Free Republic 3rd Quarter Fundraising Target: $85,000 Receipts & Pledges to-date: $14,765
17%  
Woo hoo!! And the first 17% is in!! Thank you all very much!!

Keyword: polls

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Which Polls Count

    10/02/2012 5:21:50 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 8 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 10/02/2012 | Bruce Walker
    It is very clear that the polls this election year are wildly out of sync. Consider the four polls which were based on several days of surveys ending on September 16. Pew Research had Obama up by 8%, NBC/Wall Street Journal had Obama up by 5%, Monmouth/Survey USA had Obama up by 3%, and Rasmussen had Romney up by 2%. These polls had margins of error which were significantly smaller than the differences between the polls. Some of the polls are bad science or worse. Which polls should be trusted, and which should be treated with great suspicion? Some news...
  • ‘"The. Polls. Have. Stopped. Making. Any. Sense." (Why the Polls are skewed)

    10/02/2012 4:33:22 AM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 19 replies
    New York Magazine ^ | September 30, 2012 | Jason Zengerle
    On the Friday after the Democratic convention, Tom Jensen tried to reach out and touch 10,000 Ohioans. He wanted to ask them, among other questions, whom they planned to vote for in November: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? This sort of thing is easier—and harder—than you might think. As the director of Public Policy Polling, Jensen has at his disposal 1,008 phone lines hooked up to IVR (interactive voice response) software that enables PPP to make 400,000 automated calls a day. All Jensen needs to do is feed the 10,000 phone numbers into a computer, record the series of questions...
  • THE PARADE OF BAD POLLS, CONTINUED

    10/01/2012 7:23:15 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 26 replies
    Powerline ^ | 10/01/2012 | John Hindraker
    Today the Romney campaign is trumpeting the latest CNN/ORC poll which shows President Obama with a three-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-47%. The Romney campaign likes this result, apparently, because it represents a significant improvement over the last CNN/ORC poll, which came out three weeks ago. In that survey, CNN/ORC found a six-point Obama lead.I wrote about the earlier poll here, pointing out that it obviously over-sampled Democrats. A reader calculated that, given other data in the survey, the six-point difference was consistent with a breakdown of D-38%, R-26% and I-36%. I wrote that the most significant...
  • Polls: Obama Maintains Small National Lead

    10/01/2012 5:20:07 PM PDT · by Kaslin · 16 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | October 1, 2012 | Guy Benson
    As the presidential debates are set to kick off this week, Barack Obama continues to hold a modest national lead over Mitt Romney.  Here are the top-line numbers among likely voters in three new polls:   Washington Post/ABC News - Obama 49, Romney 47Politico/GWU - Obama 49, Romney 47Rasmussen - Obama 50, Romney 47 (includes leaners) Digging a little deeper, the WaPo/ABC News poll shows a virtually-tied national race, but has Obama up by eleven in the swing states.  This makes little sense.  Obama is expected to clean up in non-swing states with the largest populations: California, New York and...
  • Fox’s Wallace Snaps at Radio Host: Romney ‘In Trouble,‘

    10/01/2012 4:47:55 PM PDT · by Mozilla · 48 replies
    The Blaze ^ | 10-1-12 | Mytheos Holt
    Fox’s Chris Wallace apparently is sick of hearing critiques of polls showing Mitt Romney trailing President Obama, and isn’t afraid to let a wide audience know it. In a clip captured by Media Matters, Wallace tells radio host Mike Gallagher that criticizing the polls is an example of what he terms “craziness,“ and that ”no self-respecting pollster” weights their polls to make party ID even. Those comments followed others that said Romney is “in trouble” and must win the upcoming presidential debate. In fact, he even had some harsh words for Gallagher when the host called out Wallace for thinking...
  • Okay it’s time to see Who should feel good, and who should NOT feel good about the election news

    10/01/2012 2:21:38 PM PDT · by jmaroneps37
    coachisright.com ^ | Oct 1, 2012 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    There is a lot of news about the election out there. For Republicans it seems to span from bad to worse, that is if you don’t look closer. Here’s a closer look and a question: Who should feel good now, and who should not? Several polls have Barack Obama ahead by anywhere from 2 points to 10 points. That would tend to make Democrats feel good. But there is a problem with the polls. To various degrees they over poll Democrats (some saying 52.2 % of all voters will be Democrats) under poll Republicans (some using just 24% Republicans and...
  • Come on, give us some HEADLINES about MITTMENTUM (Plus video PROOF that Romney's winning Ohio!)

    10/01/2012 12:07:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Legal Insurrection ^ | October 1, 2012 | Professor William A. Jacobson, esquire
    Don’t expect it, even though there is good polling news today for Romney-Ryan, as detailed at Hot Air: "Welcome to October! Today must be Poll Day, as media groups try to determine the lay of the land ahead of the first debate on Wednesday. The new Washington Post/ABC News poll put the national race in a virtual tie at 49/47 for Barack Obama, and so does the new Politico/GWU Battleground Poll. In both cases, the national results look more or less like stasis, except the Battleground poll shows a little movement for Romney among independents — and a slight slackening...
  • Poll Shows GOP With Enthusiasm Advantage

    10/01/2012 10:34:00 AM PDT · by TomEwall · 20 replies
    RealClearPolitics ^ | October 1, 2012 | Kyle Adams
    Republicans hold a substantial enthusiasm edge over Democrats as President Obama and Mitt Romney prepare to face off in their first head-to-head debate on Wednesday in Denver. According to a new USA Today/Gallup poll, 64 percent of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, while 48 percent of Democrats say the same....
  • Skewed Columbus Dispatch poll of Ohio shows padded Obama lead

    10/01/2012 10:25:37 AM PDT · by GilGil · 8 replies
    Examiner.com ^ | 10-1-2012 | Dean Chambers
    When the data from the Columbus Dispatch poll is unskewed by weighting their reported percentages between Romney and Obama to the partisan of the registered voters of Ohio, the overall picture of the race is different. With Republicans weighted 37 percent, Democrats at 36 percent and Independents at 27 percent, the results calculate to Obama leading much closer, by a 47.5 percent to 45.7 percent with about three percent undecided. A large majority of the undecided voters, who usually break for the challenger in a presidential race involving the incumbent president, can be expected to swing toward Romney and lead...
  • Commentary: They can't skew the polls anymore

    10/01/2012 8:59:27 AM PDT · by GilGil · 58 replies
    Examiner.com ^ | 09-30-12 | Dean Chambers
    The scammed election won't happen, and Mitt Romney will be elected fair and square as president by the voters. The American people will resume the mission of taking their country back from the liberal elitist pabulum pukers.
  • Can the Polls Be Believed?

    10/01/2012 8:35:53 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 54 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 09/30/2012 | Jim O’Sullivan
    A raging war has been underway between Republicans/Romney and the mainstream media (MSM)/polling organizations on the accuracy of many recently reported polls. Both sides have stridently argued their cases in a vicious skirmish that has been decidedly unequal. The Republicans, the Romney campaign, conservative talk radio, conservative new media and Fox News have valiantly fought the Democrats, the MSM, some polling organizations and the Obama campaign organization. Yet given just the megaphones owned by the MSM and Obama's bully pulpit, the battle has been the equivalent of brandishing a popgun at a howitzer...the voting public seemingly is not hearing the...
  • Democrat registration down 500k in swing state, GOP enthusiasm 16% higher and Obama leads: Really?

    10/01/2012 7:57:17 AM PDT · by jmaroneps37 · 23 replies
    coachisright.com ^ | OCTOBER 1ST, 2012 | Kevin “Coach” Collins
    Media fraudulent pollsters you’ve been busted. Your fake numbers have been exposed by two very unlikely and probably unwilling sources. Last Friday the Leftist cheer leaders at the Third Way “think tank” made what had to be a very sad announcement for them. They told the world their researchers had found Democrat registration has fallen by 490,000 in just Ohio alone and without going into finer numbers had also declined by significant numbers in other important states. Florida Democrat registration is down 4.9% Iowa Democrats have lost 9.5% and remember that “thisclose” swing state of New Hampshire, the one that...
  • The Particulars of Polls

    10/01/2012 3:45:33 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 12 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | October 1, 2012 | Michael Barone
    As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters. First, some points about the limits of polls. Random sample polling is an imprecise instrument. There's an error margin of 3 or 4 percent, and polling theory tells us that one out of 20 polls is wrong, with results outside the margin of error. Sometimes it's easy to spot...
  • Poll finds most think Obama will win first debate

    09/30/2012 7:55:46 PM PDT · by smoothsailing · 62 replies
    Washington Times ^ | 9-30-2012 | By Stephen Dinan and Ben Wolfgang
    September 30, 2012 Poll finds most think Obama will win first debate By Stephen Dinan and Ben Wolfgang DENVER — Mitt Romney has one thing going for him headed into this week’s first presidential debate with President Obama: Voters don’t expect him to do very well. The newest Washington Times/Zogby Poll, released Sunday, found twice as many voters think Mr. Obama will win Wednesday’s kickoff affair as think Mr. Romney will win it — and among self-identified independents, it’s even more pronounced.
  • WE ARE THE 91%: Only 9% of Americans Cooperate with Pollsters

    09/30/2012 7:18:51 PM PDT · by TChad · 66 replies
    PJ Tatler -- PJ Media ^ | September 30, 2012 | Zombie
    One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed: Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012: It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.
  • Polls have the veracity of fill-in refs in the NFL

    09/30/2012 4:53:18 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    The Anchorage Daily News ^ | September 29, 2012 | Paul Jenkins
    It was excruciating. The blazing lights. The frenzied, screaming crowd. The fourth-and-forever football spiraling into history with eight seconds tick-ticking off the clock. Huge men hurling themselves into the air in the corner of the end zone, crashing into one another, fighting, jostling, clawing for the ball. Green Bay safety M.D. Jennings' pulled it in. Seattle's Golden Tate grabbed for the ball. They hit the ground wrestling for it. Two referees ignored Tate's pass interference, stopped and looked at each other. One signaled to stop the clock; the other, touchdown. The points went to Seattle and the gods who protect...
  • Is polling science, art or witchcraft?

    09/30/2012 2:23:53 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 16 replies
    Hotair ^ | 09/30/2012 | Jazz Shaw
    One of the stories I've been following here at good ole' Hot Gas this month has been Allahpundit's ponderings on precisely what value --- if any --- the polls have in gauging the temperature of the electorate. (Here and here this week.) I've not only read AP's questions and coverage, but many of your responses on the subject, and I've got to be honest here ... I was still completely confused on a couple of fundamental points.One of the first has to do with a subject which the current Oval Office occupant likes to trumpet... arithmetic. (Or, as Joe Biden...
  • Why the polls are all wrong. To set up the claim, "You cheated!"

    09/30/2012 10:36:09 AM PDT · by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin · 47 replies
    30 September 2012 | Mene Mene Tekel Upharsin
    Story after story has come out showing the populace somewhat evenly divided between the two Presidential candidates. However, on the street where the "real" people live, we all know the story is VERY different from the polls. The ONLY people I hear advocating for the Democrat Party are the individuals like the "Obama gave us a cellphone" woman and they do not make up a significant part of the population. Very few cars now sport Obama stickers anymore. They've all been peeled off. The invective used by people when discussing the Democrat Party and Obama is severe. The only conclusion...
  • Election Polling: Why So Much Variation in the Polls? (Pt. 1)

    09/30/2012 7:45:19 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 17 replies
    Christian Post ^ | 09/30/2012 | By Napp Nazworth
    Editor's Note: With the many complaints over election polls in recent weeks, The Christian Post spoke with Scott Keeter, director of survey research at Pew Research Center, to better understand election polling. Part one of this series will look at why election polls vary. Part two will address the issue of whether the polls are oversampling Democrats. The previous seven polls for the presidential race at RealClearPolitics.com ranges from a seven percentage point advantage for Obama (National Journal) to a one percentage point advantage for Obama (Associated Press). With a little more than a month to go until the election,...
  • Rasmussen: Yes, Dems likely have 2-4 point advantage in November

    09/29/2012 8:21:34 PM PDT · by smoothsailing · 158 replies
    Washington Examiner ^ | 9-29-2012 | Byron York
    September 29, 2012 Rasmussen: Yes, Dems likely have 2-4 point advantage in November Byron York For all the complexities of polling, says Scott Rasmussen, there are some fairly simple numbers to remember when thinking about this year’s presidential race. “For the last 20 years, between 37 and 39 percent of voters on Election Day have been Democrats,” says the pollster. “Republicans have ranged from 32 to 37 percent. Right now, our sample looks like 36 percent Republican versus 39 percent Democrat.” The bottom line, Rasmussen continues, is that there is most likely a two, three, or four percentage point advantage...
  • More overwhelmingly pro-Obama polls

    09/29/2012 10:08:16 PM PDT · by EinNYC · 18 replies
    Self | 9/30/12 | Me, Myself, and I
    I keep hearing the newsfolks quoting poll results which "show" that Obama is quite in the lead. I know about oversampling one group or the other. I simply cannot believe, other than the Obamaphone hopelessly stupid permanent welfare parasites, that people can see their healthcare costs go up, gasoline costs go up, U.S. ambassadors murdered and outright lied about, president bowing to other heads of state, president caught on tape promising to basically hand over America to other countries after the election, U.S. debt increased by the trillions of dollars during this president's term, the education of our children being...
  • DAILY DOOM ANTIDOTE — Media manipulates polling for Democrats since 1980

    09/29/2012 8:40:27 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    HillBuzz ^ | September 28, 2012 | Kevin DuJan
    Here’s a really great article in American Spectator about how Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan in 1980…you know, because all the polls were saying that Carter was going to win and that it was impossible for Reagan to pull off a win. It’s fascinating to see the corrupt media played its games even way back then — everything it is doing now to help Barack Obama it did 32 years ago in its desperate attempt to award Carter a second term. The article calls this the media’s “in-kind contribution” to both Carter’s and Obama’s campaigns. If you can’t see what...
  • WHAT TO MAKE OF DECLINING DEMOCRATIC REGISTRATION?

    09/29/2012 7:46:03 PM PDT · by lasereye · 31 replies
    Powerline ^ | September 29, 2012 | John Hinderaker
    On our podcast today, Brian Ward, Steve Hayward and I talked about the obviously bogus polls that purport to show Barack Obama with a big lead in various swing states, even though those same polls show Romney winning independent voters by significant margins. Those results make sense only if enormous numbers of voters are signing up as Democrats. But is there any evidence of any such trend? Not at all; the evidence is entirely to the contrary. Hugh Hewitt, among others, has been talking about these data: Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from four...
  • Election situation end of September

    09/29/2012 3:47:27 PM PDT · by Leto · 7 replies
    jb willikers blog and spreadsheet ^ | 9/29/2012 | jb willikers
    Update today with new Rasmussen and Gallup included: Romney 47.8%, Obama 45.08%, Other Undecided 7.17% Trend over the past month using the daily corrected polling gap. The gap represents Romney's lead, Obama hasn't led in this corrected poll 9/29 2.77%; 9/28 2.89%; 9/27 2.91%; 9/26 0.86%; 9/25 1.55%; 9/24 3.60%; 9/23 4.03%; 9/22 4.25%; 9/21 4.10%; 9/20 3.94%; 9/19 4.21%; 9/18 4.21%; 9/17 4.95%; 9/16 4.88%; 9/15 4.91%; 9/14 4.84%; 9/13 4.54%; 9/12 3.83%; 9/11 3.91%; 9/10 3.08%; 9/09 3.18%; 9/08 4.38%; 9/07 5.42%; 9/06 5.60%; 9/05 5.60%;
  • Gallup Daily Approval: Obama 48% Approve 47% Disapprove (Yesterday was 50-45)

    09/29/2012 11:49:05 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 28 replies
    Gallup ^ | 09/29/2012 | Gallup
    Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president. Daily results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
  • Report: USA Today/ Gallup Poll: GOP Opens Up 16% Enthusiasm Lead over Dems

    09/29/2012 11:12:19 AM PDT · by kristinn · 97 replies
    Twitter ^ | Saturday, September 29, 2012 | Susan Page
    New USA TODAY/Gallup Poll: GOP regains enthusiasm edge. 64% of Reps are more enthusiastic than usual v. 48% of Dems. http://usat.ly/QyKk3a (Link goes to USA Today/ Gallup poll results. Enthusiasm gap buried in article.)
  • The Battleground Poll 9/24/2012

    09/29/2012 10:00:36 AM PDT · by faucetman · 67 replies
    The Tarrance Group ^ | 9/29/2012 | Faucetman
    "In our latest Politico/GWU Battleground Poll with middle class families, which comprise about fifty-four percent (54%) of the total American Electorate and usually split in their vote behavior between Republicans and Democrats, Romney holds a fourteen-point advantage (55%-41%)."
  • Growing voter confidence in economy lifts Obama (Soviet Style Journalism)

    09/29/2012 9:14:31 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 39 replies
    AP ^ | 09/29/2012 | Charles Babington
    WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans are growing more optimistic about the economy and President Barack Obama's leadership, creating a significant obstacle for Republican rival Mitt Romney five weeks to Election Day. Even with unemployment above 8 percent for a 43rd straight month, polls find voters taking comfort in modest signs of economic progress, from a solid jump in consumer confidence this month to steady gains in home prices. Surveys show Obama opening up leads over Romney in several key states, thanks to voters such as Jim Young, 62, a retired engineer from eastern Iowa.
  • It's Over

    09/28/2012 6:52:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    American Thinker ^ | September 28, 2012 | William L. Gensert
    Give up -- Barack Obama has won. With the election only weeks away, it is clear from recent swing state polling that Mitt Romney has lost this election. According to the Quinnipiac numbers, in the battleground states of Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania, the president is ahead by 10%, 9% and 12%, respectively. Romney can't win. Just ask any journalist or newscaster. He is toast -- stick a fork in him. Bull... If anything, the closer we get to Election Day, the more apparent it is that Obama is not only losing, but losing big. The Obama campaign, and by "campaign"...
  • Tracking Ohio’s absentee ballot requests--THE POLLS ALL WRONG--AWESOME NUMBERS

    09/28/2012 3:56:03 PM PDT · by GilGil · 146 replies
    RedState ^ | 09-28-2012 | Moe Lane
    The current narrative that Ohioan Democratic voters are as enthusiastic about voting in 2012 as they were in 2008.
  • Remember The Day When Independents "Decided The Election"???

    09/28/2012 2:53:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Arizona Newszap ^ | September 27, 2012 | Dustin Hawkins
    In 2008 and 2010 that is all we heard, Independents, Independents, Independents.... How many times did we hear "It's the Independents that decide the election". Remember that?? Well look how that's changed today. But oddly enough, we don't hear anything about the oh-so valuable "Independents" from the National NotWorks about it. Is Obama really "running away" with this election like they keep trying to portray or "running from it"??? Hmmm.... If Independents decide the elections, these numbers look like Obama's going to get another shellacking. Media Ignore Independents' Swing Toward Romneyby Dustin Hawkins September 27, 2012 Not long ago, Independents...
  • The Liberal Media Is Ignoring Romney's Strength With Independents

    09/28/2012 2:24:26 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 21 replies
    US News & World Report ^ | September 28, 2012; 10 Minutes Ago | Mary Kate Cary
    In several battleground states, President Barack Obama is either tied within the margin of error or pulling ahead, which is getting a lot attention from the media. We get updates on every swing state there is. But here's one statistic we don't hear much about: Gallup reports that 22 percent of swing-state voters say they may still change their minds. Those one-in-five who say they might change their minds includes 10 percent who currently say they support Obama and 7 percent who support Romney. In swing states that are within the margin of error, that's huge. And we're not hearing much about that at...
  • Everyone is Talking About Skewed Polls

    09/28/2012 2:17:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Excellence in Broadcasting Network ^ | September 27, 2012 | Rush Limbaugh
    BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Here's Jeremy in Toledo as we start on the phones. I'm glad you called, sir. Great to have you with us. CALLER: Hey, Rush, how are you? RUSH: Very good. Thank you. CALLER: Hey, I gotta tell you first off, I can't begin to express to you what an honor it is to talk to you after being a listener for over 20 years. RUSH: Thank you, sir, really very much. CALLER: Nor can I express or do I think you'll ever be able to truly understand everything you have done over the years means to me...
  • Catholic support for Obama in polls may not tell full story

    09/28/2012 1:43:10 PM PDT · by NYer · 19 replies
    cna ^ | September 28, 2012 | Michelle Bauman
    A voting sign. Credit: Karen Montgomery via Flickr (CC BY-NC-SA 2.0) Washington D.C., Sep 28, 2012 / 10:55 am (CNA/EWTN News).- A recent poll showing President Barack Obama with a 15-point lead over Republican candidate Mitt Romney among Catholic voters may not represent the actual attitudes of the Catholic electorate, analysts say. “Keep in mind that a survey is just that – it’s a survey,” said Dr. Matthew Green, a politics professor who deals with the field of U.S. elections at The Catholic University of America. “There’s always some uncertainty.” A poll released by Pew Research Center on Sept....
  • The truth about 2012 polls

    09/28/2012 1:03:04 PM PDT · by Innovative · 17 replies
    Fox News ^ | Sept 27, 2012 | Douglas E. Schoen
    In the 2012 race for the White House President Obama is ahead, but the polls are misleading. In a recent interview, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse made the argument that these mainstream polls are skewed in favor of Obama. In order to address this, some conservative outlets have taken matters into their own hands. One website, www.unskewedpolls.com, has begun reweighting mainstream polls to more closely track the demographic assumptions that the conservative leaning Rasmussem Reports uses. The results have been staggering: the re-weighted polls all put Romney ahead of Obama with margins of between 3 and 11 points. If one looks...
  • See the fnord, experience the power of fnord

    09/28/2012 12:54:46 PM PDT · by Usagi_yo · 24 replies
    The Illuminati Trilogy | 9/28/2012 | Somewhat Vanity
    Here is a snippet from one of the books from Robert Anton Wilson and Robert Shea's Illuminati trilogy ... courtesy of the ***ipedia ^ FNORD, excerpt from The Illuminatus! Trilogy by Robert Anton Wilson and Robert Shea. 'Suddenly I saw Hagbard's eyes burning into me and heard his voice: ``Your heart will remain calm. Your adrenalin gland will remain calm. Calm, all-over calm. You will not panic. you will look at the fnord and see it. You will not evade it or black it out. you will stay calm and face it. And further back, way back: my first-grade teacher...
  • Changes in Voter Registration Favor Republicans in Many States

    09/28/2012 12:44:07 PM PDT · by MrChips · 3 replies
    RED RACING HORSES ^ | June 2012 | anon
    For key states . . . What has happened in voter registration stats since 2008? Have we seen a massive D surge? Here is May 2012 stats-click on highlighted links lets start with Nevada May 2012 That 433,000 D and 394,000 R. Wow only a 39K gap. Oct 2008 That's 531K D and 430K R. So in the last 42 months nearly 100K in D's have rolled off while only 36K republicans. The gap that was 100,000 voters is now less then 40,000. December 2011 showed 446,000 Ds and 395,000 Rs so the trend towards R in total registration has...
  • “Tough... I’m glad it cost you plenty. It’s my in-kind contribution to the Mondale campaign”

    09/28/2012 10:54:07 AM PDT · by jmaroneps37 · 5 replies
    coachisright.com ^ | SEPTEMBER 28TH, 2012 | Kevin “Coach” Collins
    <p>“.. headline is Washington Post’s Ben Bradlee’s response to the charge that he used fake polls to help Walter Mondale. Bradlee’s “poll” showed Ron Reagan in trouble in his home state of California which caused him to divert money and energy to California and likely save Walter Mondale from a fifty state wipe out.</p>
  • 51% Trust Romney More on Economy, 44% Trust Obama More

    09/28/2012 8:26:48 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 17 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/28/2012 | Scott Rasmussen
    Mitt Romney continues to hold a seven-point lead in voter trust over President Obama when it comes to the economy, by far the number one voting issue. The candidates remain more closely divided in several other key issue areas, but voters are shifting toward Romney when it comes to national security. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy. Forty-four percent (44%) trust the president more. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
  • Rasmussen Consumer Index: 15% Rate U.S. Economy As Good or Excellent

    09/28/2012 8:23:50 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 9 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/28/2012 | Scott Rasmussen
    The Rasmussen Consumer Index, which measures consumer confidence on a daily basis, climbed two points on Thursday to 85.4. The consumer index is down two points from a week ago, but it is up two points from a month ago and one point from three months ago.
  • Random Ruminations: Romney Strategy and Polls

    09/28/2012 7:16:36 AM PDT · by AdamBomb · 21 replies
    Point 1: Either Mitt is running the lamest campaign in the history of the GOP (2nd to McCain) OR he has a few surprises for us. If he plays it close to the vest for 4 more weeks, we're done. Point 2: Could Rasmussen be intentionally keeping his numbers close to even for a few different reasons? To give us hope, but to keep us from getting overconfident??? Is he in the tank? Point 3: We've heard so much about the money that Romney and Company have, but does the balance sheet reflect reality? For example, the latest numbers say...
  • Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Obama 47 Romney 46 (W Leaners Tied 48-48)

    09/28/2012 6:50:03 AM PDT · by nhwingut · 57 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/28/2012 | Scott Rasmussen
    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history. Romney is supported by 86% of Republicans, while Obama gets the vote from 85% of Democrats. The GOP hopeful has a four-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major party. When “leaners” are included, the race is tied at 48% apiece. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean...
  • It's Over! (Media Polls in the tank for Obama shows that he is actually losing)

    09/28/2012 5:15:06 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 76 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 09/28/2012 | By William L. Gensert
    Give up -- Barack Obama has won. With the election only weeks away, it is clear from recent swing state polling that Mitt Romney has lost this election. According to the Quinnipiac numbers, in the battleground states of Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania, the president is ahead by 10%, 9% and 12%, respectively. Romney can't win. Just ask any journalist or newscasters. He is toast -- stick a fork in him. Bull... If anything, the closer we get to Election Day, the more apparent it is that Obama is not only losing, but losing big. The Obama campaign, and by "campaign"...
  • Voters Expect Economy to Improve With Romney as President

    09/28/2012 5:03:38 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 7 replies
    Townhall ^ | Sep 27, 2012 | Katie Pavlich
    September 28, 2012 Voters Expect Economy to Improve With Romney as President By Katie Pavlich 9/27/2012   For months Mitt Romney has focused his presidential campaign around the failing economy and his message seems to be resonating with voters. A new Rasmussen Report shows voters expect the economy to get better if Mitt Romney wins in November. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 34% of Likely U.S. Voters think the economy is likely to get better if President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain full control of Congress, marking little change from early July when...
  • Great Poll link from Drudge

    09/27/2012 9:50:52 PM PDT · by annajones · 14 replies
    drudgereport.com ^ | 2012 | link from Drudge
    Great link for "unskewed" polls
  • Asking the experts: Which polls are, or aren’t, legitimate?

    09/27/2012 7:05:36 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 21 replies
    Hotair ^ | 09/27/2012 | AllahPundit
    After yesterday's post on poll trustworthiness, I started wondering whether there's any poll or model that's been consistently accurate over time and therefore worth watching down the stretch as a weathervane of where the race really stands. I e-mailed two experts whom I trust and put that question to them. Is there any steady signal they trust amid the cacophony of statistical noise? Anyone we can look to as a beacon in the darkness when the NYT drops its next D+10 sample of Utah or whatever on us?Short answer: No, there's no one whom they count on to get it...
  • Skewed polls indicate Obama's in trouble - not Romney

    09/27/2012 6:05:41 PM PDT · by GilGil · 86 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 09-27-2012 | Keith Edwards
    Naturally, if you support Obama and are treated every day to wall-to-wall news headlines showing Obama so far ahead of Romney in the polls that the election is basically over, then you're less likely to go out of your way to vote in November. So there's a really fine line between turning out your voters and turning off your voters when using polling data like this.
  • Keep Calm and Carry On (Excellent Analysis)

    09/27/2012 5:56:27 PM PDT · by nhwingut · 7 replies
    Powerline ^ | 09/27/2012 | John Hinderaker
    As Paul noted last night, the Gallup Poll currently has Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by six points, 50-44. Paul expressed skepticism about that finding, with which I agree. Why would Obama be enjoying a spike in support over the last week? Are voters happy to see an American ambassador murdered and the Middle East in flames, while our economy continues to stagnate? I don’t think so. Certainly the Rasmussen survey, which tracks likely voters, hasn’t seen any similar bump for Obama. As of today, Rasmussen’s three-day rolling numbers have the race tied 46-46. It couldn’t be closer: with “leaners”...
  • The Five False Assumptions Behind Poll-Skewing

    09/27/2012 5:09:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    PJ Media ^ | September 27, 2012 | Zombie
    Polls polls polls polls polls. In the weeks leading up to a presidential election, that’s all anyone talks about. Polls subsume all other news: Every soundbite, disaster, current event, policy, gaffe, decision and incident are merely vectors in pollspace, data which may or may not nudge the candidates’ numbers up or down a notch. Therefore he who controls the polls can retroactively control everything that happens: Any event or utterance can be afterward spun as wonderful or ruinous if you can demonstrate that the subsequent poll showed a bounce or a dip. Polls are seen as irrefutable ex post facto...
  • Fox News poll: Most voters want change, even as Obama holds edge (O 48 R 43 D+4)

    09/27/2012 5:00:07 PM PDT · by nhwingut · 90 replies
    FOX News ^ | 09/27/2012 | Dana Blanton
    The latest Fox News poll finds the race for the White House holds steady, with 48 percent of likely voters backing the Obama-Biden ticket and 43 percent backing the Romney-Ryan ticket, if the election were held today. That’s unchanged from two weeks ago, after the Democratic convention. Romney was preferred by one percentage point (45-44 percent) before the two conventions (August 19-21). The president’s advantage is within the poll’s margin of sampling error.[SNIP] In addition, even as Obama’s post-convention bounce holds, about a quarter of voters (24 percent) want the country to “mostly stay on the course it’s on,” while...