2022 Senatorial Election Results for Washington
Despite the GOP allegedly paying for a few tepid ads on Smiley's behalf, Smiley had zilch as far as party support; Murray had millions from the Rats and was able to outspend Smiley. Not that she really needed to because Smiley never had a chance regardless of $$$$.
The Trump-endorsed (for now) candidate in WA-4 in 2024 is Jerrod Sessler, who got 12% in the open primary in 2022. Sessler is a decent conservative from what I know of him. If Tiffany Smiley can bring her 2022-style fundraising to this race, she will be the favored challenger to RINO Newhouse, and Trump will stick his finger into the wind and likely change horses once he sees that she's more probable to make it to November than Sessler is.
Either way, whatever it takes to get rid of Newhouse is what should be done. Unlike what happened under similar conditions in WA-3 in 2022, no Democrat has a chance of winning this district in a general election, though one could make the runoff when Smiley, Sessler and whoever else split the conservative vote.
Thanks for the info! You’re right that the ability to raise money is a key consideration. I’m glad to learn that Smiley has done well in that regard. It also means that she starts with a large donor list from her 2022 race. Many of them will presumably help her out again.