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A wargame simulated a 2nd Trump presidency. It concluded NATO would collapse.
Business Insider ^ | May 12, 2024 | Michael Peck

Posted on 05/13/2024 7:16:34 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

If Donald Trump wins a second term in the White House in November, NATO may fall apart, a recent wargame found.

As a presidential candidate, Trump has threatened to quit NATO unless European allies contribute more, and should he carry it out Europe may decide to go it alone on defense, the game suggests. "A US policy of frustrating NATO has the potential to cause the alliance to collapse, with the EU as a candidate for eventually replacing NATO's ultimate function — defending Europe from Russia," wrote Finley Grimble, the British defense expert who designed and ran the game.

The US doesn't have to withdraw from NATO to imperil the 75-year-old alliance. Technically, the US is barred from leaving NATO after Congress voted in 2023 to prohibit withdrawal without congressional approval.

But the game showed how Trump — the presumptive Republican presidential nominee who said on the campaign trail that he'd encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" with NATO allies who spend too little on their militaries — could undermine NATO simply by doing as little as possible to support the alliance. "What Donald Trump can do is just really hollow out what NATO does," Grimble told Business Insider. "He doesn't need to leave NATO to ruin it. He can ruin it from within."

Grimble, who has conducted wargames for the British government, conceived of this game after claims by former US National Security Adviser John Bolton that he talked then-President Trump out of withdrawing from NATO in 2018. He designed a tabletop simulation where the players — mostly British specialists in defense, intelligence and foreign policy — assumed the role of leaders of the 32 NATO nations, plus Ukraine and Russia; China was played by the umpires.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; France; Germany; Government; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: 2018; ai; axisandallies; babylonthegreat; boardgameinsider; boardgames; bolton; britain; businessinsider; chat; endnato; eussr; fakenews; finleygrimble; fourthreich; grimble; johnbolton; merkel; michaelpeck; molotovribbentrop; nato; natonazis; nerds; newmolotovribbentrop; newsweak; notukraine; nutso; predeterminedoutcome; risk; stoltenberg; tabletopsimulation; tds; trump; trumppersecution; uk; wargame; wishfulthinking
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1 posted on 05/13/2024 7:16:34 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Gee I thought the euro superstate would not even need nato anymore, it would be obsolete.


2 posted on 05/13/2024 7:18:12 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Is Europe really so pathetic that they can’t defend themselves from Russia?

I mean Russia looks ok fighting against Ukraine, but they don’t strike me as some sort of imperialistic powerhouse.


3 posted on 05/13/2024 7:19:22 PM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Bye Nato we won’t miss you.


4 posted on 05/13/2024 7:20:50 PM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2024)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I have no problem with us paying to protect all of Europe. The only condition is that the must surrender their sovereignty and governance to us.


5 posted on 05/13/2024 7:22:21 PM PDT by DesertRhino (2016 Star Wars, 2020 The Empire Strikes Back, 2024... RETURN OF THE JEDI. )
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To: Bishop_Malachi

6 posted on 05/13/2024 7:22:21 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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As a presidential candidate, Trump has threatened to quit NATO unless European allies contribute more …
He never said that, Peck. Stop lying.
7 posted on 05/13/2024 7:22:23 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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So what!

NATO has been a paper tiger for a long time. The United States of America should not be paying to defend other countries.

If other countries want our defense, then they should pay the total cost of our troops and equipment and support being there.


8 posted on 05/13/2024 7:23:10 PM PDT by StrictConstructionist
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To: MinorityRepublican

Let me guess, Finley Grimble probably also co-authored the Steele dossier.

Newsflash, NATO is probably going to collapse one way or another. Many have suggested this before Finley Grimble. So trying create another Trump boogieman is really only to reinforce the coastal elites TDS. Europe will be Muslim within a decade anyway.


9 posted on 05/13/2024 7:23:44 PM PDT by Obadiah
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To: Bishop_Malachi

“Europe” is in no danger from Russia. That’s just posturing for the benefit of the US left.


10 posted on 05/13/2024 7:25:03 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: MinorityRepublican

And, THAT is why NATO is obsolete. It should be replaced with a EURO-centric mutual defense organization that is not dependent on US military material support.


11 posted on 05/13/2024 7:25:30 PM PDT by PubliusMM (RKBA; a matter of fact, not opinion. The Dhimmicraps are ALL Traitors. All of them.)
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To: Secret Agent Man

I have an idea! Why don’t all the NATO members pay the cost to protect themselves?


12 posted on 05/13/2024 7:25:31 PM PDT by abbastanza (he)
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To: MinorityRepublican

It’s called negotiating.


13 posted on 05/13/2024 7:26:52 PM PDT by Freest Republican (There is no tyranny that cannot be justified by imbeciles)
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To: MinorityRepublican
I betcha there's a scenario where NATO loses if a conflict started today under the present regime.

But, if European NATO is that concerned they know what they need to do to have a chance at winning.

Boost their defense spending.

Change their immigration policies.

Boost European born citizens.

14 posted on 05/13/2024 7:27:50 PM PDT by ealgeone
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To: abbastanza

They are supposed to be a bigger economic powerhouse than we are, after all.


15 posted on 05/13/2024 7:28:26 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: PubliusMM

That’s exactly what the EU has wanted for decades, for the purpose of anti-American aggression. Want to hand it to them, like Biden handed that big smorgasbord to the Taliban in Afghanistan?


16 posted on 05/13/2024 7:28:47 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Sounds like a happy ending to me.


17 posted on 05/13/2024 7:29:05 PM PDT by ganeemead (everything )
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To: DesertRhino
I have no problem with us paying to protect all of Europe. The only condition is that the must surrender their sovereignty and governance to us.

And I demand free Dom Pérignon, Bitberger Pils, and Camembert, for life.

18 posted on 05/13/2024 7:31:02 PM PDT by montag813
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To: MinorityRepublican
Finley Grimble

Sounds like a friggin Dickens character.

19 posted on 05/13/2024 7:32:07 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Olog-hai
"“Europe” is in no danger from Russia. "

Correct. Putin is a totally rational guy, and there is no rational reason for him to want to rule all of those idiot wankers.

20 posted on 05/13/2024 7:32:39 PM PDT by ganeemead (everything )
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