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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Fivethirtyeight Has Some Interesting Statistics on the GOP Field

    01/30/2015 7:09:38 AM PST · by lifeofgrace · 15 replies
    Charting Course ^ | 1/30/15 | Steve Berman
    “Exposing the obvious using statistics” may be the new slogan over at fivethirtyeight.com.  Harry Enten has written two pieces based on his analysis of Republican presidential hopefuls name recognition vs their favorability.  His conclusion?  That Chris Christie and Sarah Palin likely have no chance at the nomination.  Duh.  But their data is much more interesting—and useful—than that. Based on polls taken at this point in the race in presidential elections since 1980, the Manhattan cheeze-wizzes have plotted the candidates name recognition on the X axis and their net favorability rating on the Y axis. The trend line is telling.  I have to quote Motor Trend to really...
  • Looks Like We Have A "GOP TagTeam Battle".Romney&Bush VS Walker&Cruz.

    01/28/2015 4:01:45 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 26 replies
    Let's just add this match-up to the next WWE Wrestlemania. Could this be the first time we have ever seen candidates already teaming up in pairs? Possibly making agreements where as if one wins, the other gets the VP Spot? This was brought up with Cruz and Paul last year. We pretty much assumed that was their agreement. But this week the Dark Horse has been making headlines. Most Conservatives approve and love Scott Walker, and most conservatives are also leaning towards Ted Cruz. So here we are one year before the Iowa Caucus and looks like we might already...
  • Rubio surges to second, just 3 points behind Romney

    01/23/2015 1:52:48 PM PST · by entropy12 · 42 replies
    Examiner ^ | January 23, 2015 | Paul Bedard
    Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s apparent decision to speed up his entry into the growing field of 2016 Republican presidential primary challengers is coming at the perfect time, as a new poll out Friday shows him moving into second place behind repeat candidate Mitt Romney.
  • Hot Air Primary Survey Results: January 2015

    01/23/2015 1:43:10 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Hot Air ^ | January 23, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    With 2735 votes counted, Scott Walker came out on top in this survey in more ways than one: he swept the first choice, second choice, and consensus pick votes. Ted Cruz is a close second, and Mitt Romney came in with a strong third place showing. Other than Ben Carson, no other candidate broke 5%. Rick Perry emerged as a strong second choice behind Walker and Cruz. The consensus choice top 5 belonged to Walker, Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Perry and Carson.Some notable issue votes are below. Over sixty percent of primary voters are at least somewhat satisfied with the field,...
  • What America thinks about potential presidential candidates

    01/08/2015 5:29:12 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Myrtle Beach Examiner ^ | January 8, 2015 | Jesse Broadt
    Hillary Clinton is still receiving the majority of attention among Democrats with regard to the presidential nominations, despite the fact that her chances of becoming Mrs. President are slim to none. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is still in the circle of limelight as well, although her chances are only marginally better than those of the former first lady. Republicans, on the other hand have a wide open field that includes candidates new and old alike. Interesting statistics Sixty-six percent of registered voters across all political parties believe Republicans should seek a fresh candidate for 2016, while 42 percent of...
  • Hotline's GOP Presidential Power Rankings: Bush and Rubio Have Early Lead

    01/04/2015 7:56:42 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    National Journal ^ | January 4, 2015 | Tim Alberta, Scott Bland, Shane Goldmacher, Josh Kraushaar, Alex Roarty and Adam Wollner
    From the first day of 2011, Mitt Romney was the favorite to win the 2012 Republican presidential primary campaign. No one else was even close. The 2016 outlook could not be more different. Offered the choice to bet on one single candidate to win the nomination versus the rest of the field, the choice would have to be "the field." For the first time in years, there is no one next in line. And without a former vice president or powerhouse former candidate looking likely to run, Republicans are shaping up to spend the next year and a half fighting...
  • 5 Presidential Candidates (This guy is all over the place)

    01/02/2015 5:47:43 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    The Huffington Post's The Blog ^ | January 2, 2015 | Bob Burnett
    Happy new year! Welcome to the start of the presidential campaign marathon. For your consideration are five likely candidates, each representing a distinct segment of the U.S. political spectrum. Republicans have three probable candidates. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush would represent the business conservative wing of the GOP -- Pew Research estimates this is 12 percent of likely voters. Bush would be the favorite of the big GOP spenders, the one percent that favors capitalism over democracy. Jeb's strengths are national name recognition, personable manner, Hispanic spouse, and reputation for moderation on social issues. His weaknesses: high unfavorability ratings and...
  • Federalist Poll Shows GOP Fracture: “REPUBLICAN” PRIMARY SITUATED ON FAMILIAR FAULT LINE …

    12/31/2014 12:08:44 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    FITS News ^ | December 31, 2014
    It’s happening again … and there doesn’t appear to be anything anyone can do to stop it. We’re referring, of course, to the quadrennial election of an American president – which has followed an eerily predictable pattern in 2008 and 2012. It’s gone like this: An “electable” status quo candidate with support from the left-leaning media and the “Republican” establishment gets swept to the GOP nomination – via Borg-like assimilation. At that point, the media shifts its narrative on a dime and begins perpetuating marginal distinctions between two eerily similar ideologues – hoping to portray the big government “Republican” nominee...
  • Early CNN GOP Polls Already.Jeb Bush Ahead?,Who Are They Polling?, Democrats?

    12/29/2014 4:46:44 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 25 replies
    First Of All, Its A "CNN Poll". So already we can assume they probably did not call people in "Crucial Purple" States". Maybe the far left media is already working on their own version of "Operation Chaos"?.Making sure they keep Ted Cruz and Scott Walker out of the race and polls. As the media keeps bringing up the 2016 race and potential candidates, they seem to be focusing on Bush, Christie, Romney and Paul. And please! enough of the biased polls with GOP candidates against Hillary! We all know that most Conservative candidates will beat Hillary. Lets just wait till...
  • 2016 GOP primary goes off-script (In which she attacks Cruz and bolsters the RINOcracy)

    12/29/2014 4:01:35 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Washington Post's Right Turn Blog ^ | December 29, 2014 | Jennifer Rubin, Queen of the NeoCons
    Early presidential polls are not predictive of much, but they do reflect current sentiment. In that regard, the latest CNN/ORC poll should cause the punditocracy to rethink its take on the Republican race. For starters, at 6 percent and 4 percent respectively, Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) are not front-runners, nor arguably even top-tier contenders. The media infatuation with Paul reflects, one suspects, their enchantment with his systemic criticism of the police and fondness for anti-interventionism. Neither is in keeping with dominant GOP opinion, so it should not be all that surprising that he has sunk in...
  • A 2015 New Year’s Presidential Resolution: Hang together-or be hung out to dry, once again, in 2016

    12/29/2014 3:53:57 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 48 replies
    The Federalist ^ | December 29, 2014 | David Corbin and Matt Parks
    Congratulations to Texas Senator Ted Cruz for winning the Federalist Today Presidential Straw Poll with 26% of the nearly one thousand votes cast. Placing a respectable second and third, Senator Rand Paul (22%) and Governor Scott Walker (16%) showed that they also have considerable support among the “lovers of freedom and anxious for the fray” Federalist faithful. The political insider would, undoubtedly, not be impressed. Good luck getting Senators Cruz or Paul elected President of the United States. Any such insurgent’s campaign will be undone by a press that favors Democrats, a bare-knuckles Republican establishment that favors milque-toast candidates, and...
  • Shock poll: Jeb Bush is choice of conservatives, Romney is establishment pick

    12/26/2014 11:20:36 AM PST · by entropy12 · 196 replies
    washington examiner ^ | 12/25/2014 | Paul Bedard
    In a new poll of likely Republican primary voters nationwide by Zogby Analytics, 2012 GOP nominee Romney leads the pack with 14%, followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush (12%), Kentucky Senator Rand Paul (10%), New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (8%), former Arkansas Governor and now Fox News Host Mike Huckabee (7%), Florida Senator Marco Rubio (7%), Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (5%), Rep. and former Vice Presidential nominee Paul Ryan (4%), Texas Governor Rick Perry (4%), Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal (3%), Texas Senator Ted Cruz (3%), South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (2%), former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (1%), and both...
  • Bill DeBlasio. Another Inexperienced Democrat Elected For Sole Reason Of A "D" Next To His Name.

    12/24/2014 6:56:49 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 16 replies
    You could make quite a lengthy list of Democrats and Liberals who were primarily elected because there was a "D" next to their name. Pretty much what we have seen in the last two presidential elections. He may as well join the club that elected Maxine Waters, Al Green & Alan Grayson. Is it safe to assume that over half of Manhattan are not exactly educated? And to think half of them were going to vote for Anthony Weiner? And we thought California was one of the dumbest states in the nation when it came to electing their leaders!
  • Don’t Take Ben Carson Seriously (Except In Iowa — Maybe)

    12/24/2014 10:37:30 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | December 24, 2014 | Harry Enten
    “Who is Ben Carson? Where did he come from?” asked CNN’s Jake Tapper after a CNN poll revealed that Carson, a political novice, was running second to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. Carson has also placed second in other national polls, second in Iowa surveys and in the high single digits in New Hampshire. So just how seriously should we take Carson’s potential bid for the White House? Seriously enough. He could make some noise, particularly in Iowa. But not seriously enough to believe that he has any real shot of winning...
  • The 2016 Republican primary is the biggest crap-shoot since at least 1988

    12/17/2014 4:44:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | December 17, 2014 | Scott Clement
    Early national presidential primary polls are, at best, rough indicators of who will eventually become the party's standard-bearer. But the Republican primary field is especially scattered heading into the 2016 cycle, which is one reason why Jeb Bush's recent moves toward a candidacy are getting so much attention. In fact, the GOP field is more scattered at this stage in GOP primaries since at least 1987, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The table below looks back at early Post-ABC surveys in the past five open Republican primary contests. A few findings help give a sense of just...
  • Another Obstacle For Jeb Bush.Lacking Of An Alluring Charisma.

    12/14/2014 6:53:28 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 30 replies
    And who hasn't seen Jeb Bush over the last few months speaking to the media on either his views on current events or a possible run for President? He just comes off as rather dull. And a candidate's charisma/personality is generally the first aspect we look for in choosing a candidate. Jeb Bush would be the Vanilla Candidate if he chooses to run. We have not had a very entertaining President since Bill Clinton. And we also have not had anyone that would compare to Reagan as well.This time around we definitely have several candidates with intriguing personalities and would...
  • Columnist: attacks on guns and God, not racism, to blame for the demise of the Southern Democrat

    12/12/2014 7:11:01 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Charleston City Paper's Haire Of The Dog Blog ^ | December 12, 2014 | Chris Haire
    In Timothy Carney's Dec. 9 article, the Washington Examiner senior political columnist makes the case that the conventional wisdom is wrong when it comes to why white Southerners have fled the Democratic Party. It's not because of the GOP's very successful Southern Strategy, which played up the racial fears and prejudices of white Southerners in response to an increasingly empowered black population. For Carney, the South no longer has a white Democrat in the U.S. Senate for two reasons and two reasons alone: the Democratic Party is hostile to guns and God, two things that every Southerner hold dear. Carney...
  • Clinton Will Need to Win Over the Black Voters That Landrieu Couldn't

    12/08/2014 3:29:35 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    National Journal ^ | December 7, 2014 | Alex Roarty
    The likely Democratic presidential nominee needs to duplicate, or at least come close to duplicating, Obama's performance among African-Americans. It's a tall task. Mary Landrieu lost her runoff race Saturday because President Obama isn't well-liked, national Democrats abandoned her, and, statewide, Louisiana pretty much only elects Republicans. But Democrats and their likely presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton, might squirm the most over her defeat for a different reason: The longtime senator couldn't get enough support from African-Americans. Like Landrieu, Clinton (or whoever becomes the party's standard-bearer) will try to win over black voters at the same rate Obama did in both...
  • Rand Paul wins AL.com's presidential poll and now, he's coming to Alabama: Today's political update

    12/04/2014 2:33:27 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Birmingham News ^ | December 4, 2014 | Leada Gore
    Alabama Republicans will host Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at its winter dinner on Feb. 20. If a new AL.com poll is any indication, he will get more than a warm welcome. A recent AL.com poll puts Paul ahead of nine other leading contenders for the GOP presidential nomination. Paul garnered 43 percent of the vote, followed by Ted Cruz at 31 percent and Dr. Ben Carson at 14 percent. Of course, the poll is not scientific. And it's interesting to note the poll was shared widely among Paul supporters, showing up on sites such as dailypaul.com. Paul, a favorite among...
  • POLL: Who is Your First Choice for the 2016 GOP Nominee?

    12/03/2014 5:53:58 PM PST · by Windflier · 128 replies
    Patriot Action Network's Patriot Caucus is hosting a final 2014 poll to gauge the views of our members when it comes to 2016. We know it's early, but truth is some of these campaigns will likely begin kicking into gear the first quarter of 2015. With this in mind, please consider selecting your first pick for 2016 ....
  • 2016 Is No Democratic Slam Dunk

    12/01/2014 4:59:07 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | December 1, 2014 | Lloyd Green
    Majorities disapprove of Obama’s immigration move and still see Democrats as being against them. And most Democrats still don’t get it.The Democrats’ upstairs-downstairs coalition is fraying. Just ask Sen. Chuck Schumer; he’ll tell you. Last week, Schumer announced that the Democrats had lost touch with Middle America, and that Barack Obama’s agenda was out of sync with middle-class needs and expectations. For Schumer—the third-ranking Senate Democrat and his caucus’s chief message-crafter—to go on the record like that, things must really be bad. Apparently, 2016 is not shaping up as a Democratic slam dunk. At the moment, the public’s discontent is...
  • ICYMI: Quinnipiac poll of 2016: Jeb Bush 14%, Chris Christie 11% and Ben Carson 9% (Baloney)

    11/29/2014 7:12:51 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    SaintPetersBlog ^ | November 29, 2014 | Phil Ammann
    Republican voters nationwide look towards 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney to get back in the game for 2016, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released Wednesday. Voters give the former Massachusetts governor the top rank at 19 percent in an early glimpse of the 2016 presidential race. Romney continues to insist he will not seek the White House for a third time. With Romney out of the race, however, former Gov. Jeb Bush leads with 14 percent, followed by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 11 percent. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson, a conservative Tea Party favorite, gets 9 percent, while...
  • Carson, Jeb, Rand, Huckabee: Of 13 possible GOP presidential contenders in 2016, who's your pick?

    11/29/2014 12:44:18 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 159 replies
    The Huntsville Times ^ | November 29, 2014 | Leada Gore
    With the GOP poised to take over the Senate and strengthen its control of the House in January, all eyes are now turning to 2016's presidential race. And while Democrats have a single strong contender - paging Hillary Clinton - the Republican side remains up in the air. The Hill recently listed what 16 possible presidential contenders in what one strategist described as the "most open field we've ever seen." Here's the likely contenders in the class of 2016: First String Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.) - One of the most recognizable names in the field, Paul he's comfortable in front...
  • The 2016 spotlight turns to Texas (A March 1st primary?)

    11/28/2014 2:55:41 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Texas Tribune's TribTalk Blog ^ | November 28, 2014 | Jim Henson and Joshua Blank
    With the 2014 election now in the history books, the reality is that the 2016 campaign is upon us. And you can expect Texas to get more time in the spotlight now that the 2016 GOP presidential primary is a main attraction. Four candidates with direct or indirect connections to the Lone Star State are on most early lists of top potential candidates: Gov. Rick Perry, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and two scions of families with strong Texas ties — U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, the son of former Texas Congressman (and frequent presidential aspirant) Ron Paul, and...
  • Somebody is going to win the White House in Election 2016

    11/28/2014 2:21:52 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 52 replies
    Politics Examiner Blog ^ | November 28, 2014 | James George
    Will it be Democrats or Republicans who have “national appeal”? Do any of these 13 Republicans have a chance? Jonathan Easley put them out there in an article in The Hill this morning just as the National Politics Examiner published a list of Democrats. See the story link below. Let’s analyze the Easley list. He begins by positioning what are identified as the “big three”: Paul, Christie, and Bush. As porkers go, Paul doesn’t have a chance as Christie and Bush win the weigh in. Bush’s heaviness is as much of a concern as Hillary’s age, maybe. Christie loses on...
  • Talking 2016 on the NR Post-Election Cruise...

    11/17/2014 6:32:55 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    The National Review's The Campaign Spot ^ | November 17, 2014 | Jim Geraghty.
    From the first post-cruise edition of the Morning Jolt… What (Some of) You Missed on the National Review Post-Election Cruise Beats a polar vortex, doesn’t it? A bit of 2016 talk from our recently-concluded cruise… Allen West pointed out you don’t often see two presidential candidates from the same state competing against each other for long – their bases of support among donors, activists, and volunteers usually overlap and they can’t sustain two candidates simultaneously. At this very early date, the potential Republican 2016 field includes two candidates from Florida (Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio), two from Texas (Ted Cruz...
  • A Top Political Analyst Thinks Marco Rubio Is The Leading GOP Candidate In 2016

    11/15/2014 9:38:08 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Business Insider ^ | November 11, 2014 | Colin Campbell
    The chief political strategist of the research firm Potomac Research Group released a new handicapping of the 2016 Republican presidential primary contest on Tuesday morning, and he had a somewhat surprising front-runner: Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. Though Rubio hasn't been generating as many headlines as many of his competitors, the strategist, Greg Valliere, argued he uniquely benefited from the 2014 Republican landslide. "He flew beneath the radar screen this fall, but actually Rubio campaigned aggressively for GOP candidates," Valliere said. "He has a head start on putting together a campaign organization, and has shown increasing gravitas on key issues;...
  • The first 2016 Electoral College Map looks bad for Democrats

    11/13/2014 11:00:55 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Don Surber's Blog ^ | November 12, 2014 | Don Surber
    Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Clinton? Gradually it is sinking in to Official Washington that the 2014 election could very well do to Democrats what the 1930 election did to Republicans: make them irrelevant for at least a generation. In 1930, the first election after the Stock Market Crash saw Republicans go from a 270-164 majority in the House to a minority, albeit by one seat. In the next three elections, Republicans would continue to lose until there were only 88 Republicans in the House after the 1936 election. The Depression wiped out two-thirds of the House...
  • Something Funny Happened In Iowa, And It May Hurt Democrats In 2016

    11/12/2014 2:55:28 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | November 11, 2014 | Harry Enten
    Republican Sen.-elect Joni Ernst easily won her race in Iowa last Tuesday, beating Democrat Bruce Braley by 8.5 percentage points. Her victory wasn’t shocking, but its size was (to everyone except pollster Ann Selzer, that is). The final FiveThirtyEight projection had Ernst winning by just 1.5 percentage points. What the heck happened? Here’s one explanation: White voters in Iowa without a college degree have shifted away from the Democratic Party. And if that shift persists, it could have a big effect on the presidential race in 2016, altering the White House math by eliminating the Democratic edge in the electoral...
  • 6 Reasons Why Malloy Did Better In 2014

    11/09/2014 7:30:11 AM PST · by BlueStateRightist · 2 replies
    The Hartford Courant ^ | November 6, 2014 | Stephen Busemeyer and Dan Haar
    The battleground was different in 2010, when Dannel P. Malloy and Tom Foley first fought to become governor. Linda McMahon and Richard Blumenthal were slugging it out in a high-finance senate race that drew a lot of attention. The economy was sputtering badly. Tom Foley's running mate was popular Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton. Sandy Hook -- and the gun control legislation that came out of it -- was more than two years away.
  • A Charlie Crist Mystery.Floridians Bewildered Over Crist Receiving 47 Per-Cent.

    11/05/2014 4:34:13 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 53 replies
    Last night millions of Floridians were in a state of shock watching the Florida returns coming in a little at a time and were just befuddled over the dead-even percentages for both of them. Rick Scott should of handily maintained an 8 to 10 per-cent lead over Crist from the start. No way that 47 percent of Floridians are that dumbfounded! Is it safe to assume that maybe "Seven Percent Of Charlies Votes were either Illegal or Dead"?
  • Why tensions in Ferguson may help Republican in a local vote

    11/03/2014 6:27:24 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    Reuters ^ | November 3, 2014 | Alistair Bell in Ferguson
    Black anger at a local Democrat's handling of the shooting of teenager Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, has given the Republican candidate some hope of winning the race for St Louis County executive for first time since the 1980s. Polls show both candidates virtually tied in this troubled corner of America. A group of African-American leaders is endorsing Republican Rick Stream. One reason: Democratic hopeful Steve Stenger's support of the prosecutor investigating the Ferguson police department, which is under scrutiny after a white officer shot dead Brown, an 18-year-old African-American, in August. That group accuses the county prosecutor Robert McCulloch...
  • Former pig castrator Joni Ernst poised to win Iowa Senate seat for Republicans

    11/03/2014 3:24:38 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The Guardian & Observer ^ | November 3, 2014 | Rory Carroll in Des Moines
    Republican once considered an obscure one-term state senator has the momentum in Iowa despite suffering the ridicule of her rivals. Joni Ernst became famous by gazing into a camera and boasting of castrating hogs on the Iowa farm where she grew up. “So when I get to Washington, I’ll know how to cut pork,” she said. The campaign ad Squeal showed images of pigs, then came her punchline. “Washington is full of big spenders. Let’s make ‘em squeal.” Even Democrats laughed. Late-night comedians spoofed it. Few, initially, took it seriously. This was back in March. Ernst was an obscure, one-term...
  • New App Launching to Report Voter Fraud

    11/02/2014 8:59:39 PM PST · by Windflier · 22 replies
    A new app, which allows users to conveniently report voter fraud, will be available for iOS and Android on November 1. The app, called VoteStand, is being launched by True the Vote, an anti-voter fraud group that was one of the groups unconstitutionally targeted by the Obama IRS. According to the VoteStand website, “the app uses a high level encryption, inside the app allowing information to get to the right people to make reporting voter fraud easily.”
  • Senate Update: Polls Point Increasingly To Republican Senate Win

    11/02/2014 7:59:42 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | November 1, 2014 | Nate Silver
    By this point in an election year, when polls are coming in by the bucketload late in the evening, you can get a sense for which pollsters are taking fresh samples of public opinion and which are herding toward the conventional wisdom. J. Ann Selzer, whose firm Selzer & Company conducts the Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll, is in the former group: She’s always been one to trust what her data is telling her. On Dec. 31, 2007, Selzer’s poll was among the first to show a large lead for Barack Obama in the Iowa Democratic caucuses — most other...
  • NYT: Democrats Haven't Won Majority of White Women Since 1992

    11/01/2014 7:28:52 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Breitbart's Big Journalism ^ | November 1, 2014 | John Nolte
    Buried under a dozen paragraphs is a fascinating little factoid the mainstream media never talks about and doesn’t want to talk about: Democrats haven't won a majority of the white women vote since 1992: In Arkansas, the Republican candidate, Tom Cotton, was tied with Senator Mark Pryor among women in a poll of likely voters conducted Oct. 4-7 by Fox News. Yet Mr. Pryor had an 11-point edge among women in an Oct. 19-23 poll for NBC News and Marist College’s Institute for Public Opinion. “On balance, I am not convinced the Democrats will make sufficient inroads with white women...
  • Republicans take big lead in Colorado early voting

    11/01/2014 1:43:37 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Associated Press ^ | October 31, 2014 | Nicholas Riccardi
    DENVER (AP) -- Republicans are taking a big lead in early voting in Colorado. A report from the Secretary of State on Friday showed that 104,000 more Republicans than Democrats had cast their ballots as the state conducts its first major mail-in election. Voters can also drop off ballots at polling stations and register through Election Day....
  • So Charlie Crist Left GOP Cause Of Racism? Assuming Democrats Are A Racist Free Party?

    10/31/2014 5:14:03 AM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 13 replies
    And how come no one challenged Charlie Crist on his accusations of racism within the GOP? When he has been interviewed on this issue of party switching, he should of been asked at least these two simple questions. Charlie, you claim there are racists among the GOP, can you name them for us? And Charlie, you switched over to the Democrat Party because of Republican Racism, yet the Democrat Party is notorious throughout America for "Being The Party Of Corruption And Racists", So Why Did You Become A Democrat?
  • Skewedenfreude: Why Democrats Can’t Face the Midterm 2014 Polls

    10/30/2014 8:21:05 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    The Federalist ^ | October 29, 2014 | Robert Tracinski
    Republicans hold the lead in key states, but this unanimous agreement among election forecasters conceals an Achilles heel: We all rely on the same poll data. What if that data is off?… Even in the week before the election, polls are not perfect….When errors occur, the outcome tends to be more favorable to the Democrat. So a Republican Senate is not guaranteed because “Democrats tend to perform better than the polls predict.” Yes, that’s right, folks. The polls are skewed. This argument has become common enough that Nate Silver has felt the need, in what must seem like a flashback,...
  • Calling All Married Women — VOTE ON TUESDAY! Not exactly the message Democrats will send out.

    10/30/2014 8:35:34 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 3 replies
    The American Spectator ^ | October 30, 2014 | Janice Shaw Crouse
    Not only have women been a majority of the voters in recent elections (53% in 2012), they also kept President Obama in the Oval Office (55% of those women — nearly 30% of all voters — voted for President Obama in 2012). Obviously, women — specifically, unmarried women — decided the 2012 election. According to exit polls from 2012 conducted by Edison Research, Obama’s margin among unmarried women was 67 percent to Romney’s 31 percent, giving him more than 11 million more unmarried women’s votes than Romney’s total; Romney’s 53 percent of married women’s votes compared to Obama’s 46 percent...
  • In Georgia, Democrats’ last hope for preventing GOP takeover is collapsing

    10/29/2014 11:18:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 29, 2014 | Noah Rothman
    The polls this cycle have been cruel to Democrats. A number of surveys have given the president’s party undue hope that they could pull off the impossible on Election Day and retain control of the U.S. Senate. But, like Lucy van Pelt ripping the set football away from a rushing Charlie Brown at the very last minute, Democrats have been robbed of that intoxicating hope just as the buzz was getting good. After abandoning the party’s nominee as determined by the voters, Democrats were thrilled by the prospect that ruby red Kansas might elect a Democrat masquerading as an independent...
  • Krauthammer: If GOP can’t win Senate, ‘the party ought to look for another country’

    10/29/2014 2:48:46 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 57 replies
    BizPac Review ^ | October 29, 2014 | Staff
    Syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer projected a big win for the Republicans in November, giving them a 70 percent chance of winning the Senate.(VIDEO-AT-LINK) “If the GOP can’t win back the Senate in a climate like this, maybe the party ought to look for another country,” he told Fox News host Bill O’Reilly Tuesday. Krauthammer explained why he thinks the climate is ripe for the win: "The reason is this is essentially a referendum on Obama. In 2010 it was a referendum on his ideology. The overreach with Obamacare, the stimulus, cap and trade, and now, six years in, it’s referendum...
  • Why Sarah Palin really might run for office again

    10/29/2014 2:15:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    Yahoo! News / The Christian Science Monitor ^ | October 29, 2014 | Peter Grier
    Sarah Palin says all the criticism from 'those haters out there ... invigorates me.' A majority of Americans say they've heard enough from her, but she has a base of committed supporters, and even some Democrats say they want her to run.Will Sarah Palin really run for office again? On Tuesday she said she might. In an interview with the Fox Business network, the ex-VP candidate said that her critics haven’t driven her away from politics. In fact, they energize her, she said. “Bless their hearts, those haters out there, they don’t understand that it invigorates me.... The more they’re...
  • Mainstream media shocked latest polls show GOP pulling away

    10/28/2014 8:23:00 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Washington Times ^ | October 26, 2014 | Joseph Curl
    The mainstream media made a hearty go of it, attempting for the last few weeks to portray the Nov. 4 election as a toss-up. But poll after poll is now showing those reports to be nothing more than a barrel of red herrings: Republicans are solidly in the lead with just more than a week to go. Over the past several weeks, a dozen stories or more have painted the Colorado race between Republican Cory Gardner and Democrat Mark Udall for the U.S. Senate seat there as neck-and-neck. CNN and the mainstream newspapers have repeatedly said the race is too...
  • Bad News for Republicans As Americans Have Confidence in Government To Deal with Ebola (Laff-riot!)

    10/27/2014 6:53:27 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    PoliticusUSA - Real Liberal Politics ^ | October 27, 2014 | Sarah Jones
    There is “overwhelming confidence in the federal government’s ability to prevent a nationwide epidemic,” according to a new CNN/ORC International Poll. “More than 7 in 10 Americans say the federal government can stop an Ebola epidemic, and 54% believe the federal government is doing a “good job” in addressing the disease.” Yes, the media hysteria has had an effect, as 8 in 10 believe that a new person will be diagnosed with Ebola in the coming weeks, however 53% think that healthcare workers and hospitals in their community are ready to treat an Ebola case. But, and here’s the bad...
  • New poll confirms: Mary Landrieu’s in serious trouble, y’all

    10/27/2014 3:54:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 27, 2014 | Guy Benson
    Sen. Mary Landrieu is flailing. She doesn’t own a home in Louisiana, but insists that her 7,300 square foot, $2.5 million house on Capitol Hill isn’t a “mansion.” She’s attacked her main Republican opponent for being soft on immigration, hoping that voters will pay no heed to her own voting record and rhetoric. She says she supports the Keystone pipeline and “fixes” to Obamacare (for which she cast the deciding vote and pledged to be “100 percent” accountable), but hasn’t been influential enough to persuade her own party’s leadership to allow votes on either issue. And Sean Trende’s deep data...
  • Can Ferguson Swing the Election?

    10/26/2014 7:50:43 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | October 26, 2014 | Joshua DuBois
    Low African American voter turnout helped create Ferguson’s mostly white government. Black leaders nationwide are using that fact to get their constituents to the polls.For many African Americans, this is shaping up to be the Ferguson Election. Around the country, black voters are being mobilized to vote in the 2014 midterms with the argument that the death of Michael Brown resulted, in part, from lack of black civic participation. While the population of Ferguson is nearly 70 percent African American, only 6 percent cast a ballot in the last municipal elections. This led to a majority-black city where the mayor...
  • Close Iowa Senate Race Could Come Down To How Women Vote

    10/25/2014 7:28:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    National Public Radio ^ | October 20, 2014 | Robert Siegel
    (AUDIO-AT-LINK)There's a woman running in the tight race for the Senate in Iowa — one of the contests that will decide who controls the Senate next year. In the 21st century, a female candidate for Senate may not sound historic. But in Iowa, it is. The state shares a rare distinction with Mississippi: It has never elected a woman to the Senate, to the House, or to be governor. Republican state Sen. Joni Ernst is trying to change that in her race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley — a race in which the role of female voters is central....
  • Gallup poll shows Tea Party supporters the most motivated to vote

    10/24/2014 1:39:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 24, 2014 | Ed Morrissey
    They’re baaaa-aaack, as Carol Anne said in Poltergeist II. No, not the cheesy ghosts from the cemetery under their house, but the ghosts of the previous midterm election, and they’re about to haunt Democrats. Gallup’s survey from the end of last month shows that the most enthusiastic voters in this cycle are Tea Party supporters — and it’s not even close: Although the Tea Party has not been as visible in this year’s midterm elections as it was in 2010, Tea Party Republicans have given more thought to this year’s elections and are much more motivated to vote than are...
  • Who says Obamacare isn't major factor in midterms?

    10/24/2014 1:33:00 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | October 24, 2014 | Byron York
    Some Democrats and their advocates in the press believe Obamacare, a year into implementation, is no longer much of a factor in the midterm elections. But no one has told Republican candidates, who are still pounding away at the Affordable Care Act on the stump. And no one has told voters, especially those in states with closely contested Senate races, who regularly place it among the top issues of the campaign. In Arkansas, Republican challenger Tom Cotton is pulling ahead of incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor partly on the strength of a relentless focus on Obamacare. Cotton's newest ad attacks...