Posted on 07/03/2022 12:00:03 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
The withdrawal of Ukrainian troops to Seversk, Donetsk region, will allow Ukrainian forces to reduce the risk of immediate encirclement by Russian occupation forces.
This is reported by the Censor.No, with reference to data from the Institute for the study of war (ISW).
So, it is noted that yesterday Russian troops managed to enter Lisichansk and advance within the city, but the Ukrainian military did not officially announce the withdrawal of troops from Lisichansk, but also did not report on defensive battles around the city.
Also, according to American analysts, Russian forces may establish control over the remaining territory of the Luhansk region in the coming days.
"Most likely, they will then strike at the Ukrainian positions in Seversk, and then return them to Slavyansk and Bakhmut. The withdrawal of Ukrainian troops to Seversk will allow Ukrainian forces to reduce the risk of immediate encirclement, but Ukrainian forces may continue to withdraw with fighting to the line near the E40 highway from Slavyansk to Bakhmut," the report says.
https://censor.net/en/news/3351617/armed_forces_of_ukraine_repelled_two_mass_offensives_of_russian_army_in_direction_of_verkhnokamyanka Photo source: Destroyed homes, apt building by Russian occupation forces. https://censor.net/ua/n3351748
A look at the battlefield from the perspective of a Russian soldier that explains why Ukraine loses.
https://t.me/s/Za_Derjavy/18895
For (V)Victory
The advancing army always suffers multiple times greater losses. This is simply an axiom of military science, nothing can be done about it, it just needs to be taken into account.
When we hear that on the one hand there are such and such losses, and on the other hand such and such, then we should also clarify - under what circumstances, and if as a result of offensive actions, then - who attacked.
The ratio of attacking and defending forces (in people) in modern warfare is 11 to 1. This is because of automatic and precision weapons.
That is. If the attacking side has reached the goal of its offensive, and has suffered losses in the ratio of the defending 11 to 1, then this is considered an acceptable loss. Usually, the losses are much less.
The advancing army always suffers multiple times greater losses. This is simply an axiom of military science, nothing can be done about it, it just needs to be taken into account. When we hear that, on the one hand, there are such and such losses, and on the other, such and such losses, then we should also clarify - under what circumstances ...
But if we talk about losses, then I would like to give a few words to the opposite side.
The retreating Ukrainian army, with every onslaught of our troops, suffers serious losses. I will describe in general terms one major offensive operation that took place before my eyes, and the administrator has something to do with ensuring the success of this operation.
Before attacking Ukrainian positions, they are subjected to massive artillery fire. So massive that I’m not afraid to call it artillery terror. Even before the end of the artillery preparation, the forces of our infantry begin to advance in the direction of the enemy (to the line). At the end of the artillery preparation, the enemy, not yet having time to recover and sum up the damage suffered, is faced with an assault on his positions. If suddenly, the enemy finds the strength to provide at least relatively stubborn resistance, then our infantry does not attack, but retreats in an organized manner to the original one. And the artillery terror begins again. And again our infantry approaches.
This can be repeated 2, 3, 4 or even more times. Until the enemy finds himself in a position in which it is simply pointless to continue fighting: the losses in killed and wounded are large, the fortifications have been severely destroyed, equipment and warehouses have been destroyed.
Most often, the next attack of our infantry ends with the fact that we go to the positions that were broken and left by the enemy.
In one of these operations, I witnessed a radio conversation between the colonel and the company commander, where the colonel shouted with courage in “excitement”: - “have you managed to kill anyone at all?! Kill them all the f__k! You took their positions ?! Occupy and kill anyone who resists!
You can’t imagine
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For (V)Victory
crests are seriously depleted of resources. For example, the ratio of artillery activity at the beginning of the operation I described above was approximately 60/40. By the end, the tufted artillery was practically silent. Part of the artillery was knocked out by counter-battery work, part by aviation, but for the most part - the lack of ammunition.
It should be understood that as well as technical depletion, it is worth including human depletion as well. Khokhols, from the beginning of the conflict, do not consider losses. They simply do not keep any detailed statistics in principle. Mark my words: when the war ends and the time comes to collect the stones, the losses of the Ukrainian army will, in principle, be impossible to calculate even approximately.
crests have a lot of different foreign weapons. That’s just the use of these weapons is not enough. For you to understand, for us this is no longer any interesting trophies. Ukrainians are knocked out of their positions, and these various grenade launchers are lying around everywhere - from American to Turkish and German - and we continue to stomp on them, without any interest in them. We have nowhere to put our grenade launchers, and then there is this exotic rubbish. Well, they shot from them, for comparison, they realized that there was not much difference, and that’s it.
crests simply ran out of Soviet stocks along the borders, so they use imported ones, which are supplied to them in large volumes. And as you may have guessed, they generally do not help them much.
And in the beginning, such finds were considered trophies, they were given medals and paid according to the price list. Now if you drag a javelin to the CP, they will just send you the f__k) now you can get something for which you can still get something, you can only bring it with the help of an experienced driver or trawl)
We erase them into atoms - slowly, methodically, confidently. And they cannot make up for this with any imported fittings. And most importantly, what comes to them, albeit through a__ pain, that the human resource is exhausted. And even if no one keeps statistics there, but in real terms they see and understand that they end - literally and inevitably.
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Excellent Rybar video of where Ukrainians and Russians are heading to for the next battle.
I had posted this earlier from a Telegram link, but for those who don’t have Telegram here is the video on Twitter so it is accessible to all.
I definitely recommend watching...it is very short, but gives you a clear idea of what is next in this “special military operation.”
https://twitter.com/Cyberspec1/status/1543359159327809536
Tony
@Cyberspec1
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7h
🇷🇺🇺🇦
Video from Rybar with their view on potential developments at #Bakhmut
The Ukrainian’s disorganized retreat from the city has played havoc with their ability to set up a coherent fallback defensive line. A good explanation of this is contained at the following link.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rletgA5I4I4&t=911s
Borders will shift. Expect both eastern oblasks to become Russian territory and watch the UN eventually vote to recognize it as part of russia.
Of interest:
‘[ Luhansk Front] Russian forces capture Novodruzhesk, Lysychansk City Center & City Council Building’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxyfhK3lJ4s
‘[ Ukraine SITREP ] Day 129 (2/7) Summary - Lysychansk encircled; Only Bilohorivka left in Luhansk’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ivRQBqLSjCI
Who knows?
I agree with you...This should have been over before it started. The people wanted a referendum...not only were they denied that possibility, they were not allowed to vote in the elction when zelensky was running.
Excellent analysis at that link. I’m subscribing to this channel, thanks.
“War In Ukraine”
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg
Then again, the Russkies could fold like a bad poker hand.
Good informative video.
From my reading of military history I know retreats have an often unintended side effect of the loss of equipment, supplies and weapons. I don’t know what size units he is speaking of so also wondering what size supply dumps the Russians might have captured.
I’m sure it won’t be the goldmine we left for the Taliban…🤦♂️
This story is a little stale. Russia has now taken Lisichansk. See the celebrations of the fighters and of the citizens at this link — https://bit.ly/3R95nLU.
The Russian special military operation has been hugely successful despite the efforts of the west to goad the Ukrainians into committing suicide on their behalf. And at the same time tanking the economies of the west!
Way to go Brandon!
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