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Jeff Sessions Holds all the Keys to the Mid-term Elections
DB Daily Update ^ | David Blackmon

Posted on 07/15/2018 5:53:22 AM PDT by EyesOfTX

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Note to America: Dianne Feinstein is no longer far left enough for California Democrats. – Yes, let that one sink in for a minute before you continue on.

Senator Feinstein, who has held her senate seat since 1992 and was the very liberal mayor of San Francisco from 1978 through 1988, was basically given a vote of no confidence by the executive board of her own political party in her home state on Saturday, as party delegates voted overwhelmingly to support her Democrat challenger in the November election. For those unfamiliar with California’s odd voting system, candidates from all parties run in open primaries in June, and the top two vote-getters then face off in the general election.

In the June primary, the far-left Feinstein easily bested her far, far, far, far-left opponent, state assemblyman Kevin de Leon, winning 44 percent of the vote to his 12 percent. But de Leon won the endorsement vote from the executive board members by a whopping 65 to 7 margin, with 28 percent choosing not to endorse either candidate. Breathtaking.

I’ve been around a long time and I can’t remember any long-time U.S. senator receiving this kind of overwhelming rebuke from their own political party. The only good news for Feinstein is that she’ll no doubt get 90+ percent of the vote from Republican and independent voters who will find de Leon even more radical than she is. So she’ll most likely survive to hold her senate seat into her 90s (she’s 85 now), which is precious little comfort to normal people out here in flyover country.

Speaking of the November mid-term elections, I’ve had several inquiries about where I think things are headed, so now would be a good time for a mid-year update.

Those who followed me throughout the 2016 campaign will know that I believe the overall public mood is a far bigger and more important influence over the balance of power outcome of national elections than are the nitty gritty details that the inside-the-Beltway pundits tend to focus on. This is a more prominent influence during presidential election years than in mid-terms, but it is still a major factor.

That belief is why I began telling my clients and readers in October 2015 that I believed Donald Trump would win the presidency. The clear mood of the vast majority of the public in 2016 was for change – real, fundamental change in the direction of the country after our disastrous 8-year experiment with community organizer radicalism, which had corrupted every institution of our government. Among all of the primary candidates in both parties, Donald Trump, by October 2015, was the only truly viable candidate offering real change.

So, even while micro-analysts like Nate Silver were giving Hillary a 97 percent chance of winning and most of the polls showed her holding big leads in the months leading up to Election Day, I held to the belief that the overall mood in favor of real, radical change would end up prevailing and Trump would become the next POTUS. On the Sunday prior to Election Day, I predicted he’d win 311 electoral votes, overshooting his final total by five.

The overriding public mood this far in advance of Election Day, 2018 is more difficult to read. Which, frankly, is good news for the GOP, because the absence of a clear public mood mitigates in favor of the status quo.

Thanks to the tireless efforts of the Democrat Party and its fake news media guardians, the public is more divided than at any time since perhaps 1860. The President’s base of support has only grown more loyal and unshakable over the first 19 months of his presidency, and he now polls better among self-identifying Republicans than any of his predecessors. But the radical leftist Democrat base of support has only grown more radical over the same period of time, making it very difficult to determine if the majority inertia among the electorate is for change or for preservation of the status quo.

Again, the lack of any clear indication that this will be a real change election also mitigates in favor of the GOP, which holds majorities in both houses of congress, and which is only defending 9 senate seats as opposed to 25 the Democrats must defend.

So, here’s my current thinking on the ultimate outcome:

If the election were held today, the Rs would retain control of the House – barely – and gain a bigger majority in the Senate, with maybe 54 or 55 total seats. There would be no impeachment action on the horizon, and President Trump would be an overwhelming favorite to be re-elected in 2020.

But the election is four months away, and much can change between now and November. If November comes around and nothing has changed in the current status quo related to all the Obama-era bad actors, the election will go very badly for the Rs.

Right now, the GOP base is pumped up, but it’s only because of President Trump, not due to anything the Republican congress has accomplished. The tax cuts are great, but they are also old news at this point, and voters in November are going to be asking what have you done for me lately? Congress’s failure to act on Obamacare last year and the steadfast refusal by Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell to really make a push for funding the border wall will be big issues this fall in the minds of GOP voters. Should the Senate somehow fail to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court by Election Day, that also will be a huge negative for the Republicans.

There is also great and growing dissatisfaction among the GOP base with Attorney General Jeff Sessions and the lack of any real law enforcement action being taken against the myriad bad actors within his Department. If we get to November and no one has been indicted, Rod Rosenstein still has his job, Robert Mueller is still indicting Russian ham sandwiches at strategic moments, Peter Strzok still has his security clearances, Andrew McCabe and James Comey are still walking around free and unindicted men, and Hillary Clinton still appears to be immune from the laws of the land, then GOP voter enthusiasm will fall through the floor.

If, on the other hand, November comes around and a bunch of indictments have been served on a bunch of these terrible people and maybe Hillary Clinton and John and Tony Podesta to boot, then the GOP will pick up net seats in the elections and possibly finish the increasingly-radicalizing Democrat Party off for a generation.

It is not an overstatement to say that the entire future of our country hinges on the real nature of Jeff Sessions. Is he just another corrupt Washington, D.C. swamp rat? Or has he, along with Michael Horowitz, John Huber and others just been biding his time, executing a plan that will result in the beginning of real enforcement actions following the issuance of Horowitz’s report on the abuse of the FISA process several weeks from now?

Good questions. The time for finding out is growing short.

Just another day in Jeff Sessions is holding all the keys America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Humor; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: fakenews; mediabias; trump; trumpwinsagain; walkaway
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1 posted on 07/15/2018 5:53:22 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
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To: EyesOfTX

Oh noooo…..did they put those keys in his casket?


2 posted on 07/15/2018 5:55:32 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: EyesOfTX

Who?


3 posted on 07/15/2018 5:58:35 AM PDT by richardtavor
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To: EyesOfTX

They’ve given him keys to play with, I guess....lots and lots of keys.


4 posted on 07/15/2018 5:59:36 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Truth is hate speech to those who hate the truth.)
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To: EyesOfTX

So Feinstein won the primary 44-12 but the exe board of the party decided 65-7 her opponent will be on the ticket???

That sounds something like the super delegate system that ripped Bernie Sanders.


5 posted on 07/15/2018 6:00:43 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: dynoman

They are both on the ticket, just that the party is putting their support behind her opponent. In CA, the top 2 vote getters are on the Nov ticket.So, if 2 Dems get the top 2 then they are on the ballot.No Republic on the ballot


6 posted on 07/15/2018 6:06:33 AM PDT by TheCipher (To my mind Judas Iscariot was nothing but a low, mean, premature Congressman. - Mark Twain)
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To: TheCipher

If Diane wins, the next governor will appoint her replacement.


7 posted on 07/15/2018 6:09:29 AM PDT by ptsal ( Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please. - M. Twain)
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To: EyesOfTX

“It is not an overstatement to say that the entire future of our country hinges on the real nature of Jeff Sessions.”

Somebody should tell him that he was confirmed by the senate and can begin to perform his duties.


8 posted on 07/15/2018 6:09:41 AM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: EyesOfTX

“Jeff Sessions Holds all the Keys to the Mid-term Elections”

Sessions is an empty suit and can’t be counted on to do his job. He has deferred to Rod Rosenstein who has been running the DOJ since Sessions was named AG. This is all part of the deep state swamp, which Trump, is apparently, for one reason or another, is in fear of cleaning it up.


9 posted on 07/15/2018 6:33:46 AM PDT by kenmcg (tHE WHOLE)
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To: EyesOfTX

Who is Jeff Sessions ?


10 posted on 07/15/2018 6:52:38 AM PDT by jennychase
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To: EyesOfTX

No he doesn’t.


11 posted on 07/15/2018 6:55:16 AM PDT by DarthVader ("The biggest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: EyesOfTX

Utter rot. Sessions isn’t in the game at all. It’s completely over his head. He’s too busy propping up forfeiture laws and other atrocities.


12 posted on 07/15/2018 6:58:40 AM PDT by Seruzawa (TANSTAAFL!)
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To: EyesOfTX

13 posted on 07/15/2018 7:00:43 AM PDT by TaxPayer2000
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To: EyesOfTX

Trump understands everything, especially the importance of retaining control of Congress in Nov. Everything is geared toward accomplishing that goal first. Priorities.


14 posted on 07/15/2018 7:01:16 AM PDT by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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To: EyesOfTX

“It is not an overstatement to say that the entire future of our country hinges on the real nature of Jeff Sessions.”

Actually, that IS an overstatement.

“Is he [Sessions] just another corrupt Washington, D.C. swamp rat? Or has he....just been biding his time, executing a plan that will result in the beginning of real enforcement actions....?”

You are presenting a false choice, as there is a third alternative - namely, that Trump has decided not to press criminal charges against Obama era officials, but rather to focus on setting things right for the future.

It could be argued that when the Democrats went after Nixon with the Watergate scandal, their initial success in destroying a Republican POTUS was short lived - it was the Democrats who were hurt the most in the long run. Similarly, most agree that going after Clinton over the Lewinski scandal was a political faux pas - it would have been far better for the Republican brand if they had just stayed out of it and let Clinton embarrass himself in front of the American public. Impeaching him made hm a martyr.

Similarly, the Democrats are hurting themselves badly pursuing Trump over this ridiculous Russia crap - everyone can see that it’s a politically motivated witch hunt. The American people simply do not appreciate witch hunts and they punish the witch hunters.

Trump is not a fool who ignores history - he knows he is BENIFITING politically from the Mueller witch hunt. They are making Trump a martyr. So, if trying to end Mueller’s investigation by force could risk the appearance of obstruction, and he’s benifiting from it anyway, it seems like a no-brainer: let Mueller be.

Meanwhile, while the Clintons, et al are guilty of plenty, they are mostly marginalized - out of the picture. Yes, there are Obama era holdovers who remain in Trump’s DOJ and FBI, and that is infuriating from a fairness standpoint. When I think about the lack of equal justice my blood boils.

But Trump is not an emotionally driven leader. He’s not going to fly into a rage and get indignant about the lack of fairness. Anyone waiting for Trump to lose his temper like Nixon and start firing people and indicting Democrats - is in for some bitter disappointment.

I’m telling you - he doesn’t care about that. He is forward looking and just wants to set things right for the future. He is not the type who would take any pleasure in seeing his political enemies locked up.

Trump’s “because you’d be in jail” debate zinger was fun, but he’s smarter than that. When Republican and Democrat politicians start trying to lock each other up - Houston, we’ve got a problem. It would just continue a vicious cycle of retribution and the will of the people get lost in the shuffle.

These recent congressional committee hearings and senate hearings should leave you with one important takeaway: this is about party politics. Every single Democrat is in one side of the narrative and every single Republican is on the other side! Think what that means. If Democrats wind up locked up, it will be because there were enough Republicans - and not enough Democrats to stop it. If Trump gets impeached it will be because there were enough Democrats and not enough Republicans to stop it.

So, no matter how real the Obama era crimes were (and they were very real), any indictments and prosecutions and jail sentences served on Democrats will be seen as political bullying by Republicans - it will mean nothing! The only verdict that counts in politics is the one given by the voters.

Let Trump focus on America First and MAGA. Don’t measure his success according to how many Democrats he can lock up - that’s not what the American people elected him to do.


15 posted on 07/15/2018 7:09:42 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: enumerated
Don’t measure his [President Trump's] success according to how many Democrats he can lock up - that’s not what the American people elected him to do.

Au contraire.

I voted for President Trump for a number of reasons, the most important of which was his promise to clean up the Deep State.

So far, he has done a good job of reducing regulations and putting more money in our pockets. But it is time for him to begin the personnel cleanup.

It is my fervent hope that Sessions and Huber have been working behind the scene preparing solid cases against the main Deep State players. Waiting until after the November elections to release the dogs makes sense to me.

16 posted on 07/15/2018 7:24:15 AM PDT by upchuck (We've become a superficial nation obsessed with fluff. ~ tinyurl.com/congressmanx)
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To: EyesOfTX

I look at this the same way as I see the socialists in the dem party. For them there is no left that’s too far left. Their dream and our nightmare are one and the same; a 100% government run life from cradle to grave without free speech or gun rights.

What could possibly go wrong. I know! Let’s ask Venezuela and Greece. Two of the most socialist country’s in the world. Greece would have collapsed without the help of Germany (the EU) and Venezuela is dying a slow painful death as we speak. All because of this sick mental defect known as socialism.

Greece was both geographically and historically too significant to let fail. I get that but countries like Venezuela don’t have that kind of support group to prop them up. Time will tell if it was the right thing to do for Greece. Sometimes tough love is the only way to get through to some people.


17 posted on 07/15/2018 7:25:31 AM PDT by Boomer (Leftism is the Mental/Moral Equivalent of End Stage Cancer)
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To: Boomer

Vote her in my friends. No Republican on the ticket. She’ll serving in her 90’s. The young Democrat is definitely too far left and we’ll definitely be stuck with him for the whole 6 years.


18 posted on 07/15/2018 7:31:27 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: enumerated
Excellent post. I pretty much agree with your assessment of why the President appears to not care about the Obama criminals.

However my perspective tells me if there is no accountability for criminals and no rules that must be followed by the opposition at some point the system will utterly break down. We clearly were very close this time around with Hillary. Totalitarians within our federal government decided THEY were going to be in charge of this nation and not the American People. That is a fact that should scare the $hit out of every patriotic American. It's an almost certainty that if a significant number of the actual criminals of the obama era do not end up in prison they will only be more emboldened and more brazen in the next election cycle. It has been my belief that the lack of accountability when JFK stole the presidency was the actual tipping point for America. The level of corruption in our political system has been downhill ever since. It was at that point the Democrats realized they could steal the presidential election. The danger lies with the fact that although the democrats of the JFK era were left leaning they were still on the whole very patriotic Americans. That does not hold true today. Were are not facing Americans with a different viewpoint we are facing the enemy that is out to destroy us. At this point we just have to trust our President.

19 posted on 07/15/2018 7:44:44 AM PDT by precisionshootist
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To: EyesOfTX

Like most here and elsewhere I’ve been very critical of Sessions. I hope to be proven wrong. I’ll apologize if things “turn out right”.


20 posted on 07/15/2018 8:01:03 AM PDT by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket)
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