Posted on 08/02/2018 2:14:06 PM PDT by davikkm
We now have less than 100 days left until the November 2018 midterm elections. While the economy hums along at its highest growth rate since 2014 and taxpayers have more money in their pockets, the liberal mainstream media is clinging to the notion that a blue wave is coming this fall.
While recent historical trends would hint that Democrats will gain a number of seats in November as Clinton lost seats, Bush lost his conservative friends, and Obama lost his majority, it is worth mentioning that we are living in unprecedented times. The political pundits could not foresee the Trump phenomenon and dismissed him at every turn as a laughing stock and a sideshow clown, failing to understand the real issues facing middle class Americans. Today, they are pointing to the same ridiculous polls in support of their theory of the incoming wave of Democrats coming to unseat Republicans on Capitol Hill.
(Excerpt) Read more at investmentwatchblog.com ...
I have a blue wave when i flush the toilet. It costs a dollar.
Blue fog, in the proglibs heads...
.
Clinton lost seats.
Bush lost seats.
Obama lost seats.
They were not Trump.
There is a red wave coming thanks to Trump. And it will be glorious.
Offer the RATs free trips to Venezuela where they will feel right at home!
2006 Iraq War
2010 Obamacare
2018 Record Economy
Which one is different from the other?
Reagan loss seats, just throwing it out there.
“the liberal mainstream media is clinging to the notion that a blue wave is coming this fall.
And as late as April 1945 Hitler thought he could still win WW2.
Democrats are hoping a blue wave of support will carry them to victory in this fall’s elections. In the meantime, they’ve caught a green wave of cash—the torrent of money pouring into Democratic campaign coffers helped 73 House candidates outraise Republican incumbents and opponents in races for open seats in the second quarter, a Bloomberg analysis of Federal Election Commission data shows. The more candidates the Democrats can field with the means to run competitive races, the larger the potential blue wave could be, if, as most experts anticipate, a motivated anti-Trump electorate shows up to vote in November. Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to retake control of the House.
The surge of Democrats who raised more money than their GOP opponents last quarter is testimony not only to widespread antipathy to Trump among liberals and many independents, but also to the fundraising acumen of the party committee and many of the new grass-roots groups that sprang up in the wake of Trump’s victory.
In the second quarter of this year, non-incumbent Democratic House candidates raised more than three times the amount they did in the same period in 2014. That works out to an average of $151,000 per candidate, compared with $101,000 in 2014.
Dan Eberhart, a GOP fundraiser, says while Democrats have a financial advantage in some races, the Republican National Committee has still raised more money this cycle than the Democratic National Committee: $213 million to the DNC’s $109 million.
Hillary outspent the hell out of Trump. Money only translates to corruption, not votes.
Au Contraire. The Blue Wave is here!
Nov 2018 all depends on turnout in each individual race in a purple district. Maybe even turnout in districts not so purple.
What is each R campaign doing to Get-Out-The-Vote?
What is each D campaign doing to GOTV?
GA 6th of Handel-Ossoff fame is flush with new voters from the Rust Belt cities. How many new voters are being welcomed by Democrats/Boredeaux? How many new voters are being welcomed by Republicans/Handel?
The same is true in districts across the nation.
Hillary spent a lot more than Trump. Didn’t matter then and it won’t matter in November.
The Dims expected a Blue Wave.
Instead, they got Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez!!!!
Anyone who assumes that we are in a typical political climate needs to have their heads checked.
Its not the blue wave, but the red wave of Republicans/conservatives staying away that needs worrying.
W gained seats in 2002
Only two Presidents have seen their parties pick up seats in both houses in a midterm election since the Civil War, Franklin Roosevelt in 1934 and George W. Bush in 2002. W’s approval rating was in the 60s in 2002. We don’t have Presidential approval polls from 1934, but FDR was pretty popular then.
Of course, we don’t have to pick up seats. All we have to do is hold serve in the Senate and lose less than 43 seats in the House. The President’s party has done better than that in two thirds of the midterms since 1934.
The President’s party has lost two or more seats in the Senate in two thirds of the midterms since 1934, but there are a lot more Democrat than Republican seats up this time, including a lot in Trump states.
If I had to bet, I’d bet we hold onto the House but lose seats, and gain a couple seats in the Senate.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.