Posted on 07/30/2018 6:02:57 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
When the 4.1 GDP came out last week the Democrats were already dead. The 4.1 just helped make the arrangements for their funeral.
Like the wounded animals they are, the left cried out in pain when the reliably left leaning Gallup and Harvard Harris polls joined the rolling left Rasmussen poll in delivering what for Democrats is terrible news: American voters love Donald Trump’s economy.
Immediately, Democrat controlled polls started to churn out fake polls. These fake polls were designed solely to generate dispiriting headlines; but they won’t work. As always, the Democrats are overplaying the situation. They are telling obvious lies the old Soviets would be proud of.
Here’s some iodine to pour on these festering lies; the evil donkey is trying to tell.
An honest analysis of how much trouble Democrats are in has to include the #walkaway project on twitter and Youtube. Started by a gay man who is disgusted by the hateful Democrats, it asks Democrats to join him in walking away from the Democrat Party.
The success of his movement is growing, and it is killing the Democrats.
A quick search of personal #walkaway testimonials on Youtube, posted by now former Democrats who felt compelled to publicly explain why they had to leave the Democrat Party, shows these videos have over 1.14 million views.
So far the closest Democrats will come to these videos is to have CNN stupidly allege they are the work of Russia bots. Democrats fear the #walkaway movement as they should.
Remember that for every Democrat moved to do a video denouncing Democrats many many others hold the same opinion.
BTW where is the hashtagwalkawayfromrepublicans movement?
The Democrat pollsters are lying.
Remember the ridiculous Quinnipiac poll showing Democrats with a 12-point generic ballot lead? It was built on a 20 point over sampling of Democrats.
On July 25th YouGov reported Donald Trump had a 42% approval rating. The next day July 26, YouGov was forced to report the truth that it was really at 46%.
Sometimes they bury the truth hoping we won’t see it.
In early July 538.Com, no friend of Republicans, found just 53% of Black Americans identify as Democrats and 19% approve of Trump. Moreover just 39% of Hispanics identify as Democrats and 34% approve of Trump.
These numbers are deadly poison for the evil donkey.
Our friend and great researcher @SHEPMJS caught this lie about the Mid-term generic poll. On July 23 538.com had Democrats +3. But apparently Nate Silver who runs it didn’t like that number, so he merely changed it to Democrats +6 and eventually to Democrats +8.
Natie knows the generics game. He knows that in 2016 Democrats had a + 6 and still lost seats so to show any kind of lead for his side he lied as leftist apparatchiks do.
These are the real numbers that trump the fake numbers.
Compiled by @SHEPMJS, this is the information the Democrat controlled media has smothered.
"GDP 4.1%, Food stamp participation down 2.2 million 8 years low. Social Security Disability claims lowest in 15 years, Unemployment 3.8 % Black/Hispanic unemployment all-time lows-Median household income up $2,000 in 18 months & rising. Homeowners $410,000 more in equity in homes."
The next installment on why Republicans win 11 Democrat Senate seats will be this week. It will be built on some new data that is starting to support my claim and prediction that there will be at least one Democrat loser in November who is NOT even on the radar today.
Mmmmmm.....that made my day. So where do I send the funerary flowers? (smirk)
Historically, the incumbent President’s party does usually lose midterms pretty badly. The only recent exception would be Bush in 2002, but that was a product of 9/11 giving him sky-high approval numbers.
The difference is the media will treat a big GOP loss this November as an indictment of Donald Trump, like the results were an anomaly, something unique to President Trump because he is so bad and terrible. Even if the GOP actually gains seats in the Senate, they’ll still push that line over the House results, despite what happened to their golden child in 2010, whose presidency was terrible enough in his first two years that his party lost all of its massive House gains from its 2006 and 2008 wave elections.
I object to the word “cruising.”
We’ in an idealogical / cultural battle, and there shouldn’t be any “cruising.”
agree that trump’s numbers fly below the radar. disagree to the extent that we can’t stop paying attention; these guys are the same slimeballs that weaponized the FBI in the last election, shamelessly covered up the cause of the murder of 4 americans (including an ambassador) by terrorists in an election before that, and spun The Big Lie (if you like your doctor . . . ) in order to get past election day in the presidential election.
and these buzzards have gotten worse since last election day, not better. mueller is still out there. the possibilities are endless for the next fake accusation.
Our friend and great researcher @SHEPMJS caught this lie about the Mid-term generic poll. On July 23 538.com had Democrats +3. But apparently Nate Silver who runs it didn’t like that number, so he merely changed it to Democrats +6 and eventually to Democrats +8.
—
Nate Silver is the guy who, on election night, gave Hillary a 90-something % chance of winning. In the nine o’clock hour when it was obvious things were changing, I think he changed it to 70-something. Then when Trump DID win he weaseled out of admitting his polls were 100% wrong.
Astute analysis and I agree completely.
I completely agree. I hope the Republicans are on their way to a big victory in the mid terms, but we can't afford to take anything for granted. We need to approach this as a knock down, drag out fight for the soul of our country. The Democrats will do whatever it takes to win back control of the House, and possibly the Senate. We need to get as many people as possible to the polls in November. Don't assume that victory is a foregone conclusion. Don't dismiss articles or polls you don't like as "biased" or "unrealistic."Complacency is our biggest enemy.
There are other articles on this site, about how the big-name polling companies have not modified their methods, even after their 2016 disaster. (Disaster for them, happy days for me.)
I think the Walkaway thing is significant. One guy posts a compelling video and lots of people willingly join his bandwagon. No coercion, just persuasion. As the article says, for everyone who posts an agreement YouTube video, how many other silent assenters are out there, waiting to vote in November.
Reminds me of the over use of the word "plateau" by the dims during the Trump campaign for the nomination.
Winning will not be easy.
The only true supporters of the Left is the media, normal people just aren't that far Left.
More Russian collusion no doubt.
Ssssh...
Don’t tell Them.
In lieu of flowers, please donate to the charity of your choice. (How bout the NRA , RTL or John James to beat Debbie Stabenow?)
I agree with the poster who said the party in the White House historically faces headwinds in the mid-terms.
Having said that, I think it is possible for the GOP to lose seats but still retain the House. The democrats are only offering anger right now and have taken some very unpopular positions (open borders). History is one thing but it is hard to win when you are offering the voters a poop sandwich.
I just don’t get the sense that disaster is looming for the GOP. A setback, perhaps, but not disaster.
RASMUSSEN
(weren’t they the only ones to get it right for the 2016 election?)
Wednesday, July 25, 2018
Democrats have once again widened their lead over Republicans on the latest Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.
The latest telephone and online survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty percent (40%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
For two weeks in May, the parties were neck and neck on the Generic Ballot, but the Democrats regained their lead in early June and have maintained it since then. Last week, Democrats led by eight, their largest lead since January.
“...Historically, the incumbent President’s party does usually lose midterms...”
Not this time - President Trump is “a-historical” (meaning untypical) in a very very good way and this former pattern will not hold this time around!
(unless the ‘rats figure out how to successfully cheat their way to take the house - unlikely because the MAGA side will be motivated to turn out in large enough numbers to override the extra votes gained from the dead votes)
Well reasoned take. Now if reason wins the day we are set. Reason has seemed to be absent though anymore, so I will still hold my breath until the mid-terms have taken place.
Democrats are gaining on us. This is no time for GOP to think they have this thing in the bag because of the GDP.
This is a fight for your life kind of midterm.
Monday, July 30, 2018
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove.
The latest figures include 34% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 43% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -9. (see trends).
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