Is a Biden comeback quietly underway?

The Hill ^ | April 2, 2024 | BY DOUGLAS SCHOEN AND CARLY COOPERMAN

[Conway Feebs]

Rallies, bigger or smaller, mean nothing for sure.

[Bob434]

the hill missed April Fool’s Day by 1 day

[Racketeer]

The Lying Media (MSM) can make numbskulls believe anything. The percentage ofnumbskulls in the USA is very high.

[lasereye]

Rallies are not enough. Trump needs lots of ads.

They need a sophisticated media strategy. And lots of money. He doesn't have second one. I would not bet on them having the first one.

[lasereye]

Trump is ahead in all swing states.

Not according to this article.

[Sarah Barracuda]

Every single poll Ive seen other than quinnipiac shows Trump kicking Biden’s ass, and even worse for Biden if RFK Jr is in the race

[RedMonqey]

Exactly, I venture into watching the alphabet network news and it’s Orange Man bad, all the time when it’s not praising the glorious Biden and the economy.
For “low information voters”:as Rush used to say, this is all they get.
Being anti Biden ain’t going to be enough....

[PghBaldy]

I see Biden ads at least once or twice a week online (on Youtube before videos play). Have seen no Trump ads.

In Texas years ago, IIRC, Beto raised $40 million I think, and Cruz beat him... I think Hillary had tons of $$$ in 2016, and lost.

[Olog-hai]

Fraud denial. He needs fraud to get “back in” this time around too.

PS. Welcome to FR. Did you join solely to concern-troll for Biden? because that is the primary purpose of fraud denial. ICYMI, we are in a Constitutional crisis, literally.

[ConservaTexan]

Four years ago he campaigned like he already knew the outcome of the stealection. Now, his handlers are Presidenting like they know the 2024 results ahead of time. I wonder why.

[Olog-hai]

Oh? Since when has out-frauding the fraudsters worked?

There’s a God above us, after all.

[Reno89519]

Underway, no. The reality is that 45% of the voters will vote for Biden. Will they have the enthusiasm to do so or will fraudulent votes make up the different.

Trump will get his core, smaller. Will he get other Republicans?

And then the independents, the wild card. Again, I bet enthusiasm will be key.

So media will play up losses and comebacks to fit the narrative but this is all in the margins.

I do bet the dead voters will vote for Biden without regard to the latest polls.

[Owen]

There is a methodology difference in play.

Some pollsters use turnout in recent elections to determine weighting and others use the 2020 Census (which has been corrupted) to determine weighting.

Regardless of all this, what matters is the direction of leads with methodology held constant.

I don’t see an issue yet.

[Olog-hai]

Complete lie and fraud denial.

Opus?

[Captain Peter Blood]

I would not buy into that poll that much.
Kennedy will impact Biden and should

But I think the pressure on The Fed to do at least one rate cut is coming and I suspect it will be in June to inflate the market, depending on the polling in August and this is stretch, maybe a small rate cut in September.

The outlook for 2025 though is a different matter entirely. I expect to see Inflation roaring back, because it never left and The Fed will have at least 4 to 5 rate increases to battle it. So get ready for a full blown recession and a market decline. Head for Bonds to survive and preserve Capital. Even Treasury Notes will look good and CD’s might even offer great rates of 8.5% or better.

Inflation is still there and the real rate is running at about 8 to 10%, so Biden trying to sell a great economy will be a hard sell all the way around. All he can do is force Powell to do a rate cut to create the Illusion of prosperity. Reality we are creating another $1 Trillion of Debt every 100 Days or so and Spending is killing us.

Whoever is President will have a real mess to do deal with and will have no solutions for it.

[Reno89519]

Yes, lie and fraud for the polls. But do you not disagree that there are hard-core pools of votes that won’t change. Maybe not 45%, that is a number I’ve seen in the past regarding Democrat voting behavior so what do you think is the hard-core base that each party or candidate starts with?

[DoodleBob]

Trump has to answer just ONE question. How are you going to flip 38+ electoral votes?

We NEED Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona or some combo theirin.

And this is against the backdrop of mail-in voting, which isn't going away.

Many FReepers are getting it right - we need not break law like the Others, but at least bring a knife to a knife fight.

flamberge had some good ideas too:

To the extent that we have any legal and peaceful means of winning "elections" it will depend on adopting new tactics and strategies to game the mail-in ballot system.

Committing ballots as early as possible is part of what is needed. Get the ballots with relentless daily tracking of Republican voters and provide them with every possible assistance to turn in a vote.

Preventing last-minute injection of fraudulent ballots is another critical part of what is needed.

Campaign advertising must change. Issues don't really matter all that much. Hard to accept, but how many times does that need to be demonstrated? "Tribal" affiliations override just about everything else.

The biggest factor, however, is not race, nor ethnic background, nor religion. It is gender. Quite simply, the Republicans must focus on appealing to men.

Without any apology, the Republicans must project hyper-masculine imagery in everything they do, even to the point of caricature.

It is the one strategy that can draw enough Black and Hispanic men to cripple the Democrat voter base. They have become too dependent on 90% turnout in those demographics, to win without them. Even a minor shift will make a major problem for the Democrats. They would need to extend their fraud efforts to preposterous levels in order to deal with the defectors.

The Democrats might indeed extend fraud to such an obvious level that they can demonstrate no further need for elections ever again.

If so, then everybody will proceed to settle political conflicts by other means.

Really, thoughtful ideas.

And yet there REMAINS a large quantum of surrendercons who'd rather have Bud Light with their whine and cheese, bitch and moan that all is lost, and fantasize about CWII bravely from behind a keyboard.

[HamiltonJay]

Agreed that poll exists purely to skew the averages so that articles like this can be written to further gaslighting.

[laconic]

Both R backed public issues on the ballot in Wisconsin to stop billionaire (Soros, Zuckerberg) financial takeovers of local elections passed by wide margins tonight. As far as Trump not garnering as many votes as the senile boob did tonight, it is because three of the four primary states are solid blue (CT, NY, Rhode Island). Also, Baris’ Pennsylvania poll tonight shows Trump up by 5-6 points over the fool.

[mass55th]

More like another election steal quietly underway.