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Keyword: polls

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  • A closer look at Sen. Ron Johnson's re-election challenges(WI)

    10/08/2015 11:39:34 AM PDT · by afraidfortherepublic · 19 replies
    Milwaukee Journal Sentinel ^ | 10-8-15 | Craig Gilbert
    To win a tough re-election race next year, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson needs one of two things to happen. He needs his party to carry Wisconsin for president, which hasn’t happened in 31 years. Or he needs to out-perform his party’s presidential nominee by a margin big enough to overcome a Republican loss at the top of the ticket. Either could happen, but past history and recent polling show why each scenario poses a challenge for the first-term GOP incumbent. Johnson trails Democratic challenger Russ Feingold by an average of 9 points in the last two statewide polls by the...
  • Rubio Surpasses Bush, Trump Still On Top [31%]

    10/06/2015 1:27:46 PM PDT · by BigEdLB · 41 replies
    Morning Consult ^ | 10/6/15 | Reid Wilson
    Real estate mogul Donald Trump retains his commanding lead in the race for the Republican presidential race, a new poll finds, even though many voters say they view the bombastic billionaire in an unfavorable light. Trump takes 31 percent of the vote in the new Morning Consult poll, easily outpacing retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson’s 13 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) finishes in third place, at 10 percent, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), at 7 percent.
  • Trump Holding Steady Nationally; Rubio Biggest Gainer

    10/06/2015 1:09:22 PM PDT · by BigEdLB · 31 replies
    PPP ^ | 10/615 | Tom Jansen
    PPP's newest national Republican poll actually finds the top of the field in a pretty similar place to where it was in late August. Donald Trump leads the field with 27%, similar to the 29% he had on our last survey. Ben Carson is in second place with 17%, also similar to the 15% he had last time around. Marco Rubio at 13%, Jeb Bush at 10%, Ted Cruz at 7%, Carly Fi orina at 6%, and Mike Huckab ee and John Kasich each at 4% round out the list of candida tes with decent levels of support. Chris Christie,...
  • In 2016 race, voters still shopping for a candidate to love (RINO-riffic!)

    10/06/2015 10:24:22 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    CNN Political Op-Ed ^ | October 6, 2015 | Alex Castellanos, Republican strategist
    Yes, it is time again to play that game, "What's Happening in The Campaign For Leadership Of The Free World?" A few observations, from the front lines: 1. Last week, a friend reported on an Iowa focus group. Of 31 Republican voters, only one was irrevocably committed to a candidate. The rest split their preferences among two candidates or more. Point: This race is remarkably fluid. Voters are still shopping. 2. There is no impetus for Republican voters to place their final bets soon. They fear their country is in decline, and this may be their last chance to save...
  • Polls: Trump still tops in Iowa, New Hampshire (New NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls out today)

    10/04/2015 3:18:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 4, 2015 | Eric Bradner
    Donald Trump still leads the Republican pack in the two first two states in the presidential nominating contest, though Ben Carson is on his heels in Iowa and Carly Fiorina is close behind in New Hampshire. New NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls out Sunday morning show Trump up in Iowa, with 24% support to Carson's 19%. Fiorina is third at 8%, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 7%, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal at 6% each, according to the poll. In New Hampshire, Trump remains in first place with 21% support...
  • My “USA Today” op ed on Donald Trump and political ignorance

    10/04/2015 9:06:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 88 replies
    The Washington Post's Volokh Conspiracy ^ | October 4, 2015 | Professor Ilya Somin, George Mason University
    In this recent USA Today op ed, I explain how the unexpected success of Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is in large part the result of widespread political ignorance: Despite some recent stumbles in his campaign, the most dramatic development of the 2016 presidential race has been the meteoric ascent of Donald Trump to the status of front-runner for the Republican nomination. Trump’s rise is a particularly blatant example of a much deeper problem at the heart of modern democracy: widespread voter ignorance. Trump’s success so far is in large part the result of an almost perfect storm of political ignorance....
  • Iowa GOP chairman: Caucus will come down to the wire (Trump leads, Cruz now up to 3rd place!)

    10/04/2015 4:30:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box ^ | October 4, 2015 | Bradford Richardson
    The chairman of the Iowa Republican Party says the Hawkeye State’s GOP presidential caucus is still up for grabs, predicting the race will be a “nail-biter.” “The people are waiting to make up their minds,” Jeff Kaufmann told host John Catsimatidis on AM 970 New York on Sunday. “I don’t think we’re going to have polls that are predictable of the end of this thing, this caucus season in Iowa,” he added. “We’re going to be well into January before this thing starts flushing out to the point where you can even start talking about the top five and the...
  • ANAPHYLACTIC SHOCK: GOPe in panic mode-Kasich support evaporates & Jeb! numbers drop below Biden IQ

    10/04/2015 2:37:23 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Doug Ross @ Journal ^ | October 4, 2015 | Doug Ross
    The Beltway Establishment's secretive plan to hand Jeb Bush the GOP nomination by flooding the zone with candidates (also known as the "GOPe Splitter Strategy") has totally unravelled. Let's start in New Hampshire, where support for John Kasich has fallen off the cliff: The rise of anti-establishment candidates ... have stalled Ohio Gov. John Kasich's momentum in New Hampshire, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows. Kasich, who a month ago sat in second place, behind real estate mogul Donald Trump, does not rank among the Republican presidential field's top 5 this time. Kasich has distinguished himself as a...
  • Jeb! at 4%: Will he drop out?

    10/03/2015 6:08:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 70 replies
    Red Alert Politics ^ | October 2, 2015 | Ryan Girdusky
    A new poll by Pew Research released Friday shows that former Florida Gov. Jeb! Bush (R) may be going the way of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R). The polling report found that Bush’s support among Republican primary voters has withered to a mere 4 percent. To make matter worse, among the majority of likely GOP voters who consider themselves conservatives, only 2 percent said they would vote for Bush. Bush fatigue is largely due to the massive change in what the electorate is looking for in a president. A majority of Republican voters...
  • Presidential Profiles Update: Debate Polls, Planned Parenthood, & Is Mitch Next?

    10/03/2015 6:07:08 PM PDT · by Shery · 5 replies
    Conservative Review ^ | 3 October, 2015 | Robert Eno
    The week that was supposed to see multiple candidates drop out of the race for the Republican nomination saw none drop as all 15 candidates qualified for the South Carolina ballot by the September 30, 2015 deadline. For the first time in a long time, the media isn’t talking about a candidate that has dropped out. Donald Trump appeared on “60 Minutes” in a wide-ranging interview. During that interview Trump came out with new policy positions, many of which raised eyebrows. Will Lindsey Graham be the only U.S. Senator not on the stage at the CNBC debate at the end...
  • The 4 Percent Man: ‘Stuff Happens’; Bush sees lowest poll numbers as he explains verbal slip-up

    10/03/2015 1:12:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Polizette ^ | October 3, 2015 | Keith Koffler
    Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush scored just 4 percent of the vote in the latest national GOP survey, a catastrophically low number that is sure to raise grave concern among the establishment donors who have invested millions in his success for the 2016 presidential race. The poll, released Friday by the Pew Research Center, shows Bush slipping into sixth place behind Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who is at 6 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Bush’s archrival for establishment backing, has twice Jeb’s support, with 8 percent. Rubio is tied with Fiorina, whose tally suggests the steam may have run out...
  • Hot Air Primary Survey: October Results

    10/03/2015 11:27:03 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 3, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    For the sixth time in a row, Hot Air’s first choice winner for President is Ted Cruz, with 34.9% of the vote. He’s followed by Carly Fiorina (21.6%), Marco Rubio (18.3%), Donald Trump (16%) and — at a surprising distance — Ben Carson (3.1%.) Rubio and Fiorina have basically doubled their take from the last vote, while Carson’s vote was cut in half. Trump lost a few points; Cruz remained steady. Over 2800 votes were cast.I think it’s notable that the survey was dominated by six candidates: Cruz, Fiorina, Rubio, Trump, Carson and Bobby Jindal. I’ve color coded the candidates...
  • Pew: Jeb Now Polling at 4 Percent, Collapses Behind Rubio

    10/02/2015 10:16:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    NewsMax ^ | October 2, 2015 | Cathy Burke
    Jeb Bush has dropped into sixth place as real estate and TV billionaire Donald Trump is maintaining his lead in the Republican presidential campaign field, a new poll shows. In the Pew Research Center survey released Friday, 4 percent of likely GOP primary voters pick the former Florida governor as their first choice for the nomination; 25 percent select Trump, 16 percent choose retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio tie with 8 percent, and 6 percent name Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. "At this stage of the 2016 presidential campaign, key issues divide both Republican...
  • Trump Dominates One America News Network's National Poll: Clinton has Commanding National Lead

    10/02/2015 1:27:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    PR Newswire ^ | October 2, 2015 | Stephanie Gonzalez
    One America News Network, "OAN", a credible source for 24/7 national and international news, released its most recent 2016 National Presidential Poll conducted on September 30th through October 1st. Donald Trump is continuing to be triumphant as the GOP front-runner with a dominating 34.7 percent. Dr. Ben Carson comes in second at 17.2 percent, trailing behind the New York real-estate mogul with just under half of Trump's success. Senator Marco Rubio has a boost in the polling with 10.8 percent, making it into the top three. Trump, Carson and Rubio account for 62.7 percent of the tabulated votes. Businesswoman, Carly...
  • Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016

    10/02/2015 10:27:24 AM PDT · by Amntn · 1 replies
    In a Shift, Republicans Now Prefer ‘New Ideas’ to ‘Experience’ GOP Voters Now Prefer 'New Ideas' to Experience; Democrats are DividedWith four months to go before the first presidential nomination contests, Republican and Democratic voters have sharply different perspectives on their parties’ campaigns – from the qualities they value in candidates to the assessments of their presidential fields and the issues they prioritize. Since March, the share of all registered voters who say it is more important for a presidential candidate to have “new ideas and a different approach” has surged – with virtually all of the increase coming among...
  • Donald Trump: 'If I tank,' I'll drop out

    10/01/2015 7:34:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 1, 2015 | Eric Bradner
    Donald Trump says he's no "masochist" -- so if one day he finds himself plummeting in the polls, he'd drop out of the Republican presidential race. Right now there's no reason to go anywhere: The real estate mogul has consistently led national GOP polls for months. But in an interview with CNBC's John Harwood, he said he'd drop out of the 2016 campaign if he found himself alongside Republican contenders who are struggling to get off the ground. "Well, I'm not a masochist," Trump said. "Right now I'm leading every poll, and in most cases big. That's good. If that...
  • Cruz strategy paying off?

    10/01/2015 9:48:02 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    The San Antonio Express-News ^ | October 1, 2015 | Peggy Fikac
    AUSTIN - U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz’s friendly approach to mogul Donald Trump might be paying off in Texas. A poll released Thursday by the nonpartisan, nonprofit Texas Lyceum showed that Trump leads the Republican field in Texas, but Cruz is close behind and is the second choice for more than a third of Trump’s supporters. Cruz could be expected to have a strong swath of support among Republicans in his home state. But his strategy with regard to Trump may have kept Cruz from alienating a bigger share of businessman’s backers. Trump, as he has led in polls, has been...
  • Polls! Dr. Ben Carson tied with Trump in GOP race. Carly & Rubio gain. Jeb in freefall.

    09/30/2015 3:50:13 PM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 19 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 09/30/15 | Robert Laurie
    Sanders closing in on Hillary About a month ago, we learned that Donald Trump and Ben Carson were in a virtual dead heat in Iowa. People naturally wondered if the polling would be borne out nationwide, or if it was a local anomaly. A couple of weeks later we started to receive word that Trump’s lead was shrinking and Ben Carson was closing in - fast. Still, Trump supporters were sure those polls were outliers since there was no way “the Donald” could be losing ground to an “OK doctor who hasn’t created enough jobs.” Now, however, they’re being forced...
  • Ted Cruz is toast: It’s not just that he won’t be president—his days in Senate are numbered, too

    09/30/2015 1:06:07 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 85 replies
    Salon ^ | September 30, 2015 | Sean Illing
    Rand Paul is right: Cruz's career in the Senate is "done for." Once he leaves, he can become a full-time grafter.I’m not sure when it started, but at some point the Republican Party ceded the business of governance to the Democrats. Maybe it began with the Tea Party movement or Fox News or the larger conservative media-industrial complex – I honestly don’t know. But it’s clear now that the GOP is no longer a legitimate governing party. A party that allows rank neophytes like Herman Cain and Donald Trump and Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina to run for the highest...
  • Trump tweets prediction Paul will drop out - Paul: I'll outlast 'clown' Trump

    09/29/2015 1:38:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    KRCR-TV ^ | September 29, 2015 | Daniella Diaz, CNN
    Just a day after Rand Paul said he'd outlast "clown" Donald Trump, the real estate mogul is firing back, using his favorite way to attack his fellow GOP candidates: Twitter. Trump tweeted Tuesday morning, "Prediction: Rand Paul has been driven out of the race by my statements about him-- he will announce soon. 1%!" He tweeted again, "I hope when Rand Paul gets out of the race---he is at 1%--his supporters come over to me. I will do a much better job for them." Paul told CNN's Wolf Blitzer on Tuesday that it's "silly season anytime Donald Trump opens his...
  • 2016 GOP Power Index: Jeb jolted from top spot (Putting Sen. Ted Cruz at the top)

    09/28/2015 7:24:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 72 replies
    Fox News ^ | September 28, 2015 | Chris Stirewalt
    GOP 2016 POWER INDEX: JEB JOLTED FROM TOP SPOT There’s been a seismic shakeup this week, knocking Jeb Bush from the top spot for the first time since the race began and putting Sen. Ted Cruz at the top. The latest WSJ/NBC News poll has Donald Trump and Ben Carson tied for the lead with Sen. Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina tied for third place. But few would imagine that those rankings will be predictive. Bush and Cruz in are farther behind, but the Fox News First Power Index is about more than just the latest polls. It’s about who...
  • Death watch for Rand Paul campaign

    09/27/2015 11:14:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Lexington Herald-Leader ^ | September 26, 2015 | Sam Youngman
    LEXINGTON,Ky. — Rand Paul was right. In January 2014, the day after The Atlantic anointed Paul, Kentucky’s junior U.S. Senator, as the Republican frontrunner in the 2016 presidential race, Paul told the Herald-Leader “it’s still too early probably to talk about things like that.” “That sounds unlucky to me,” he said. Less than two years later, Paul’s luck, it seems, is running out. Campaigning on Friday in New Hampshire, Paul continues to charge ahead with his struggling presidential campaign, but speculation is growing that he might be the next Republican candidate to drop out of the race. Former Texas Gov....
  • Media Thumps Trump, But Polls Show He's Winning Big

    09/27/2015 6:32:44 AM PDT · by Helicondelta · 42 replies ^ | SEPTEMBER 27, 2015
    Rumors of Donald Trump’s demise may have been greatly exaggerated. Ever since rival Carly Fiorina was widely perceived to have bested Trump at the second GOP debate in California on Sept. 16, media outlets have been lining up to suggest that the front-runner is waning. Trump has hit back with characteristic vigor. But he has a point, independent observers say. “The reality is that he does have a hold on some people and he doesn’t appear to be surrendering it,” said Mark Mellman, a veteran Democratic pollster who is also a columnist for The Hill. Much of the negative media...
  • Donald Trump Is Free To Cherry-Pick His Polls. But His Decline Is Clear

    09/27/2015 10:03:50 AM PDT · by Steelfish · 46 replies
    Washington Post ^ | September 27, 2015 | Philip Bump
    Donald Trump Is Free To Cherry-Pick His Polls. But His Decline Is Clear. By Philip Bump September 27 When announcing the results of a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll on Sunday, NBC senior political editor Mark Murray tweeted this: Donald Trump, up two points! Sure, he's neck-and-neck with Carson, as other polls have shown, but still. The idea that Trump must be slipping, promulgated by some folks, doesn't quite to hold water it seems. In fact, since last Sunday's CNN/ORC poll, the change Trump has seen since the last polls from each outlet has varied — up since the...
  • NEW POLL Shows Donald Trump Expanding Lead on GOP Field (Free Republic Mentioned)

    09/27/2015 3:45:07 AM PDT · by Enlightened1 · 40 replies
    The Gateway Pundit ^ | 09/26/15 | Jim Hoft
    <p>A new poll conducted by Zogby Analytics after last week’s Republican presidential debate on CNN shows Donald Trump leading Dr. Ben Carson by 20 points.</p> <p>According to the survey, conducted September 18-19, made up of 405 likely Republican primary/caucus voters nationwide, Trump garnered the support of 33 percent, which is an increase of 2 percentage points since Zogby’s previous poll. Dr. Ben Carson remains in second place, but dropped 3 points to 13 percent.</p>
  • Ted Cruz's Best Weekend Ever

    09/26/2015 9:38:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 73 replies
    Slate ^ | September 26, 2015 | Beth Ethier
    Texas Sen. Ted Cruz scored a runaway victory in the presidential straw poll at the Values Voter Summit on Saturday, grabbing 35 percent of the vote among attendees at one of the country's highest-profile conservative gatherings, where no fewer than eight GOP presidential hopefuls came to court the crowd. Cruz had nearly double the support of the second-place finisher, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, and seven times the votes for Donald Trump, who was audibly booed during his Values Voter speech but still leads the Republican field among likely primary voters who are outside of the Omni Shoreham Hotel in Washington...
  • Ted Cruz Wins, Donald Trump Flops In Latest Presidential Straw Poll For Republican Contenders

    09/26/2015 9:15:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 56 replies
    International Business Times ^ | September 26, 2015 | Kerry Flynn
    Could the Donald be falling? Texas Sen. Ted Cruz came out on top in the latest presidential straw poll, garnering 35 percent of the approximately 1,200 votes from the Values Voter Summit in Washington Saturday, NBC News reports. That’s the third year in a row Cruz has won the support from the forum. The affair comes amid some shakeup for the Republican party in the past week, with House Speaker John Boehner announcing his departure and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who has been criticized for not taking stronger conservative stances, ending his bid for the presidency. Social conservatives are further...
  • If Republicans nominate a strong conservative, it could hurt them on Election Day. A lot.

    09/25/2015 2:49:27 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 53 replies
    The Washington Post's Monkey Cage ^ | September 25, 2015 | Matthew Atkinson and Darin DeWitt
    In June 2014, Senator Ted Cruz told The New Yorker’s Jeffrey Toobin this: It is amazing that the wisdom of the chattering class to the Republicans is always, always, always ‘Surrender your principles and agree with the Democrats. That’s been true for my entire lifetime. The chattering classes have consistently said, ‘You crazy Republicans have to give up on what you believe and become more like Democrats.’ And, I would note, every time Republicans do that we lose. Cruz went on: And what does the entire D.C. Republican consulting class say? ‘In 2016, we need another establishment moderate!’ Hasn’t worked...
  • Media Declares Trumpmania Over -- Again

    09/25/2015 5:48:04 AM PDT · by Enlightened1 · 9 replies
    Rush Limbaugh ^ | 09/24/15 | Rush Limbaugh
    First off from Bloomberg Politics, there is a poll here, national survey which finds that 72% of the American people say their country is not as great as it once was, which, it says here, is a central theme of front-runner Donald Trump's campaign. "Americans are 'fed up' with politics, suspect the wealthy are getting an unfair edge, and think the country is going in the wrong direction, according to a new Bloomberg Politics poll that lays bare the depth and breadth of the discontents propelling outsider candidates in the Republican presidential field. The survey shows that 72 percent of...
  • President Rubio Fails to Get Double Digits in Fox News’ Own Polls

    09/24/2015 10:35:23 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Breitbart's Big Government ^ | September 24, 2015 | Matthew Boyle
    The Fox News Channel’s efforts to promote the presidential candidacy of Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) are not working out so well, according to the Fox News Channel’s own polling. Rubio is at just nine percent, according to the latest Fox News poll, trailing GOP frontrunner billionaire Donald Trump and Dr. Ben Carson by a significant margin. Trump has 26 percent according to the new Fox News poll, and Carson has 18 percent. Former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina is tied with the struggling Rubio’s nine percent, while Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) comes in next with eight percent. Former Florida Gov....
  • Trump says he's the rare Republican who can woo black voters

    09/24/2015 4:34:50 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    Yahoo! News / Reuters ^ | September 23, 2015 | Harriet McLeod
    NORTH CHARLESTON, S.C. (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who has been criticized by his rivals over his comments about minority groups, said on Wednesday he is the rare Republican who could win a sizable portion of the black vote. Trump, the Republican front-runner, spoke in South Carolina at a meeting of the Greater Charleston Business Alliance, which supports minority businesses and is affiliated with the South Carolina African American Chamber of Commerce. He cited a recent poll from the firm SurveyUSA that showed him getting support from 25 percent of black respondents in a match-up against Democratic front-runner...
  • Exclusive — Citizens United Poll: Donald Trump Leads, Outsiders Dominate Field (Cruz a STRONG 2nd!)

    09/23/2015 2:09:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 87 replies
    Breitbart's Big Government ^ | September 23, 2015 | Matthew Boyle
    A post-debate poll from Citizens United — provided exclusively to Breitbart News — finds that GOP frontrunner Donald Trump remains the clear favorite in the field, with almost 31 percent of the vote. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) gets 18.5 percent, Dr. Ben Carson earns 17.4 percent, and former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina takes 11.3 percent. Combined, that’s 78 percent for the four consummate political outsiders in the race. Washington establishment candidates, including Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, trail badly. “Seventy eight percent of our respondents have with their vote voiced their frustration with the...
  • There is a clear warning sign for Donald Trump in a key early state

    09/22/2015 1:30:36 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 57 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 09/22/2015 | Maxwell Tani
    Donald Trump is still leading a new poll of Iowa Republicans by a comfortable margin. But as the Republican field begins thinning ever so slightly, the poll provides a warning sign for Trump. The poll, released Tuesday by Public Policy Polling, shows that Trump is still the front-runner in Iowa, the crucial first-caucus state. Trump captures 24% support among likely Republican voters in the state, compared to 17% who support retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson. Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina came in third place with 13% in the poll. But the survey also shows that Trump is significantly weaker in a...
  • GOP Polls -- The Top Five Biggest Changes After The Second Debate

    09/21/2015 11:24:55 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 13 replies
    Inquisitr ^ | 09/21/2015 | Patricia Ramirez
    Since last Wednesday’s second Republican primary debate, all eyes have been on the GOP polls. It didn’t take long for folks to figure out who won (Fiorina) or who lost (Trump), reports Yahoo! News. What did take a few days was calculating the impact the debate performance would have at the polls. The news is starting to trickle in, and it’s pretty surprising. CNN poll shows that GOP voters think @CarlyFiorina won the debate with @marcorubio in second— State of the Union (@CNNSotu) September 20, 2015 1. Trump’s still on top. Despite taking a verbal pounding from...
  • Opinion Polling's Heyday Has Come and Gone Jeff Jacoby

    09/20/2015 8:03:17 PM PDT · by VinL · 14 replies ^ | 9/20/15 | Jeff Jacoby
    (snip).... "Election polling is in near crisis," broods Cliff Zukin, a past president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. "Our old paradigm has broken down, and we haven't figured out how to replace it." The reason? In a word, cellphones. For decades, professional opinion polling has relied on the ability to call landline phone numbers generated at random and be fairly confident of reaching an adult at the other end. But the explosive growth in cellphone use over the past two decades has fatally undermined that confidence. Today, according to federal data, more than 45 percent of American...
  • Pope Francis, Donald Trump Show Two Paths to High Poll Numbers

    09/20/2015 4:54:25 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Newsweek ^ | September 20, 2015 | Emily Cadei
    After bingeing on vitriol, name-calling and racial divisions this summer, the American political class—and the public at large—could use a good detox. And there’s no one who is more of an antidote to the Donald Trump-style politics than Pope Francis, who’s making his first visit to the United States this week. The humble Argentine Jesuit, who is scheduled to touch down in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday and address the U.S. Congress on Thursday, is everything the billionaire media tycoon is not. Where Trump is polarizing, topping the polls both as the most popular and most unpopular Republican candidate, Francis is...
  • Donald Trump Extends Lead in First Post-Debate Poll;Viewed as “Most Presidential”(Trump 29% Ben 14%)

    09/20/2015 1:39:20 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 78 replies
    The Gateway Pundit ^ | Sep 20th, 2015 10:11 am | Jim Hoft
    Billionaire businessman Donald Trump extended his lead in the first prominent post-debate poll released by NBC News Sunday. Post debate NBC poll: Trump 29% Carson 14% Carly 11% Jeb 8% Cruz 7% Rubio 7% Rand 3% Christie 3% Walker 3% Kasich 2% — Howie Klein (@downwithtyranny) September 20, 2015 Trump was also viewed as “most presidential” among the GOP candidates. NBC News reported: More than a third of Republican voters say that Carly Fiorina performed best in the Wednesday night debate on CNN. But debate performances don’t translate into vote preference overnight, and Donald Trump maintains his position at...
  • Trump’s xenophobic genius: GOP frontrunner will never give up racist pandering — it’s working

    09/19/2015 5:20:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 45 replies
    Salon ^ | September 18, 2015 | Bob Cesca
    Trump continues to appeal to the lowest and most vile common denominator with zero repercussions.I’m old enough to remember when, in 2008, a rather nervous and disheveled-looking woman stood up at a John McCain town hall meeting and told the Republican nominee that she didn’t trust then-Senator Obama because he’s “an Arab.” Even though it would’ve been politically expedient for McCain to follow the advice of author and MSNBC analyst Mark Halperin who suggested McCain present Obama’s “unusual name and exotic background through a ‘Manchurian Candidate’ prism,” McCain immediately debunked the woman’s unfounded accusation, saying, “No ma’am. No ma’am. He’s...
  • Donald Trump is party's 'best chance' of winning 2016 election, say Republicans

    09/16/2015 11:36:39 AM PDT · by RoosterRedux · 22 replies ^ | Ruth Sherlock
    Republicans increasingly believe that Donald Trump is the presidential contender who stands the best chance of winning back control of the White House in next year's election, a new poll has found. The figures come as Republican presidential hopefuls are said to be about to launch a multi-pronged attack against Mr Trump at tonight's debate in an increasingly desperate bid to staunch his apparently inexorable rise. More than one third – 39 per cent - of Republican primary and caucus voters now view Mr Trump as the candidate with the best chance of winning the 2016 presidential election, according to...
  • Nate Silver: Hillary Clinton Is Stuck In A Poll-Deflating Feedback Loop

    09/16/2015 3:41:50 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 26 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | 09/16/2015 | Nate Silver
    It’s the candidates who play the long game, and play by the establishment’s rules, who usually win presidential nominations. Political parties have lots of ways to influence the race in favor of these candidates, from how they appoint superdelegates to how they schedule debates. Hundreds of millions of dollars are spent on advertising, meanwhile, and the bulk usually favors establishment candidates. And voters have a lot of time to make their decisions and can amend them as they go along — an insurgent candidate who wins Iowa or New Hampshire won’t necessarily have staying power if they’ve failed to build...
  • Today in Politics: In New Poll, Ben Carson Pulls Up Alongside an Idling Donald Trump

    09/15/2015 1:26:24 PM PDT · by Berlin_Freeper · 85 replies ^ | September 15, 2015 | First Draft
    ...The proportion of Republican voters favoring Mr. Carson rose to 23 percent from 6 percent in the previous CBS News poll, which was taken just before the first televised Republican debate in early August. Over that same period, Mr. Trump made modest gains, to 27 percent from 24 percent.
  • George Will: Walker's internal polls show him ahead of Trump in Iowa-1st choice of 2 time goers

    09/15/2015 2:22:30 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 84 replies
    September 15, 2015 | Vanity
    Just watched last night's round table on Special Report. Democrat A.B. Stoddard declares Walker's campaign dead. George Will [paraphrasing] "Since I'm sleeping with the campaign I might as well give some inside information. Their polling shows that of those Republicans who showed up at the last caucus Walker is ahead of Trump, and for those Republicans who showed up at the last 2 caucuses, Walker is in the lead. Charles Krauthammer agrees with Will. Walker's campaign is not over.
  • NYT/CBS Poll: Carson, Trump in Statistical Dead Heat

    09/15/2015 6:54:50 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 201 replies
    Newsmax ^ | september 15, 2015 | Cathy Burke
    Retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson has pulled to within 4 points of GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump, a new poll shows. In the New York Times/CBS News survey released Tuesday, Trump maintains the lead of the presidential pack, with 27 percent support. But Carson is within striking distance, at 23 percent, which is within the margin of error, making it a statistical dead heat.Carson's rise compared with his polling at 6 percent support in the pre-Aug. 6 debate Times/CBS News survey; Trump was at 24 percent in that earlier poll, showing Carson's gains the most significant in that time frame,...
  • ABC Hides Details of Its Own Poll Showing Terrible News for Hillary

    09/14/2015 1:05:37 PM PDT · by Kaslin · 55 replies ^ | September 14, 2015 | Sccott Whitlock
    ABC on Sunday and Monday hid the damaging details of its own poll, minimizing Hillary Clinton's plunging popularity. Instead, World News and Good Morning America shifted the focus to Donald Trump and his continued surge. Clinton's "dramatic" fall appeared only on It was left to competitors CBS This Morning and NBC’s Today to probe the numbers. With an on-screen graphic crediting ABC, CBS This Morning co-host Charlie Rose explained, “Only 42 percent of Democrats in the national poll are backing her now. In July, 63 percent said they wanted her to be the party's nominee.” He added that “a...
  • New batch of polls finds Donald Trump surging and Hillary Clinton in 'trouble'

    09/14/2015 8:03:41 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 52 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 09/14/2015 | Colin Campbell
    Trump's Republican presidential campaign isn't slowing down, polls released Sunday and Monday found. Trump held the No. 1 position in the three early-primary states surveyed by the CBS News Battleground Tracker out Sunday. Trump held 29% support among Republican likely caucus voters in Iowa, compared with 25% for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and 10% for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. In New Hampshire, Trump had 40%, compared with 12% for Carson, 9% for Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, and 8% for former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. And in South Carolina, Trump had 36% and Carson had 21%. No one else...
  • Free Republic STRAW POLL (September 2015 Edition)

    09/13/2015 1:14:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 229 replies
    FreeRepublic | September 13, 2015 | 2ndDivisionVet
    If you had to vote in your state primary/caucus today, knowing what you know now about the various declared and probable candidates, who would you vote for? Why? Who would you like to see as the running mate for your preferred candidate? If you could help staff your candidates cabinet and other top appointments, who would you choose? If you could recommend different congressional leaders than we have now, who would they be? And who would you like to see on the Supreme Court and why? And finally, feel free to donate to Free Republic.
  • Latest Iowa Poll Devastating For Scott Walker – Cancels California GOP Trip…

    09/12/2015 3:20:59 AM PDT · by smoothsailing · 181 replies
    The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 9-12-2015 | sundance
    Latest Iowa Poll Devastating For Scott Walker – Cancels California GOP Trip… Posted on September 12, 2015 by sundance Iowa is essentially irrelevant for the GOPe candidate and never part of any plan for Jeb Bush. The same was true in ’11/’12 for Romney who basically ignored the state rather than spend all the necessary schmooze time. (Santorum won in ’12) In recent elections Iowa has not been favorable for the establishment teams.( Poll Data Link ) But for Scott Walker, Iowa is a regional necessity if he is to remain a viable candidate. Thus the latest Iowa poll displays...
  • Donald Trump Leads in Iowa in New Quinnipiac Poll

    09/11/2015 6:53:16 PM PDT · by Cringing Negativism Network · 37 replies
    The New York Times ^ | September 11th, 2015 | By Alan Rappeport
    Republican presidential candidates spent much of the summer canvassing Iowa to court the state’s caucus-goers and, so far, Donald J. Trump and Ben Carson seem to have made the best impressions. A poll from Quinnipiac University found Mr. Trump leading the crowded field with support of 27 percent of likely participants in the Republican caucus. Mr. Carson, a retired neurosurgeon who has been surging in recent polls, trails him with 21 percent.
  • Stu Rothenberg Becoming a Trump Believer

    09/11/2015 1:49:35 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The PJ Tatler ^ | September 9, 2015 | Rick Moran
    One of the most knowledgeable and respected political analysts in the country has changed his mind about Donald Trump, now believing the real estate tycoon is for real and is in it for the long haul. Stuart Rothenberg first thought that “once Iowa Republicans start to see the caucuses as an opportunity to select the next president, rather than an opportunity to express their frustration and anger, they will turn away from Trump (and other outsiders) and toward politically experienced, mainstream contenders.” But with the recent rise in Trump’s favorable rating, and after speaking with GOP strategists in Iowa, Rothenberg...
  • Video: Hillary donors “panicking” over crashing poll numbers: She's Losing to Carson and Jeb

    09/11/2015 8:02:46 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 40 replies
    Hotair ^ | 09/11/2015 | Ed Morrissey
    And well they should. A new CNN poll released last night shows a staggering 19-point drop in Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers over the last two months. That’s taken her from a commanding 56/19 lead in July over Bernie Sanders to just a 37/27 lead. It’s also dropped Hillary into a three way race with Joe Biden, who now gets 20% of the poll — and 35% for second choice, beating both Hillary and Sanders.Chuck Todd says that Hillary donors — who thought she was unbeatable — must be panicking by now. With each poll now, Todd says, “it feels...