This could be interesting on Oct 29th, 2024. In February it’s noise at best, and misleading more likely.
I dunno, feels a lot more like Carter to me. Reagan had crossed over by early April (or early May, depending on which plot chart you care to believe), and he never looked back.
Even when Carter bottomed out in late July as Biden has already done a couple of times, he tracked back but never got within the MoE, and then Reagan destroyed him in the debates.
As I have said before, if Stephen Miller is smart enough to tell Trump not to try and confuse the Zombie with speed, but to specifically needle the dumbass with a mix of provocation and hard to follow argumentum, the Zombie will lock up and challenge Trump to a fight, or physically attack him. And the election is done then and there.