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In the race for a COVID-19 vaccine, how do we balance risk and safety?
Chicago Tribune ^ | 10/16/2020 | Thomas Hazlett

Posted on 10/16/2020 4:46:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The great race for a COVID-19 vaccine has more than 130 medicines in development, with 40 being tested on humans, of which 10 are in large, phase 3 trials. The U.S. Government has invested about $11 billion in Operation Warp Speed, making advance purchases from Moderna, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer/BioNTech, Sanofi/GlaxoSmithKline, Novavax and AstraZeneca — betting that at least some will be soon approved by regulators as “safe and effective” vaccines.

No matter your Twitter feed, “vaccines have been one of the greatest public health tools to prevent disease,” as The New York Times explained in January. But as late as May 9 the Times reported that “American officials and pharmaceutical executives have said that a (COVID-19) vaccine remains at least 12 to 18 months away.”

That forecast may prove unduly pessimistic: Good Judgment, a respected forecasting firm, places odds of a vaccine (approved and distributed to at least 25 million Americans by March 31, 2021), at 46%.

(And Pfizer said it would not apply for emergency authorization of its vaccine before mid-November.)

Too fast? Many are terrified that the Food and Drug Administration may hastily authorize injections into hundreds of millions. The FDA and drugmakers are trying to assuage such concerns with enhanced commitments to safety. Nonetheless, fears have been stoked by the President Donald Trump’s infomercial-style endorsement of hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 remedy, his foolhardy disdain for face masks and campaign rally boasts of a preelection cure.

Yes, politics. But the opposing political push — the demand that new vaccines must be safe at all costs — is itself a dangerous meme, and the strange bedfellow of anti-vaxxer protesters.

(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: covid19; vaccine
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1 posted on 10/16/2020 4:46:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Give vaccine to Democrats first? It is a win, win. If the stuff works then they might be greafull. If the side effects kill a bunch of Democrats everybody else is greatful. /s


2 posted on 10/16/2020 4:50:57 PM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no justice until PIAPPS is hanging from a gallows.)
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To: SeekAndFind

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/27/dr-anthony-fauci-isnt-particularly-concerned-about-safety-of-moderna-coronavirus-vaccine.html


3 posted on 10/16/2020 4:52:57 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: SeekAndFind

Humans deal with risk vs safety every day and have for centuries.

What a bunch of wussies.


4 posted on 10/16/2020 4:53:02 PM PDT by Fledermaus (ONLY A MORON THINKS 6 FEET IS A MAGIC NUMBER!)
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To: Fledermaus

Humans deal with risk vs safety every day and have for centuries.

What a bunch of wussies.

No kidding.


5 posted on 10/16/2020 4:54:59 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: SeekAndFind

Just don’t make it mandatory, explicitly or not.


6 posted on 10/16/2020 4:58:12 PM PDT by Freee-dame
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To: SeekAndFind

No steps in the testing process have been left out, or even rushed.

The years of slack time usually involved in bringing a vaccine to market have been (mostly) eliminated. The clinical testing is continuing, while mass production and preparation is underway. Normally, testing is completed before mass production is started. Several months were saved by this change alone. There is a huge financial risk involved — the mass-produced vaccines will have to be destroyed, if they are not proven safe.

It’s a dramatic demonstration of the project management truism: scope, time, and cost — you only get to control two at a time. By throwing train-loads of money at the problem, the scope is retained, while the timeline has been dramatically reduced.


7 posted on 10/16/2020 4:59:30 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: SeekAndFind
Treat it as an illness...and stop treating it as a death sentence.

We have plenty of therapeutics...and they're being used every single day and people are getting better and there are few deaths.

and Cuomo is no longer sending seniors to "the chambers".

8 posted on 10/16/2020 4:59:30 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Fledermaus

Bingo! This is about fear, control, and power. It was initially about safety, but when the governors found how easily the populace could be suckered, they became drunk with power. It’s a big lie and the goalposts keep moving, no team can kick a field goal.


9 posted on 10/16/2020 5:00:21 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: Sacajaweau

I have relatives that are being denied treatment. The doctor and the V A have told them both, “There Are No Treatments for Covid” if you’re hospitalized MAYBE they can ease your symptoms, but there is NO TREATMENTS AVAILABLE.”


10 posted on 10/16/2020 5:05:57 PM PDT by Conservative4Life (But he that sinneth against me wrongeth his own soul: all they that hate me love death:Proverbs 8:36)
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To: SeekAndFind

A fake vaccine for a fake virus,and miracles of miracles everyones cured.


11 posted on 10/16/2020 5:08:56 PM PDT by Craftmore
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To: Sacajaweau

Tony Fauci is in the tank for Moderna. They are lagging behind in the race to release a vaccine and he is not putting his toe on the scale. He is sitting on it and pretending that he is just a scientist. He stands to cash in big time, providing that the Moderna vaccine can get out of the gate. Pfizer is rounding the last turn and have several lengths on the second place filly.


12 posted on 10/16/2020 5:19:49 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: SeekAndFind

Ensure that everyone is free to reject taking it without penalties.


13 posted on 10/16/2020 5:22:08 PM PDT by Arcadian Empire
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To: SeekAndFind

The safest thing to do is just say no.


14 posted on 10/16/2020 5:23:19 PM PDT by Revel
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To: SeekAndFind

I intend to balance risk and safety by waiting for at least a year or two to see how everyone else does before considering taking the vaccine myself. I’m retired, and not planning to travel anywhere, so that should work.


15 posted on 10/16/2020 5:27:34 PM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: Revel

And your expertise to make such a definitive statement?


16 posted on 10/16/2020 5:31:18 PM PDT by gas_dr (Trial lawyers AND POLITICIANS are Endangering Every Patient in America: INCLUDING THEIR LIBERTIES)
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To: gas_dr

In this case the only thing you need to do is pay attention and use a little common sense. There are multiple reasons not to take these vaccines. Here is a big one. At Best it only has 10% effectiveness.


17 posted on 10/16/2020 5:45:35 PM PDT by Revel
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To: SeekAndFind

Dont care

Never going to take it


18 posted on 10/16/2020 5:47:13 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Fungi

But what happended to people? So many sheep these days.


19 posted on 10/16/2020 5:55:30 PM PDT by Fledermaus (ONLY A MORON THINKS 6 FEET IS A MAGIC NUMBER!)
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To: Revel

On a vaccine that is still studied. You actually have an inside source on the study. Please. you are quoting the influenza vaccine study of earlier today that may or may not be accurate.

You are not only an idiot, you are a liar.


20 posted on 10/16/2020 6:01:02 PM PDT by gas_dr (Trial lawyers AND POLITICIANS are Endangering Every Patient in America: INCLUDING THEIR LIBERTIES)
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