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Keyword: polls

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  • The presidential race is over, cue the conspiracy theories

    11/01/2012 12:18:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 30, 2012 | Theo Caldwell
    This race is over, but the conspiracy theories are about to begin. And, boy howdy, are things going to get ugly. To wit, Mitt Romney will defeat Barack Obama for the presidency on November 6, after which there will be hysterical blowback. The election result is quantifiable, with Romney consistently leading in national tracking polls, finding a level at or above 50 percent in many, and closing the necessary gaps in swing states and among demographic groups. Greater evidence can be found, however, in Obama’s sour demeanor and the conduct of his campaign. What a mess. Opinion-peddlers have noted that...
  • Rasmussen: Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48%

    11/01/2012 10:41:20 AM PDT · by Anti-Hillary · 10 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11-1-12 | Scott Rasmussen
    Thursday, November 01, 2012 Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 750 Likely Voters...
  • GOP pollster: Romney up in Ohio, closing the gap in Wisconsin (R49, O46 in Ohio)

    11/01/2012 10:38:04 AM PDT · by whitey righty · 34 replies
    The Hill ^ | 11/1/2012 | Cameron Joseph
    Mitt Romney has the lead in Ohio and trails narrowly in Wisconsin, according to a new poll for the Republican group Citizens United. Romney leads Obama by 49 to 46 percent in Ohio, according to the poll, and trails Obama in Wisconsin by 49 to 47 percent, according to polling first obtained by The Hill.
  • GOP pollster: Romney up in Ohio,(R 49-46) closing the gap in Wisconsin

    11/01/2012 10:45:08 AM PDT · by Anti-Hillary · 6 replies
    The Hill ^ | 11-1-12 | Cameron Joseph
    Mitt Romney has the lead in Ohio and trails narrowly in Wisconsin, according to a new poll for the Republican group Citizens United. Romney leads Obama by 49 to 46 percent in Ohio, according to the poll, and trails Obama in Wisconsin by 49 to 47 percent, according to polling first obtained by The Hill. Partisan polls should be viewed with some skepticism, and both polls put Romney in a better position than most publicly available data has shown. Obama has a small but steady lead in most Ohio polls, and a slightly wider lead in Wisconsin. The polls also...
  • National Polls, State Polls, and Democrat Turnout

    11/01/2012 9:41:57 AM PDT · by lasereye
    National Review ^ | November 1, 2012 | Jim Geraghty
    NRO is back this morning! Hurrah! Also this morning, I’m scheduled to appear on Chuck Todd’s “Daily Rundown” on MSNBC around 9:40 or so. So, headlining the Morning Jolt is something I wanted to post all day yesterday… Why Do So Many Pollsters Use Samples Where Democrat Turnout Tops 2008? One of the theories floating around about why some pollsters show such a wide disparity in the percentage of Democrats and percentage of Republicans in their samples this year is that since 2008, a portion of right-leaning voters who once identified themselves as Republicans now identify themselves as independents. Thus,...
  • Are there any election watching events planned for Dallas/Fort Worth? (vanity)

    11/01/2012 9:00:47 AM PDT · by Do Not Make Fun Of His Ears · 5 replies
    Self | 11/1/12 | Self
    I and a small group of conservative friends would like to be around like-minded conservatives in some public venue to (hopefully) CELEBRATE the GOP victory.
  • Pew: Yup, Romney's Leading in Early Voting

    11/01/2012 8:20:17 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 28 replies
    Townhall ^ | Nov 01, 2012 | Guy Benson
    November 1, 2012 Pew: Yup, Romney's Leading in Early Voting By Guy Benson 11/1/2012   Welcome to November.  Earlier in the week, one of the oldest and most respected polling firms in America -- Gallup -- produced results based on thousands of voter contacts indicating that Mitt Romney is leading in national early voting by roughly six percentage points.  Last night, another venerable polling outfit confirmed Gallup's findings with a survey of its own.  From Pew Research:   The Pew Research Center survey found that the race is even among all likely voters nationwide (47% Obama, 47% Romney). Unlike...
  • CBS: Romney Posts Big Leads Among Independents

    10/31/2012 11:43:30 PM PDT · by SeattleBruce · 12 replies
    Big Government ^ | 10/31/2012 | Mike Flynn
    ...There are few things certain in life, but you can count on Democrats not repeating the massive turnout they enjoyed in 2008. That year, Democrats had an 8 point advantage in OH. They had a 6 point advantage in VA and a 3 point advantage in FL. It was their biggest turnout advantage in at least three decades. Quinnipiac, almost fraudulently, assumes Democrats will have the same advantage in OH next week, but will enlarge their advantage in the other two states. VA, according to Quinnipiac will go from D+6 to D+8. Florida, amazingly, will go from D+3 to D+7,...
  • Poll: Romney Up 16% With Pennsylvania Independents

    10/31/2012 6:44:00 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Breitbart's Big Government ^ | October 31, 2012 | Ben Shapiro
    According to a new poll from Franklin and Marshall, Mitt Romney is just four percentage points behind President Barack Obama … in Pennsylvania. In September, that gap was a full nine points. “Momentum is with Romney,” says poll director Terry Madonna. Madonna thinks that Romney may run out of time to make up that deficit. But the internals of the poll are shocking for Obama. Romney is ahead of Obama in terms of who the public believes can best fix the economy. Obama’s personal favorability is down from 2008; they’re actually at George W. Bush numbers circa 2004. And voter...
  • Fox News poll: Race for the White House a dead heat (R 53, 0 42 among "extremely interested")

    10/31/2012 3:12:35 PM PDT · by Arthurio · 129 replies
    With less than a week before the election, the race for the White House is dead even: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney receive 46 percent each, according to a Fox News poll of likely voters. Romney had a razor-thin 46-45 percent edge earlier this month, after the first presidential debate (October 7-9). Interviews in areas affected by Hurricane Sandy were completed before Monday evening, when the hurricane made landfall. Independents give the edge to Romney by seven percentage points (46-39 percent). That’s down from a 12-point advantage in early October. There’s a gender gap in vote preference, as men back...
  • That Q Poll Showing Obama Up by Five in Ohio Has a Flaw

    10/31/2012 12:01:13 PM PDT · by Numbers Guy · 16 replies
    PJ Tatler ^ | 10/31/2012 | Bryan Preston
    Is there any reason to believe that Democrats enjoy an 8-point advantage in a state that consistently swings between the parties, mirroring the national vote? I don’t think so. Quinnipiac may also be missing a massive trend: It has chosen not to poll PA anymore at all, saying that it’s “In the bag for Obama.” Both campaigns clearly disagree, as they’re both spending money and time in Pennsylvania in the closing days to capture it. It’s a must-win for Obama, and a nice-t0-have for Romney.
  • Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample

    10/31/2012 11:24:03 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 39 replies
    Townhall ^ | Oct 31, 2012 | Guy Benson
    October 31, 2012 Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample By Guy Benson 10/31/2012   Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:   Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican...
  • Final CBS/NYT/Q-polls in OH, FL, VA show Obama up … (Still using D+8 samples)

    10/31/2012 7:04:07 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 24 replies
    Hotair ^ | 10/31/2012 | Ed Morrissey
    We're down to the final week of the election, where we'd normally expect to see pollsters fine-tuning their samples in order to get the most predictive survey results ahead of the election. It's refreshing, therefore, to see the CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac partnership decide to buck that trend and stick with consistency. Their polls in the most hotly contested swing states of Ohio, Florida, and Virginia all show Barack Obama edging Mitt Romney --- as long as voter turnout resembles Obama's big win in 2008: President Obama has maintained a five-point lead in the crucial swing state of Ohio, according to a new...
  • Morning Jay: A Polling Quandary—in the Buckeye State

    10/31/2012 6:16:22 AM PDT · by TBBT · 20 replies
    weeklystandard.com ^ | 10/31/12 | JAY COST
    here is a peculiar divergence between various public opinion polls at the moment. On the one hand, Mitt Romney has built a narrow but durable lead in the national polls, averaging around a 1 percent advantage over the last three weeks. This has cheered the hearts of conservatives everywhere. Obama in Strongsville, Ohio Yet, liberals retort, Obama has a lead in enough swing states to add up to 270 electoral votes, and that is really what matters. What to make of this? For starters, they cannot both be right. If Mitt Romney wins the popular vote by 1 percent or...
  • Mitt Romney set to win, maybe by a mile: Republican momentum makes prez desperate

    10/30/2012 11:18:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Boston Herald ^ | October 31, 2012 | Michael Graham
    One week from today, the Boston Herald’s front page will either read “Obama Pulls Out Victory” Or “Romney Wins.” (Actually, given that this is the Herald the headline will be something clever like, “He’s Barack In Charge!” or “Sweet Mitt-ory!”) I predict the latter. One week from today, Mitt wins. I’ll even go a step farther. I’ll ask the question poll watchers across America are thinking but afraid to ask: Is this election over? If your source of news is MSNBC or the Boston Globe-Democrat, obviously not. If anything, you think President Obama is on the verge of a massive...
  • Mark October 30 on Your Calendar: Democrat Panic Hits Pandemic Stage

    10/30/2012 10:19:07 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Other McCain ^ | October 30, 2012 | Robert Stacy McCain
    COLUMBUS, Ohio - This will be seen in retrospect as the day liberals began to realize that Obama was going to lose the election, the day The Great Wall of Denial (erected by Nate Silver and the Democrat Graveyard Whistling Choir) proved itself too weak to withstand an encounter with reality. Yesterday, Jim Messina called the Romney super-PAC’s ad buy in Pennsylvania “desperate.” Today? Yeah, Obama’s buying ads in Pennsylvania. Does this mean Romney is going to win Pennsylvania? No, but it does mean that it’s close enough that Team Obama couldn’t afford to let Romney air ads unopposed in...
  • Romney starts reserving time in Pennsylvania for last two days of race (Updated)

    10/30/2012 1:13:43 PM PDT · by nhwingut · 41 replies
    Politico ^ | 10/30/2012 | MAGGIE HABERMAN
    Two media-tracking sources say Mitt Romney's campaign has started reserving TV time in Pennsylvania for the final two days of the campaign, including Election Day. The initial placements come as the pro-Romney super PAC Restore Our Future is buying over $2 million in time there, and as Crossroads is also going up with a buy over $600,000. The Obama campaign, forced to expend resources there, has responded with a defensive buy of over $600,000. The Romney buy is intended to signal the campaign considers the state, which Republicans have made plays for in past presidential cycles but went for Democrats...
  • Larry Sabato

    10/30/2012 11:27:34 AM PDT · by 7thson · 50 replies
    What is the general opinion of Larry sabato? He was just on M Kelly's program saying his data does not show Romney momentum.
  • Halperin: Democrats now on defense in blue states

    10/30/2012 7:55:16 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 11 replies
    HotAir ^ | 10/30/2012 | Ed Morrissey
    Just how much has this race changed since the first debate in October? At the time, Democrats thought they had a pretty good glide path to a narrower win in the Electoral College than in 2008, but a win nonetheless. Almost four weeks later, the Obama campaign is having to buy air time in states previously considered safe, such as Pennsylvania and Minnesota, the only state that never voted for Ronald Reagan in the EC. Mark Halperin tells Morning Joe that while one cannot claim to know how this race will turn out, there is no doubt now that the...
  • Obama's Going to Lose...but Not Because He's Black

    10/29/2012 6:44:08 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    American Thinker ^ | October 29, 2012 | The Drive-By Pundit
    The left is already beginning to point fingers at those they believe are responsible for what is shaping up to be a decisive rout in the making for President Obama and the Democrats on Election Day. The New York Times is among the first out of the blame gate, with an article by Matt Bai taking Bill Clinton to task. Clinton, according to Bai, has foolishly steered the Obama campaign to switch its more promising strategy of attacking Mitt Romney as a serial flip-flopper (in the vein of John Kerry) to one striving to paint him as a mean, evil...