[Eagle Forgotten]

There's probably some danger of a repeat of the 2022 "jungle primary" result. If Newhouse's Republican challengers again split the vote, then Newhouse could again be the highest-finishing Republican. Some Democrat could take second place. Then the November runoff would again be RINO versus Democrat.

According to the NR article, Trump has endorsed a candidate who, in 2022, finished fourth, with only 12% of the vote. Maybe he should reconsider that in light of Smiley's entry. In 2022, she ran for the Senate against long-time Democratic incumbent Patty Murray. Murray had the advantages of incumbency and huge name recognition (she'd been in the Senate since 1993). Smiley lost by 15%. That's a decent showing in state where Biden beat Trump by 19%. In this very red Congressional district, Smiley should have a good chance.

[Parley Baer]

I am for the most conservative candidate.

[PermaRag]

Smiley's run in 2022 was always a lost cause but one thing she showed was a major ability to raise money. Despite the legendary efficiency of the Democrat dirty money laundry known as "ActBlue", Smiley actually raised MORE money from individual contributions than doddering old Patsy Murray (!).

2022 Senatorial Election Results for Washington

Despite the GOP allegedly paying for a few tepid ads on Smiley's behalf, Smiley had zilch as far as party support; Murray had millions from the Rats and was able to outspend Smiley. Not that she really needed to because Smiley never had a chance regardless of $$$$.

The Trump-endorsed (for now) candidate in WA-4 in 2024 is Jerrod Sessler, who got 12% in the open primary in 2022. Sessler is a decent conservative from what I know of him. If Tiffany Smiley can bring her 2022-style fundraising to this race, she will be the favored challenger to RINO Newhouse, and Trump will stick his finger into the wind and likely change horses once he sees that she's more probable to make it to November than Sessler is.

Either way, whatever it takes to get rid of Newhouse is what should be done. Unlike what happened under similar conditions in WA-3 in 2022, no Democrat has a chance of winning this district in a general election, though one could make the runoff when Smiley, Sessler and whoever else split the conservative vote.

[Mr. N. Wolfe]

I agree with your assessment.

Jerrod Sessler has virtually no chance of unseating Dan Newhouse in 2024. Newhouse crushed him in 2022. Tiffany Smiley is a much better candidate.

I’m always amazed when Republicans vote overwhelmingly for RINOs in safe Republican districts. The worst RINO in the House of Representatives is Brian Fitzpatrick (Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district). He’s in a safe Republican district and will be reelected by a wide margin in 2024.

The Democrats would never allow this to happen in a Democrat safe district.

Republican voters are their own worst enemy.

Trump loves endorsing RINOs. He’ll stay with Sessler over Smiley even if Smiley has a better chance of defeating Newhouse.

[shanover]

How does a complete retard stay in power? It’s actually fascinating that voters are so stupid collectively and individually laugh at this troll.

[1Old Pro]

Sounds like good news.