winning the state while Ted Cruz has just a 29 percent chance of pulling off the upset.
  • A Guide To The Three Possible Outcomes In Indiana’s GOP Primary

    05/03/2016 1:48:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 69 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | May 3, 2016 | Harry Enten
    Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or is he just really strong in the Northeast? We’ll get some answers in Indiana on Tuesday. It’s a culturally conservative state where many political observers (including yours truly) thought Ted Cruz had a good shot at coalescing the anti-Trump vote. Indiana is also, in terms of demographics, slightly below average...
  • Trump Change: 89% of GOP Voters Now Say Trump Is Likely Nominee

    05/01/2016 8:55:26 AM PDT · by RayofHope · 21 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | Friday, April 29, 2016 | Rasmussen Reports
    Belief that Donald Trump is the likely Republican presidential nominee has soared to its highest level ever and matches perceptions that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic standard-bearer in the fall.
  • Oh boy: Two private polls of Indiana show Trump and Cruz tied, one shows Trump ahead

    04/22/2016 2:58:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 21, 2016 | Allahpundit
    If you donÂ’t know by now why Indiana is important, you must have missed this post and a good 8,000 similar explainers elsewhere in political media. Long story short, IndianaÂ’s one of the few states left on the map where either Cruz or Trump might plausibly do well. With 57 delegates at stake, a win or loss for Trump there could be the difference between him reaching 1,237 delegates on the first ballot and falling a few dozen short. ItÂ’s essentially a must-win for Cruz to force a contested convention. But heÂ’s not winning, at least according to three private...
  • Hmmm: Trump under 50% in poll of New York for first time this month

    04/15/2016 10:42:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 132 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 15, 2016 | Allahpundit
    Via Red State, not a huge deal but worth flagging in case there’s another poll this weekend showing his numbers dipping a bit in New York on the eve of the primary. That would suggest a trend, and that would be a big deal given what’s at stake. To be clear: Trump’s going to romp in NY on Tuesday night, winning by 25 points or better, and will pick up something like 75 delegates even in a worst-case scenario. But since his path to 1,237 is so difficult, it matters a lot whether he ends up with 75 in New...
  • Kelli Ward Beats John McCain in Latest AZ Poll

    04/15/2016 7:02:03 AM PDT · by Sybeck1 · 36 replies
    Breitbart ^ | Michelle Moons
    Arizona State Senator Kelli Ward, challenging U.S. Senator Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), leads the five-term Washington insider for the first time in a poll. Her lead stands at nine percent. Ward was the choice of 45 percent of the registered Arizona voters polled, while McCain only garnered 36 percent. 1,271 of the more than 1,400 voters polled say they intend to vote in the 2016 primary election. Approximately one fifth remained undecided at this early stage of the race. Independent polling company Gravis Marketing conducted the August 15 poll. It surveyed 844 Republican primary voters and 427 Democratic.
  • Free Beacon Poll: Trump Holds Small Lead in Maryland as Cruz, Kasich Tie

    04/13/2016 4:37:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The Washington Free Beacon ^ | April 13, 2016 | Brent Scher
    With two weeks to go until Marylanders vote in their Republican primary, Donald Trump has a small lead over both Ted Cruz and John Kasich, who are currently splitting the non-Trump vote evenly, according to a new Washington Free Beacon poll. The poll of 600 likely Republican voters found Trump earning 33 percent of the vote, with single-digit leads over Cruz and Kasich, who earned 26 and 25 percent of the vote, respectively. The poll indicates that Trump’s lead in the state is shrinking, but it may not matter unless one of his rivals can consolidate voters unwilling to support...
  • Muhlenberg College Poll: Trump 35% Cruz 28% Kasich 27% (Pennsylvania)

    04/08/2016 4:54:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Politics PA ^ | April 8, 2016 | Nick Field, Managing Editor
    Donald Trump maintains a lead in PA, but his opponents are both within striking distance. That’s according to the new Muhlenberg College poll, which tested the three GOP candidates. Trump leads with 35% while Ted Cruz and John Kasich got 28% and 27% respectively. When leaners are included, Trump expands to 37% while Cruz and Kasich score 29% and 28%. There is quite a disparity in the results when it comes to men and women. 43% of males favor Trump against 29% who want Kasich and 28% who chose Cruz. On the other hand, 31% of females went with Cruz...
  • What a new California poll means for Trump, Cruz campaigns

    04/07/2016 5:11:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    The Los Angeles Daily News ^ | April 7, 2016 | David Montero
    Donald Trump holds a seven-point lead over Ted Cruz in a new California Field Poll, but his support in Southern California is a mixed bag - as the Republican frontrunner faces a large deficit in Los Angeles County while drawing broad support in surrounding Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties. The Field Research Corporation poll released Thursday shows Trump holding 39 percent of the support among Republicans identified as likely voters in the June 7 primary, while the Texas senator has the backing of 32 percent. Ohio Gov. John Kasich trailed both with 18 percent, while 11 percent remained undecided....
  • California GOP poll: Trump leads Cruz by 7 points

    04/07/2016 2:12:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 47 replies
    KARZ-TV ^ | April 7, 2016 | Hasan Khan, CNN
    GOP front-runner Donald Trump is leading Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in California, a new poll shows, one of the final primary contests before the Republicans head to the party's convention in July. Trump is the pick of 39% likely Republican voters, while Cruz has the support of 32%, according to a poll from the Field Research Corporation in California. John Kasich is in third place at 18%, while 11% are undecided. Cracks in GOP rank-and-file also are reflected in the poll, as nearly 4 in 10 California Republicans (38%) say they would be "dissatisfied" or "upset" if Trump became their...
  • Political Prediction Market: Trump, Cruz almost tied for nomination

    04/06/2016 6:24:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | April 6, 2016 | Daniella Diaz
    Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz are almost tied for the Republican nomination, according to CNN's Political Prediction Market. The billionaire businessman's odds for the nomination are at 47% while Cruz's odds are at 46%. Ohio Gov. John Kasich's odds for the nomination are at 4%. The Political Prediction Market is an online game that is administered by a company called Pivit. It functions like an online market and allows Internet users to predict the outcome of the 2016 election....
  • Survey USA poll in CA: Trump up by eight over Cruz

    04/06/2016 12:32:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 5, 2016 | Ed Morrissey
    In order to get to 1,237 delegates before the convention, Donald Trump needs to sweep both New York and California primaries. That may not be much of a problem in New York, as Trump dominates the field in the RCP average by 32 points, and gets the majority he needs for a winner-take-all haul of the statewide delegates in all four recent polls. With that kind of lead, it’s difficult to imagine Trump losing any of the delegates from Congressional districts in New York, so he should get all 95 delegates. California, however, looks like a much different story. It...
  • Shock: Ted Cruz Takes Lead in Reuters Poll Over Donald Trump for First Time

    04/05/2016 2:40:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 89 replies
    Breitbart ^ | April 5, 2016 | Mike Flynn
    For the first time in the Republican primary, Reuters’ tracking poll shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) leading Donald Trump among likely voters in the Republican primaries. This is also the first time Donald Trump hasn’t led the tracking poll in 2016. Cruz has the support of 39 percent of likely Republican voters nationwide, just ahead of Donald Trump, who has 37 percent support. Ohio Governor John Kasich is a distant third, with 23 percent support. In the broader survey of all Republicans, rather than likely voters, Trump still has a four-point lead. This, however, is sharply down from the...
  • Are Sanders And Cruz Really Less ‘Electable’?

    04/04/2016 11:20:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | April 4, 2016 | Julia Azari
    With a varied cast of characters pursuing each party’s nomination for president, the subject of electability — the idea that some candidates are inherently better or worse general election candidates than others — keeps coming up. It’s come up in reference to Bernie Sanders, a Vermont socialist in a party that has seen multiple northern liberals lose the presidency. It’s come up in reference to Hillary Clinton, who would be the first woman to top a major party ticket and whose political career has been dogged by scandals. And electability questions have been raised perhaps most often on the Republican...
  • Economic models predict GOP White House, even with Trump

    04/04/2016 10:29:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    The Hill ^ | April 4, 2016 | Vicki Needham
    Republicans are expected to win the White House under two economic models that have accurately forecast presidential elections for decades. A third model run by Moody’s Analytics predicts Democrats will win the White House, in part because of President Obama’s rising approval rating. The three models are being challenged like never before by the presence of GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump, whose campaign has shaken up politics. Trump’s fights with Ted Cruz and his other GOP rivals have electrified his supporters but have turned off other voters. A Washington Post-ABC poll last week found that 67 percent of registered voters...
  • EMERSON POLL: Wisconsin Feels the Bern While Cruz has Momentum Going into Primaries

    04/04/2016 5:43:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Emerson College ^ | April 4, 2016
    BOSTON, MA – Bernie Sanders is now 8 points ahead of Hillary Clinton, (51% to 43) in the Badger State, where two weeks ago he was six points down (50%-44%) to the former Secretary of State. In the GOP race, Cruz is now five points ahead of Donald Trump (40% to 35%) with John Kasich at 21%. Two weeks ago, Cruz had a 1 point lead over Trump (36%-35%). If Cruz is the primary winner, he will win 15 delegates, Cruz is also ahead in five of the eight congressional districts where three delegates will be awarded to the winner...
  • Free Republic Straw Poll (April 2016 Edition)

    04/04/2016 4:43:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 79 replies
    Free Republic | April 4, 2016 | 2ndDivisionVet
    If you had to vote in your state primary/caucus today, knowing what you know now about the various declared and probable candidates, who would you vote for? Why? Who would you like to see as the running mate for your preferred candidate? If you could help staff your candidates cabinet and other top appointments, who would you choose? If you could recommend different congressional leaders than we have now, who would they be? And who would you like to see on the Supreme Court and why? And finally, feel free to donate to Free Republic.
  • Donald Trump still leads Ted Cruz in California despite negative views, poll shows

    04/04/2016 1:03:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    KABC-TV ^ | April 4, 2016
    LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- An exclusive Eyewitness News poll conducted by SurveyUSA shows that in California, 50 percent of registered voters have an "extremely negative" view of Donald Trump, but he still leads narrowly among likely Republican primary voters. The poll, released on Monday, showed that 15 percent of Republicans likely to vote in the state's Republican primary also have a negative view of Trump. Yet, Trump polls at 40 percent, Ted Cruz at 32 percent and John Kasich at 17 percent. And despite Trump's remarks about women and his staff's treatment of women, he still leads among female voters....
  • It doesn't matter if Donald Trump beats Ted Cruz: the Democrats are going to win

    04/04/2016 10:36:44 AM PDT · by granada · 44 replies
    The Telegraph ^ | 4 APRIL 2016 | ROB CRILLY
    Last week was the pivotal week in the American election race. Not because of seven crazy days of Donald Trump's shenanigans – his continuing ugly row with Ted Cruz about their wives, the arrest of his campaign manage over an alleged assault, his refusal to back the eventual Republican nominee, and his extraordinary proposal that women who have illegal abortions should be punished (followed by a hasty, but unconvincing, u-turn). In fact you probably missed the crucial signals hidden amid all that Republican noise. Last week two pieces of data emerged which give us the clearest possible idea about where...
  • Cruz, Clinton, lead respective races in new poll (Wisconsin)

    04/02/2016 5:56:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 38 replies
    WTMJ-AM ^ | April 2, 2016 | Michael Spaulding
    MILWAUKEE- Another collegiate poll shows Ted Cruz holds an advantage over Donald Trump heading into Tuesday’s Wisconsin Primary election. The poll, conducted by Loras College in Dubuque Iowa, shows Cruz holding a 38% to 31% over Donald Trump in the GOP Primary race. 18% of people polled said they would vote for John Kasich and 13% said they were still undecided. Poll author Dr. Christopher Budzisz says they surveyed 1,000 registered voters across the state, including 832 likely primary voters. It is the first time Loras College has polled Wisconsin voters. On the Democratic side, 47% of surveyed voters said...
  • PPP: Sanders, Cruz Will Win WI; Clinton, Trump Lead Nationally

    04/01/2016 10:54:34 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    WCHL-FM ^ | April 2, 2016 | Aaron Keck
    Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz appear poised for victory in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary, but Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are still in good shape nationally. That’s the finding from Public Policy Polling‘s latest survey, released on March 31. In Wisconsin, Sanders leads Clinton 49-43 in the Democratic primary; on the GOP side, Cruz has a narrow 38-37 lead over Trump, with John Kasich a distant third at 17 percent. See the Wisconsin numbers here. PPP director Tom Jensen says the Republican numbers are a little deceiving, though. He says about a third of Kasich supporters say they may change their...
  • Trump Is Taking On Water

    04/01/2016 1:00:54 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 109 replies
    The Federalist ^ | March 31, 2016 | Ben Domenech, Publisher
    It was conceivable to see a realistic path for Trump not just to the Republican nomination but to the White House, but that situation is no longer operative. Donald Trump has not had two weeks this bad since he got into the presidential stakes. His general election polling numbers tell the story: on January 31st, just two months ago, his RealClearPolitics polling average put Trump in a statistical dead heat with Hillary Clinton, trailing her 44-41 percent. It was conceivable at that moment to see a realistic path for Trump not just to the Republican nomination but to the White...
  • Trump Is Collapsing in Wisconsin: And that’s really bad for his delegate math

    03/30/2016 11:52:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 209 replies
    Slate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Jim Newell
    The April 5 Republican primary in Wisconsin is looking less like a toss-up between Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz and more like a probable win for Cruz. This would be a fairly grave problem for Trump in his effort to reach 1,237 delegates ahead of the convention. Further, a new Wisconsin poll from a well-respected outfit shows horrific favorability ratings for Trump in the state among all voters, mirroring his recent national downturn. If he can’t reach enough delegates ahead of the convention, and his support shows signs of erosion in the final contests—all while his overall favorability rating...
  • Boom: Cruz 40, Trump 30 in New Wisconsin Poll

    03/30/2016 2:44:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 111 replies
    Townhall ^ | March 30, 2016 | Guy Benson
    "No matter what he does, Trump always goes up in the polls!" That's the line Trump followers routinely employ when their man dives face-first into the latest unseemly controversy du jour -- including, most recently, spreading conspiracy theories to justify attacking and threatening Ted Cruz's wife. The reality is that while Trump's boorish showmanship doesn't harm his standing among a certain percentage of the GOP primary electorate, it most certainly hurts him among voters generally. The brash billionaire's overall unfavorable ratings have swelled to the mid-60's, spiking into the stratosphere among women. And now we have a fresh data point...
  • Cruz's Path to Nomination

    03/29/2016 4:21:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 71 replies
    Creator's Syndicate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Richard Morris & Eileen McGann
    Donald Trump is most likely to win the GOP nomination. But Ted Cruz definitely has a path to victory if he can win key contests. Trump's current delegate lead over Cruz and John Kasich (Trump — 739, Cruz — 465, Kasich — 143) is more apparent than real. At some point, Marco Rubio is likely to endorse Cruz and release his delegates. Since the Rubio campaign was conceived in the womb of the establishment's anti-Trump initiative, his delegates are likely to go to the Texan en masse, giving Cruz 631 delegates, only 108 behind Trump. If Cruz wins Wisconsin, he...
  • Trump's popularity nosedives in critical stretch

    03/29/2016 1:45:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 116 replies
    The Politico ^ | March 29, 2016 | Steven Shepard
    As he inches toward the GOP nomination, Donald Trump is becoming more and more disliked among American voters. Donald Trump wasn't wildly popular to begin with. And now he's becoming even more disliked among American voters, creating a significant threat to his chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination. Trump is, by far, the GOP delegate leader — and the only candidate with a realistic shot at winning a majority of delegates before the July convention. But at the same time, nearly two-thirds of Americans view Trump unfavorably — and his image rating has declined since Republican voting began in...
  • Security Issues Rise After Brussels Attacks

    03/29/2016 10:31:45 AM PDT · by SatinDoll · 23 replies
    Morning Consult Tracking Poll ^ | March 28,2016 | Reid Wilson
    The Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed 2,071 registered voters between March 24 and 26, for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. (Title comes from: The Conservative Tree House)
  • Poll: Trump Holds Narrow Lead In California

    03/27/2016 9:35:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    The Daily Caller | JulieGrace Brufke
    Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in California, according to a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times statewide poll released Sunday. The results show Trump polling at 37 percent, with Cruz following at 30 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich in third at 12 percent with all voters in the state. The race was closer among likely voters, with 36 percent saying they would vote for Trump compared to Cruz’s 35 percent. Kasich trailed behind with just 14 percent of the vote....
  • Polls That Should Be Taken. Trump/Kasich And Cruz/Kasich VS Hillary Clinton.

    03/27/2016 6:09:15 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 40 replies
    It would be interesting to see the outcome of both of these polls. Being both Cruz and Kasich can beat Hillary in the general, you would think that a Cruz/Kasich ticket would resemble a 1980 blow-out. But what about a Trump/Kasich ticket? What would be your assessment/predictions on that ticket. Imagine if credible pollsters did these polls and results saw a 55/45 landslide for the GOP? Then what would Hillary do?
  • European Terror Crisis.How Will Hillary Answer Questions In Debates?,"I Don't Recall?".

    03/25/2016 5:59:30 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 11 replies
    You can see Hillary in brain freeze/blame Bush mode already. How will Hillary answer all of those questions pertaining to the mess she and Obama have caused over the last eight years? Will all of Hillary's answers start with, "I Don't Recall", "At The Time" and the classic, "Well That Started Under The Bush Administration". Right? Oh, and sooner or later, Hillary will bring Huma into the mix.
  • Why are millennials turning to Ted Cruz?

    03/25/2016 4:16:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Blasting News ^ | March 25, 2016 | Mark Whittington
    After nearly eight years of Obama they may be ready to try something new How millennials have gone left during the past decade Millennials, that perplexing generation between the ages of 18 and 30, have famously gone for leftist presidential candidates in recent elections. They famously went for Barack Obama in 2008, caught up in the hope and change fever. Four years later, millennials choose Obama again over Mitt Romney by large margins. In the current election cycle, the younger generation has tended to support Bernie Sanders, the elderly senator from Vermont and avowed socialist. Millennials are turning to Ted...
  • Why Ted Cruz is more likely to pull an upset than Bernie Sanders

    03/22/2016 4:40:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 54 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | March 22, 2016 | Phillip Bump
    As it stands, the two people most likely to accept their parties' nominations at this summer's national conventions are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Each has a sizable lead in delegates; each, we are assured by their opponents, will somehow end up losing. Those opponents, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders*, are hardly objective observers of the situation of course, any more than was Marco Rubio, whose last-minute insistence that he would win Florida was heartbreaking in the manner of an afterschool special. ("You'll get 'em next time, Tiger," we all sniffed. "You'll get 'em next time.") But it's an interesting...
  • Poll: 68% of Americans Blame the 'Mainstream Media' for Violence at Trump Rallies

    03/21/2016 8:29:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 35 replies
    Media Research Center ^ | March 21, 2016 | Ashley Rae Goldenberg
    A majority of Americans blame the media for escalating violence at Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's political rallies. In a recent poll, YouGov asked 1,000 American adults from March 14-16 their opinions on the violence occurring at Trump's campaign events. Asked how responsible the "mainstream media" is for the "recent violence at Trump campaign events," 68 percent of those polled claimed the mainstream media bears the blame. Of the respondents, 38 percent said the mainstream media holds "a lot" of the responsibility for the violence at the rallies, and 30 percent said the media is "a little" responsible for the...
  • Is Ted Cruz Going to Be Able to Pull This Off?

    03/18/2016 3:30:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 147 replies
    The National Review's The Corner ^ | March 18, 2016 | Jim Geraghty
    From the last Morning Jolt of the week: Is Ted Cruz Going to Be Able to Pull This Off? Right now, as a #NeverTrump guy, I'm rooting hard for Ted Cruz. We haven't seen any polls conducted after Rubio's departure from the race - either in key upcoming states or nationally - so we don't have a good sense of whether anti-Trump Republicans are coalescing around him. Tuesday Arizona holds its primary and Utah holds its caucus. At first glance, those are natural Cruz states, right? [Cue ominous music.] Notice that we've had two polls of Arizona Republicans - you...
  • Wake up Ted, it's time to make the phone call to Trump

    03/16/2016 8:43:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 237 replies
    Fox News ^ | March 16, 2016 | Wayne Allyn Root
    What's that famous saying? "If you can't beat 'em, join 'em." It's time for Ted Cruz to wake up and make the phone call that changes history, changes the GOP, changes the course of America. It's time to face reality. Donald Trump will be the 2016 GOP presidential nominee. Only Trump has a path to the nomination. Ted Cruz is delusional if he thinks he can win the nomination...or deserves to win the nomination. He was shut out on Tuesday night. Shut out as in zero, zilch, zip, nada. It was Trump 4, Kasich 1, Cruz 0, Rubio cut from...